Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 21 October 2010 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 18 October 2010, Blackburn vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          8   19  +21      88.96     6.83    72.15    81.86    96.08    99.22    99.82    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         8   17   +7      67.36     8.18    21.28     1.03    10.71    31.67    59.23    85.64     0.01R    0.00  
Arsenal          8   14   +8      72.67     8.13    37.25     4.34    28.95    62.95    81.86    95.33     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          8   14   +7      77.79     7.45    45.65    12.51    59.84    84.48    94.20    99.08     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        8   14   +3      59.49     8.21     9.02     0.14     1.98     7.86    20.57    53.96     0.24R    0.01  
West_Brom        8   12   -3      50.05     8.85    -8.64     0.01     0.18     1.16     3.79    15.87     5.28R    0.96  
Bolton           8   11   +0      45.47     8.00   -12.48     0.00     0.03     0.18     0.84     5.57    10.65R    2.03  
Aston_Villa      8   11   -3      54.35     8.23    -0.52     0.02     0.46     2.43     7.93    28.97     1.21R    0.13  
Stoke            8   10   -2      42.68     7.72   -15.23     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.31     2.41    17.34R    3.66  
Blackpool        8   10   -5      38.64     8.16   -28.75     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.14     1.20    37.41R   12.27  
Everton          8    9   +1      55.78     8.31     9.00     0.03     0.68     3.80    11.30    36.83     0.79R    0.08  
Fulham           8    9   +0      46.23     7.85    -6.44     0.00     0.02     0.20     1.00     6.36     8.02R    1.42  
Sunderland       8    9   +0      45.48     7.94    -8.19     0.00     0.01     0.15     0.72     5.46    10.13R    1.86  
Blackburn        8    9   -1      44.30     7.89   -11.23     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.52     4.04    13.06R    2.56  
Wigan            8    9   -9      33.84     7.20   -38.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12    62.28R   27.46  
Newcastle        8    8   +0      46.63     8.61    -5.20     0.00     0.05     0.38     1.62     8.75     9.34R    1.88  
Birmingham       8    7   -4      39.97     7.69   -16.85     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.09     1.11    27.73R    7.61  
Wolverhampton    8    6   -5      33.59     7.41   -28.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.14    61.68R   27.38  
Liverpool        8    6   -6      58.13     8.13    10.25     0.06     0.99     5.28    15.94    48.21     0.36R    0.03  
West_Ham         8    6   -9      38.91     7.94   -23.97     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.98    34.48R   10.68  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 October 2010, Bristol_City vs Reading; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              12   28  +21      82.06     9.20    32.03    31.59    53.15    87.64    62.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Cardiff          12   26  +10      82.49     9.35    25.33    32.52    53.78    87.54    63.10P    0.02R    0.00  
Watford          12   21   +9      71.07     9.54    14.02     5.49    13.73    48.57    21.43P    1.02R    0.16  
Burnley          12   20  +10      75.47     9.93    23.63    13.08    27.35    66.23    38.81P    0.33R    0.04  
Norwich          12   20   +3      66.83     9.77     3.01     2.37     6.55    31.34    11.84P    3.10R    0.50  
Swansea          12   20   +3      69.26     9.03     7.36     2.79     8.01    39.50    15.76P    1.19R    0.18  
Derby            12   18   +7      63.61     9.25     5.28     0.93     2.96    20.37     6.48P    4.77R    0.90  
Coventry         12   18   +2      59.79     8.97    -5.16     0.24     0.95     9.99     2.72P   10.40R    2.35  
Leeds_United     12   17   -2      60.19     9.61    -7.93     0.45     1.58    12.03     3.76P   11.56R    3.00  
Reading          12   16   +3      68.64     9.30    12.09     3.07     8.56    38.72    17.17P    1.41R    0.21  
Nott'm_Forest    12   16   +1      66.26     9.10     6.75     1.55     4.81    28.38    10.97P    2.59R    0.44  
Millwall         12   16   +0      58.95     9.39    -5.29     0.22     0.92     9.51     2.61P   13.35R    3.54  
Ipswich          12   16   +0      61.98     9.11    -0.64     0.50     1.73    15.07     4.65P    6.93R    1.38  
Doncaster        12   16   -2      59.03     9.03    -7.28     0.23     0.86     8.81     2.36P   12.13R    2.76  
Portsmouth       12   15   +0      68.86     9.68    11.02     3.51     9.47    40.03    18.83P    1.95R    0.32  
Barnsley         12   15   -5      54.08     9.02   -17.05     0.06     0.22     3.20     0.72P   27.94R    9.03  
