Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 22 October 2010 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 18 October 2010, Blackburn vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          8   19  +21      88.89     6.85    71.89    81.53    96.02    99.20    99.83    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         8   17   +7      67.36     8.20    21.29     1.22    11.08    31.80    58.97    85.44     0.01R    0.00  
Arsenal          8   14   +8      72.74     8.09    37.40     4.32    29.45    63.64    82.18    95.54     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          8   14   +7      77.64     7.51    45.27    12.68    59.11    83.86    93.97    99.06     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        8   14   +3      59.47     8.23     8.99     0.11     1.91     7.93    20.66    53.79     0.21R    0.02  
West_Brom        8   12   -3      49.78     8.88    -9.13     0.01     0.17     1.05     3.73    14.86     5.56R    1.01  
Bolton           8   11   +0      45.62     7.99   -12.26     0.00     0.02     0.21     0.96     5.67    10.37R    1.91  
Aston_Villa      8   11   -3      54.54     8.22    -0.22     0.02     0.49     2.68     8.21    29.68     1.13R    0.11  
Stoke            8   10   -2      42.80     7.78   -15.11     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.33     2.71    17.22R    3.61  
Blackpool        8   10   -5      38.68     8.17   -28.64     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12     1.21    37.22R   12.27  
Everton          8    9   +1      55.75     8.21     9.04     0.04     0.63     3.47    10.78    36.67     0.81R    0.10  
Fulham           8    9   +0      46.12     7.82    -6.53     0.00     0.02     0.16     0.88     5.98     8.29R    1.42  
Sunderland       8    9   +0      45.45     7.94    -8.22     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.70     5.34    10.33R    2.00  
Blackburn        8    9   -1      44.24     7.85   -11.39     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.49     3.77    12.92R    2.60  
Wigan            8    9   -9      33.83     7.28   -38.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11    62.34R   27.67  
Newcastle        8    8   +0      46.69     8.64    -5.10     0.00     0.05     0.41     1.67     8.98     9.36R    1.82  
Birmingham       8    7   -4      39.95     7.68   -16.85     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     1.10    28.06R    7.52  
Wolverhampton    8    6   -5      33.62     7.39   -28.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.16    61.13R   27.13  
Liverpool        8    6   -6      58.26     8.14    10.56     0.08     1.02     5.29    16.26    48.93     0.40R    0.04  
West_Ham         8    6   -9      38.92     8.00   -23.99     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.12     1.00    34.63R   10.78  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 22 October 2010, Bristol_City vs QPR; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              13   29  +21      81.53     8.99    31.78    29.64    51.55    87.09    60.68P    0.01R    0.00  
Cardiff          12   26  +10      82.57     9.41    25.47    34.06    55.07    87.39    64.26P    0.02R    0.00  
Watford          12   21   +9      71.25     9.52    14.35     5.76    14.19    49.83    22.10P    0.91R    0.15  
Burnley          12   20  +10      75.23     9.82    23.26    12.95    26.57    65.87    38.07P    0.37R    0.04  
Norwich          12   20   +3      66.85     9.86     3.04     2.50     6.79    31.63    12.31P    3.25R    0.62  
Swansea          12   20   +3      69.37     8.91     7.47     2.84     8.16    40.03    15.88P    1.08R    0.13  
Derby            12   18   +7      63.59     9.23     5.20     0.92     3.12    20.35     6.65P    4.77R    0.96  
Coventry         12   18   +2      59.92     9.01    -4.99     0.31     1.13    10.47     2.91P   10.18R    2.29  
Leeds_United     12   17   -2      60.18     9.73    -7.99     0.59     1.74    12.13     3.85P   11.96R    3.17  
Reading          12   16   +3      68.37     9.32    11.70     2.99     8.17    37.90    16.58P    1.59R    0.24  
Nott'm_Forest    12   16   +1      66.16     9.17     6.63     1.65     5.00    28.25    11.26P    2.67R    0.47  
Millwall         12   16   +0      59.08     9.39    -5.09     0.26     0.98     9.68     2.74P   13.22R    3.46  
Ipswich          12   16   +0      61.88     9.09    -0.80     0.45     1.72    14.69     4.52P    7.09R    1.51  
Doncaster        12   16   -2      59.36     9.12    -6.75     0.24     1.03     9.53     2.80P   11.68R    2.80  
Portsmouth       12   15   +0      68.51     9.70    10.44     3.30     9.09    38.57    18.09P    1.99R    0.33  
Barnsley         12   15   -5      54.09     8.96   -17.00     0.04     0.20     3.11     0.68P   28.18R    8.86  
