Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 14 October 2010 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 October 2010, Chelsea vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          7   18  +21      90.21     7.05    74.79    79.89    96.45    99.41    99.90    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         7   14   +6      66.21     8.40    20.92     0.67     7.18    27.01    54.81    83.08     0.05R    0.00  
Man_Utd          7   13   +7      80.39     7.52    50.54    16.30    70.37    90.80    97.03    99.58     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          7   11   +7      72.24     8.22    38.47     2.96    22.87    61.98    81.51    95.11     0.00R    0.00  
Tottenham        7   11   +2      57.19     8.39     6.90     0.06     0.87     5.12    15.09    44.29     0.59R    0.05  
West_Brom        7   11   -3      47.75     8.83   -13.89     0.00     0.09     0.65     2.45    11.19     9.24R    1.91  
Stoke            7   10   -1      43.94     7.91   -14.42     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.58     4.04    14.78R    2.88  
Aston_Villa      7   10   -3      53.58     8.38    -2.58     0.00     0.28     2.18     7.38    27.38     1.79R    0.22  
Blackpool        7   10   -4      40.06     8.41   -27.44     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.34     2.11    32.07R    9.40  
Fulham           7    9   +1      48.14     8.04    -4.68     0.00     0.03     0.50     1.97    10.68     5.77R    0.81  
Sunderland       7    8   +0      45.68     8.12    -8.85     0.00     0.03     0.21     1.03     6.57    10.74R    1.89  
Bolton           7    8   -1      44.08     8.23   -13.33     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.72     4.65    15.31R    3.50  
Blackburn        7    8   -1      45.03     8.11   -11.25     0.00     0.02     0.14     0.81     5.49    12.33R    2.43  
Wigan            7    8   -9      33.11     7.35   -40.77     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.12    66.82R   32.02  
Newcastle        7    7   +0      48.82     8.85    -2.31     0.00     0.09     0.86     3.28    14.34     6.72R    1.29  
Birmingham       7    7   -3      40.02     7.79   -18.49     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.16     1.31    29.30R    7.60  
Everton          7    6   -1      53.28     8.39     5.57     0.01     0.25     2.10     7.58    27.94     1.81R    0.22  
Liverpool        7    6   -4      60.27     8.29    13.60     0.10     1.48     8.61    25.13    60.57     0.23R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    7    5   -5      34.27     7.62   -28.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.18    58.62R   24.93  
West_Ham         7    5   -9      39.32     8.18   -24.17     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.18     1.38    33.84R   10.82  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 October 2010, Barnsley vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              10   26  +21      84.03     9.68    34.21    39.79    59.48    89.17    66.96P    0.01R    0.00  
Cardiff          10   20   +8      79.26     9.70    23.48    20.35    38.85    77.17    49.70P    0.07R    0.00  
Norwich          10   19   +4      69.40    10.24     5.01     4.37    10.55    38.98    16.66P    1.97R    0.31  
Watford          10   18   +9      70.85     9.93    14.00     5.47    13.25    45.75    20.90P    1.02R    0.15  
Ipswich          10   18   +4      69.14     9.55     6.72     2.95     8.37    37.78    14.97P    1.40R    0.17  
Burnley          10   16   +7      73.21    10.32    19.11     9.03    19.80    55.55    29.92P    0.76R    0.12  
Reading          10   16   +5      73.75     9.61    17.87     8.39    19.37    58.03    30.44P    0.39R    0.04  
Swansea          10   16   +2      67.14     9.33     5.13     1.91     5.62    29.56    11.49P    2.05R    0.28  
Coventry         10   15   +1      58.09     9.29    -8.88     0.23     0.77     7.26     1.99P   14.18R    3.43  
Leeds_United     10   14   -2      59.88    10.10    -8.34     0.53     1.80    11.95     3.87P   12.45R    3.31  
Nott'm_Forest    10   13   +2      67.67     9.58    10.14     2.42     6.71    32.78    13.78P    2.17R    0.38  
Millwall         10   13   +1      59.20    10.01    -4.25     0.41     1.35    10.67     3.24P   13.32R    3.38  
Doncaster        10   13   -2      59.26     9.52    -6.67     0.27     1.08     9.29     2.82P   12.09R    2.79  
Derby            10   12   +3      58.76     9.61    -1.65     0.32     1.15     9.22     2.90P   12.92R    3.20  
Barnsley         10   12   -3      53.58     9.40   -15.85     0.06     0.24     3.00     0.71P   28.71R    9.14  
Hull             10   12   -6      60.71     9.91    -6.82     0.49     1.62    12.73     4.27P   10.43R    2.50  
