Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 26 October 2010 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 24 October 2010, Liverpool vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          9   22  +23      88.75     6.79    69.60    78.42    95.08    99.23    99.87    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          9   17  +11      75.54     7.81    42.48     7.57    39.39    77.75    90.77    98.04     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          9   17   +8      78.44     7.29    44.94    13.41    57.84    87.26    95.83    99.43     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         9   17   +4      64.62     8.00    15.96     0.39     4.64    17.80    46.54    77.92     0.02R    0.00  
Tottenham        9   15   +3      58.60     8.01     8.32     0.09     1.09     5.62    18.30    50.44     0.20R    0.01  
West_Brom        9   15   -2      51.96     8.62    -7.15     0.01     0.22     1.31     5.74    21.16     3.05R    0.47  
Sunderland       9   12   +1      47.69     7.66    -6.05     0.00     0.02     0.19     1.28     8.39     5.26R    0.77  
Bolton           9   12   +0      45.04     7.79   -12.40     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.80     5.10    10.51R    1.71  
Newcastle        9   11   +1      48.65     8.39    -3.54     0.00     0.07     0.57     2.59    12.70     5.30R    0.76  
Aston_Villa      9   11   -4      52.50     8.08    -2.22     0.00     0.16     1.27     5.54    22.45     1.79R    0.20  
Everton          9   10   +1      55.86     8.02     9.71     0.02     0.45     3.03    11.36    37.97     0.57R    0.05  
Birmingham       9   10   -2      41.82     7.52   -14.18     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.21     1.93    19.22R    4.09  
Stoke            9   10   -3      42.04     7.55   -15.08     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.25     2.08    18.60R    3.89  
Blackpool        9   10   -7      36.89     7.86   -31.30     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.65    45.03R   16.01  
Wigan            9   10   -9      33.50     7.00   -38.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10    64.07R   27.83  
Fulham           9    9   -1      44.60     7.63    -7.73     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.55     4.01    10.70R    1.93  
Blackburn        9    9   -2      43.66     7.75   -11.12     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.43     3.54    13.91R    2.77  
Liverpool        9    9   -5      59.05     8.02    10.25     0.09     1.01     5.68    19.81    53.46     0.19R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    9    6   -7      33.88     7.38   -26.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.13    58.91R   24.97  
West_Ham         9    6  -10      37.00     7.67   -25.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.50    42.66R   14.53  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 25 October 2010, Leeds_United vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              13   29  +21      81.58     9.03    31.94    26.34    49.75    87.13    59.57P    0.01R    0.00  
Cardiff          13   29  +14      85.74     9.12    32.03    45.91    67.65    93.48    74.96P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea          13   23   +5      71.37     8.75    10.00     3.49    10.68    48.31    19.93P    0.56R    0.06  
Norwich          13   23   +4      68.52     9.46     4.21     2.47     7.60    36.59    13.76P    1.78R    0.27  
Watford          13   21   +7      67.56     9.39     8.48     2.32     6.67    33.72    12.57P    2.17R    0.40  
Coventry         13   21   +5      62.40     8.75    -0.65     0.37     1.59    14.98     4.10P    5.64R    1.13  
Burnley          13   20   +6      70.96     9.68    14.62     4.82    12.83    48.52    22.47P    1.16R    0.20  
Reading          13   19   +7      72.86     9.08    20.12     6.05    16.05    57.15    28.59P    0.37R    0.04  
Nott'm_Forest    13   19   +3      68.23     8.90     9.23     2.02     6.35    35.41    13.73P    1.32R    0.18  
Millwall         13   19   +2      61.54     9.23    -1.77     0.38     1.53    14.26     4.11P    8.10R    1.82  
Derby            13   18   +5      61.42     8.97     1.97     0.33     1.44    13.75     4.02P    7.21R    1.54  
Portsmouth       13   18   +1      71.28     9.43    13.25     4.35    12.49    49.64    23.58P    0.91R    0.16  
Scunthorpe       13   17   +0      55.81     8.92   -10.96     0.06     0.28     4.49     0.98P   20.98R    6.15  
Doncaster        13   17   -1      59.27     8.83    -5.25     0.14     0.70     8.61     2.37P   11.32R    2.68  
Leeds_United     13   17   -6      56.44     9.33   -15.95     0.11     0.49     5.71     1.43P   20.97R    6.64  
