Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 23 October 2010 at 21:15:02 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 October 2010, Birmingham vs Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          9   22  +23      88.44     6.81    68.95    80.16    95.61    99.19    99.86    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         8   17   +7      67.43     8.22    21.41     1.39    11.23    32.76    60.53    85.80     0.01R    0.00  
Tottenham        9   15   +3      58.61     7.98     8.37     0.09     1.47     6.29    17.64    50.53     0.18R    0.01  
West_Brom        9   15   -2      51.75     8.50    -7.45     0.01     0.22     1.44     4.96    20.11     2.91R    0.38  
Arsenal          8   14   +8      72.69     8.10    37.31     4.75    29.90    64.02    82.96    95.46     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          8   14   +7      77.66     7.48    45.24    13.48    59.52    84.64    94.48    99.20     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       9   12   +1      47.68     7.72    -6.06     0.00     0.03     0.22     1.20     8.28     5.79R    0.85  
Bolton           9   12   +0      44.97     7.71   -12.50     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.71     4.71    10.68R    1.95  
Newcastle        9   11   +1      49.05     8.37    -2.80     0.01     0.11     0.76     2.75    13.12     4.84R    0.75  
Aston_Villa      9   11   -4      52.64     7.93    -1.97     0.01     0.21     1.47     5.51    21.91     1.55R    0.14  
Everton          9   10   +1      55.96     7.93     9.93     0.02     0.57     3.36    11.18    38.28     0.61R    0.06  
Birmingham       9   10   -2      41.55     7.47   -14.61     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.21     1.67    20.15R    4.27  
Stoke            8   10   -2      42.68     7.74   -15.22     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.32     2.61    17.15R    3.52  
Blackpool        9   10   -7      37.09     7.82   -31.02     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.57    43.99R   15.26  
Wigan            9   10   -9      33.40     7.00   -38.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    64.65R   28.52  
Fulham           9    9   -1      44.68     7.60    -7.63     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.51     4.07    10.36R    1.83  
Blackburn        8    9   -1      44.19     7.86   -11.37     0.00     0.02     0.12     0.57     4.11    13.13R    2.57  
Liverpool        8    6   -6      58.17     8.15    10.40     0.07     1.09     5.44    16.50    48.87     0.36R    0.04  
Wolverhampton    9    6   -7      33.74     7.33   -26.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13    60.34R   25.15  
West_Ham         9    6  -10      36.93     7.67   -25.97     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.49    43.30R   14.70  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 October 2010, Burnley vs Reading; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              13   29  +21      81.46     8.99    31.73    30.75    52.18    86.48    61.15P    0.02R    0.00  
Cardiff          12   26  +10      82.32     9.32    25.13    34.23    54.51    86.98    63.44P    0.03R    0.00  
Swansea          13   23   +5      71.36     8.70     9.98     4.39    11.84    48.23    20.66P    0.49R    0.05  
Norwich          13   23   +4      68.42     9.42     4.06     3.11     8.38    36.11    14.53P    1.84R    0.25  
Watford          13   21   +7      67.45     9.24     8.31     2.61     7.15    33.18    12.96P    2.12R    0.34  
Coventry         13   21   +5      62.40     8.79    -0.76     0.51     1.85    15.10     4.45P    5.93R    1.13  
Burnley          13   20   +6      70.80     9.64    14.30     5.79    14.04    47.63    23.13P    1.10R    0.18  
Reading          13   19   +7      72.99     9.05    20.37     7.65    18.12    57.67    29.96P    0.42R    0.05  
Nott'm_Forest    13   19   +3      68.37     8.87     9.49     2.51     7.26    35.92    14.94P    1.44R    0.23  
Millwall         13   19   +2      61.57     9.21    -1.75     0.51     1.78    14.05     4.29P    8.30R    1.84  
Doncaster        13   19   +0      61.71     8.87    -3.65     0.45     1.62    13.44     3.97P    7.33R    1.43  
Derby            13   18   +5      61.64     8.93     2.32     0.49     1.74    14.17     4.24P    7.02R    1.52  
Portsmouth       13   18   +1      71.04     9.40    12.90     5.36    13.49    48.20    23.87P    1.00R    0.15  
Scunthorpe       13   17   +0      55.78     8.94   -11.07     0.09     0.38     4.57     1.07P   21.90R    6.47  
Leeds_United     12   17   -2      60.18     9.66    -7.99     0.57     1.68    12.08     3.85P   12.29R    3.34  
Ipswich          13   16   -2      60.42     8.95    -2.92     0.26     1.02    10.86     3.19P    9.56R    2.26  