Scunthorpe       10   11   -1      52.49     9.58   -14.95     0.04     0.22     2.78     0.66P   32.84R   11.20  
Middlesbrough    10   11   -7      62.89     9.55    -3.09     0.62     2.26    16.89     5.80P    6.46R    1.36  
Sheff_Utd        10   11   -7      61.17     9.31    -5.56     0.36     1.40    12.13     3.96P    8.14R    1.76  
Preston          10   10   -6      54.77     9.65   -14.77     0.11     0.38     4.11     1.06P   25.32R    8.18  
Portsmouth       10    9   -2      64.87    10.15     7.93     1.64     4.88    24.90    11.02P    4.75R    0.95  
Leicester        10    8  -10      58.03     9.57    -9.24     0.18     0.70     7.65     2.27P   15.08R    3.81  
Crystal_Palace   10    8  -10      52.49     9.29   -17.37     0.03     0.10     2.19     0.51P   32.77R   11.03  
Bristol_City     10    6  -11      45.89     9.26   -26.17     0.01     0.02     0.46     0.10P   60.71R   32.51  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 11 October 2010, Swindon vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         11   22   +7      72.22     9.47    10.43     7.76    16.13    48.16    22.50P    0.93R    0.06  
Carlisle         11   19   +8      71.25     9.48    14.42     6.67    14.34    44.89    21.41P    1.04R    0.04  
Peterborough     11   19   +5      73.23    10.33    14.42    11.58    21.49    53.10    29.12P    1.23R    0.12  
Bournemouth      11   18  +11      67.97     9.99    13.95     4.27     9.21    33.30    14.46P    3.14R    0.22  
Sheff_Wed        11   17   +7      76.60     9.80    24.02    18.40    32.00    67.04    43.00P    0.32R    0.02  
Huddersfield     11   17   +4      73.08     9.56    16.37     9.65    19.35    53.21    28.22P    0.74R    0.03  
Oldham           11   17   +3      63.64     9.37     1.46     1.21     3.21    17.55     5.96P    6.37R    0.58  
MK_Dons          11   17   +0      67.16     9.55     3.28     2.88     6.77    28.49    11.45P    3.48R    0.27  
Rochdale         11   16   +5      63.14    10.12     3.49     1.76     4.10    18.33     7.27P    8.70R    0.98  
Charlton         11   16   +1      72.36     9.51    13.47     8.36    17.08    49.33    26.35P    0.87R    0.02  
Colchester       11   16   +1      68.62     9.55     7.91     3.99     8.99    34.08    15.23P    2.31R    0.13  
Exeter           11   16   -2      54.92     9.04   -15.76     0.13     0.33     3.12     0.76P   28.02R    4.47  
Southampton      11   15   +3      76.40     9.46    22.97    16.90    30.69    66.87    43.01P    0.27R    0.01  
Swindon          11   15   +0      66.35     9.63     4.95     2.47     6.15    26.22    10.88P    4.11R    0.37  
Bristol_Rovers   11   15   -3      59.11     9.39    -8.80     0.36     1.12     8.22     2.44P   15.36R    1.93  
Hartlepool       11   15   -5      57.45     9.40   -13.85     0.25     0.72     5.76     1.64P   20.90R    3.18  
Yeovil           11   14   -6      53.94     9.07   -17.54     0.08     0.28     2.52     0.71P   32.01R    5.74  
Notts_County     11   13   -4      57.45     9.95    -9.62     0.36     1.04     7.15     2.25P   21.41R    3.60  
Plymouth         11   13   -4      66.15    10.05     3.72     2.76     6.40    26.07    11.62P    4.97R    0.54  
Walsall          11   10   -4      53.73     9.43   -10.46     0.09     0.33     3.03     0.86P   32.15R    6.32  
Dag_&_Red        11   10   -8      43.21     9.19   -31.89     0.00     0.01     0.17     0.02P   76.08R   38.64  
Tranmere         11   10   -8      50.12     9.04   -19.14     0.01     0.06     0.93     0.22P   48.19R   12.19  
Leyton_Orient    11    9   -4      50.36     9.14   -13.35     0.03     0.10     1.16     0.31P   45.68R   11.07  
Brentford        11    9   -7      51.29     9.02   -14.46     0.03     0.11     1.30     0.34P   41.74R    9.49  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 October 2010, Barnet vs Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale            11   23  +10      77.98     9.55    20.44    21.56    49.52    79.52    57.15P    0.02R    0.00  
Chesterfield         11   22  +10      76.16     9.57    19.10    16.72    42.44    73.74    50.30P    0.04R    0.01  
Rotherham            11   20   +7      72.91     9.45    14.42     9.44    29.28    61.78    37.72P    0.10R    0.02  
Bury                 11   19   +6      69.89     9.47    10.45     5.38    19.51    49.32    26.36P    0.29R    0.06  
Shrewsbury           11   18   +6      72.38     9.46    15.54     8.49    27.64    60.11    35.98P    0.14R    0.03  
Wycombe              11   18   +6      75.52     9.85    20.09    16.54    40.59    71.27    49.70P    0.07R    0.02  
Cheltenham           11   17   -3      60.12     9.44   -10.91     0.52     3.12    14.43     5.17P    4.37R    1.53  
