Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 16 October 2010 at 21:15:02 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 October 2010, Arsenal vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          8   19  +21      88.97     6.86    72.18    81.37    95.86    99.22    99.85    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          8   14   +8      72.86     8.07    37.71     4.59    29.71    64.36    82.29    95.76     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          8   14   +7      77.87     7.47    45.75    12.71    59.98    84.85    94.30    99.15     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         7   14   +6      66.29     8.45    21.02     0.99     9.31    27.48    52.96    82.12     0.02R    0.00  
Tottenham        8   14   +3      59.52     8.26     9.03     0.15     1.93     7.92    20.77    54.34     0.20R    0.01  
West_Brom        8   12   -3      50.06     8.84    -8.66     0.01     0.15     1.01     3.83    15.51     5.47R    0.97  
Bolton           8   11   +0      45.44     8.08   -12.62     0.00     0.02     0.15     0.87     5.58    11.06R    2.07  
Aston_Villa      8   11   -3      54.27     8.24    -0.59     0.01     0.45     2.43     7.94    28.41     1.23R    0.16  
Stoke            8   10   -2      42.69     7.77   -15.27     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.32     2.68    17.81R    3.77  
Blackpool        7   10   -4      39.78     8.49   -27.73     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.29     1.82    33.08R   10.69  
Fulham           8    9   +0      46.17     7.88    -6.53     0.00     0.01     0.17     0.92     6.30     8.25R    1.36  
Wigan            8    9   -9      33.78     7.25   -38.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10    62.73R   28.00  
Newcastle        8    8   +0      46.45     8.63    -5.50     0.00     0.05     0.36     1.54     8.46     9.95R    1.97  
Sunderland       7    8   +0      45.62     8.23    -8.71     0.00     0.03     0.17     0.89     6.13    10.80R    2.16  
Blackburn        7    8   -1      44.88     8.17   -11.28     0.00     0.02     0.15     0.82     5.20    12.38R    2.57  
Birmingham       8    7   -4      39.94     7.69   -16.81     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.12     1.18    28.12R    7.36  
Everton          7    6   -1      53.24     8.45     5.57     0.01     0.32     2.03     7.06    26.24     1.87R    0.26  
Liverpool        7    6   -4      60.50     8.37    13.90     0.14     2.15     9.54    25.09    60.00     0.22R    0.03  
Wolverhampton    8    6   -5      33.51     7.37   -28.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12    61.92R   27.90  
West_Ham         8    6   -9      38.85     7.90   -24.11     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.13     0.92    34.88R   10.71  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 October 2010, Barnsley vs Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              11   27  +21      82.54     9.39    32.39    34.70    55.26    87.18    63.32P    0.02R    0.00  
Cardiff          11   23   +9      80.37     9.55    23.59    25.67    44.79    80.67    55.02P    0.04R    0.00  
Norwich          11   20   +4      70.24    10.04     7.14     5.21    12.54    42.75    19.50P    1.44R    0.18  
Swansea          11   19   +3      70.20     9.17     8.09     3.94    10.13    41.80    17.98P    0.79R    0.09  
Watford          11   18   +8      69.95     9.80    13.80     4.96    12.11    42.80    19.17P    1.33R    0.17  
Ipswich          11   18   +3      65.85     9.24     2.77     1.53     4.36    25.36     8.86P    2.69R    0.35  
Coventry         11   18   +2      61.19     9.29    -5.63     0.51     1.66    12.44     3.53P    7.96R    1.48  
Burnley          11   17   +7      73.18    10.18    19.66     9.73    20.63    55.64    30.88P    0.75R    0.10  
Leeds_United     11   17   -1      63.15     9.95    -4.64     1.25     3.50    18.55     6.58P    6.79R    1.36  
Reading          11   16   +4      70.90     9.52    14.54     5.28    13.03    46.20    22.77P    0.90R    0.10  
Millwall         11   16   +2      61.88     9.83    -1.42     0.74     2.40    15.56     5.12P    7.99R    1.52  
Doncaster        11   16   +0      62.06     9.23    -2.88     0.53     1.90    14.17     4.42P    6.51R    1.13  
Derby            11   15   +6      61.29     9.43     2.93     0.58     1.85    13.96     4.36P    7.66R    1.47  
Barnsley         11   15   -1      56.05     9.30   -12.70     0.14     0.45     4.99     1.26P   20.04R    4.82  
Nott'm_Forest    11   13   +0      65.34     9.35     6.74     1.52     4.33    24.40     9.74P    3.18R    0.49  
Hull             11   13   -6      61.14     9.79    -5.61     0.59     1.88    13.47     4.66P    9.44R    2.03  