Barnsley         13   15   -8      52.09     8.78   -21.15     0.02     0.10     1.73     0.37P   36.87R   13.98  
Sheff_Utd        13   15   -8      60.91     8.86    -6.80     0.31     1.10    11.16     3.49P    8.89R    2.11  
Hull             13   13   -7      56.99     9.25    -8.46     0.13     0.56     5.92     1.88P   18.91R    5.72  
Preston          13   13   -9      51.94     8.98   -20.56     0.03     0.13     1.78     0.42P   37.69R   15.20  
Leicester        13   12  -11      57.79     8.95   -10.22     0.12     0.47     6.35     1.76P   16.13R    4.48  
Bristol_City     13   11   -9      49.91     8.75   -18.48     0.00     0.05     0.91     0.23P   45.70R   19.80  
Middlesbrough    13   11   -9      57.45     8.97    -6.98     0.09     0.47     5.97     1.80P   16.69R    4.79  
Crystal_Palace   13   11  -11      51.55     8.76   -17.81     0.01     0.09     1.51     0.37P   38.34R   14.68  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 October 2010, Brentford vs Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         13   28  +13      78.40     9.09    20.71    20.32    35.79    73.62    44.07P    0.09R    0.01  
Bournemouth      13   22  +12      70.74     9.66    17.15     6.15    13.12    43.60    19.72P    1.51R    0.09  
Peterborough     13   22   +5      73.09     9.80    13.88    10.04    19.46    51.91    27.19P    0.89R    0.06  
Sheff_Wed        13   21   +9      77.84     9.32    26.02    19.80    35.12    72.27    47.17P    0.20R    0.01  
Huddersfield     13   20   +5      73.84     9.26    18.19    10.08    20.32    55.95    29.61P    0.44R    0.03  
Colchester       13   20   +2      69.60     9.03     8.39     3.91     9.24    36.81    15.87P    1.51R    0.05  
MK_Dons          13   20   +0      66.99     9.21     2.55     2.36     5.76    26.65    10.24P    3.21R    0.21  
Carlisle         13   19   +6      67.49     9.11    10.81     2.65     6.44    29.30    11.60P    2.60R    0.16  
Rochdale         13   19   +5      62.70     9.53     2.21     1.10     2.85    15.63     5.48P    8.37R    0.77  
Charlton         13   19   -2      71.49     9.29     8.80     6.23    13.43    44.75    22.10P    1.09R    0.04  
Exeter           13   19   -2      56.07     8.65   -14.45     0.09     0.36     3.30     0.79P   23.66R    3.03  
Bristol_Rovers   13   19   -2      60.72     8.94    -7.46     0.38     1.28     9.42     2.79P   11.07R    0.99  
Oldham           13   18   +2      62.32     9.00     1.01     0.64     1.84    13.17     4.07P    7.65R    0.70  
Southampton      13   18   +2      75.47     9.04    20.24    12.69    25.27    63.27    37.97P    0.29R    0.01  
Swindon          13   16   -1      64.04     9.26     3.09     1.20     3.14    18.29     6.75P    5.96R    0.48  
Notts_County     13   16   -3      58.81     9.48    -6.97     0.36     1.11     7.68     2.51P   17.09R    2.38  
Plymouth         13   16   -5      65.53     9.49     1.39     1.73     4.46    22.62     9.00P    4.92R    0.40  
Hartlepool       13   16   -6      55.21     8.92   -15.74     0.09     0.31     3.08     0.85P   27.37R    4.41  
Brentford        13   15   -3      56.92     8.85    -7.26     0.10     0.40     4.33     1.23P   20.39R    2.67  
Yeovil           13   14  -10      50.47     8.67   -23.04     0.01     0.04     0.87     0.19P   48.22R   10.95  
Leyton_Orient    13   13   -3      52.59     8.85   -11.11     0.04     0.14     1.69     0.39P   36.66R    6.63  
Tranmere         13   13   -8      50.81     8.77   -18.98     0.01     0.05     0.94     0.20P   45.80R   10.12  
Walsall          13   11   -7      49.59     8.84   -17.39     0.01     0.06     0.78     0.19P   50.81R   12.29  
Dag_&_Red        13   11   -9      42.25     8.81   -32.03     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.02P   80.18R   43.50  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 October 2010, Barnet vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         13   28  +12      80.86     9.38    23.40    30.18    60.99    86.94    67.23P    0.01R    0.00  
Port_Vale            13   25  +10      76.29     8.85    18.93    13.92    40.74    76.09    49.85P    0.02R    0.00  
Bury                 13   25   +8      74.49     9.03    14.31    10.45    33.21    68.68    41.44P    0.06R    0.01  
Rotherham            13   23   +7      73.29     9.10    14.49     8.39    28.94    63.76    37.69P    0.08R    0.02  
Shrewsbury           13   21   +7      72.66     9.13    16.57     7.72    26.79    62.02    36.05P    0.14R    0.04  
Wycombe              13   21   +6      75.78     9.45    20.20    14.66    39.80    73.20    49.68P    0.06R    0.02  
Crewe                13   19  +12      70.52     9.50    21.53     6.02    21.82    53.83    30.50P    0.27R    0.07  
Stevenage            13   18   +3      62.19     9.25     1.71     0.95     4.73    20.10     8.31P    2.46R    0.87  
