Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 15 October 2010 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 October 2010, Chelsea vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          7   18  +21      90.23     7.01    74.68    80.43    96.66    99.44    99.91    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         7   14   +6      66.07     8.48    20.76     0.63     7.18    26.62    54.04    82.21     0.02R    0.00  
Man_Utd          7   13   +7      80.21     7.54    49.95    15.64    69.54    90.45    96.88    99.58     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          7   11   +7      72.32     8.27    38.69     3.15    23.34    62.50    81.59    95.15     0.00R    0.00  
Tottenham        7   11   +2      57.18     8.40     6.89     0.03     0.91     5.14    15.22    44.30     0.55R    0.05  
West_Brom        7   11   -3      47.94     8.89   -13.53     0.00     0.09     0.66     2.57    11.68     8.95R    1.73  
Stoke            7   10   -1      44.05     7.91   -14.25     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.62     4.09    14.22R    2.77  
Aston_Villa      7   10   -3      53.69     8.43    -2.43     0.02     0.34     2.39     7.84    27.77     1.73R    0.20  
Blackpool        7   10   -4      40.09     8.47   -27.37     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.29     2.09    32.00R    9.65  
Fulham           7    9   +1      48.19     8.04    -4.63     0.00     0.04     0.46     2.07    10.69     5.61R    0.86  
Sunderland       7    8   +0      45.69     8.10    -8.85     0.00     0.02     0.20     0.94     6.49    10.50R    1.79  
Bolton           7    8   -1      43.87     8.19   -13.67     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.77     4.45    15.88R    3.46  
Blackburn        7    8   -1      45.01     8.18   -11.33     0.00     0.02     0.17     0.88     5.72    12.43R    2.52  
Wigan            7    8   -9      32.97     7.35   -40.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12    67.48R   32.68  
Newcastle        7    7   +0      48.86     8.90    -2.18     0.00     0.11     0.90     3.36    14.76     6.79R    1.25  
Birmingham       7    7   -3      40.06     7.83   -18.29     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.13     1.36    28.86R    7.42  
Everton          7    6   -1      53.57     8.36     6.03     0.01     0.24     2.19     8.02    28.78     1.76R    0.21  
Liverpool        7    6   -4      60.08     8.33    13.33     0.09     1.48     8.54    24.70    59.34     0.21R    0.03  
Wolverhampton    7    5   -5      34.29     7.65   -28.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.21    58.60R   24.59  
West_Ham         7    5   -9      39.18     8.12   -24.40     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.13     1.20    34.42R   10.79  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 October 2010, Barnsley vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              10   26  +21      83.85     9.72    33.91    38.28    58.32    88.88    66.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Cardiff          10   20   +8      79.54     9.68    23.89    21.10    39.76    78.01    50.63P    0.07R    0.00  
Norwich          10   19   +4      69.88    10.28     5.79     4.71    11.48    41.16    18.09P    1.74R    0.26  
Watford          10   18   +9      70.83     9.96    14.03     5.58    13.15    45.64    20.46P    1.18R    0.16  
Ipswich          10   18   +4      69.06     9.50     6.59     2.88     8.08    37.09    14.19P    1.44R    0.20  
Burnley          10   16   +7      73.42    10.25    19.47     9.18    20.08    56.24    30.77P    0.74R    0.11  
Reading          10   16   +5      73.70     9.74    17.83     8.53    19.39    57.36    30.41P    0.44R    0.06  
Swansea          10   16   +2      67.10     9.36     5.01     2.03     5.55    29.28    11.21P    2.07R    0.33  
Coventry         10   15   +1      57.87     9.32    -9.19     0.20     0.78     6.93     1.83P   14.69R    3.62  
Leeds_United     10   14   -2      59.83    10.12    -8.41     0.57     1.78    11.63     3.75P   12.58R    3.21  
Nott'm_Forest    10   13   +2      67.40     9.52     9.76     2.20     6.24    31.98    13.17P    2.22R    0.40  
Millwall         10   13   +1      59.07    10.04    -4.47     0.36     1.34    10.40     3.20P   13.74R    3.53  
Doncaster        10   13   -2      59.11     9.50    -6.90     0.26     0.98     9.18     2.69P   12.18R    2.84  
Derby            10   12   +3      58.70     9.54    -1.78     0.30     0.94     9.14     2.68P   12.79R    3.27  
Barnsley         10   12   -3      53.74     9.35   -15.66     0.04     0.26     3.11     0.79P   27.58R    8.46  
Hull             10   12   -6      60.99     9.95    -6.47     0.59     1.85    13.20     4.37P   10.11R    2.53  
