Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 25 October 2010 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 24 October 2010, Liverpool vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          9   22  +23      88.67     6.78    69.38    77.75    94.85    99.25    99.84    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          9   17  +11      75.71     7.76    42.87     7.85    39.58    78.75    91.32    98.16     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          9   17   +8      78.60     7.30    45.21    13.81    58.44    87.70    95.90    99.41     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         9   17   +4      64.57     8.00    15.77     0.42     4.35    17.38    45.86    77.50     0.03R    0.00  
Tottenham        9   15   +3      58.53     7.92     8.17     0.08     1.02     5.20    17.98    50.39     0.20R    0.02  
West_Brom        9   15   -2      52.00     8.52    -7.10     0.01     0.18     1.24     5.43    21.10     2.77R    0.48  
Sunderland       9   12   +1      47.66     7.73    -6.12     0.00     0.02     0.18     1.36     8.37     5.52R    0.78  
Bolton           9   12   +0      45.06     7.76   -12.25     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.79     4.95    10.42R    1.79  
Newcastle        9   11   +1      48.82     8.37    -3.22     0.00     0.07     0.60     2.77    12.85     4.99R    0.75  
Aston_Villa      9   11   -4      52.58     8.01    -2.07     0.01     0.19     1.20     5.57    22.13     1.72R    0.20  
Everton          9   10   +1      55.95     8.01     9.88     0.02     0.42     2.94    11.70    38.35     0.62R    0.05  
Birmingham       9   10   -2      41.83     7.51   -14.19     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.24     1.88    18.82R    3.93  
Stoke            9   10   -3      41.87     7.52   -15.37     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.19     1.87    18.96R    3.99  
Blackpool        9   10   -7      36.89     7.88   -31.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.66    44.69R   15.98  
Wigan            9   10   -9      33.54     6.99   -38.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11    63.47R   27.47  
Fulham           9    9   -1      44.64     7.65    -7.72     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.61     4.18    10.47R    1.84  
Blackburn        9    9   -2      43.47     7.71   -11.41     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.40     3.27    14.21R    2.82  
Liverpool        9    9   -5      59.17     7.91    10.43     0.06     0.87     5.28    19.93    54.14     0.20R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    9    6   -7      33.69     7.31   -26.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.15    59.75R   24.94  
West_Ham         9    6  -10      36.88     7.73   -26.03     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.53    43.18R   14.96  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 25 October 2010, Leeds_United vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              13   29  +21      81.94     9.03    32.51    27.13    50.81    87.22    60.33P    0.02R    0.00  
Cardiff          13   29  +14      85.85     9.07    32.29    45.23    67.16    93.36    74.83P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea          13   23   +5      71.46     8.75    10.03     3.43    10.42    47.61    19.41P    0.43R    0.06  
Norwich          13   23   +4      68.82     9.48     4.63     2.65     7.81    36.71    14.18P    1.57R    0.21  
Watford          13   21   +7      67.44     9.32     8.21     2.01     6.10    32.30    11.70P    2.24R    0.38  
Coventry         13   21   +4      62.17     8.86    -2.32     0.36     1.45    13.88     3.77P    6.23R    1.15  
Burnley          13   20   +6      70.80     9.65    14.34     4.63    12.19    46.67    21.65P    1.06R    0.17  
Reading          13   19   +7      73.02     9.11    20.47     5.96    15.96    56.42    28.39P    0.34R    0.03  
Millwall         13   19   +3      62.14     9.21    -0.17     0.46     1.67    14.91     4.35P    6.95R    1.39  
Nott'm_Forest    13   19   +3      68.28     8.94     9.30     1.96     6.25    34.54    13.61P    1.35R    0.19  
Doncaster        13   19   +1      62.15     8.98    -2.15     0.35     1.45    14.33     4.08P    6.54R    1.32  
Derby            13   18   +5      61.80     9.07     2.23     0.44     1.68    14.26     4.29P    6.80R    1.34  
Portsmouth       13   18   +1      71.12     9.46    13.05     4.17    12.03    47.47    22.64P    0.91R    0.14  
Ipswich          13   18   +0      63.24     8.90     0.14     0.46     1.83    16.80     5.00P    4.89R    0.85  
Scunthorpe       13   17   +0      56.02     9.01   -10.94     0.09     0.31     4.60     1.03P   20.46R    5.76  
