Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 20 October 2010 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 18 October 2010, Blackburn vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          8   19  +21      88.78     6.87    71.67    80.91    95.91    99.21    99.83    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         8   17   +7      67.56     8.24    21.65     1.18    11.34    32.56    59.99    85.90     0.00R    0.00  
Arsenal          8   14   +8      72.63     8.07    37.19     4.31    28.59    62.52    81.74    95.40     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          8   14   +7      77.87     7.49    45.96    13.36    59.97    84.65    94.28    99.15     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        8   14   +3      59.55     8.19     9.15     0.14     1.88     7.88    20.75    54.43     0.20R    0.02  
West_Brom        8   12   -3      50.13     8.77    -8.55     0.00     0.15     0.94     3.67    15.80     5.03R    0.94  
Bolton           8   11   +0      45.51     7.99   -12.43     0.00     0.02     0.19     0.87     5.60    10.41R    1.91  
Aston_Villa      8   11   -3      54.24     8.20    -0.64     0.02     0.50     2.50     7.63    28.16     1.15R    0.12  
Stoke            8   10   -2      42.67     7.73   -15.35     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.31     2.51    17.46R    3.70  
Blackpool        8   10   -5      38.70     8.17   -28.68     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.15     1.17    37.05R   12.23  
Everton          8    9   +1      55.96     8.14     9.31     0.03     0.60     3.52    11.15    37.63     0.67R    0.06  
Fulham           8    9   +0      46.24     7.88    -6.42     0.00     0.03     0.19     0.92     6.25     8.14R    1.39  
Sunderland       8    9   +0      45.66     7.91    -7.97     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.72     5.43     9.63R    1.71  
Blackburn        8    9   -1      44.16     7.86   -11.53     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.45     3.74    13.07R    2.69  
Wigan            8    9   -9      33.70     7.23   -38.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12    62.81R   27.99  
Newcastle        8    8   +0      46.68     8.65    -5.08     0.00     0.05     0.40     1.70     8.94     9.29R    1.85  
Birmingham       8    7   -4      39.79     7.69   -17.10     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.10     1.17    28.49R    7.80  
Wolverhampton    8    6   -5      33.66     7.38   -28.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14    61.19R   26.82  
Liverpool        8    6   -6      58.01     8.10    10.20     0.04     0.94     5.15    15.64    47.54     0.36R    0.03  
West_Ham         8    6   -9      38.80     7.90   -24.22     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.92    35.03R   10.74  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 October 2010, Bristol_City vs Reading; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              12   28  +21      82.29     9.19    32.32    32.69    54.48    88.03    63.32P    0.01R    0.00  
Cardiff          12   26  +10      82.22     9.30    24.89    31.48    52.94    86.81    62.36P    0.01R    0.00  
Watford          12   21   +9      71.10     9.51    14.03     5.47    13.47    48.59    21.52P    0.89R    0.15  
Burnley          12   20  +10      75.45     9.89    23.64    12.99    27.15    66.09    38.59P    0.32R    0.04  
Norwich          12   20   +3      67.15     9.69     3.49     2.46     6.68    32.05    12.29P    2.68R    0.47  
Swansea          12   20   +3      69.36     8.96     7.50     2.79     8.13    39.99    15.89P    0.97R    0.12  
Derby            12   18   +7      63.80     9.30     5.49     1.01     3.20    21.15     7.01P    4.72R    0.96  
Coventry         12   18   +2      60.06     9.07    -4.79     0.31     1.18    10.62     2.85P    9.93R    2.24  
Leeds_United     12   17   -2      60.01     9.62    -8.18     0.45     1.47    11.63     3.49P   12.04R    3.07  
Reading          12   16   +3      68.66     9.30    12.14     2.95     8.32    38.68    16.97P    1.53R    0.21  
Nott'm_Forest    12   16   +1      66.28     9.12     6.75     1.57     4.86    28.51    11.07P    2.55R    0.40  
Millwall         12   16   +0      58.84     9.40    -5.46     0.25     0.96     9.34     2.63P   13.54R    3.51  
Ipswich          12   16   +0      61.96     9.04    -0.59     0.40     1.56    15.06     4.45P    6.70R    1.36  
Doncaster        12   16   -2      59.14     9.05    -7.06     0.21     0.85     8.86     2.43P   12.05R    2.94  
Portsmouth       12   15   +0      68.68     9.70    10.80     3.42     9.21    39.10    18.06P    2.03R    0.39  
Barnsley         12   15   -5      54.05     9.08   -17.05     0.04     0.19     3.27     0.73P   27.97R    9.20  