Scunthorpe       10   11   -1      52.35     9.57   -15.20     0.06     0.22     2.60     0.67P   33.39R   11.52  
Middlesbrough    10   11   -7      63.08     9.56    -2.87     0.74     2.42    17.17     6.10P    6.24R    1.27  
Sheff_Utd        10   11   -7      61.03     9.42    -5.79     0.39     1.41    12.07     3.95P    8.51R    1.84  
Preston          10   10   -6      54.85     9.66   -14.67     0.10     0.40     4.12     1.09P   24.80R    8.21  
Portsmouth       10    9   -2      64.82    10.16     7.91     1.68     4.74    24.81    10.94P    4.89R    0.97  
Leicester        10    8  -10      57.83     9.62    -9.54     0.19     0.67     7.37     2.25P   15.65R    4.27  
Crystal_Palace   10    8  -10      52.59     9.32   -17.17     0.03     0.14     2.25     0.56P   32.20R   11.03  
Bristol_City     10    6  -11      45.89     9.14   -26.06     0.01     0.02     0.39     0.09P   60.72R   31.88  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 11 October 2010, Swindon vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         11   22   +7      72.11     9.46    10.38     7.67    15.82    47.64    22.23P    0.84R    0.04  
Carlisle         11   19   +8      71.03     9.49    14.08     6.26    13.70    44.16    20.43P    1.29R    0.07  
Peterborough     11   19   +5      73.12    10.32    14.29    11.51    21.07    52.37    28.61P    1.17R    0.10  
Bournemouth      11   18  +11      67.90    10.08    13.85     4.31     9.48    33.30    14.52P    3.15R    0.22  
Sheff_Wed        11   17   +7      76.71     9.78    24.17    18.47    32.50    67.80    43.80P    0.31R    0.02  
Huddersfield     11   17   +4      72.98     9.72    16.23    10.04    19.41    52.60    27.98P    0.87R    0.05  
Oldham           11   17   +3      63.25     9.38     0.93     1.13     3.03    16.51     5.66P    6.98R    0.58  
MK_Dons          11   17   +0      67.18     9.56     3.21     2.92     6.96    28.29    11.64P    3.50R    0.28  
Rochdale         11   16   +5      63.08    10.00     3.46     1.47     3.79    18.34     6.90P    8.39R    1.04  
Charlton         11   16   +1      72.54     9.49    13.72     8.58    17.63    50.34    27.14P    0.71R    0.02  
Colchester       11   16   +1      68.83     9.53     8.13     4.05     9.06    34.93    15.50P    2.03R    0.15  
Exeter           11   16   -2      55.09     9.09   -15.48     0.09     0.36     3.38     0.81P   27.89R    4.69  
Southampton      11   15   +3      76.48     9.39    23.00    17.04    30.85    67.23    43.20P    0.27R    0.01  
Swindon          11   15   +0      66.54     9.63     5.22     2.61     6.38    27.19    11.41P    4.00R    0.30  
Bristol_Rovers   11   15   -3      58.96     9.41    -9.04     0.39     1.13     7.86     2.36P   15.78R    2.02  
Hartlepool       11   15   -5      57.40     9.38   -13.89     0.21     0.76     5.84     1.70P   20.60R    3.29  
Yeovil           11   14   -6      54.00     9.06   -17.46     0.07     0.23     2.66     0.64P   32.07R    5.82  
Notts_County     11   13   -4      57.46     9.90    -9.52     0.35     1.05     7.14     2.27P   21.54R    3.52  
Plymouth         11   13   -4      66.18     9.94     3.74     2.67     6.22    26.11    11.46P    4.92R    0.51  
Walsall          11   10   -4      53.74     9.41   -10.49     0.11     0.31     2.85     0.83P   32.14R    6.55  
Dag_&_Red        11   10   -8      43.49     9.24   -31.38     0.01     0.02     0.25     0.05P   75.07R   37.84  
Tranmere         11   10   -8      49.99     8.95   -19.32     0.02     0.06     0.81     0.21P   48.64R   12.47  
Leyton_Orient    11    9   -4      50.38     9.05   -13.37     0.02     0.06     1.10     0.27P   45.65R   10.88  
Brentford        11    9   -7      51.33     8.99   -14.46     0.02     0.10     1.30     0.39P   42.19R    9.54  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 October 2010, Barnet vs Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale            11   23  +10      78.05     9.42    20.52    21.39    49.53    80.00    57.27P    0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield         11   22  +10      76.34     9.65    19.41    17.24    43.21    74.20    51.12P    0.03R    0.01  
Rotherham            11   20   +7      72.67     9.48    14.05     8.91    28.40    60.60    36.52P    0.11R    0.02  
Bury                 11   19   +6      69.91     9.58    10.47     5.60    19.61    49.32    26.54P    0.32R    0.08  
Shrewsbury           11   18   +6      72.35     9.46    15.52     8.43    27.41    60.05    35.82P    0.15R    0.02  
Wycombe              11   18   +6      75.65     9.90    20.27    16.91    41.07    71.45    50.28P    0.05R    0.02  
Cheltenham           11   17   -3      60.05     9.44   -11.10     0.57     3.20    14.15     5.12P    4.34R    1.44  
