Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 27 October 2010 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 24 October 2010, Liverpool vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          9   22  +23      88.59     6.82    69.17    77.53    94.65    99.25    99.86    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          9   17  +11      75.66     7.72    42.72     7.83    39.84    78.31    91.19    98.25     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          9   17   +8      78.44     7.26    44.92    14.00    57.95    87.47    95.93    99.42     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         9   17   +4      64.73     7.96    16.03     0.47     4.65    17.66    47.03    78.24     0.01R    0.00  
Tottenham        9   15   +3      58.47     7.99     8.13     0.09     1.06     5.30    17.63    49.81     0.23R    0.03  
West_Brom        9   15   -2      51.84     8.59    -7.29     0.01     0.22     1.28     5.35    20.74     2.99R    0.46  
Sunderland       9   12   +1      47.65     7.70    -6.07     0.00     0.03     0.19     1.29     8.32     5.58R    0.74  
Bolton           9   12   +0      45.08     7.77   -12.23     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.78     4.91    10.53R    1.77  
Newcastle        9   11   +1      48.89     8.38    -3.08     0.00     0.06     0.58     2.83    12.99     4.81R    0.69  
Aston_Villa      9   11   -4      52.56     8.00    -2.05     0.00     0.17     1.19     5.23    22.18     1.62R    0.18  
Everton          9   10   +1      56.01     8.00     9.99     0.02     0.46     3.07    11.69    38.76     0.58R    0.05  
Birmingham       9   10   -2      41.82     7.49   -14.15     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.22     1.79    18.94R    3.87  
Stoke            9   10   -3      41.92     7.56   -15.23     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.24     1.89    18.97R    3.95  
Blackpool        9   10   -7      37.11     7.90   -30.94     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.71    43.52R   15.29  
Wigan            9   10   -9      33.48     7.03   -38.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    63.59R   28.16  
Fulham           9    9   -1      44.67     7.66    -7.62     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.56     4.29    10.36R    1.76  
Blackburn        9    9   -2      43.52     7.75   -11.32     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.44     3.21    14.17R    2.88  
Liverpool        9    9   -5      59.12     7.88    10.36     0.05     0.90     5.37    19.58    53.73     0.21R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    9    6   -7      33.66     7.26   -26.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.13    60.08R   25.15  
West_Ham         9    6  -10      36.79     7.69   -26.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.55    43.81R   15.02  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 25 October 2010, Leeds_United vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              13   29  +21      81.45     8.99    31.75    25.59    49.33    86.77    59.06P    0.01R    0.00  
Cardiff          13   29  +14      85.95     9.08    32.31    46.83    68.45    93.57    75.77P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          13   23   +5      71.25     8.69     9.86     3.37    10.25    47.39    19.25P    0.48R    0.04  
Norwich          13   23   +4      68.60     9.38     4.25     2.55     7.65    36.87    13.82P    1.71R    0.26  
Watford          13   21   +7      67.39     9.21     8.23     2.02     6.19    32.53    12.01P    2.06R    0.33  
Coventry         13   21   +5      62.32     8.89    -0.86     0.43     1.63    15.16     4.05P    6.14R    1.18  
Burnley          13   20   +6      70.67     9.66    14.13     4.61    12.36    46.70    21.39P    1.05R    0.17  
Reading          13   19   +7      72.99     9.11    20.32     6.16    16.36    57.73    28.95P    0.38R    0.04  
Nott'm_Forest    13   19   +3      68.42     8.89     9.53     2.01     6.65    36.28    14.65P    1.26R    0.18  
Millwall         13   19   +2      61.57     9.17    -1.70     0.38     1.48    13.93     3.99P    7.79R    1.72  
Doncaster        13   19   +0      61.76     8.85    -3.57     0.34     1.37    13.45     3.75P    6.95R    1.41  
Derby            13   18   +5      61.75     8.96     2.42     0.36     1.47    14.59     4.25P    6.87R    1.51  
Portsmouth       13   18   +1      71.06     9.50    13.00     4.35    12.44    48.30    23.21P    0.96R    0.13  
Scunthorpe       13   17   +0      55.98     9.02   -10.73     0.08     0.36     4.93     1.16P   20.86R    6.05  
Leeds_United     13   17   -6      56.47     9.29   -15.98     0.10     0.48     5.53     1.47P   20.99R    6.46  