Leeds_United     13   17   -6      56.68     9.34   -15.73     0.14     0.49     5.64     1.47P   20.06R    6.10  
Barnsley         13   15   -7      52.41     8.87   -19.83     0.03     0.09     1.84     0.35P   34.55R   12.06  
Sheff_Utd        13   15   -8      61.04     8.80    -6.61     0.22     0.96    10.90     3.21P    7.96R    1.70  
Hull             13   13   -8      56.75     9.28   -10.00     0.08     0.37     5.55     1.61P   19.01R    5.68  
Preston          13   13   -9      51.87     9.00   -20.87     0.02     0.10     1.72     0.36P   36.87R   14.34  
Leicester        13   12  -11      57.85     9.02   -10.19     0.10     0.45     6.29     1.80P   15.39R    4.08  
Middlesbrough    13   11  -10      56.97     8.95    -8.78     0.07     0.34     5.14     1.53P   17.04R    4.90  
Crystal_Palace   13   11  -11      51.71     8.84   -17.69     0.01     0.06     1.38     0.31P   36.69R   13.37  
Bristol_City     13   10  -11      48.18     8.71   -21.90     0.01     0.02     0.45     0.11P   52.65R   24.75  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 October 2010, Brentford vs Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         13   28  +13      78.34     9.13    20.61    20.37    35.56    73.37    43.78P    0.07R    0.00  
Bournemouth      13   22  +12      70.88     9.63    17.25     6.07    13.59    44.13    20.23P    1.39R    0.08  
Peterborough     13   22   +5      73.12     9.82    13.97    10.05    19.40    52.08    27.21P    0.90R    0.04  
Sheff_Wed        13   21   +9      77.88     9.34    26.14    20.35    35.73    72.18    47.57P    0.16R    0.01  
Huddersfield     13   20   +5      73.92     9.22    18.30    10.26    20.67    56.67    30.42P    0.50R    0.02  
Colchester       13   20   +2      69.59     9.08     8.43     3.94     9.29    36.88    16.09P    1.50R    0.07  
MK_Dons          13   20   +0      66.99     9.11     2.52     2.10     5.44    26.44     9.85P    2.98R    0.18  
Carlisle         13   19   +6      67.39     9.15    10.67     2.56     6.45    29.20    11.65P    2.68R    0.18  
Rochdale         13   19   +5      62.53     9.60     2.01     1.00     2.80    15.59     5.51P    8.88R    0.88  
Charlton         13   19   -2      71.21     9.25     8.40     5.85    12.83    43.65    21.27P    1.09R    0.06  
Exeter           13   19   -2      55.95     8.58   -14.65     0.08     0.31     3.17     0.75P   23.81R    3.07  
Bristol_Rovers   13   19   -2      60.72     8.98    -7.39     0.50     1.37     9.58     2.89P   11.30R    0.94  
Oldham           13   18   +2      62.49     8.98     1.23     0.65     1.95    13.57     4.22P    7.49R    0.72  
Southampton      13   18   +2      75.45     9.02    20.22    12.69    25.10    63.13    37.80P    0.25R    0.01  
Swindon          13   16   -1      64.16     9.23     3.18     1.22     3.30    18.72     6.93P    5.85R    0.46  
Notts_County     13   16   -3      58.96     9.50    -6.76     0.36     1.04     8.23     2.47P   16.86R    2.10  
Plymouth         13   16   -5      65.37     9.44     1.15     1.73     4.22    21.84     8.51P    5.22R    0.46  
Hartlepool       13   16   -6      55.11     8.93   -15.91     0.07     0.24     3.03     0.72P   28.27R    4.59  
Brentford        13   15   -3      56.84     8.76    -7.41     0.07     0.38     4.20     1.12P   20.53R    2.68  
Yeovil           13   14  -10      50.51     8.61   -22.88     0.01     0.06     0.78     0.17P   47.82R   11.16  
Leyton_Orient    13   13   -3      52.65     8.86   -11.04     0.04     0.15     1.71     0.44P   36.40R    6.87  
Tranmere         13   13   -8      50.65     8.73   -19.28     0.02     0.05     0.88     0.21P   46.58R   10.60  
Walsall          13   11   -7      49.90     8.88   -17.00     0.01     0.05     0.86     0.19P   49.38R   11.88  
Dag_&_Red        13   11   -9      42.43     8.78   -31.77     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.03P   80.11R   42.97  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 October 2010, Barnet vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         13   28  +12      80.87     9.25    23.47    29.78    60.78    87.45    67.30P    0.01R    0.00  
Port_Vale            13   25  +10      76.37     8.94    19.05    14.33    41.00    76.03    49.94P    0.01R    0.00  
Bury                 13   25   +8      74.58     9.12    14.46    10.66    33.49    68.63    41.49P    0.04R    0.01  
Rotherham            13   23   +7      73.28     9.09    14.51     8.46    28.68    63.96    37.58P    0.06R    0.01  
Shrewsbury           13   21   +7      72.90     9.10    16.89     8.00    27.72    62.80    36.99P    0.09R    0.03  
Wycombe              13   21   +6      75.67     9.48    20.10    14.05    39.54    73.02    49.63P    0.08R    0.03  
Crewe                13   19  +12      70.58     9.45    21.61     6.21    21.70    54.00    30.37P    0.26R    0.07  
