Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 18 October 2010 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 18 October 2010, Blackburn vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          8   19  +21      88.99     6.82    72.15    81.76    96.22    99.29    99.88    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         8   17   +7      67.39     8.24    21.35     1.16    11.06    32.11    59.12    85.54     0.01R    0.00  
Arsenal          8   14   +8      72.67     8.13    37.39     4.47    29.42    62.97    81.97    95.25     0.00R    0.00  
Man_Utd          8   14   +7      77.64     7.48    45.40    12.34    58.80    84.16    94.23    99.07     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        8   14   +3      59.57     8.23     9.15     0.13     2.00     8.13    20.77    54.24     0.20R    0.01  
West_Brom        8   12   -3      50.09     8.79    -8.59     0.00     0.20     1.08     3.83    15.60     5.16R    0.91  
Bolton           8   11   +0      45.54     7.97   -12.42     0.00     0.02     0.20     0.94     5.58    10.34R    1.96  
Aston_Villa      8   11   -3      54.38     8.16    -0.47     0.03     0.46     2.35     7.68    28.72     1.09R    0.11  
Stoke            8   10   -2      42.48     7.71   -15.63     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.30     2.32    18.00R    3.80  
Blackpool        8   10   -5      38.77     8.25   -28.50     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.19     1.30    37.12R   12.31  
Everton          8    9   +1      55.88     8.19     9.18     0.02     0.65     3.62    11.16    37.21     0.72R    0.07  
Fulham           8    9   +0      46.34     7.81    -6.27     0.00     0.03     0.18     0.91     6.29     7.71R    1.23  
Sunderland       8    9   +0      45.55     7.94    -8.12     0.00     0.02     0.14     0.72     5.50     9.96R    1.83  
Blackburn        8    9   -1      44.19     7.81   -11.45     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.47     3.84    12.94R    2.63  
Wigan            8    9   -9      33.77     7.22   -38.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12    62.53R   27.68  
Newcastle        8    8   +0      46.75     8.68    -4.99     0.00     0.05     0.42     1.77     9.12     9.20R    1.80  
Birmingham       8    7   -4      39.95     7.71   -16.90     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.09     1.13    28.00R    7.37  
Wolverhampton    8    6   -5      33.56     7.41   -28.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12    61.53R   27.21  
Liverpool        8    6   -6      58.10     8.13    10.29     0.06     1.05     5.15    15.84    48.07     0.38R    0.04  
West_Ham         8    6   -9      38.76     7.94   -24.28     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.09     0.98    35.12R   11.03  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 October 2010, Barnsley vs Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              11   27  +21      82.39     9.38    32.00    34.94    55.13    87.29    63.48P    0.01R    0.00  
Cardiff          11   23   +9      80.26     9.48    23.42    25.65    45.06    81.15    55.25P    0.03R    0.00  
Norwich          11   20   +4      70.04    10.00     6.82     4.98    12.21    42.84    19.07P    1.53R    0.23  
Swansea          11   19   +3      70.01     9.13     7.86     3.84     9.98    41.62    17.81P    0.87R    0.11  
Watford          11   18   +8      69.97     9.75    13.86     5.09    12.19    43.64    19.37P    1.27R    0.18  
Coventry         11   18   +3      61.69     9.15    -3.37     0.63     1.90    13.71     4.07P    7.04R    1.33  
Burnley          11   17   +7      73.08    10.14    19.50     9.80    20.93    56.42    30.98P    0.69R    0.09  
Leeds_United     11   17   -1      62.70    10.11    -5.23     1.21     3.42    18.44     6.56P    7.85R    1.79  
Reading          11   16   +4      70.71     9.61    14.20     5.47    13.33    46.33    22.87P    0.95R    0.14  
Millwall         11   16   +1      60.80     9.68    -3.73     0.59     1.84    13.29     4.11P    9.63R    2.22  
Ipswich          11   16   +1      62.97     9.31    -0.35     0.72     2.62    17.38     5.78P    5.41R    0.96  
Doncaster        11   16   -1      61.65     9.28    -4.36     0.62     1.97    14.09     4.44P    7.24R    1.36  
Derby            11   15   +6      61.20     9.35     3.07     0.60     1.93    14.03     4.59P    7.73R    1.58  
Barnsley         11   15   -2      55.68     9.21   -14.01     0.09     0.39     4.64     1.14P   20.96R    5.50  
Nott'm_Forest    11   13   +0      65.19     9.28     6.48     1.49     4.37    24.54     9.71P    3.24R    0.49  
Hull             11   13   -5      61.95     9.81    -3.25     0.80     2.48    15.80     5.82P    8.14R    1.80  