Ipswich          13   16   -2      60.36     8.89    -2.99     0.20     0.93    10.66     2.97P    9.02R    2.06  
Barnsley         13   15   -8      51.90     8.78   -21.36     0.01     0.08     1.64     0.32P   37.04R   14.05  
Sheff_Utd        13   15   -8      60.87     8.87    -6.79     0.22     0.94    11.16     3.37P    8.71R    1.94  
Hull             13   13   -7      57.32     9.19    -8.00     0.14     0.51     6.20     1.86P   17.30R    5.22  
Preston          13   13   -9      51.69     9.02   -20.98     0.02     0.09     1.75     0.40P   38.25R   15.43  
Leicester        13   12  -11      57.98     8.99    -9.98     0.09     0.44     6.78     1.98P   15.12R    3.97  
Bristol_City     13   11   -9      49.92     8.75   -18.38     0.01     0.03     0.93     0.21P   44.82R   19.63  
Middlesbrough    13   11   -9      57.31     8.88    -7.21     0.10     0.43     5.65     1.70P   16.14R    4.51  
Crystal_Palace   13   11  -11      51.86     8.80   -17.28     0.01     0.07     1.51     0.39P   36.09R   13.71  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 October 2010, Brentford vs Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         13   28  +13      78.53     9.14    20.91    20.88    36.27    73.97    44.77P    0.13R    0.00  
Bournemouth      13   22  +12      70.62     9.67    16.94     5.95    13.15    43.18    19.79P    1.53R    0.08  
Peterborough     13   22   +5      72.85     9.82    13.54     9.66    18.92    51.19    26.44P    1.08R    0.06  
Sheff_Wed        13   21   +9      77.83     9.41    25.98    20.43    35.31    72.07    47.30P    0.17R    0.01  
Huddersfield     13   20   +5      73.90     9.26    18.23    10.07    20.63    56.51    29.97P    0.53R    0.02  
Colchester       13   20   +2      69.57     9.14     8.34     3.92     9.41    36.98    16.10P    1.57R    0.07  
MK_Dons          13   20   +0      66.84     9.13     2.30     2.18     5.55    25.89     9.89P    3.17R    0.20  
Carlisle         13   19   +6      67.55     9.19    10.86     2.69     6.70    29.90    11.84P    2.67R    0.18  
Rochdale         13   19   +5      62.59     9.56     2.12     1.07     2.80    15.68     5.47P    8.68R    0.79  
Charlton         13   19   -2      71.25     9.24     8.50     5.64    12.64    44.07    21.02P    1.08R    0.04  
Exeter           13   19   -2      55.94     8.64   -14.62     0.07     0.29     3.30     0.71P   24.25R    3.11  
Bristol_Rovers   13   19   -2      60.85     9.07    -7.19     0.50     1.39    10.06     3.06P   11.13R    1.10  
Oldham           13   18   +2      62.13     8.99     0.73     0.54     1.77    12.61     3.87P    8.19R    0.74  
Southampton      13   18   +2      75.54     9.02    20.33    12.83    25.39    63.45    38.35P    0.25R    0.01  
Swindon          13   16   -1      64.14     9.26     3.20     1.25     3.34    18.65     6.93P    6.07R    0.56  
Notts_County     13   16   -3      59.17     9.47    -6.42     0.44     1.16     8.32     2.60P   16.14R    2.04  
Plymouth         13   16   -5      65.45     9.46     1.27     1.63     4.25    22.42     8.83P    5.09R    0.43  
Hartlepool       13   16   -6      55.03     8.91   -15.97     0.07     0.30     2.94     0.74P   28.33R    4.59  
Brentford        13   15   -3      56.97     8.78    -7.20     0.13     0.42     4.25     1.25P   20.15R    2.63  
Yeovil           13   14  -10      50.57     8.68   -22.77     0.02     0.06     0.87     0.19P   47.88R   10.82  
Leyton_Orient    13   13   -3      52.61     8.85   -11.08     0.03     0.14     1.75     0.47P   36.54R    6.75  
Tranmere         13   13   -8      50.77     8.79   -19.12     0.02     0.07     0.91     0.20P   46.26R   10.26  
Walsall          13   11   -7      50.00     8.90   -16.82     0.01     0.05     0.90     0.22P   48.86R   11.73  
Dag_&_Red        13   11   -9      42.29     8.85   -32.02     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   80.24R   43.76  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 October 2010, Barnet vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         13   28  +12      80.93     9.28    23.55    30.08    61.16    87.55    67.54P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale            13   25  +10      76.17     8.90    18.77    13.59    40.19    75.44    49.11P    0.02R    0.00  
Bury                 13   25   +8      74.33     9.14    14.01    10.46    32.45    67.85    40.57P    0.07R    0.02  
Rotherham            13   23   +7      73.32     9.16    14.56     8.44    29.10    63.87    38.12P    0.10R    0.02  
Shrewsbury           13   21   +7      72.72     9.14    16.64     7.83    27.23    61.97    36.27P    0.11R    0.03  
Wycombe              13   21   +6      76.02     9.45    20.55    15.01    41.14    74.18    51.19P    0.04R    0.01  
Crewe                13   19  +12      70.48     9.45    21.50     6.02    21.46    53.86    30.09P    0.25R    0.08  
