Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 24 October 2010 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 24 October 2010, Liverpool vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          9   22  +23      88.72     6.74    69.43    77.76    94.81    99.26    99.88   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          9   17  +11      75.79     7.85    42.98     7.76    39.78    78.57    91.24    98.14     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          9   17   +8      78.73     7.24    45.51    13.93    58.28    87.80    96.09    99.44     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         9   17   +4      64.70     8.01    15.92     0.39     4.41    17.43    46.87    78.03     0.01R    0.00  
Tottenham        9   15   +3      58.51     8.00     8.08     0.06     1.01     5.44    18.00    50.00     0.22R    0.02  
West_Brom        9   15   -2      51.96     8.56    -7.11     0.01     0.20     1.27     5.57    21.34     2.81R    0.39  
Sunderland       9   12   +1      47.62     7.65    -6.10     0.00     0.01     0.19     1.24     8.22     5.40R    0.72  
Bolton           9   12   +0      45.09     7.80   -12.22     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.83     5.17    10.08R    1.83  
Newcastle        9   11   +1      48.91     8.48    -3.06     0.00     0.08     0.58     2.85    13.38     5.19R    0.83  
Aston_Villa      9   11   -4      52.50     7.97    -2.18     0.01     0.18     1.24     5.31    21.85     1.63R    0.22  
Everton          9   10   +1      55.91     7.91     9.75     0.02     0.40     2.77    11.22    38.01     0.51R    0.06  
Birmingham       9   10   -2      41.70     7.48   -14.37     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.19     1.78    19.18R    4.08  
Stoke            9   10   -3      41.95     7.57   -15.31     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.21     2.03    18.68R    3.92  
Blackpool        9   10   -7      36.99     7.92   -31.13     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.69    44.31R   15.70  
Wigan            9   10   -9      33.46     6.99   -38.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    63.68R   27.82  
Fulham           9    9   -1      44.63     7.62    -7.68     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.59     4.19    10.23R    1.69  
Blackburn        9    9   -2      43.50     7.76   -11.42     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.42     3.24    14.22R    2.92  
Liverpool        9    9   -5      59.06     7.88    10.21     0.07     0.82     5.10    19.34    53.80     0.17R    0.03  
Wolverhampton    9    6   -7      33.60     7.28   -26.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13    60.44R   25.19  
West_Ham         9    6  -10      36.86     7.68   -26.10     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.50    43.24R   14.58  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 October 2010, Burnley vs Reading; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              13   29  +21      81.83     8.95    32.27    32.09    53.76    87.63    62.57P    0.01R    0.00  
Cardiff          12   26  +10      82.29     9.33    25.08    33.52    54.32    86.67    63.32P    0.02R    0.00  
Swansea          13   23   +5      71.35     8.76    10.00     4.22    11.63    48.19    20.63P    0.55R    0.06  
Norwich          13   23   +4      68.71     9.40     4.47     3.30     8.57    37.05    14.83P    1.76R    0.28  
Watford          13   21   +7      67.56     9.35     8.53     2.79     7.34    33.59    12.98P    2.22R    0.39  
Coventry         13   21   +5      62.25     8.85    -0.94     0.56     1.87    14.91     4.38P    6.12R    1.19  
Burnley          13   20   +6      70.69     9.71    14.12     5.56    13.52    47.39    22.57P    1.30R    0.21  
Reading          13   19   +7      72.72     9.16    19.94     7.14    17.38    56.24    29.23P    0.43R    0.05  
Nott'm_Forest    13   19   +3      68.34     8.91     9.42     2.44     7.19    36.26    14.92P    1.46R    0.21  
Millwall         13   19   +2      61.44     9.20    -2.05     0.46     1.65    13.57     3.99P    8.52R    2.03  
Doncaster        13   19   +1      62.28     8.95    -1.85     0.55     1.86    15.03     4.52P    6.51R    1.30  
Derby            13   18   +5      61.69     8.93     2.34     0.47     1.76    14.36     4.31P    6.97R    1.42  
Portsmouth       13   18   +1      70.98     9.47    12.82     5.36    13.28    47.85    23.73P    0.99R    0.13  
Scunthorpe       13   17   +0      55.99     8.97   -10.72     0.11     0.38     4.65     1.10P   21.24R    6.18  
Leeds_United     12   17   -2      60.16     9.60    -8.04     0.55     1.67    11.81     3.82P   12.16R    3.23  
Ipswich          13   16   -2      60.36     8.81    -3.01     0.22     1.05    10.37     3.07P    9.34R    2.07  