Portsmouth       11   12   -1      66.40     9.96     8.72     2.51     6.67    30.73    14.09P    3.23R    0.52  
Sheff_Utd        11   12   -7      60.55     9.20    -5.97     0.35     1.32    11.19     3.64P    9.11R    1.94  
Scunthorpe       11   11   -3      49.14     9.35   -20.20     0.03     0.10     1.23     0.28P   46.85R   19.49  
Middlesbrough    11   11   -7      60.27     9.37    -4.97     0.40     1.37    11.29     3.98P    9.78R    2.18  
Preston          11   10   -9      52.69     9.42   -18.60     0.04     0.17     2.54     0.64P   32.60R   11.35  
Leicester        11    9  -10      56.85     9.43   -10.26     0.12     0.53     6.10     1.93P   18.05R    4.87  
Crystal_Palace   11    8  -11      49.79     9.11   -19.93     0.02     0.06     1.11     0.26P   43.66R   16.81  
Bristol_City     11    7  -10      47.42     9.11   -21.71     0.01     0.02     0.61     0.14P   54.11R   25.05  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 October 2010, Bournemouth vs MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         12   25  +11      76.39     9.26    18.11    14.45    28.09    66.71    36.59P    0.23R    0.01  
Peterborough     12   22   +6      75.22     9.99    16.12    14.24    25.94    61.08    34.20P    0.66R    0.04  
Bournemouth      12   21  +12      69.99     9.80    15.41     5.52    12.18    41.38    18.26P    1.99R    0.12  
Sheff_Wed        12   20   +9      79.15     9.60    27.45    24.83    41.11    76.25    52.81P    0.11R    0.00  
Huddersfield     12   20   +6      75.61     9.40    19.75    13.71    26.29    63.86    36.18P    0.39R    0.02  
Carlisle         12   19   +7      69.16     9.27    12.28     3.84     9.32    36.93    15.74P    1.86R    0.11  
Exeter           12   19   -1      57.36     8.89   -13.64     0.18     0.52     5.06     1.23P   20.26R    2.44  
Oldham           12   18   +3      63.15     9.10     1.35     0.88     2.54    15.81     5.17P    6.83R    0.52  
Bristol_Rovers   12   18   -2      61.13     9.23    -7.21     0.60     1.66    11.18     3.43P   11.08R    1.08  
Colchester       12   17   +1      67.98     9.22     7.42     2.87     7.00    31.80    13.12P    2.32R    0.12  
MK_Dons          12   17   -1      65.36     9.37     1.52     1.64     4.31    22.33     8.16P    5.02R    0.41  
Rochdale         12   16   +4      61.44     9.68     2.00     0.87     2.33    13.69     4.75P   10.97R    1.35  
Notts_County     12   16   -2      60.30     9.66    -5.69     0.59     1.74    10.90     3.68P   13.89R    1.71  
Charlton         12   16   -3      68.74     9.35     6.05     3.53     8.54    34.48    15.67P    2.19R    0.12  
Southampton      12   15   +1      73.79     9.22    19.00     9.37    20.15    56.79    32.46P    0.54R    0.03  
Swindon          12   15   -1      65.13     9.45     4.14     1.65     4.40    22.40     8.68P    5.28R    0.43  
Hartlepool       12   15   -6      55.82     9.03   -15.18     0.09     0.36     3.71     0.98P   26.06R    4.14  
Yeovil           12   14   -8      52.34     8.86   -20.05     0.04     0.11     1.55     0.36P   39.61R    8.13  
Plymouth         12   13   -6      63.05     9.62    -0.84     0.98     2.86    16.66     6.53P    8.48R    0.95  
Leyton_Orient    12   12   -3      52.54     8.98   -11.55     0.03     0.11     1.88     0.46P   37.31R    7.39  
Brentford        12   12   -4      54.58     8.91    -9.28     0.06     0.24     2.77     0.80P   28.75R    4.60  
Walsall          12   11   -4      53.06     9.09   -10.98     0.04     0.17     2.15     0.62P   35.34R    6.72  
Dag_&_Red        12   11   -8      43.23     8.96   -31.22     0.00     0.01     0.17     0.03P   77.54R   38.70  
Tranmere         12   10  -11      47.03     8.85   -24.98     0.01     0.02     0.43     0.10P   63.29R   20.84  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 October 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         12   25  +11      79.21     9.54    22.37    24.37    53.36    82.47    60.49P    0.02R    0.00  
Port_Vale            12   24  +10      77.24     9.24    19.85    17.39    44.91    77.67    53.25P    0.02R    0.01  
Rotherham            12   23   +8      75.34     9.36    16.55    12.92    36.89    70.45    45.42P    0.05R    0.02  
Bury                 12   22   +7      72.51     9.42    12.78     8.03    26.47    59.39    34.16P    0.14R    0.02  
Shrewsbury           12   21   +8      74.28     9.29    17.96    10.80    32.94    67.18    41.76P    0.06R    0.01  
Wycombe              12   18   +5      73.21     9.70    17.76    10.11    30.11    62.89    40.08P    0.16R    0.03  
Aldershot            12   18   +1      65.65     9.36     2.53     1.92     8.76    30.53    13.45P    1.11R    0.34  
