Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 17 October 2010 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 October 2010, Blackpool vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          8   19  +21      88.85     6.87    71.99    81.24    95.90    99.12    99.83    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         8   17   +7      67.49     8.19    21.54     1.28    11.25    31.88    59.19    85.64     0.00R    0.00  
Arsenal          8   14   +8      72.74     8.11    37.52     4.51    29.36    63.13    82.02    95.25     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          8   14   +7      77.72     7.51    45.73    12.73    59.11    84.14    94.10    99.07     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        8   14   +3      59.51     8.22     9.06     0.13     1.94     7.96    20.60    53.51     0.22R    0.01  
West_Brom        8   12   -3      49.93     8.83    -8.85     0.01     0.14     1.03     3.77    15.11     5.40R    0.96  
Bolton           8   11   +0      45.52     8.04   -12.42     0.00     0.02     0.20     0.92     5.59    10.69R    1.99  
Aston_Villa      8   11   -3      54.43     8.19    -0.38     0.02     0.45     2.43     7.65    28.52     1.15R    0.13  
Stoke            8   10   -2      42.65     7.71   -15.41     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.35     2.29    17.54R    3.77  
Blackpool        8   10   -5      38.70     8.16   -28.80     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.13     1.12    36.89R   12.12  
Everton          8    9   +1      55.89     8.27     9.25     0.03     0.67     3.79    11.10    37.00     0.79R    0.07  
Fulham           8    9   +0      46.29     7.89    -6.34     0.00     0.01     0.17     0.93     6.21     8.10R    1.42  
Wigan            8    9   -9      33.73     7.21   -38.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.09    63.21R   27.94  
Newcastle        8    8   +0      46.69     8.63    -5.06     0.00     0.07     0.42     1.58     9.01     9.41R    1.81  
Sunderland       7    8   +0      45.56     8.18    -8.87     0.00     0.02     0.15     0.91     5.96    10.74R    2.07  
Blackburn        7    8   -1      45.10     8.13   -10.89     0.00     0.01     0.15     0.75     5.14    11.78R    2.45  
Birmingham       8    7   -4      40.08     7.73   -16.77     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.12     1.19    27.49R    7.13  
Wolverhampton    8    6   -5      33.49     7.41   -28.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12    61.98R   27.69  
Liverpool        8    6   -6      58.20     8.14    10.47     0.07     1.04     5.29    15.90    48.14     0.38R    0.03  
West_Ham         8    6   -9      38.95     7.98   -24.05     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.12     1.06    34.23R   10.40  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 October 2010, Barnsley vs Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              11   27  +21      82.47     9.48    32.20    35.25    55.42    87.33    63.71P    0.01R    0.00  
Cardiff          11   23   +9      80.16     9.64    23.29    25.43    44.67    80.58    54.76P    0.07R    0.00  
Norwich          11   20   +4      69.87    10.14     6.51     4.92    12.19    42.18    18.99P    1.63R    0.27  
Swansea          11   19   +3      70.12     9.23     8.02     4.04    10.42    42.55    18.11P    0.93R    0.09  
Watford          11   18   +8      69.87     9.84    13.69     5.12    12.29    43.18    19.42P    1.40R    0.21  
Coventry         11   18   +3      61.62     9.25    -3.45     0.66     1.86    13.97     4.20P    7.11R    1.36  
Burnley          11   17   +7      73.22    10.17    19.74    10.08    21.36    56.93    31.89P    0.68R    0.08  
Leeds_United     11   17   -1      62.97    10.00    -4.78     1.23     3.62    18.78     6.68P    7.03R    1.43  
Reading          11   16   +4      70.76     9.49    14.24     5.15    12.91    46.57    22.47P    0.89R    0.11  
Millwall         11   16   +1      61.24     9.75    -3.08     0.66     2.17    14.28     4.65P    8.92R    1.99  
Ipswich          11   16   +1      62.79     9.22    -0.55     0.73     2.43    16.82     5.46P    5.58R    0.93  
Doncaster        11   16   -1      61.66     9.34    -4.35     0.53     1.89    14.15     4.30P    7.33R    1.36  
Derby            11   15   +6      60.91     9.38     2.67     0.51     1.75    13.36     4.17P    8.10R    1.70  
Barnsley         11   15   -2      55.71     9.27   -13.96     0.10     0.38     4.82     1.16P   21.32R    5.65  
Nott'm_Forest    11   13   +0      65.13     9.29     6.44     1.39     4.12    24.24     9.64P    3.37R    0.60  
Hull             11   13   -5      61.80     9.84    -3.49     0.81     2.42    15.59     5.72P    8.48R    1.91  