Aldershot            13   18   -1      63.87     9.00    -0.04     0.99     5.73    24.23     9.85P    1.60R    0.52  
Cheltenham           13   18   -5      58.30     9.03   -13.24     0.20     1.58     9.79     3.01P    6.48R    2.48  
Oxford_Utd           13   17   +5      59.30     9.04     1.50     0.37     2.31    12.60     4.61P    4.47R    1.62  
Burton_Albion        13   17   +4      60.40     9.19     0.61     0.54     3.20    15.56     5.86P    3.72R    1.30  
Torquay              13   17   +3      64.57     9.18     6.31     1.45     7.29    28.11    12.29P    1.38R    0.45  
Accrington_Stanley   13   16   +3      58.57     9.14    -1.69     0.28     1.93    11.32     3.80P    5.61R    2.07  
Gillingham           13   15   -2      62.99     9.52     2.06     1.14     5.85    23.28    10.54P    2.50R    0.87  
Stockport            13   15   -4      57.19     9.45    -8.95     0.25     1.63     9.21     3.37P    8.31R    3.52  
Macclesfield         13   15   -5      53.23     8.71   -15.56     0.03     0.31     3.24     0.82P   15.04R    6.55  
Southend             13   14   -3      65.73     9.51     6.69     1.95     9.60    33.27    16.80P    1.37R    0.41  
Morecambe            13   14   -8      57.16     9.08   -11.64     0.18     1.23     8.04     2.65P    7.97R    3.17  
Bradford             13   14   -8      56.63     8.96   -11.84     0.16     1.02     6.94     2.35P    8.61R    3.48  
Lincoln_City         13   12   -8      48.19     8.39   -20.12     0.00     0.04     0.72     0.17P   32.35R   16.29  
Barnet               13   12  -12      45.36     8.55   -30.53     0.00     0.02     0.37     0.06P   47.63R   28.56  
Northampton          13   10   -9      57.06     9.10    -6.35     0.15     1.21     8.23     2.95P    7.82R    3.21  
Hereford             13   10  -15      46.45     8.58   -28.33     0.00     0.04     0.46     0.10P   42.03R   24.46  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 October 2010, Luton vs Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      16   35  +15      84.42     8.25    28.05    22.31    83.68    36.44P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       16   33  +12      78.90     8.24    19.58     7.59    62.11    18.72P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton              16   30  +15      89.73     7.84    45.76    53.16    95.48    70.09P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     16   30  +11      75.26     8.93    17.37     4.34    45.60    12.29P    0.05R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     16   27   +8      69.40     8.76     9.98     1.02    21.67     4.96P    0.31R    0.02  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   16   27   +5      77.59     8.02    20.04     5.85    57.14    20.29P    0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield          16   24   +8      72.51     8.32    19.86     1.97    33.86     9.50P    0.07R    0.00  
Wrexham            16   24   +6      70.22     8.10    14.01     0.97    23.52     6.56P    0.09R    0.00  
Grimsby            16   23   +1      71.67     8.53    12.88     1.63    29.78     9.26P    0.13R    0.00  
Kidderminster      16   23   -2      66.12     8.36     0.75     0.34    11.13     2.44P    0.71R    0.07  
Gateshead          16   22   -2      56.32     7.92   -12.75     0.01     0.83     0.11P    7.60R    1.01  
Kettering          16   21   -2      64.24     8.01     1.38     0.12     6.99     1.58P    0.87R    0.07  
Darlington         16   20   +3      67.53     8.34    12.71     0.51    15.53     4.72P    0.34R    0.02  
Tamworth           16   20   -4      56.58     8.05   -11.53     0.01     0.95     0.13P    7.30R    1.13  
Eastbourne_Boro    16   19   -4      52.82     8.06   -18.53     0.00     0.35     0.03P   16.54R    3.27  
York               16   18   -4      61.48     8.16    -0.27     0.06     3.82     0.91P    2.21R    0.23  
Histon             16   18   -9      51.92     8.05   -20.87     0.00     0.26     0.04P   19.50R    4.04  
Cambridge_Utd      16   17   +1      63.27     8.24     9.15     0.11     6.61     1.81P    1.25R    0.13  
Southport          16   17   -3      51.04     8.34   -13.66     0.00     0.27     0.05P   22.41R    5.26  
Hayes_&_Yeading    16   17  -12      47.37     7.90   -31.59     0.00     0.04     0.01P   39.84R   11.51  
Bath_City          15   16   -5      50.77     8.67   -18.08     0.00     0.31     0.05P   24.86R    6.53  
Barrow             16   15   -4      48.86     7.83   -16.13     0.00     0.05     0.01P   29.76R    7.02  
Forest_Green       16   11  -16      41.65     7.95   -34.73     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.23R   33.79  
Altrincham         15   10  -18      43.46     8.07   -33.38     0.00     0.01     0.00    58.93R   25.88