Stevenage            13   18   +3      62.07     9.19     1.57     0.77     4.41    19.66     7.87P    2.47R    0.82  
Aldershot            13   18   -1      64.00     9.09     0.16     1.17     6.02    24.96    10.09P    1.51R    0.50  
Cheltenham           13   18   -5      58.33     9.00   -13.22     0.23     1.51     9.87     2.98P    6.32R    2.39  
Oxford_Utd           13   17   +5      59.36     9.05     1.60     0.36     2.40    12.87     4.81P    4.40R    1.58  
Burton_Albion        13   17   +4      60.15     9.08     0.19     0.47     2.87    14.84     5.46P    3.79R    1.25  
Torquay              13   17   +3      64.43     9.17     6.15     1.40     7.00    27.62    11.94P    1.36R    0.48  
Accrington_Stanley   13   16   +3      58.52     9.13    -1.78     0.25     1.95    11.14     3.75P    5.66R    2.13  
Gillingham           13   15   -2      62.79     9.48     1.79     1.04     5.40    22.57    10.02P    2.65R    0.89  
Stockport            13   15   -4      57.21     9.42    -8.93     0.25     1.63     9.19     3.38P    8.24R    3.43  
Macclesfield         13   15   -5      53.18     8.72   -15.61     0.03     0.37     3.23     0.86P   15.40R    6.53  
Southend             13   14   -3      65.91     9.50     6.97     2.07    10.03    33.69    17.29P    1.15R    0.38  
Morecambe            13   14   -8      57.07     9.06   -11.83     0.12     1.12     7.81     2.47P    8.16R    3.31  
Bradford             13   14   -8      56.41     8.90   -12.09     0.12     0.94     6.50     2.15P    8.81R    3.58  
Lincoln_City         13   12   -8      48.31     8.39   -20.00     0.00     0.05     0.70     0.18P   31.60R   16.21  
Barnet               13   12  -12      45.45     8.53   -30.49     0.00     0.02     0.40     0.06P   47.42R   28.20  
Northampton          13   10   -9      57.18     9.17    -6.17     0.20     1.34     8.54     3.27P    7.77R    3.10  
Hereford             13   10  -15      46.40     8.69   -28.39     0.00     0.04     0.50     0.12P   42.73R   25.07  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 October 2010, Luton vs Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      16   35  +15      84.50     8.35    28.18    22.68    83.52    37.05P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       16   33  +12      78.96     8.27    19.72     7.69    62.53    19.11P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              16   30  +15      89.69     7.78    45.71    53.05    95.47    69.88P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     16   30  +11      75.07     8.89    17.13     4.15    44.65    11.83P    0.03R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     16   27   +8      69.51     8.75    10.13     1.13    22.28     5.16P    0.25R    0.02  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   16   27   +5      77.57     8.01    20.07     5.67    56.88    20.15P    0.00R    0.00  
Mansfield          16   24   +8      72.45     8.35    19.71     1.90    34.00     9.57P    0.08R    0.00  
Wrexham            16   24   +6      70.24     8.13    14.06     1.01    23.47     6.21P    0.07R    0.00  
Grimsby            16   23   +1      71.58     8.51    12.76     1.66    29.20     9.10P    0.14R    0.01  
Kidderminster      16   23   -2      66.22     8.32     0.92     0.33    11.39     2.58P    0.63R    0.05  
Gateshead          16   22   -2      56.55     7.95   -12.44     0.01     0.97     0.16P    7.06R    0.96  
Kettering          16   21   -2      64.28     8.10     1.41     0.14     7.28     1.62P    0.91R    0.07  
Darlington         16   20   +3      67.40     8.39    12.53     0.41    15.33     4.57P    0.37R    0.02  
Tamworth           16   20   -4      56.58     8.05   -11.54     0.01     1.00     0.13P    7.55R    1.18  
Eastbourne_Boro    16   19   -4      52.75     8.09   -18.80     0.00     0.36     0.03P   16.71R    3.24  
York               16   18   -4      61.47     8.16    -0.26     0.06     3.95     0.93P    2.06R    0.22  
Histon             16   18   -9      51.89     8.04   -20.95     0.00     0.26     0.04P   19.56R    4.01  
Cambridge_Utd      16   17   +1      63.30     8.28     9.16     0.11     6.73     1.77P    1.29R    0.14  
Southport          16   17   -3      51.08     8.39   -13.64     0.00     0.28     0.05P   22.27R    5.13  
Hayes_&_Yeading    16   17  -12      47.23     7.93   -31.83     0.00     0.03     0.01P   40.77R   12.20  
Bath_City          15   16   -5      50.93     8.69   -17.84     0.00     0.32     0.05P   24.62R    6.29  
Barrow             16   15   -4      48.92     7.90   -16.06     0.00     0.07     0.02P   29.45R    7.29  
Forest_Green       16   11  -16      41.71     7.93   -34.55     0.00     0.01     0.00P   66.79R   33.18  
Altrincham         15   10  -18      43.36     8.07   -33.57     0.00     0.01     0.00P   59.40R   25.98