Sheff_Utd        12   15   -6      63.11     9.07    -3.56     0.65     2.09    17.13     5.65P    5.61R    1.13  
Scunthorpe       12   14   -2      51.98     9.13   -17.04     0.03     0.12     2.12     0.46P   35.79R   13.32  
Hull             12   13   -6      59.17     9.52    -6.27     0.31     1.07     9.69     3.15P   13.39R    3.76  
Leicester        12   12   -9      59.52     9.25    -7.56     0.26     1.01     9.73     3.08P   11.96R    3.04  
Middlesbrough    12   11   -8      59.08     9.15    -5.67     0.21     0.83     9.01     2.93P   12.32R    3.22  
Crystal_Palace   12   11  -10      53.07     8.98   -16.38     0.04     0.14     2.36     0.59P   31.34R   10.69  
Bristol_City     12   10   -9      49.77     8.97   -19.16     0.00     0.05     1.10     0.25P   45.19R   19.20  
Preston          12   10  -10      49.67     9.14   -22.28     0.02     0.04     1.09     0.24P   46.43R   20.56  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 October 2010, Bournemouth vs MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         12   25  +11      76.45     9.34    18.19    15.26    28.84    66.58    36.92P    0.24R    0.01  
Peterborough     12   22   +6      74.87    10.03    15.55    13.49    25.11    59.67    33.31P    0.76R    0.05  
Bournemouth      12   21  +12      69.97     9.76    15.38     5.53    12.11    41.09    18.15P    1.86R    0.10  
Sheff_Wed        12   20   +9      79.05     9.60    27.19    24.45    40.77    76.26    52.60P    0.16R    0.01  
Huddersfield     12   20   +6      75.65     9.40    19.81    13.91    26.62    63.88    36.52P    0.33R    0.01  
Carlisle         12   19   +7      69.38     9.22    12.63     3.90     9.43    37.82    16.15P    1.59R    0.12  
Exeter           12   19   -1      57.22     8.86   -13.84     0.16     0.50     4.80     1.14P   20.73R    2.58  
Oldham           12   18   +3      63.16     9.15     1.31     0.90     2.48    16.06     5.19P    6.90R    0.61  
Bristol_Rovers   12   18   -2      61.15     9.23    -7.17     0.57     1.65    11.42     3.42P   11.05R    1.02  
Colchester       12   17   +1      68.04     9.27     7.57     2.89     7.29    31.84    13.31P    2.48R    0.14  
MK_Dons          12   17   -1      65.48     9.40     1.72     1.75     4.53    22.49     8.47P    4.87R    0.45  
Rochdale         12   16   +4      61.64     9.78     2.28     1.00     2.61    14.55     5.28P   10.60R    1.30  
Notts_County     12   16   -2      60.70     9.69    -5.07     0.63     1.89    11.75     3.98P   13.09R    1.65  
Charlton         12   16   -3      68.35     9.33     5.53     3.29     8.06    33.00    14.84P    2.37R    0.12  
Southampton      12   15   +1      73.51     9.23    18.64     9.13    19.41    55.82    31.71P    0.58R    0.02  
Swindon          12   15   -1      65.31     9.42     4.42     1.77     4.65    23.16     9.17P    4.92R    0.41  
Hartlepool       12   15   -6      55.79     9.19   -15.23     0.16     0.47     4.01     1.10P   26.35R    4.21  
Yeovil           12   14   -8      52.19     8.94   -20.26     0.03     0.10     1.58     0.39P   40.34R    8.52  
Plymouth         12   13   -6      63.08     9.61    -0.82     1.03     2.86    16.66     6.38P    8.40R    0.92  
Leyton_Orient    12   12   -3      52.24     8.94   -12.02     0.02     0.12     1.69     0.44P   38.34R    7.68  
Brentford        12   12   -4      54.68     8.98    -9.12     0.07     0.25     2.92     0.75P   28.73R    4.72  
Walsall          12   11   -4      53.08     9.19   -10.90     0.07     0.21     2.41     0.66P   35.29R    7.00  
Dag_&_Red        12   11   -8      43.42     8.93   -30.87     0.00     0.02     0.19     0.06P   76.71R   37.86  
Tranmere         12   10  -11      47.04     8.74   -24.93     0.00     0.01     0.33     0.06P   63.29R   20.51  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 October 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         12   25  +11      79.04     9.54    22.07    23.99    52.72    81.82    59.70P    0.01R    0.00  
Port_Vale            12   24  +10      77.44     9.27    20.15    18.02    45.79    78.00    53.76P    0.02R    0.00  
Rotherham            12   23   +8      75.22     9.32    16.43    12.63    36.36    70.05    45.08P    0.05R    0.01  
Bury                 12   22   +7      72.71     9.43    13.10     8.32    26.95    60.18    34.67P    0.14R    0.02  
Shrewsbury           12   21   +8      74.25     9.30    17.89    10.89    32.68    67.36    41.66P    0.08R    0.01  
Wycombe              12   18   +5      73.15     9.63    17.62     9.72    29.82    62.61    39.88P    0.14R    0.04  
Aldershot            12   18   +1      65.48     9.30     2.37     1.69     8.31    30.22    13.23P    1.16R    0.33  
Stevenage            12   17   +3      62.24     9.53     1.18     0.99     5.01    20.58     8.41P    2.68R    0.90  