Ipswich          13   16   -2      60.32     8.90    -3.06     0.21     0.92    10.63     2.99P    9.10R    2.12  
Barnsley         13   15   -8      51.82     8.70   -21.47     0.01     0.05     1.52     0.26P   37.05R   13.94  
Sheff_Utd        13   15   -8      60.96     8.82    -6.71     0.20     1.02    11.14     3.41P    8.26R    1.94  
Hull             13   14   -6      59.00     9.22    -5.93     0.18     0.82     8.76     2.74P   12.88R    3.44  
Preston          13   13   -9      51.61     9.05   -21.09     0.02     0.12     1.67     0.38P   38.32R   15.74  
Leicester        13   12  -11      57.86     9.02   -10.14     0.12     0.52     6.63     1.94P   15.23R    4.42  
Bristol_City     13   11   -9      50.01     8.73   -18.24     0.01     0.03     0.95     0.20P   44.11R   18.82  
Middlesbrough    13   11   -9      57.27     8.90    -7.24     0.07     0.36     5.55     1.60P   16.14R    4.67  
Crystal_Palace   13   11  -11      51.81     8.75   -17.39     0.01     0.05     1.41     0.30P   36.39R   13.61  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 October 2010, Brentford vs Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         13   28  +13      78.36     9.13    20.68    20.68    35.98    73.42    44.18P    0.09R    0.00  
Bournemouth      13   22  +12      70.47     9.69    16.71     5.89    12.92    42.81    19.38P    1.65R    0.08  
Peterborough     13   22   +5      72.92     9.87    13.63     9.92    19.32    51.64    26.93P    1.13R    0.04  
Sheff_Wed        13   21   +9      77.91     9.38    26.14    20.48    35.72    72.35    47.46P    0.13R    0.01  
Huddersfield     13   20   +5      73.68     9.26    17.92     9.88    19.90    55.67    29.32P    0.61R    0.02  
Colchester       13   20   +2      69.47     9.05     8.23     3.86     9.06    36.53    15.75P    1.55R    0.08  
MK_Dons          13   20   +0      66.97     9.13     2.49     2.23     5.62    26.59    10.21P    3.05R    0.23  
Carlisle         13   19   +6      67.58     9.15    10.91     2.54     6.57    29.91    11.86P    2.62R    0.17  
Rochdale         13   19   +5      62.77     9.56     2.35     1.11     2.92    16.10     5.63P    8.34R    0.81  
Charlton         13   19   -2      71.30     9.30     8.61     5.78    13.10    44.45    21.63P    1.24R    0.04  
Exeter           13   19   -2      55.99     8.64   -14.61     0.10     0.35     3.28     0.80P   24.24R    3.12  
Bristol_Rovers   13   19   -2      60.73     9.08    -7.50     0.48     1.37     9.75     3.00P   11.36R    1.15  
Oldham           13   18   +2      62.30     8.98     0.99     0.61     1.80    13.25     4.13P    7.83R    0.70  
Southampton      13   18   +2      75.45     8.97    20.20    12.73    25.25    63.50    37.98P    0.28R    0.01  
Swindon          13   16   -1      64.13     9.30     3.17     1.34     3.49    18.83     7.20P    6.11R    0.44  
Notts_County     13   16   -3      59.03     9.47    -6.56     0.40     1.28     8.02     2.70P   16.67R    2.16  
Plymouth         13   16   -5      65.38     9.41     1.19     1.66     4.27    21.87     8.77P    5.03R    0.47  
Hartlepool       13   16   -6      55.05     8.99   -15.98     0.11     0.38     3.16     0.88P   28.56R    4.71  
Brentford        13   15   -3      57.08     8.77    -7.03     0.12     0.40     4.35     1.22P   19.83R    2.53  
Yeovil           13   14  -10      50.69     8.69   -22.60     0.01     0.05     0.93     0.18P   47.44R   10.76  
Leyton_Orient    13   13   -3      52.56     8.76   -11.13     0.04     0.12     1.68     0.37P   36.75R    6.82  
Tranmere         13   13   -8      50.77     8.72   -19.10     0.01     0.05     0.91     0.17P   46.30R   10.41  
Walsall          13   11   -7      50.00     8.86   -16.83     0.02     0.07     0.92     0.23P   48.99R   11.49  
Dag_&_Red        13   11   -9      42.30     8.84   -31.89     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   80.20R   43.74  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 October 2010, Barnet vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         13   28  +12      80.95     9.34    23.61    30.18    61.08    87.39    67.45P    0.01R    0.00  
Port_Vale            13   25  +10      76.22     9.01    18.82    14.18    40.43    75.39    49.16P    0.02R    0.00  
Bury                 13   25   +8      74.58     9.14    14.42    10.87    33.34    68.74    41.50P    0.04R    0.01  
Rotherham            13   23   +7      73.33     9.14    14.60     8.40    29.05    64.31    37.97P    0.08R    0.01  
Shrewsbury           13   21   +7      72.53     9.21    16.40     7.60    26.72    61.47    35.75P    0.13R    0.03  
Wycombe              13   21   +6      75.81     9.42    20.27    14.51    39.92    73.33    50.26P    0.05R    0.01  
Crewe                13   19  +12      70.59     9.45    21.67     5.91    21.94    54.30    30.64P    0.26R    0.09  