Portsmouth       11   12   -1      66.01     9.98     8.16     2.22     6.02    28.43    12.84P    3.49R    0.58  
Sheff_Utd        11   12   -7      60.57     9.19    -6.04     0.38     1.23    10.71     3.60P    8.71R    1.78  
Scunthorpe       11   11   -3      49.40     9.33   -20.05     0.02     0.07     1.16     0.24P   45.58R   17.45  
Middlesbrough    11   11   -8      60.00     9.33    -6.44     0.32     1.11    10.00     3.34P   10.40R    2.25  
Preston          11   10   -9      52.75     9.34   -18.76     0.03     0.17     2.31     0.59P   31.79R   10.57  
Leicester        11    9  -10      57.05     9.40   -10.08     0.12     0.52     5.97     1.84P   17.04R    4.29  
Crystal_Palace   11    8  -11      49.92     9.06   -19.98     0.01     0.05     1.12     0.29P   43.05R   15.71  
Bristol_City     11    6  -12      45.47     9.17   -25.59     0.00     0.01     0.35     0.08P   62.43R   32.08  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 October 2010, Bournemouth vs MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         12   25  +11      76.36     9.36    18.10    15.01    28.20    66.13    36.51P    0.23R    0.01  
Peterborough     12   22   +6      75.17    10.06    16.06    14.07    26.02    60.66    34.26P    0.66R    0.04  
Bournemouth      12   21  +12      69.90     9.80    15.27     5.38    11.90    40.82    18.25P    2.07R    0.14  
Sheff_Wed        12   20   +9      79.05     9.67    27.24    24.51    40.79    75.85    52.17P    0.13R    0.00  
Huddersfield     12   20   +6      75.57     9.52    19.66    13.66    26.35    63.37    36.34P    0.38R    0.02  
Carlisle         12   19   +7      69.13     9.29    12.26     3.71     9.09    36.51    15.45P    1.84R    0.10  
Exeter           12   19   -1      57.42     8.85   -13.52     0.15     0.58     5.04     1.20P   20.12R    2.34  
Oldham           12   18   +3      63.11     9.10     1.27     0.82     2.46    15.79     5.08P    6.79R    0.52  
Bristol_Rovers   12   18   -2      60.98     9.19    -7.44     0.55     1.60    10.89     3.31P   11.34R    1.04  
Colchester       12   17   +1      68.05     9.35     7.59     3.03     7.40    32.14    13.51P    2.62R    0.17  
MK_Dons          12   17   -1      65.60     9.38     1.86     1.68     4.44    23.08     8.41P    4.71R    0.37  
Rochdale         12   16   +4      61.57     9.74     2.13     0.89     2.49    14.33     5.04P   10.71R    1.33  
Notts_County     12   16   -2      60.22     9.67    -5.82     0.62     1.69    10.60     3.46P   13.99R    1.73  
Charlton         12   16   -3      68.62     9.33     5.93     3.25     7.99    34.27    15.28P    2.27R    0.14  
Southampton      12   15   +1      73.79     9.26    19.02     9.49    20.09    57.09    32.41P    0.57R    0.03  
Swindon          12   15   -1      65.34     9.42     4.47     1.68     4.64    23.18     9.18P    4.84R    0.41  
Hartlepool       12   15   -6      55.91     9.14   -15.00     0.11     0.42     3.89     1.07P   25.80R    4.23  
Yeovil           12   14   -8      52.23     8.88   -20.26     0.04     0.12     1.54     0.33P   40.31R    8.20  
Plymouth         12   13   -6      63.34     9.69    -0.41     1.21     3.15    17.32     6.72P    8.05R    0.89  
Leyton_Orient    12   12   -3      52.45     8.93   -11.73     0.03     0.14     1.82     0.47P   37.62R    7.19  
Brentford        12   12   -4      54.64     8.91    -9.14     0.06     0.23     2.83     0.78P   28.48R    4.59  
Walsall          12   11   -4      53.00     9.16   -11.05     0.06     0.20     2.32     0.63P   35.70R    6.94  
Dag_&_Red        12   11   -8      43.08     9.01   -31.52     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.04P   77.56R   39.24  
Tranmere         12   10  -11      47.02     8.72   -24.98     0.00     0.01     0.33     0.07P   63.19R   20.32  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 October 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         12   25  +11      79.31     9.49    22.52    24.67    53.75    82.88    60.87P    0.01R    0.00  
Port_Vale            12   24  +10      77.38     9.22    20.03    17.69    45.54    78.24    53.94P    0.02R    0.00  
Rotherham            12   23   +8      75.32     9.29    16.61    12.83    36.81    70.48    45.49P    0.05R    0.01  
Bury                 12   22   +7      72.71     9.41    13.09     8.26    26.85    60.24    34.63P    0.14R    0.02  
Shrewsbury           12   21   +8      74.26     9.27    17.86    10.65    32.80    67.39    41.79P    0.06R    0.01  
Wycombe              12   18   +5      73.06     9.59    17.55     9.59    29.43    61.89    39.32P    0.14R    0.03  
Aldershot            12   18   +1      65.50     9.19     2.34     1.68     8.05    29.84    12.99P    1.06R    0.33  