Stevenage            13   18   +3      62.10     9.13     1.66     0.75     4.32    19.58     7.76P    2.36R    0.74  
Aldershot            13   18   -1      64.04     8.95     0.19     0.99     5.70    24.59     9.77P    1.50R    0.47  
Cheltenham           13   18   -5      58.17     8.97   -13.43     0.20     1.49     9.27     2.90P    6.37R    2.37  
Oxford_Utd           13   17   +5      59.33     9.05     1.56     0.36     2.36    12.82     4.63P    4.42R    1.55  
Burton_Albion        13   17   +4      60.42     9.20     0.63     0.54     3.22    15.72     5.91P    3.73R    1.29  
Torquay              13   17   +3      64.47     9.21     6.21     1.35     7.14    27.81    12.02P    1.42R    0.47  
Accrington_Stanley   13   16   +3      58.50     9.17    -1.81     0.33     2.00    11.20     3.84P    5.69R    2.18  
Gillingham           13   15   -2      62.94     9.48     1.96     1.13     5.64    23.14    10.61P    2.42R    0.82  
Stockport            13   15   -4      57.10     9.34    -9.06     0.23     1.48     8.76     3.02P    8.33R    3.40  
Macclesfield         13   15   -5      53.11     8.72   -15.70     0.03     0.30     3.17     0.75P   15.56R    6.83  
Southend             13   14   -3      66.12     9.51     7.23     2.25    10.29    34.73    17.74P    1.19R    0.35  
Morecambe            13   14   -8      56.94     9.07   -11.99     0.17     1.18     7.72     2.62P    8.50R    3.40  
Bradford             13   14   -8      56.56     8.92   -11.94     0.13     0.89     6.74     2.04P    8.72R    3.54  
Lincoln_City         13   12   -8      48.18     8.34   -20.15     0.00     0.03     0.68     0.15P   32.55R   16.80  
Barnet               13   12  -12      45.46     8.48   -30.38     0.00     0.02     0.37     0.08P   47.06R   28.14  
Northampton          13   10   -9      57.15     9.11    -6.35     0.14     1.18     8.49     3.18P    7.68R    3.10  
Hereford             13   10  -15      46.51     8.64   -28.19     0.00     0.02     0.48     0.11P   41.90R   24.40  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 October 2010, Luton vs Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      16   35  +15      84.33     8.31    27.92    21.95    83.30    36.19P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       16   33  +12      79.10     8.28    19.90     8.17    62.88    19.36P    0.01R    0.00  
Luton              16   30  +15      89.70     7.80    45.67    53.26    95.54    70.28P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     16   30  +11      75.04     8.89    17.08     4.11    44.61    11.91P    0.04R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     16   27   +8      69.24     8.75     9.73     1.05    21.32     4.97P    0.23R    0.01  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   16   27   +5      77.56     8.05    20.02     5.81    56.96    20.21P    0.00R    0.00  
Mansfield          16   24   +8      72.43     8.36    19.75     1.92    33.87     9.39P    0.06R    0.00  
Wrexham            16   24   +6      70.25     8.09    14.02     0.92    23.69     6.44P    0.10R    0.01  
Grimsby            16   23   +1      71.68     8.56    12.96     1.62    29.71     9.16P    0.12R    0.01  
Kidderminster      16   23   -2      66.25     8.33     0.90     0.33    11.38     2.50P    0.57R    0.06  
Gateshead          16   22   -2      56.50     7.94   -12.47     0.01     0.98     0.16P    7.26R    1.01  
Kettering          16   21   -2      64.27     8.11     1.42     0.14     7.24     1.61P    0.89R    0.07  
Darlington         16   20   +3      67.44     8.35    12.58     0.50    15.36     4.71P    0.37R    0.03  
Tamworth           16   20   -4      56.62     8.06   -11.48     0.02     1.07     0.16P    7.58R    1.12  
Eastbourne_Boro    16   19   -4      52.79     8.01   -18.77     0.00     0.33     0.04P   16.51R    3.07  
York               16   18   -4      61.51     8.15    -0.20     0.06     3.95     0.96P    1.98R    0.23  
Histon             16   18   -9      51.85     8.05   -21.04     0.00     0.28     0.04P   19.78R    4.02  
Cambridge_Utd      16   17   +1      63.21     8.30     9.06     0.10     6.77     1.80P    1.40R    0.16  
Southport          16   17   -3      50.99     8.34   -13.74     0.00     0.25     0.04P   23.00R    5.38  
Hayes_&_Yeading    16   17  -12      47.32     7.92   -31.61     0.00     0.05     0.01P   40.16R   12.02  
Bath_City          15   16   -5      51.11     8.61   -17.47     0.01     0.35     0.05P   23.69R    5.98  
Barrow             16   15   -4      48.85     7.92   -16.13     0.00     0.10     0.01P   30.06R    7.63  
Forest_Green       16   11  -16      41.63     7.95   -34.69     0.00     0.00     0.00P   67.24R   33.77  
Altrincham         15   10  -18      43.48     8.02   -33.38     0.00     0.01     0.00    58.96R   25.43