Sheff_Utd        12   15   -6      63.15     9.07    -3.50     0.62     2.05    17.19     5.73P    5.67R    1.11  
Scunthorpe       12   14   -2      52.01     9.16   -17.05     0.03     0.16     2.24     0.53P   35.90R   13.37  
Hull             12   13   -6      59.28     9.48    -6.06     0.28     1.08    10.00     3.27P   13.10R    3.55  
Leicester        12   12   -9      59.52     9.22    -7.59     0.21     0.89     9.87     3.00P   11.83R    2.94  
Middlesbrough    12   11   -8      59.28     9.13    -5.31     0.21     0.89     9.26     3.06P   11.85R    2.95  
Crystal_Palace   12   11  -10      53.06     9.01   -16.39     0.04     0.15     2.31     0.58P   31.53R   11.07  
Bristol_City     12   10   -9      49.72     8.93   -19.22     0.01     0.06     1.03     0.23P   45.79R   19.68  
Preston          12   10  -10      49.85     9.14   -22.03     0.02     0.08     1.18     0.31P   45.59R   20.52  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 October 2010, Bournemouth vs MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         12   25  +11      76.43     9.40    18.20    14.82    28.36    66.15    36.48P    0.25R    0.01  
Peterborough     12   22   +6      74.96    10.00    15.73    13.52    25.08    59.68    33.23P    0.67R    0.05  
Bournemouth      12   21  +12      70.10     9.82    15.59     5.67    12.29    41.34    18.53P    1.80R    0.11  
Sheff_Wed        12   20   +9      79.36     9.59    27.65    25.29    42.11    77.14    53.72P    0.16R    0.00  
Huddersfield     12   20   +6      75.70     9.46    19.90    13.78    26.53    64.18    36.88P    0.41R    0.01  
Carlisle         12   19   +7      69.20     9.22    12.43     3.71     9.09    36.69    15.28P    1.84R    0.12  
Exeter           12   19   -1      57.26     8.86   -13.78     0.15     0.50     4.92     1.14P   20.31R    2.54  
Oldham           12   18   +3      63.22     9.12     1.47     0.79     2.45    16.05     5.11P    6.77R    0.55  
Bristol_Rovers   12   18   -2      61.02     9.17    -7.41     0.50     1.51    10.88     3.37P   11.14R    1.07  
Colchester       12   17   +1      68.10     9.32     7.63     2.93     7.34    32.13    13.42P    2.53R    0.14  
MK_Dons          12   17   -1      65.62     9.44     1.86     1.80     4.70    23.22     8.85P    4.75R    0.36  
Rochdale         12   16   +4      61.29     9.85     1.67     0.88     2.36    13.78     4.71P   11.55R    1.44  
Notts_County     12   16   -2      60.35     9.65    -5.65     0.60     1.58    10.94     3.47P   13.84R    1.74  
Charlton         12   16   -3      68.43     9.33     5.63     3.16     7.88    33.42    14.85P    2.40R    0.12  
Southampton      12   15   +1      73.63     9.22    18.77     9.25    19.55    56.24    31.89P    0.56R    0.02  
Swindon          12   15   -1      65.42     9.52     4.55     1.84     4.70    23.34     9.25P    4.98R    0.43  
Hartlepool       12   15   -6      55.86     9.17   -15.15     0.08     0.40     4.01     1.13P   25.79R    4.20  
Yeovil           12   14   -8      52.23     8.89   -20.22     0.03     0.14     1.54     0.38P   39.96R    8.30  
Plymouth         12   13   -6      63.20     9.65    -0.59     1.05     2.83    16.89     6.44P    8.20R    0.89  
Leyton_Orient    12   12   -3      52.27     8.99   -11.98     0.04     0.16     1.75     0.45P   38.62R    7.57  
Brentford        12   12   -4      54.58     8.89    -9.25     0.05     0.19     2.85     0.68P   28.34R    4.59  
Walsall          12   11   -4      53.08     9.12   -10.88     0.06     0.20     2.32     0.64P   35.20R    6.72  
Dag_&_Red        12   11   -8      43.18     8.91   -31.35     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   77.17R   38.75  
Tranmere         12   10  -11      47.09     8.75   -24.81     0.01     0.02     0.38     0.08P   62.77R   20.26  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 October 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         12   25  +11      79.39     9.53    22.63    25.01    54.34    82.69    61.52P    0.01R    0.00  
Port_Vale            12   24  +10      77.37     9.26    20.01    17.96    45.13    77.74    53.43P    0.02R    0.00  
Rotherham            12   23   +8      75.32     9.19    16.53    12.36    36.47    70.85    45.23P    0.04R    0.01  
Bury                 12   22   +7      72.46     9.44    12.78     7.90    26.27    58.92    33.94P    0.13R    0.03  
Shrewsbury           12   21   +8      74.23     9.28    17.89    10.69    32.65    67.21    41.49P    0.07R    0.01  
Wycombe              12   18   +5      73.20     9.66    17.71     9.87    30.20    62.80    40.15P    0.13R    0.03  
Aldershot            12   18   +1      65.44     9.28     2.28     1.73     8.38    29.78    13.05P    1.07R    0.31  