Torquay              11   16   +4      66.64     9.52     8.06     2.86    11.78    36.39    17.61P    0.83R    0.24  
Accrington_Stanley   11   15   +4      60.69     9.57     0.21     0.79     4.10    17.11     6.71P    3.78R    1.32  
Aldershot            11   15   +0      64.16     9.49     1.84     1.45     7.33    26.54    11.52P    1.55R    0.51  
Oxford_Utd           11   14   +4      58.16     9.34    -0.11     0.41     2.23    10.99     4.17P    5.65R    1.98  
Burton_Albion        11   14   +2      59.11     9.51    -2.76     0.56     3.01    13.33     5.19P    4.89R    1.61  
Stevenage            11   14   +2      60.25     9.69    -0.19     0.77     3.97    16.19     6.73P    4.06R    1.44  
Southend             11   14   +0      71.23    10.10    13.91     8.14    25.48    55.41    34.84P    0.40R    0.10  
Crewe                11   13   +8      64.93     9.98    13.67     2.63    10.67    32.25    16.43P    1.42R    0.43  
Gillingham           11   13   -2      63.57     9.96     1.87     1.87     7.94    26.15    12.83P    2.23R    0.72  
Morecambe            11   13   -7      59.12     9.54   -10.25     0.45     2.63    12.69     4.65P    5.45R    1.88  
Macclesfield         11   12   -5      52.73     9.12   -15.53     0.05     0.46     3.41     0.95P   16.30R    7.03  
Stockport            11   11   -5      56.15     9.94    -9.50     0.29     1.86     8.68     3.36P   10.52R    4.46  
Lincoln_City         11   11   -6      49.97     8.83   -17.87     0.01     0.15     1.58     0.40P   23.88R   10.80  
Bradford             11   11   -7      56.84     9.33    -9.84     0.19     1.41     8.10     2.94P    7.96R    3.00  
Northampton          11   10   -6      62.16     9.40     0.30     0.87     4.82    20.33     9.10P    2.52R    0.85  
Barnet               11    9  -12      44.32     8.89   -31.75     0.00     0.03     0.38     0.10P   50.06R   29.39  
Hereford             11    6  -16      43.59     8.85   -31.19     0.00     0.02     0.29     0.08P   53.48R   32.55  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 October 2010, Fleetwood_Town vs Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       15   33  +13      81.40     8.42    22.35    15.84    72.90    27.79P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      15   32  +14      83.60     8.45    28.41    24.21    81.35    37.14P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     15   27  +10      72.11     9.08    14.09     3.01    32.66     8.65P    0.15R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     15   27   +9      71.40     9.06    11.93     2.54    29.79     7.47P    0.21R    0.02  
Luton              14   24   +8      86.68     8.30    38.80    39.93    90.07    59.46P    0.00R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   15   24   +4      75.77     8.27    18.74     5.17    48.71    17.41P    0.02R    0.00  
Mansfield          15   23   +8      73.19     8.58    20.43     3.38    38.06    11.87P    0.08R    0.01  
Grimsby            15   22   +1      73.33     8.70    14.97     3.37    37.77    12.48P    0.07R    0.00  
Gateshead          15   22   -1      57.04     8.13   -13.06     0.01     1.27     0.17P    7.52R    1.01  
Kidderminster      15   22   -2      65.85     8.51    -0.19     0.46    11.09     2.51P    0.94R    0.09  
Wrexham            15   21   +3      67.60     8.29     9.58     0.73    15.85     4.29P    0.36R    0.02  
Kettering          15   20   -2      65.06     8.21     2.07     0.24     9.13     2.12P    0.92R    0.08  
Tamworth           15   20   -3      58.09     8.30   -10.33     0.02     1.80     0.30P    6.27R    0.93  
Darlington         15   19   +3      67.35     8.64    11.99     0.80    16.51     5.02P    0.56R    0.04  
Eastbourne_Boro    15   19   -2      54.06     8.26   -16.66     0.00     0.65     0.08P   14.40R    2.65  
York               15   17   -4      62.98     8.32     1.46     0.17     6.08     1.55P    1.69R    0.17  
Hayes_&_Yeading    15   17   -9      49.72     8.16   -26.75     0.00     0.14     0.02P   30.48R    7.89  
Southport          15   16   -3      50.06     8.48   -15.89     0.00     0.22     0.04P   28.59R    7.20  
Barrow             15   15   -2      50.19     8.09   -14.09     0.00     0.17     0.01P   26.31R    6.17  
Bath_City          14   15   -5      50.45     8.83   -19.32     0.01     0.41     0.07P   28.50R    8.11  
Histon             15   15  -10      49.66     8.26   -23.21     0.00     0.17     0.04P   30.69R    8.04  
Cambridge_Utd      15   14   -1      61.78     8.46     7.35     0.09     5.14     1.50P    2.59R    0.33  
Forest_Green       14   11  -10      45.46     8.43   -27.17     0.00     0.05     0.01P   50.12R   19.28  
Altrincham         14    7  -19      41.36     8.27   -35.51     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.54R   37.96