Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 19 October 2010 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 18 October 2010, Blackburn vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          8   19  +21      88.98     6.83    72.18    81.76    95.98    99.25    99.85    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         8   17   +7      67.44     8.21    21.38     1.16    10.98    32.43    59.57    85.67     0.01R    0.00  
Arsenal          8   14   +8      72.63     8.12    37.24     4.26    28.97    62.79    81.87    95.39     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          8   14   +7      77.77     7.48    45.65    12.57    59.73    84.44    94.62    99.14     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        8   14   +3      59.42     8.24     8.92     0.13     1.94     7.78    20.28    53.55     0.22R    0.02  
West_Brom        8   12   -3      49.97     8.76    -8.81     0.00     0.15     1.01     3.58    15.57     5.25R    0.90  
Bolton           8   11   +0      45.60     7.98   -12.26     0.00     0.02     0.19     0.92     5.65    10.41R    1.95  
Aston_Villa      8   11   -3      54.25     8.20    -0.66     0.02     0.43     2.40     7.71    28.57     1.25R    0.13  
Stoke            8   10   -2      42.79     7.71   -15.17     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.31     2.54    16.98R    3.41  
Blackpool        8   10   -5      38.71     8.19   -28.66     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.13     1.21    37.24R   12.21  
Everton          8    9   +1      55.80     8.21     9.08     0.05     0.67     3.63    10.99    36.95     0.77R    0.09  
Fulham           8    9   +0      46.14     7.85    -6.54     0.00     0.01     0.21     0.91     6.14     8.29R    1.45  
Sunderland       8    9   +0      45.53     7.91    -8.16     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.70     5.43    10.08R    1.86  
Blackburn        8    9   -1      44.13     7.89   -11.59     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.49     3.80    13.68R    2.78  
Wigan            8    9   -9      33.81     7.27   -38.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12    62.46R   27.76  
Newcastle        8    8   +0      46.80     8.67    -4.88     0.00     0.08     0.44     1.78     9.38     9.31R    1.83  
Birmingham       8    7   -4      39.98     7.73   -16.79     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.10     1.18    27.94R    7.50  
Wolverhampton    8    6   -5      33.58     7.44   -28.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.13    61.38R   27.56  
Liverpool        8    6   -6      58.12     8.14    10.31     0.05     1.02     5.09    16.06    48.58     0.39R    0.03  
West_Ham         8    6   -9      38.97     7.96   -23.94     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     1.00    34.33R   10.52  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 October 2010, Bristol_City vs Reading; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              12   28  +21      82.44     9.34    32.70    32.69    54.42    87.67    63.05P    0.01R    0.00  
Cardiff          12   26  +10      82.40     9.39    25.30    31.97    53.23    86.59    62.58P    0.02R    0.00  
Watford          12   21   +9      71.04     9.53    13.94     5.42    13.34    47.53    21.03P    0.87R    0.10  
Burnley          12   20  +10      75.30     9.91    23.40    12.53    26.22    65.05    37.55P    0.33R    0.06  
Norwich          12   20   +3      66.86     9.71     2.92     2.16     6.11    30.49    11.59P    2.93R    0.52  
Swansea          12   20   +3      69.44     8.97     7.57     2.74     8.07    39.27    15.60P    1.09R    0.11  
Derby            12   18   +7      63.81     9.28     5.25     0.95     3.05    20.49     6.66P    4.75R    0.92  
Ipswich          12   18   +2      65.03     9.22     2.72     1.13     3.57    23.29     7.86P    3.61R    0.60  
Coventry         12   18   +1      59.52     9.04    -7.00     0.26     0.95     9.26     2.45P   11.26R    2.45  
Leeds_United     12   17   -2      60.43     9.73    -7.64     0.59     1.86    12.53     4.18P   11.19R    2.76  
Reading          12   16   +3      68.56     9.30    12.03     2.92     8.08    37.72    16.53P    1.61R    0.24  
Millwall         12   16   +1      59.58     9.43    -3.66     0.29     1.15    10.37     3.00P   11.71R    2.90  
Nott'm_Forest    12   16   +1      66.53     9.07     7.08     1.52     4.85    28.80    11.05P    2.36R    0.35  
Doncaster        12   16   -1      59.69     9.10    -5.44     0.23     0.98     9.69     2.80P   10.76R    2.31  
Portsmouth       12   15   +0      68.54     9.61    10.61     3.25     8.75    37.47    17.43P    1.81R    0.27  
Barnsley         12   15   -4      54.75     9.01   -15.24     0.06     0.25     3.48     0.87P   25.07R    7.26  