Torquay              11   16   +4      66.50     9.56     7.83     2.74    11.68    35.74    17.35P    0.81R    0.23  
Accrington_Stanley   11   15   +4      60.72     9.53     0.26     0.71     4.05    17.20     6.60P    3.70R    1.29  
Aldershot            11   15   +0      64.18     9.49     1.85     1.56     7.30    26.62    11.45P    1.63R    0.52  
Oxford_Utd           11   14   +4      58.00     9.33    -0.41     0.29     2.07    10.69     3.97P    5.75R    2.09  
Burton_Albion        11   14   +2      58.96     9.60    -3.05     0.50     2.99    13.25     5.09P    5.22R    1.79  
Stevenage            11   14   +2      60.44     9.83     0.04     0.85     4.32    17.26     7.40P    4.06R    1.43  
Southend             11   14   +0      71.34    10.07    14.09     8.14    25.65    55.72    34.92P    0.32R    0.07  
Crewe                11   13   +8      64.94     9.89    13.78     2.40    10.29    32.12    16.19P    1.46R    0.42  
Gillingham           11   13   -2      63.84     9.97     2.29     1.83     8.06    27.03    13.20P    2.07R    0.62  
Morecambe            11   13   -7      58.97     9.53   -10.44     0.44     2.61    12.39     4.56P    5.52R    2.00  
Macclesfield         11   12   -5      52.75     9.12   -15.50     0.04     0.46     3.34     0.98P   16.40R    7.08  
Stockport            11   11   -5      56.24     9.89    -9.33     0.34     1.80     8.75     3.42P    9.90R    4.10  
Lincoln_City         11   11   -6      49.97     8.90   -18.00     0.03     0.18     1.64     0.42P   24.18R   10.74  
Bradford             11   11   -7      56.77     9.36    -9.92     0.22     1.46     8.13     2.90P    8.03R    3.04  
Northampton          11   10   -6      62.02     9.37     0.13     0.86     4.61    19.65     8.71P    2.57R    0.83  
Barnet               11    9  -12      44.25     8.92   -31.87     0.00     0.03     0.37     0.08P   50.80R   30.14  
Hereford             11    6  -16      43.73     8.89   -30.87     0.00     0.02     0.32     0.07P   52.58R   32.04  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 October 2010, Fleetwood_Town vs Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       15   33  +13      81.64     8.41    22.64    16.46    73.95    28.31P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      15   32  +14      83.77     8.50    28.72    24.58    81.65    37.97P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     15   27  +10      71.95     9.11    13.90     2.95    32.30     8.53P    0.15R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town     15   27   +9      71.18     9.05    11.57     2.39    29.18     7.32P    0.20R    0.02  
Luton              14   24   +8      86.65     8.28    38.82    39.53    89.96    58.85P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   15   24   +4      75.92     8.28    18.95     5.18    49.56    17.63P    0.03R    0.00  
Mansfield          15   23   +8      73.31     8.47    20.58     3.10    38.29    11.36P    0.07R    0.00  
Grimsby            15   22   +1      73.32     8.67    14.98     3.33    37.43    12.40P    0.08R    0.00  
Gateshead          15   22   -1      57.08     8.05   -12.90     0.02     1.24     0.17P    7.32R    1.07  
Kidderminster      15   22   -2      65.97     8.47    -0.04     0.45    11.54     2.75P    0.81R    0.08  
Wrexham            15   21   +3      67.39     8.31     9.24     0.71    15.07     4.02P    0.38R    0.03  
Kettering          15   20   -2      65.08     8.26     2.07     0.24     9.11     2.21P    0.89R    0.09  
Tamworth           15   20   -3      58.05     8.28   -10.32     0.02     1.83     0.24P    6.32R    0.93  
Darlington         15   19   +3      67.24     8.59    11.81     0.78    16.00     5.00P    0.57R    0.06  
Eastbourne_Boro    15   19   -2      54.09     8.23   -16.67     0.01     0.63     0.08P   14.31R    2.61  
York               15   17   -4      62.94     8.32     1.42     0.17     5.79     1.54P    1.82R    0.20  
Hayes_&_Yeading    15   17   -9      49.65     8.15   -26.93     0.00     0.12     0.01P   31.19R    8.31  
Southport          15   16   -3      49.85     8.42   -16.19     0.00     0.24     0.04P   29.47R    7.54  
Barrow             15   15   -2      50.33     8.07   -13.88     0.00     0.19     0.04P   25.63R    5.89  
Bath_City          14   15   -5      50.30     8.82   -19.57     0.00     0.34     0.05P   29.07R    8.35  
Histon             15   15  -10      49.54     8.17   -23.32     0.00     0.14     0.02P   30.70R    8.13  
Cambridge_Utd      15   14   -1      61.90     8.46     7.55     0.10     5.39     1.46P    2.41R    0.32  
Forest_Green       14   11  -10      45.56     8.42   -27.06     0.00     0.04     0.01P   49.45R   19.13  
Altrincham         14    7  -19      41.46     8.23   -35.36     0.00     0.01     0.00    69.13R   37.22