Portsmouth       11   12   -1      66.15     9.96     8.38     2.38     6.36    29.71    13.54P    3.43R    0.60  
Sheff_Utd        11   12   -7      60.60     9.31    -5.87     0.41     1.40    11.61     3.85P    9.23R    1.98  
Scunthorpe       11   11   -3      49.16     9.36   -20.21     0.01     0.10     1.24     0.24P   46.49R   19.29  
Middlesbrough    11   11   -7      60.55     9.37    -4.59     0.41     1.34    11.89     3.97P    9.43R    2.06  
Preston          11   10   -9      52.32     9.46   -19.30     0.05     0.20     2.27     0.60P   33.88R   12.51  
Leicester        11    9  -10      56.93     9.43   -10.22     0.14     0.58     6.27     1.99P   17.55R    4.70  
Crystal_Palace   11    8  -11      49.80     9.02   -19.95     0.01     0.07     1.05     0.31P   43.75R   16.84  
Bristol_City     11    7  -10      47.58     9.13   -21.37     0.01     0.04     0.63     0.18P   53.37R   24.36  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 October 2010, Bournemouth vs MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         12   25  +11      76.43     9.29    18.14    14.75    28.42    66.32    36.62P    0.25R    0.02  
Peterborough     12   22   +6      74.99    10.07    15.77    13.67    25.38    59.94    33.40P    0.75R    0.05  
Bournemouth      12   21  +12      69.87     9.85    15.26     5.57    12.16    40.47    18.22P    2.06R    0.15  
Sheff_Wed        12   20   +9      79.03     9.52    27.21    24.37    40.52    76.03    52.08P    0.13R    0.00  
Huddersfield     12   20   +6      75.58     9.44    19.71    13.42    26.18    63.56    36.03P    0.35R    0.01  
Carlisle         12   19   +7      69.29     9.22    12.50     3.94     9.20    37.23    15.60P    1.72R    0.09  
Exeter           12   19   -1      57.34     8.96   -13.68     0.19     0.65     5.20     1.36P   20.23R    2.50  
Oldham           12   18   +3      63.11     9.16     1.33     0.86     2.42    15.80     5.14P    6.83R    0.58  
Bristol_Rovers   12   18   -2      61.15     9.22    -7.24     0.60     1.73    11.33     3.57P   10.87R    0.97  
Colchester       12   17   +1      68.03     9.33     7.53     2.95     7.35    31.93    13.46P    2.55R    0.17  
MK_Dons          12   17   -1      65.62     9.38     1.90     1.74     4.40    22.99     8.58P    4.68R    0.32  
Rochdale         12   16   +4      61.62     9.81     2.27     0.91     2.51    14.42     5.05P   10.67R    1.35  
Notts_County     12   16   -2      60.49     9.81    -5.39     0.63     1.72    11.52     3.84P   13.90R    1.79  
Charlton         12   16   -3      68.53     9.46     5.80     3.60     8.42    33.74    15.63P    2.35R    0.16  
Southampton      12   15   +1      73.80     9.31    19.02     9.52    20.16    56.83    32.49P    0.59R    0.02  
Swindon          12   15   -1      65.16     9.45     4.13     1.69     4.39    22.34     8.70P    5.24R    0.43  
Hartlepool       12   15   -6      55.71     9.12   -15.34     0.14     0.44     3.92     1.04P   26.13R    4.22  
Yeovil           12   14   -8      52.04     8.88   -20.55     0.03     0.12     1.48     0.33P   41.26R    8.63  
Plymouth         12   13   -6      63.31     9.76    -0.52     1.21     3.21    17.38     6.86P    8.17R    0.90  
Leyton_Orient    12   12   -3      52.28     8.96   -11.96     0.04     0.15     1.81     0.46P   38.44R    7.36  
Brentford        12   12   -4      54.60     9.02    -9.26     0.10     0.27     2.89     0.84P   28.77R    4.97  
Walsall          12   11   -4      53.34     9.14   -10.55     0.05     0.19     2.38     0.61P   34.02R    6.41  
Dag_&_Red        12   11   -8      43.27     8.89   -31.15     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.03P   77.15R   38.24  
Tranmere         12   10  -11      47.04     8.74   -24.93     0.01     0.02     0.32     0.07P   62.89R   20.67  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 October 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         12   25  +11      79.12     9.56    22.25    24.37    52.96    82.01    60.11P    0.01R    0.00  
Port_Vale            12   24  +10      77.21     9.16    19.82    16.97    44.45    77.73    52.86P    0.02R    0.00  
Rotherham            12   23   +8      75.57     9.29    16.93    13.54    37.83    71.43    46.49P    0.05R    0.01  
Bury                 12   22   +7      72.61     9.37    12.99     8.15    26.65    59.72    34.13P    0.12R    0.01  
Shrewsbury           12   21   +8      74.20     9.35    17.84    10.84    32.92    66.67    41.69P    0.08R    0.02  
Wycombe              12   18   +5      73.33     9.65    17.89    10.04    30.59    63.05    40.59P    0.15R    0.03  
Aldershot            12   18   +1      65.50     9.31     2.29     1.73     8.30    30.06    13.15P    1.13R    0.36  