Stevenage            12   17   +3      62.28     9.55     1.26     0.96     5.27    20.80     8.69P    2.65R    0.85  
Cheltenham           12   17   -5      58.42     9.36   -13.68     0.34     2.06    10.53     3.59P    6.51R    2.46  
Crewe                12   16  +10      68.41     9.75    18.76     4.40    16.46    44.33    23.82P    0.67R    0.19  
Torquay              12   16   +3      64.40     9.45     5.66     1.58     7.38    27.35    12.14P    1.56R    0.46  
Accrington_Stanley   12   15   +3      58.92     9.38    -1.61     0.36     2.40    12.26     4.33P    5.56R    2.07  
Macclesfield         12   15   -4      54.95     9.05   -14.04     0.07     0.66     5.11     1.36P   11.43R    4.59  
Oxford_Utd           12   14   +3      56.36     9.16    -2.12     0.17     1.16     7.46     2.53P    8.24R    3.16  
Burton_Albion        12   14   +1      57.42     9.38    -4.46     0.29     1.70     9.56     3.34P    6.95R    2.67  
Gillingham           12   14   -2      63.95     9.73     3.05     1.54     7.31    26.47    12.60P    1.94R    0.69  
Southend             12   14   -2      67.87     9.79     8.87     3.51    14.24    40.96    22.27P    0.79R    0.22  
Stockport            12   14   -4      57.43     9.75    -9.13     0.38     2.01     9.89     3.77P    8.34R    3.33  
Bradford             12   14   -5      59.08     9.22    -7.16     0.31     2.12    11.55     4.15P    5.00R    1.74  
Morecambe            12   13   -8      57.72     9.41   -11.44     0.23     1.48     9.29     3.20P    7.51R    2.81  
Lincoln_City         12   11   -8      48.75     8.72   -19.97     0.01     0.09     1.05     0.27P   30.16R   14.39  
Northampton          12   10   -7      59.32     9.27    -2.95     0.33     2.16    12.42     4.94P    5.06R    1.76  
Barnet               12    9  -13      43.21     8.76   -32.56     0.00     0.02     0.23     0.05P   56.60R   36.88  
Hereford             12    9  -15      46.87     8.91   -28.29     0.00     0.05     0.73     0.15P   39.56R   21.32  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 October 2010, Luton vs Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      16   35  +15      84.48     8.34    28.14    22.17    83.55    36.43P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town       16   33  +12      78.87     8.23    19.58     7.55    62.09    18.44P    0.01R    0.00  
Luton              16   30  +15      89.77     7.84    45.73    53.57    95.45    70.45P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     16   30  +11      75.16     8.90    17.27     4.29    45.32    12.25P    0.05R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     16   27   +8      69.30     8.71     9.74     1.03    21.30     4.93P    0.25R    0.01  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   16   27   +5      77.67     8.04    20.20     5.97    57.02    20.11P    0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield          16   24   +8      72.40     8.34    19.65     1.81    33.67     9.54P    0.07R    0.00  
Wrexham            16   24   +6      70.15     8.07    13.96     0.96    23.22     6.28P    0.11R    0.01  
Grimsby            16   23   +1      71.90     8.42    13.17     1.63    30.44     9.49P    0.10R    0.01  
Kidderminster      16   23   -2      66.24     8.36     0.96     0.32    11.50     2.54P    0.67R    0.05  
Gateshead          16   22   -2      56.43     7.86   -12.62     0.01     0.88     0.13P    7.28R    0.98  
Kettering          16   21   -2      64.17     8.08     1.29     0.11     7.23     1.61P    0.94R    0.08  
Darlington         16   20   +3      67.29     8.36    12.38     0.41    15.05     4.65P    0.41R    0.03  
Tamworth           16   20   -4      56.52     8.08   -11.66     0.00     1.01     0.15P    7.51R    1.16  
Eastbourne_Boro    16   19   -4      52.74     8.07   -18.78     0.00     0.32     0.04P   16.77R    3.23  
York               16   18   -4      61.38     8.17    -0.36     0.05     3.85     0.92P    2.10R    0.25  
Histon             16   18   -9      52.04     8.01   -20.74     0.00     0.24     0.04P   18.91R    3.74  
Cambridge_Utd      16   17   +1      63.48     8.27     9.45     0.10     7.07     1.86P    1.23R    0.13  
Southport          16   17   -3      50.90     8.36   -13.86     0.00     0.28     0.05P   23.18R    5.29  
Hayes_&_Yeading    16   17  -12      47.30     7.85   -31.65     0.00     0.04     0.00P   40.34R   11.99  
Bath_City          15   16   -5      50.97     8.72   -17.88     0.01     0.36     0.06P   24.45R    6.32  
Barrow             16   15   -4      48.93     7.88   -16.04     0.00     0.09     0.01P   29.42R    7.15  
Forest_Green       16   11  -16      41.69     7.96   -34.61     0.00     0.01     0.00P   67.12R   33.68  
Altrincham         15   10  -18      43.46     8.07   -33.34     0.00     0.01     0.00P   59.08R   25.89