Sheff_Utd        12   15   -6      63.33     9.03    -3.23     0.61     2.29    17.70     5.92P    5.29R    1.03  
Scunthorpe       12   14   -2      51.95     9.16   -17.12     0.04     0.12     2.17     0.44P   36.21R   13.49  
Hull             12   13   -6      59.24     9.48    -6.13     0.29     1.00     9.99     3.21P   13.30R    3.73  
Leicester        12   12   -9      59.66     9.24    -7.44     0.27     1.03    10.27     3.21P   11.53R    2.86  
Middlesbrough    12   11   -8      59.09     9.12    -5.62     0.22     0.83     9.03     2.85P   12.57R    3.28  
Bristol_City     13   11   -9      49.73     8.77   -18.67     0.00     0.03     0.89     0.22P   45.17R   19.09  
Crystal_Palace   12   11  -10      53.11     8.96   -16.29     0.03     0.13     2.33     0.53P   31.03R   10.81  
Preston          12   10  -10      49.73     9.14   -22.20     0.01     0.07     1.11     0.24P   45.93R   20.69  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 October 2010, Bournemouth vs MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         12   25  +11      76.25     9.27    17.99    14.42    27.74    65.66    35.92P    0.22R    0.01  
Peterborough     12   22   +6      75.13    10.07    16.02    13.99    25.90    60.26    33.99P    0.59R    0.03  
Bournemouth      12   21  +12      69.98     9.89    15.38     5.77    12.47    40.99    18.55P    1.92R    0.12  
Sheff_Wed        12   20   +9      79.23     9.53    27.45    24.93    41.34    76.71    53.10P    0.13R    0.00  
Huddersfield     12   20   +6      75.56     9.42    19.69    13.60    26.18    63.61    36.19P    0.39R    0.02  
Carlisle         12   19   +7      69.31     9.21    12.49     3.90     9.36    37.20    15.87P    1.61R    0.10  
Exeter           12   19   -1      57.18     8.89   -13.93     0.16     0.54     4.84     1.19P   20.70R    2.57  
Oldham           12   18   +3      63.15     9.11     1.31     0.86     2.46    15.64     5.16P    6.93R    0.52  
Bristol_Rovers   12   18   -2      61.02     9.17    -7.41     0.51     1.53    10.83     3.37P   11.08R    1.08  
Colchester       12   17   +1      68.03     9.33     7.52     2.95     7.18    31.92    13.23P    2.44R    0.13  
MK_Dons          12   17   -1      65.75     9.29     2.12     1.72     4.53    23.37     8.69P    4.44R    0.32  
Rochdale         12   16   +4      61.63     9.77     2.24     0.91     2.44    14.26     4.84P   10.75R    1.22  
Notts_County     12   16   -2      60.59     9.69    -5.22     0.59     1.73    11.51     3.78P   13.13R    1.56  
Charlton         12   16   -3      68.58     9.41     5.86     3.40     8.26    33.84    15.33P    2.48R    0.17  
Southampton      12   15   +1      73.65     9.18    18.80     9.09    19.54    56.31    31.92P    0.49R    0.01  
Swindon          12   15   -1      65.20     9.45     4.24     1.73     4.49    22.78     8.79P    5.05R    0.39  
Hartlepool       12   15   -6      55.83     9.14   -15.20     0.12     0.46     3.92     1.08P   25.82R    4.28  
Yeovil           12   14   -8      51.98     8.83   -20.60     0.04     0.12     1.43     0.33P   41.32R    8.59  
Plymouth         12   13   -6      63.27     9.74    -0.50     1.14     3.05    17.35     6.58P    8.49R    0.94  
Leyton_Orient    12   12   -3      52.42     9.01   -11.78     0.03     0.18     1.90     0.52P   38.05R    7.17  
Brentford        12   12   -4      54.80     8.96    -9.00     0.08     0.28     2.93     0.85P   27.72R    4.61  
Walsall          12   11   -4      52.97     9.10   -11.09     0.06     0.20     2.15     0.60P   35.56R    6.68  
Dag_&_Red        12   11   -8      43.13     8.99   -31.42     0.00     0.02     0.18     0.05P   77.45R   38.88  
Tranmere         12   10  -11      47.00     8.81   -24.97     0.00     0.01     0.40     0.07P   63.23R   20.56  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 October 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         12   25  +11      79.17     9.55    22.32    24.50    53.46    82.46    60.81P    0.02R    0.00  
Port_Vale            12   24  +10      77.17     9.30    19.78    17.37    44.87    77.25    53.12P    0.03R    0.01  
Rotherham            12   23   +8      75.26     9.35    16.46    12.98    36.87    70.42    45.42P    0.04R    0.01  
Bury                 12   22   +7      72.44     9.44    12.69     8.07    26.33    59.05    34.00P    0.12R    0.02  
Shrewsbury           12   21   +8      74.35     9.28    18.03    11.18    33.49    67.54    42.26P    0.07R    0.02  
Wycombe              12   18   +5      73.34     9.66    17.87    10.04    30.65    63.52    40.66P    0.14R    0.03  
Aldershot            12   18   +1      65.59     9.25     2.49     1.72     8.29    30.36    13.08P    1.15R    0.39  