Stevenage            13   18   +3      61.98     9.21     1.41     0.82     4.26    19.43     7.69P    2.51R    0.87  
Aldershot            13   18   -1      63.99     8.96     0.10     0.94     5.68    24.53     9.88P    1.49R    0.49  
Cheltenham           13   18   -5      58.18     8.97   -13.40     0.18     1.55     9.39     2.97P    6.61R    2.49  
Oxford_Utd           13   17   +5      59.29     8.99     1.48     0.34     2.34    12.66     4.60P    4.26R    1.56  
Burton_Albion        13   17   +4      60.34     9.13     0.53     0.53     3.10    15.23     5.74P    3.60R    1.24  
Torquay              13   17   +3      64.61     9.18     6.38     1.37     7.36    28.08    12.28P    1.51R    0.47  
Accrington_Stanley   13   16   +3      58.55     9.25    -1.72     0.32     2.09    11.72     3.92P    5.88R    2.23  
Gillingham           13   15   -2      62.79     9.56     1.77     1.16     5.71    22.83    10.51P    2.67R    0.96  
Stockport            13   15   -4      57.13     9.35    -9.00     0.23     1.54     8.94     3.15P    8.16R    3.24  
Macclesfield         13   15   -5      53.14     8.74   -15.69     0.05     0.36     3.22     0.85P   15.61R    6.63  
Southend             13   14   -3      65.98     9.49     7.04     2.01    10.03    34.11    17.29P    1.20R    0.41  
Morecambe            13   14   -8      57.06     9.09   -11.79     0.16     1.22     7.88     2.60P    8.28R    3.38  
Bradford             13   14   -8      56.63     8.89   -11.80     0.12     0.95     7.02     2.28P    8.34R    3.29  
Lincoln_City         13   12   -8      48.35     8.47   -19.91     0.01     0.07     0.84     0.18P   32.01R   16.49  
Barnet               13   12  -12      45.45     8.51   -30.50     0.00     0.04     0.39     0.09P   47.28R   28.45  
Northampton          13   10   -9      57.02     9.10    -6.50     0.13     1.16     8.25     3.09P    7.99R    3.24  
Hereford             13   10  -15      46.57     8.72   -28.18     0.00     0.04     0.57     0.14P   42.03R   24.42  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 October 2010, Luton vs Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      16   35  +15      84.47     8.36    28.11    22.41    83.62    36.62P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       16   33  +12      79.06     8.33    19.81     8.01    63.10    19.04P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton              16   30  +15      89.69     7.83    45.66    52.69    95.39    69.64P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     16   30  +11      75.17     8.94    17.24     4.29    45.23    12.15P    0.03R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     16   27   +8      69.41     8.78    10.05     1.19    21.86     5.08P    0.28R    0.02  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   16   27   +5      77.80     8.06    20.37     6.08    58.10    21.09P    0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield          16   24   +8      72.40     8.35    19.64     1.78    33.72     9.37P    0.06R    0.01  
Wrexham            16   24   +6      69.99     8.06    13.70     0.92    22.53     6.14P    0.09R    0.01  
Grimsby            16   23   +1      71.61     8.47    12.79     1.54    29.43     8.94P    0.10R    0.01  
Kidderminster      16   23   -2      66.01     8.28     0.58     0.30    10.60     2.37P    0.62R    0.04  
Gateshead          16   22   -2      56.59     7.92   -12.33     0.00     0.96     0.13P    7.08R    1.01  
Kettering          16   21   -2      64.20     8.11     1.29     0.12     7.25     1.59P    0.94R    0.07  
Darlington         16   20   +3      67.31     8.35    12.39     0.48    15.14     4.60P    0.37R    0.03  
Tamworth           16   20   -4      56.51     8.05   -11.63     0.01     0.99     0.18P    7.70R    1.24  
Eastbourne_Boro    16   19   -4      52.91     8.05   -18.47     0.00     0.42     0.05P   16.13R    3.08  
York               16   18   -4      61.52     8.18    -0.21     0.06     3.88     0.97P    2.09R    0.28  
Histon             16   18   -9      51.91     8.04   -20.92     0.00     0.24     0.04P   19.66R    3.79  
Cambridge_Utd      16   17   +1      63.31     8.29     9.17     0.11     6.81     1.89P    1.33R    0.16  
Southport          16   17   -3      50.86     8.37   -13.93     0.00     0.26     0.05P   23.20R    5.46  
Hayes_&_Yeading    16   17  -12      47.35     7.91   -31.62     0.00     0.04     0.00P   39.95R   12.05  
Bath_City          15   16   -5      50.89     8.69   -17.85     0.01     0.31     0.05P   24.71R    6.59  
Barrow             16   15   -4      48.86     7.95   -16.20     0.00     0.10     0.01P   30.17R    7.59  
Forest_Green       16   11  -16      41.80     7.91   -34.37     0.00     0.01     0.00    66.76R   33.07  
Altrincham         15   10  -18      43.52     7.99   -33.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.72R   25.50