Sheff_Utd        12   15   -6      63.21     9.08    -3.45     0.55     2.11    16.84     5.59P    5.50R    1.07  
Scunthorpe       12   14   -2      52.21     9.21   -16.97     0.04     0.15     2.36     0.58P   34.86R   12.45  
Hull             12   13   -7      58.65     9.52    -8.15     0.22     0.90     8.76     2.87P   14.84R    3.89  
Leicester        12   12   -9      59.54     9.29    -7.62     0.24     0.92     9.71     3.03P   11.88R    2.90  
Middlesbrough    12   11   -9      59.19     9.17    -6.58     0.19     0.83     8.65     2.75P   12.31R    3.02  
Crystal_Palace   12   11  -10      53.06     8.97   -16.49     0.03     0.13     2.23     0.57P   31.32R   10.49  
Preston          12   10  -10      49.78     9.16   -22.34     0.02     0.07     1.09     0.24P   45.72R   19.86  
Bristol_City     12    9  -11      47.88     8.97   -22.95     0.01     0.03     0.66     0.14P   54.19R   25.48  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 October 2010, Bournemouth vs MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         12   25  +11      76.61     9.31    18.43    15.33    29.00    67.15    37.41P    0.21R    0.00  
Peterborough     12   22   +6      74.96    10.05    15.70    13.56    25.29    59.66    33.18P    0.65R    0.04  
Bournemouth      12   21  +12      70.09     9.92    15.49     5.70    12.38    41.43    18.69P    2.01R    0.10  
Sheff_Wed        12   20   +9      78.99     9.60    27.16    24.18    40.53    75.81    52.09P    0.13R    0.00  
Huddersfield     12   20   +6      75.64     9.44    19.81    13.89    26.41    63.84    36.19P    0.33R    0.01  
Carlisle         12   19   +7      69.27     9.29    12.47     3.89     9.29    37.12    15.70P    1.78R    0.10  
Exeter           12   19   -1      57.30     9.01   -13.68     0.17     0.58     5.09     1.26P   20.72R    2.70  
Oldham           12   18   +3      63.17     9.16     1.33     0.97     2.57    15.90     5.22P    6.67R    0.53  
Bristol_Rovers   12   18   -2      61.10     9.24    -7.30     0.58     1.69    11.23     3.52P   11.18R    1.13  
Colchester       12   17   +1      68.03     9.34     7.56     2.87     7.30    31.86    13.41P    2.56R    0.17  
MK_Dons          12   17   -1      65.60     9.32     1.84     1.71     4.51    22.71     8.61P    4.53R    0.30  
Rochdale         12   16   +4      61.50     9.82     2.06     0.98     2.48    14.09     4.96P   10.94R    1.36  
Notts_County     12   16   -2      60.23     9.66    -5.77     0.52     1.51    10.58     3.30P   14.08R    1.76  
Charlton         12   16   -3      68.66     9.31     5.97     3.38     8.12    34.24    15.38P    2.29R    0.14  
Southampton      12   15   +1      73.63     9.23    18.75     9.04    19.57    56.27    31.99P    0.58R    0.03  
Swindon          12   15   -1      65.31     9.50     4.39     1.73     4.58    23.11     8.94P    4.89R    0.42  
Hartlepool       12   15   -6      55.81     9.11   -15.16     0.14     0.43     3.82     1.01P   25.71R    4.21  
Yeovil           12   14   -8      52.14     8.88   -20.39     0.02     0.11     1.50     0.37P   40.46R    8.30  
Plymouth         12   13   -6      63.24     9.72    -0.54     1.15     3.07    16.95     6.76P    8.37R    1.00  
Leyton_Orient    12   12   -3      52.27     9.05   -12.06     0.03     0.13     1.95     0.44P   38.56R    7.65  
Brentford        12   12   -4      54.63     8.97    -9.18     0.08     0.25     2.88     0.81P   28.56R    4.69  
Walsall          12   11   -4      53.02     9.15   -10.99     0.06     0.20     2.30     0.63P   35.48R    6.83  
Dag_&_Red        12   11   -8      43.32     9.03   -31.04     0.00     0.02     0.16     0.04P   76.65R   38.09  
Tranmere         12   10  -11      47.12     8.79   -24.87     0.00     0.02     0.37     0.09P   62.65R   20.43  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 October 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         12   25  +11      78.98     9.50    22.01    23.73    53.12    81.88    60.16P    0.02R    0.00  
Port_Vale            12   24  +10      77.30     9.18    19.95    17.60    45.36    77.92    53.59P    0.02R    0.00  
Rotherham            12   23   +8      75.23     9.32    16.42    12.79    36.57    70.27    45.11P    0.04R    0.01  
Bury                 12   22   +7      72.57     9.39    12.94     8.29    26.79    59.85    34.34P    0.13R    0.04  
Shrewsbury           12   21   +8      74.23     9.25    17.89    10.86    32.71    67.31    41.77P    0.07R    0.02  
Wycombe              12   18   +5      73.09     9.65    17.58    10.07    29.98    62.37    39.92P    0.16R    0.03  
Aldershot            12   18   +1      65.62     9.27     2.54     1.85     8.57    30.52    13.36P    1.10R    0.31  
Stevenage            12   17   +3      62.22     9.54     1.23     1.05     5.12    20.35     8.55P    2.64R    0.88  