Cheltenham           12   17   -5      58.19     9.22   -14.04     0.28     1.80     9.59     3.20P    6.55R    2.31  
Crewe                12   16  +10      68.32     9.70    18.62     4.34    16.22    43.96    23.54P    0.58R    0.19  
Torquay              12   16   +3      64.44     9.41     5.66     1.58     7.28    27.52    11.93P    1.56R    0.52  
Accrington_Stanley   12   15   +3      58.80     9.44    -1.83     0.39     2.49    12.04     4.34P    5.63R    2.17  
Macclesfield         12   15   -4      54.99     9.06   -13.99     0.07     0.73     5.03     1.51P   11.50R    4.65  
Oxford_Utd           12   14   +3      56.25     9.28    -2.29     0.16     1.22     7.61     2.64P    8.59R    3.22  
Burton_Albion        12   14   +1      57.38     9.31    -4.50     0.30     1.70     9.18     3.26P    7.10R    2.58  
Gillingham           12   14   -2      64.05     9.74     3.20     1.56     7.44    26.50    12.74P    1.95R    0.66  
Southend             12   14   -2      68.13     9.79     9.25     3.76    15.04    41.82    23.27P    0.74R    0.21  
Stockport            12   14   -4      57.43     9.66    -9.16     0.32     1.91     9.67     3.49P    8.37R    3.35  
Bradford             12   14   -5      59.18     9.26    -6.95     0.36     2.25    11.74     4.48P    4.95R    1.66  
Morecambe            12   13   -8      57.61     9.42   -11.63     0.21     1.56     9.24     3.18P    7.61R    3.01  
Lincoln_City         12   11   -8      48.72     8.70   -20.01     0.01     0.07     0.92     0.22P   29.95R   14.33  
Northampton          12   10   -7      59.67     9.37    -2.38     0.41     2.60    13.49     5.62P    4.81R    1.74  
Barnet               12    9  -13      43.31     8.73   -32.42     0.00     0.01     0.26     0.06P   56.12R   36.42  
Hereford             12    9  -15      46.82     8.96   -28.35     0.01     0.06     0.64     0.14P   39.71R   21.68  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 October 2010, Luton vs Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      16   35  +15      84.57     8.27    28.27    22.61    83.96    36.73P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town       16   33  +12      79.05     8.21    19.85     7.77    62.92    19.34P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              16   30  +15      89.78     7.88    45.87    53.03    95.36    70.11P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     16   30  +11      75.23     8.94    17.40     4.25    45.74    12.22P    0.04R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     16   27   +8      69.20     8.77     9.62     1.01    21.22     4.76P    0.26R    0.01  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   16   27   +5      77.77     8.07    20.37     5.95    57.75    20.61P    0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield          16   24   +8      72.40     8.30    19.66     1.87    33.16     9.39P    0.06R    0.00  
Wrexham            16   24   +6      70.25     8.06    14.00     0.91    23.59     6.40P    0.10R    0.00  
Grimsby            16   23   +1      71.72     8.59    12.95     1.58    29.64     8.85P    0.16R    0.01  
Kidderminster      16   23   -2      66.12     8.33     0.78     0.29    10.85     2.27P    0.70R    0.06  
Gateshead          16   22   -2      56.57     7.95   -12.37     0.00     0.99     0.11P    7.08R    0.95  
Kettering          16   21   -2      64.23     8.08     1.31     0.10     7.08     1.55P    0.87R    0.07  
Darlington         16   20   +3      67.36     8.34    12.46     0.41    15.21     4.69P    0.36R    0.03  
Tamworth           16   20   -4      56.58     8.06   -11.57     0.01     0.95     0.16P    7.54R    1.19  
Eastbourne_Boro    16   19   -4      52.87     8.14   -18.59     0.00     0.35     0.04P   16.37R    3.05  
York               16   18   -4      61.48     8.12    -0.24     0.06     3.49     0.86P    2.17R    0.23  
Histon             16   18   -9      51.89     8.06   -21.03     0.00     0.24     0.03P   19.58R    4.00  
Cambridge_Utd      16   17   +1      63.40     8.30     9.39     0.11     6.82     1.78P    1.37R    0.17  
Southport          16   17   -3      50.85     8.41   -14.04     0.00     0.24     0.04P   23.31R    5.47  
Hayes_&_Yeading    16   17  -12      47.18     7.90   -31.82     0.00     0.04     0.00P   40.42R   12.14  
Bath_City          15   16   -5      50.79     8.64   -18.12     0.01     0.30     0.06P   24.54R    6.41  
Barrow             16   15   -4      48.88     7.91   -16.14     0.00     0.09     0.01P   29.41R    7.35  
Forest_Green       16   11  -16      41.63     7.91   -34.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.20R   33.28  
Altrincham         15   10  -18      43.45     8.04   -33.41     0.00     0.01     0.00    58.45R   25.57