Stevenage            12   17   +3      62.31     9.54     1.33     1.09     5.15    20.65     8.74P    2.55R    0.83  
Cheltenham           12   17   -5      58.26     9.33   -13.94     0.31     2.00    10.02     3.45P    6.69R    2.45  
Crewe                12   16  +10      68.26     9.73    18.55     4.22    16.15    43.68    23.32P    0.59R    0.16  
Torquay              12   16   +3      64.50     9.36     5.73     1.54     7.27    27.63    11.91P    1.54R    0.51  
Accrington_Stanley   12   15   +3      58.86     9.35    -1.72     0.34     2.33    12.06     4.20P    5.50R    1.99  
Macclesfield         12   15   -4      54.71     9.04   -14.38     0.07     0.65     4.83     1.33P   12.11R    4.82  
Oxford_Utd           12   14   +3      56.26     9.23    -2.22     0.19     1.30     7.56     2.66P    8.69R    3.30  
Burton_Albion        12   14   +1      57.42     9.33    -4.44     0.26     1.67     9.52     3.31P    6.88R    2.59  
Gillingham           12   14   -2      64.07     9.75     3.11     1.60     7.43    26.56    12.87P    1.92R    0.66  
Southend             12   14   -2      68.04     9.71     9.13     3.62    14.60    41.48    22.96P    0.73R    0.20  
Stockport            12   14   -4      57.51     9.72    -9.02     0.27     1.84    10.03     3.75P    8.21R    3.30  
Bradford             12   14   -5      59.08     9.17    -7.12     0.30     2.06    11.49     4.08P    5.08R    1.85  
Morecambe            12   13   -8      57.67     9.36   -11.47     0.26     1.60     9.25     3.20P    7.26R    2.70  
Lincoln_City         12   11   -8      48.51     8.68   -20.35     0.01     0.08     0.88     0.19P   30.99R   15.14  
Northampton          12   10   -7      59.48     9.28    -2.68     0.37     2.35    12.85     5.19P    4.65R    1.69  
Barnet               12    9  -13      43.51     8.72   -32.04     0.00     0.02     0.24     0.04P   55.51R   35.62  
Hereford             12    9  -15      46.84     8.90   -28.28     0.00     0.06     0.64     0.18P   39.52R   21.75  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 October 2010, AFC_Wimbledon vs Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      16   35  +15      84.40     8.34    28.02    24.45    83.58    37.90P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       16   33  +12      78.96     8.27    19.68     8.68    62.62    19.80P    0.00R    0.00  
Newport_County     16   30  +11      74.96     8.93    16.90     4.66    44.40    12.21P    0.05R    0.01  
Luton              15   27  +10      88.33     8.00    40.92    47.43    93.26    65.22P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     16   27   +8      69.52     8.73    10.22     1.21    22.24     5.27P    0.30R    0.02  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   16   27   +5      77.71     8.04    20.20     6.72    57.81    20.99P    0.00R    0.00  
Mansfield          16   24   +8      72.57     8.35    19.91     2.32    34.47    10.14P    0.08R    0.00  
Wrexham            16   24   +6      70.10     8.08    13.83     1.09    23.02     6.32P    0.09R    0.01  
Grimsby            16   23   +1      71.93     8.59    13.27     2.10    31.22    10.02P    0.12R    0.01  
Kidderminster      16   23   -2      65.97     8.29     0.60     0.37    10.76     2.33P    0.69R    0.05  
Gateshead          16   22   -2      56.52     7.96   -12.37     0.01     0.88     0.13P    7.62R    1.08  
Kettering          16   21   -2      64.25     8.11     1.38     0.15     7.26     1.66P    0.96R    0.09  
Darlington         16   20   +3      67.57     8.36    12.76     0.61    15.92     5.08P    0.37R    0.03  
Tamworth           16   20   -4      56.46     8.08   -11.70     0.01     1.06     0.18P    7.87R    1.37  
Eastbourne_Boro    16   19   -4      52.68     8.05   -18.77     0.00     0.30     0.02P   17.44R    3.36  
York               16   18   -4      61.35     8.21    -0.35     0.08     3.76     0.94P    2.26R    0.25  
Histon             16   18   -9      52.01     8.07   -20.68     0.00     0.27     0.04P   19.57R    4.22  
Cambridge_Utd      16   17   +1      63.06     8.26     8.81     0.10     6.37     1.65P    1.39R    0.17  
Southport          16   17   -3      51.06     8.39   -13.57     0.00     0.27     0.04P   23.04R    5.65  
Hayes_&_Yeading    16   17  -12      47.25     7.89   -31.69     0.00     0.05     0.00P   40.99R   12.84  
Bath_City          15   16   -5      50.65     8.70   -18.19     0.00     0.37     0.05P   26.08R    7.05  
Barrow             16   15   -4      48.90     7.95   -15.99     0.00     0.11     0.02P   30.36R    7.93  
Forest_Green       15   11  -11      43.02     8.20   -29.74     0.00     0.02     0.00P   60.69R   28.52  
Altrincham         15   10  -18      43.33     8.04   -33.45     0.00     0.01     0.00    60.02R   27.32