Barnsley         13   15   -8      51.95     8.73   -21.40     0.02     0.08     1.59     0.34P   37.48R   14.10  
Sheff_Utd        13   15   -8      60.90     8.80    -6.76     0.28     1.06    10.92     3.39P    8.87R    2.09  
Hull             13   13   -8      56.45     9.20   -10.33     0.10     0.40     5.26     1.54P   20.55R    6.54  
Preston          13   13   -9      51.85     8.98   -20.81     0.02     0.12     1.79     0.41P   37.90R   15.28  
Leicester        13   12  -11      57.90     9.05   -10.06     0.12     0.53     6.61     2.02P   16.27R    4.55  
Bristol_City     13   11   -9      49.80     8.80   -18.65     0.01     0.04     0.96     0.21P   46.30R   20.35  
Middlesbrough    13   11   -9      57.45     8.84    -6.99     0.10     0.46     5.73     1.71P   16.17R    4.41  
Crystal_Palace   13   11  -11      51.85     8.78   -17.37     0.01     0.07     1.56     0.39P   36.88R   13.93  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 October 2010, Brentford vs Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         13   28  +13      78.36     9.15    20.63    20.40    35.83    73.57    44.08P    0.10R    0.00  
Bournemouth      13   22  +12      70.57     9.63    16.88     5.90    12.87    42.93    19.36P    1.48R    0.08  
Peterborough     13   22   +5      72.63     9.87    13.14     9.40    18.48    50.37    25.67P    1.16R    0.09  
Sheff_Wed        13   21   +9      78.25     9.37    26.61    21.77    37.38    73.54    49.29P    0.15R    0.00  
Huddersfield     13   20   +5      73.92     9.23    18.32    10.25    20.80    56.91    30.55P    0.54R    0.03  
Colchester       13   20   +2      69.54     9.13     8.43     4.08     9.45    36.77    16.12P    1.57R    0.09  
MK_Dons          13   20   +0      66.92     9.12     2.40     2.13     5.46    26.14     9.84P    3.17R    0.21  
Carlisle         13   19   +6      67.52     9.17    10.83     2.59     6.59    29.95    11.97P    2.55R    0.19  
Rochdale         13   19   +5      62.33     9.58     1.65     1.11     2.76    15.15     5.27P    9.22R    0.91  
Charlton         13   19   -2      71.19     9.19     8.37     5.54    12.58    43.61    20.92P    1.17R    0.06  
Exeter           13   19   -2      55.85     8.70   -14.71     0.07     0.30     3.23     0.74P   24.82R    3.42  
Bristol_Rovers   13   19   -2      60.84     9.06    -7.27     0.49     1.43    10.14     3.13P   11.18R    1.08  
Oldham           13   18   +2      62.42     8.98     1.16     0.68     1.98    13.51     4.26P    7.61R    0.67  
Southampton      13   18   +2      75.37     8.97    20.04    12.30    24.59    62.99    37.44P    0.28R    0.01  
Swindon          13   16   -1      64.07     9.26     3.05     1.19     3.29    18.65     6.96P    6.08R    0.50  
Notts_County     13   16   -3      59.28     9.47    -6.26     0.37     1.14     8.44     2.67P   15.91R    2.02  
Plymouth         13   16   -5      65.32     9.42     1.06     1.43     4.04    22.14     8.65P    5.34R    0.44  
Hartlepool       13   16   -6      55.08     8.94   -15.92     0.08     0.28     3.10     0.80P   28.29R    4.70  
Brentford        13   15   -3      57.10     8.75    -7.04     0.13     0.42     4.34     1.23P   19.72R    2.60  
Yeovil           13   14  -10      50.53     8.62   -22.84     0.01     0.06     0.85     0.17P   48.15R   11.08  
Leyton_Orient    13   13   -3      52.80     8.86   -10.83     0.04     0.15     1.79     0.44P   35.92R    6.63  
Tranmere         13   13   -8      50.80     8.71   -18.95     0.01     0.04     0.95     0.18P   46.23R   10.15  
Walsall          13   11   -7      49.83     8.90   -17.06     0.01     0.06     0.81     0.23P   49.74R   12.43  
Dag_&_Red        13   11   -9      42.46     8.90   -31.66     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.03P   79.61R   42.60  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 October 2010, Barnet vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         13   28  +12      80.98     9.31    23.65    30.30    61.26    87.57    67.64P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            13   25  +10      76.38     8.90    19.01    13.93    40.87    76.18    49.91P    0.01R    0.00  
Bury                 13   25   +8      74.30     9.13    14.06    10.36    32.17    67.59    40.34P    0.05R    0.01  
Rotherham            13   23   +7      73.62     9.14    15.00     8.90    30.05    65.08    39.03P    0.07R    0.01  
Shrewsbury           13   21   +7      72.71     9.09    16.61     7.48    26.74    62.27    36.06P    0.10R    0.02  
Wycombe              13   21   +6      76.09     9.40    20.63    14.98    40.94    74.21    51.20P    0.05R    0.01  
Crewe                13   19  +12      70.41     9.49    21.37     5.74    21.37    53.60    30.09P    0.35R    0.10  