Stevenage            12   17   +3      62.27     9.49     1.26     0.93     5.02    20.63     8.52P    2.62R    0.87  
Cheltenham           12   17   -5      58.25     9.23   -13.90     0.28     1.77     9.90     3.17P    6.32R    2.22  
Crewe                12   16  +10      68.27     9.67    18.49     4.26    16.13    43.83    23.47P    0.62R    0.16  
Torquay              12   16   +3      64.54     9.40     5.82     1.55     7.59    27.94    12.39P    1.47R    0.47  
Accrington_Stanley   12   15   +3      58.96     9.35    -1.56     0.41     2.38    12.20     4.33P    5.32R    2.01  
Macclesfield         12   15   -4      54.94     9.10   -14.08     0.10     0.71     5.07     1.40P   11.79R    4.83  
Oxford_Utd           12   14   +3      56.32     9.18    -2.14     0.19     1.24     7.40     2.61P    8.33R    3.03  
Burton_Albion        12   14   +1      57.52     9.25    -4.24     0.25     1.80     9.46     3.39P    6.75R    2.30  
Gillingham           12   14   -2      63.79     9.68     2.81     1.37     6.95    25.87    12.13P    2.11R    0.69  
Southend             12   14   -2      67.93     9.69     8.96     3.55    14.25    41.14    22.54P    0.81R    0.25  
Stockport            12   14   -4      57.64     9.69    -8.82     0.31     1.98    10.30     3.82P    7.99R    3.22  
Bradford             12   14   -5      59.08     9.18    -7.08     0.31     2.02    11.38     4.08P    5.04R    1.69  
Morecambe            12   13   -8      57.80     9.49   -11.34     0.27     1.66     9.68     3.31P    7.76R    2.85  
Lincoln_City         12   11   -8      48.68     8.68   -20.03     0.01     0.10     0.91     0.23P   29.95R   14.39  
Northampton          12   10   -7      59.43     9.27    -2.73     0.36     2.36    12.82     5.09P    4.75R    1.65  
Barnet               12    9  -13      43.12     8.75   -32.83     0.00     0.01     0.21     0.04P   57.14R   37.54  
Hereford             12    9  -15      46.89     8.94   -28.22     0.00     0.05     0.67     0.13P   39.69R   21.35  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 October 2010, Luton vs Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      16   35  +15      84.48     8.29    28.21    22.26    83.66    36.69P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       16   33  +12      79.27     8.25    20.11     8.31    63.95    19.89P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              16   30  +15      89.68     7.78    45.59    52.67    95.40    69.55P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     16   30  +11      75.00     8.87    16.98     4.20    44.37    11.86P    0.04R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     16   27   +8      69.41     8.76     9.95     1.09    21.62     4.96P    0.30R    0.02  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   16   27   +5      77.83     7.97    20.46     5.84    58.33    20.68P    0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield          16   24   +8      72.38     8.35    19.59     1.90    33.73     9.44P    0.06R    0.00  
Wrexham            16   24   +6      70.02     8.16    13.77     0.99    22.71     6.09P    0.11R    0.01  
Grimsby            16   23   +1      71.68     8.55    12.93     1.62    29.72     9.24P    0.11R    0.01  
Kidderminster      16   23   -2      66.01     8.30     0.57     0.29    10.66     2.25P    0.63R    0.05  
Gateshead          16   22   -2      56.55     7.93   -12.41     0.01     0.95     0.13P    7.24R    0.98  
Kettering          16   21   -2      64.00     8.03     1.00     0.13     6.50     1.43P    0.97R    0.09  
Darlington         16   20   +3      67.63     8.35    12.80     0.51    15.95     4.91P    0.34R    0.03  
Tamworth           16   20   -4      56.47     8.02   -11.68     0.01     0.98     0.13P    7.59R    1.07  
Eastbourne_Boro    16   19   -4      52.79     8.07   -18.71     0.00     0.31     0.03P   16.64R    3.13  
York               16   18   -4      61.45     8.11    -0.22     0.04     3.54     0.83P    2.10R    0.24  
Histon             16   18   -9      51.92     7.98   -20.97     0.00     0.22     0.03P   19.33R    3.90  
Cambridge_Utd      16   17   +1      63.25     8.25     9.13     0.11     6.57     1.77P    1.35R    0.16  
Southport          16   17   -3      50.82     8.38   -14.00     0.00     0.32     0.03P   23.21R    5.49  
Hayes_&_Yeading    16   17  -12      47.45     7.90   -31.39     0.00     0.05     0.00P   39.79R   11.69  
Bath_City          15   16   -5      50.93     8.67   -17.81     0.00     0.34     0.05P   24.69R    6.60  
Barrow             16   15   -4      48.95     7.97   -16.05     0.00     0.12     0.02P   29.88R    7.28  
Forest_Green       16   11  -16      41.84     7.98   -34.40     0.00     0.01     0.00P   66.32R   33.08  
Altrincham         15   10  -18      43.42     8.05   -33.46     0.00     0.01     0.00P   59.29R   26.17