Stevenage            12   17   +3      62.15     9.58     1.04     1.03     5.11    20.31     8.54P    2.76R    0.91  
Cheltenham           12   17   -5      58.32     9.26   -13.80     0.31     1.78     9.93     3.23P    6.46R    2.43  
Crewe                12   16  +10      68.38     9.70    18.77     4.33    16.45    44.42    23.73P    0.62R    0.18  
Torquay              12   16   +3      64.63     9.46     5.98     1.68     7.70    28.21    12.71P    1.54R    0.45  
Accrington_Stanley   12   15   +3      58.95     9.36    -1.59     0.35     2.38    12.10     4.34P    5.45R    1.96  
Macclesfield         12   15   -4      54.76     9.03   -14.29     0.07     0.61     4.91     1.36P   11.75R    4.68  
Oxford_Utd           12   14   +3      56.23     9.24    -2.32     0.20     1.31     7.50     2.62P    8.68R    3.25  
Burton_Albion        12   14   +1      57.42     9.34    -4.46     0.28     1.77     9.35     3.32P    7.08R    2.62  
Gillingham           12   14   -2      63.82     9.70     2.86     1.47     7.04    25.77    12.03P    2.01R    0.67  
Southend             12   14   -2      67.80     9.85     8.76     3.69    14.22    40.90    22.11P    0.86R    0.27  
Stockport            12   14   -4      57.42     9.69    -9.17     0.33     1.88     9.69     3.59P    8.35R    3.29  
Bradford             12   14   -5      59.11     9.21    -7.03     0.29     2.13    11.45     4.25P    5.11R    1.77  
Morecambe            12   13   -8      57.78     9.40   -11.34     0.24     1.72     9.40     3.26P    7.33R    2.81  
Lincoln_City         12   11   -8      48.62     8.70   -20.16     0.01     0.10     1.03     0.24P   30.28R   14.67  
Northampton          12   10   -7      59.56     9.35    -2.62     0.35     2.50    13.22     5.42P    4.86R    1.71  
Barnet               12    9  -13      43.37     8.65   -32.32     0.00     0.01     0.17     0.04P   55.71R   36.06  
Hereford             12    9  -15      46.84     8.97   -28.29     0.01     0.06     0.66     0.16P   39.67R   21.87  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 October 2010, AFC_Wimbledon vs Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      16   35  +15      84.50     8.39    28.18    24.92    83.82    38.61P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       16   33  +12      79.11     8.33    19.89     9.23    63.29    20.47P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     16   30  +11      75.14     8.90    17.18     4.85    45.41    12.43P    0.03R    0.00  
Luton              15   27  +10      88.26     8.04    40.85    46.76    93.10    64.71P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     16   27   +8      68.95     8.71     9.30     1.13    20.51     4.77P    0.31R    0.02  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   16   27   +5      77.46     8.07    19.85     6.37    56.61    20.47P    0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield          16   24   +8      72.45     8.33    19.74     2.20    34.14     9.67P    0.07R    0.01  
Wrexham            16   24   +6      70.26     8.08    14.05     1.13    23.92     6.66P    0.10R    0.00  
Grimsby            16   23   +1      71.69     8.52    12.87     1.99    30.03     9.59P    0.13R    0.00  
Kidderminster      16   23   -2      66.05     8.30     0.68     0.38    10.94     2.47P    0.66R    0.05  
Gateshead          16   22   -2      56.41     7.90   -12.49     0.01     0.90     0.10P    7.60R    1.12  
Kettering          16   21   -2      64.08     8.12     1.08     0.14     7.15     1.61P    1.03R    0.11  
Darlington         16   20   +3      67.77     8.41    13.08     0.64    16.84     5.21P    0.38R    0.03  
Tamworth           16   20   -4      56.52     8.09   -11.59     0.02     1.05     0.15P    7.97R    1.37  
Eastbourne_Boro    16   19   -4      52.90     8.14   -18.35     0.00     0.36     0.04P   16.87R    3.55  
York               16   18   -4      61.57     8.20    -0.07     0.08     4.22     1.10P    2.20R    0.26  
Histon             16   18   -9      52.01     8.05   -20.64     0.00     0.29     0.05P   19.46R    4.11  
Cambridge_Utd      16   17   +1      63.18     8.23     8.98     0.13     6.64     1.76P    1.37R    0.17  
Southport          16   17   -3      50.60     8.32   -14.28     0.00     0.20     0.03P   24.78R    6.13  
Hayes_&_Yeading    16   17  -12      47.39     7.99   -31.44     0.00     0.05     0.00P   40.72R   12.77  
Bath_City          15   16   -5      50.90     8.75   -17.79     0.00     0.41     0.06P   25.50R    6.82  
Barrow             16   15   -4      49.00     7.92   -15.90     0.00     0.10     0.02P   30.00R    7.81  
Forest_Green       15   11  -11      43.03     8.13   -29.69     0.00     0.01     0.00P   60.81R   28.16  
Altrincham         15   10  -18      43.40     8.06   -33.49     0.00     0.01     0.00    60.01R   27.49