Stevenage            13   18   +3      62.27     9.28     1.86     0.92     4.90    20.52     8.53P    2.28R    0.79  
Aldershot            13   18   -1      63.93     8.98     0.05     0.96     5.53    24.47     9.72P    1.59R    0.52  
Cheltenham           13   18   -5      58.00     9.01   -13.69     0.19     1.41     9.06     2.75P    6.81R    2.76  
Oxford_Utd           13   17   +5      59.27     9.02     1.35     0.35     2.30    12.65     4.50P    4.56R    1.64  
Burton_Albion        13   17   +4      60.38     9.16     0.59     0.47     3.14    15.55     5.70P    3.62R    1.25  
Torquay              13   17   +3      64.43     9.19     6.11     1.35     6.95    27.40    11.74P    1.42R    0.46  
Accrington_Stanley   13   16   +3      58.55     9.22    -1.75     0.30     2.08    11.54     3.97P    5.78R    2.22  
Gillingham           13   15   -2      62.79     9.51     1.73     0.98     5.37    22.78    10.14P    2.59R    0.87  
Stockport            13   15   -4      57.09     9.34    -9.11     0.28     1.53     8.70     3.06P    8.11R    3.28  
Macclesfield         13   15   -5      53.21     8.80   -15.56     0.05     0.45     3.36     0.92P   15.34R    6.69  
Southend             13   14   -3      65.74     9.55     6.69     2.09     9.71    33.11    16.66P    1.29R    0.45  
Morecambe            13   14   -8      57.19     9.10   -11.64     0.11     1.11     8.15     2.53P    8.24R    3.33  
Bradford             13   14   -8      56.49     8.79   -12.04     0.09     0.82     6.34     1.98P    8.48R    3.38  
Lincoln_City         13   12   -8      48.32     8.44   -19.93     0.00     0.06     0.74     0.17P   32.01R   16.30  
Barnet               13   12  -12      45.40     8.47   -30.48     0.00     0.02     0.41     0.08P   47.72R   28.55  
Northampton          13   10   -9      57.09     9.07    -6.32     0.15     1.17     8.23     3.15P    7.73R    3.04  
Hereford             13   10  -15      46.52     8.64   -28.20     0.00     0.03     0.48     0.13P   41.79R   24.33  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 October 2010, Luton vs Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      16   35  +15      84.43     8.36    28.06    22.21    83.50    36.77P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       16   33  +12      78.94     8.28    19.69     7.70    62.70    18.71P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton              16   30  +15      89.71     7.83    45.76    52.98    95.39    69.58P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     16   30  +11      74.88     8.89    16.80     4.11    43.81    11.66P    0.04R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     16   27   +8      69.25     8.72     9.73     1.09    21.13     4.79P    0.29R    0.02  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   16   27   +5      77.70     8.07    20.21     6.09    57.58    20.95P    0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield          16   24   +8      72.53     8.31    19.86     1.96    34.25     9.70P    0.04R    0.00  
Wrexham            16   24   +6      70.20     8.07    14.02     1.01    23.60     6.49P    0.07R    0.01  
Grimsby            16   23   +1      71.64     8.53    12.83     1.66    29.78     9.05P    0.11R    0.01  
Kidderminster      16   23   -2      66.05     8.30     0.63     0.33    10.85     2.37P    0.64R    0.07  
Gateshead          16   22   -2      56.56     7.84   -12.39     0.01     0.89     0.11P    6.94R    0.97  
Kettering          16   21   -2      64.27     8.07     1.39     0.16     7.14     1.63P    0.80R    0.06  
Darlington         16   20   +3      67.65     8.39    12.92     0.52    16.28     4.98P    0.38R    0.03  
Tamworth           16   20   -4      56.68     8.05   -11.42     0.00     0.98     0.12P    7.29R    1.15  
Eastbourne_Boro    16   19   -4      52.72     8.08   -18.77     0.00     0.35     0.04P   16.88R    3.26  
York               16   18   -4      61.62     8.16    -0.05     0.05     4.10     1.00P    2.06R    0.19  
Histon             16   18   -9      51.62     8.01   -21.43     0.00     0.19     0.03P   20.37R    4.32  
Cambridge_Utd      16   17   +1      63.26     8.29     9.14     0.12     6.61     1.85P    1.43R    0.12  
Southport          16   17   -3      51.12     8.40   -13.59     0.00     0.32     0.08P   22.51R    5.38  
Hayes_&_Yeading    16   17  -12      47.25     7.91   -31.69     0.00     0.05     0.01P   40.66R   11.89  
Bath_City          15   16   -5      50.88     8.74   -17.93     0.00     0.41     0.06P   24.87R    6.26  
Barrow             16   15   -4      49.08     7.90   -15.83     0.00     0.09     0.01P   28.89R    7.05  
Forest_Green       16   11  -16      41.69     7.96   -34.64     0.00     0.01     0.00P   67.05R   33.70  
Altrincham         15   10  -18      43.47     8.02   -33.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.67R   25.51