Cheltenham           12   17   -5      58.40     9.22   -13.66     0.28     1.83    10.03     3.33P    6.20R    2.21  
Crewe                12   16  +10      68.07     9.73    18.22     4.14    15.76    43.23    23.13P    0.65R    0.16  
Torquay              12   16   +3      64.60     9.50     5.93     1.75     8.02    28.33    12.84P    1.57R    0.53  
Accrington_Stanley   12   15   +3      59.02     9.46    -1.49     0.41     2.48    12.58     4.52P    5.54R    2.06  
Macclesfield         12   15   -4      54.80     9.08   -14.26     0.10     0.74     4.93     1.53P   11.92R    4.83  
Oxford_Utd           12   14   +3      56.23     9.19    -2.27     0.16     1.17     7.32     2.52P    8.58R    3.30  
Burton_Albion        12   14   +1      57.61     9.42    -4.15     0.33     1.88     9.99     3.56P    6.83R    2.57  
Gillingham           12   14   -2      64.02     9.80     3.05     1.73     7.62    26.66    13.02P    1.99R    0.63  
Southend             12   14   -2      67.59     9.85     8.47     3.54    13.74    40.12    21.46P    0.95R    0.29  
Stockport            12   14   -4      57.57     9.68    -8.92     0.33     2.05    10.01     3.75P    7.85R    3.04  
Bradford             12   14   -5      59.22     9.17    -6.87     0.31     2.08    11.71     4.21P    5.16R    1.85  
Morecambe            12   13   -8      57.84     9.42   -11.27     0.28     1.70     9.50     3.32P    7.33R    2.77  
Lincoln_City         12   11   -8      48.62     8.77   -20.18     0.01     0.08     1.02     0.26P   30.70R   15.04  
Northampton          12   10   -7      59.50     9.41    -2.64     0.38     2.58    13.18     5.54P    5.07R    1.91  
Barnet               12    9  -13      43.44     8.70   -32.16     0.00     0.02     0.26     0.05P   55.62R   35.65  
Hereford             12    9  -15      46.82     8.95   -28.35     0.00     0.04     0.67     0.16P   39.84R   21.87  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 October 2010, Luton vs Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      16   35  +15      84.39     8.31    28.01    22.22    83.69    36.48P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       16   33  +12      79.00     8.28    19.75     7.90    62.94    19.14P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton              16   30  +15      89.68     7.86    45.64    53.20    95.30    70.16P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     16   30  +11      75.00     8.86    16.97     4.04    44.70    11.82P    0.06R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     16   27   +8      69.22     8.85     9.65     1.13    21.48     5.00P    0.27R    0.02  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   16   27   +5      77.58     8.08    20.00     5.90    56.95    20.48P    0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield          16   24   +8      72.45     8.32    19.73     1.96    33.79     9.49P    0.08R    0.01  
Wrexham            16   24   +6      70.12     8.11    13.86     0.89    23.34     6.26P    0.12R    0.00  
Grimsby            16   23   +1      71.70     8.53    12.91     1.62    29.88     8.96P    0.15R    0.01  
Kidderminster      16   23   -2      66.10     8.30     0.69     0.34    10.92     2.35P    0.64R    0.05  
Gateshead          16   22   -2      56.72     7.97   -12.12     0.00     1.03     0.12P    7.19R    0.94  
Kettering          16   21   -2      64.13     8.07     1.19     0.11     6.98     1.57P    0.94R    0.07  
Darlington         16   20   +3      67.57     8.39    12.76     0.49    15.88     4.93P    0.34R    0.02  
Tamworth           16   20   -4      56.68     8.04   -11.42     0.01     0.97     0.16P    7.35R    1.12  
Eastbourne_Boro    16   19   -4      52.80     8.11   -18.57     0.00     0.37     0.05P   16.51R    3.11  
York               16   18   -4      61.46     8.17    -0.22     0.04     3.84     1.00P    2.24R    0.25  
Histon             16   18   -9      51.97     8.03   -20.79     0.00     0.24     0.04P   19.17R    3.87  
Cambridge_Utd      16   17   +1      63.42     8.32     9.40     0.12     7.04     1.87P    1.32R    0.14  
Southport          16   17   -3      50.90     8.38   -13.87     0.01     0.25     0.05P   23.22R    5.29  
Hayes_&_Yeading    16   17  -12      47.40     7.93   -31.51     0.00     0.06     0.01P   39.87R   11.96  
Bath_City          15   16   -5      50.70     8.66   -18.18     0.01     0.29     0.06P   25.40R    6.49  
Barrow             16   15   -4      48.95     7.92   -16.06     0.00     0.05     0.01P   29.73R    7.46  
Forest_Green       16   11  -16      41.64     7.98   -34.67     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.29R   33.96  
Altrincham         15   10  -18      43.60     8.02   -33.15     0.00     0.01     0.00    58.11R   25.25