Stevenage            12   17   +3      62.33     9.52     1.31     1.00     5.06    20.62     8.64P    2.49R    0.81  
Cheltenham           12   17   -5      58.22     9.29   -13.96     0.30     1.69     9.88     3.14P    6.65R    2.43  
Crewe                12   16  +10      68.38     9.67    18.71     4.22    16.33    44.24    23.79P    0.56R    0.15  
Torquay              12   16   +3      64.47     9.40     5.76     1.48     7.54    27.42    12.10P    1.52R    0.44  
Accrington_Stanley   12   15   +3      59.11     9.41    -1.35     0.36     2.41    12.79     4.52P    5.23R    1.84  
Macclesfield         12   15   -4      54.97     9.05   -14.01     0.09     0.74     5.14     1.43P   11.14R    4.50  
Oxford_Utd           12   14   +3      56.32     9.17    -2.17     0.16     1.24     7.52     2.64P    7.98R    3.02  
Burton_Albion        12   14   +1      57.50     9.41    -4.26     0.31     1.81     9.59     3.46P    6.97R    2.56  
Gillingham           12   14   -2      63.63     9.72     2.55     1.45     6.80    25.27    11.93P    2.16R    0.65  
Southend             12   14   -2      68.01     9.74     9.06     3.81    14.54    41.57    22.55P    0.75R    0.23  
Stockport            12   14   -4      57.61     9.74    -8.84     0.29     2.00    10.28     3.76P    7.95R    3.06  
Bradford             12   14   -5      58.99     9.10    -7.24     0.26     1.95    10.95     3.98P    5.13R    1.73  
Morecambe            12   13   -8      57.70     9.42   -11.46     0.24     1.64     9.35     3.27P    7.48R    2.83  
Lincoln_City         12   11   -8      48.55     8.72   -20.26     0.01     0.06     0.90     0.20P   30.51R   14.62  
Northampton          12   10   -7      59.59     9.30    -2.61     0.39     2.43    12.97     5.35P    4.65R    1.68  
Barnet               12    9  -13      43.08     8.71   -32.83     0.00     0.01     0.24     0.05P   57.41R   37.43  
Hereford             12    9  -15      46.76     8.91   -28.42     0.01     0.06     0.59     0.18P   39.84R   21.58  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 October 2010, AFC_Wimbledon vs Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      16   35  +15      84.41     8.33    28.00    24.56    83.82    38.32P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       16   33  +12      79.11     8.24    19.93     8.97    63.44    20.27P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     16   30  +11      74.98     8.98    16.98     4.76    44.56    12.18P    0.06R    0.00  
Luton              15   27  +10      88.24     8.06    40.83    46.62    93.14    64.57P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     16   27   +8      69.28     8.81     9.77     1.34    21.66     5.29P    0.31R    0.04  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   16   27   +5      77.66     8.12    20.10     7.02    57.57    21.29P    0.00R    0.00  
Mansfield          16   24   +8      72.42     8.38    19.67     2.35    33.84     9.83P    0.07R    0.01  
Wrexham            16   24   +6      70.05     8.08    13.82     1.09    22.96     6.37P    0.09R    0.01  
Grimsby            16   23   +1      71.76     8.60    12.97     1.97    30.60     9.75P    0.13R    0.01  
Kidderminster      16   23   -2      66.00     8.34     0.60     0.37    10.92     2.32P    0.71R    0.07  
Gateshead          16   22   -2      56.46     8.03   -12.48     0.01     1.05     0.14P    7.84R    1.18  
Kettering          16   21   -2      64.21     8.17     1.30     0.16     7.39     1.58P    0.98R    0.11  
Darlington         16   20   +3      67.72     8.33    13.01     0.56    16.36     5.08P    0.34R    0.03  
Tamworth           16   20   -4      56.64     8.05   -11.37     0.01     1.05     0.16P    7.79R    1.29  
Eastbourne_Boro    16   19   -4      52.73     8.12   -18.63     0.00     0.40     0.04P   17.70R    3.57  
York               16   18   -4      61.49     8.14    -0.22     0.08     3.95     0.93P    2.12R    0.24  
Histon             16   18   -9      52.05     8.05   -20.57     0.00     0.25     0.03P   19.17R    4.10  
Cambridge_Utd      16   17   +1      63.10     8.27     8.81     0.13     6.34     1.76P    1.44R    0.17  
Southport          16   17   -3      51.00     8.41   -13.67     0.00     0.25     0.03P   23.38R    5.84  
Hayes_&_Yeading    16   17  -12      47.29     7.91   -31.61     0.00     0.06     0.01P   41.34R   13.02  
Bath_City          15   16   -5      50.63     8.68   -18.20     0.00     0.31     0.04P   26.07R    7.37  
Barrow             16   15   -4      48.91     7.87   -16.03     0.00     0.08     0.01P   30.11R    7.64  
Forest_Green       15   11  -11      43.03     8.16   -29.68     0.00     0.01     0.00    60.99R   27.94  
Altrincham         15   10  -18      43.45     8.12   -33.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.35R   27.37