Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 13 October 2010 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 October 2010, Chelsea vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          7   18  +21      90.30     7.03    74.77    80.49    96.50    99.49    99.90   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         7   14   +6      66.04     8.38    20.70     0.66     7.08    26.06    53.55    82.40     0.02R    0.00  
Man_Utd          7   13   +7      80.18     7.50    49.78    15.60    69.47    90.71    96.90    99.60     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          7   11   +7      72.39     8.23    38.83     3.05    23.56    62.66    81.67    95.17     0.01R    0.00  
Tottenham        7   11   +2      57.23     8.45     6.99     0.06     0.92     5.36    15.48    44.54     0.55R    0.04  
West_Brom        7   11   -3      47.90     8.86   -13.54     0.00     0.09     0.65     2.54    11.53     8.74R    1.74  
Stoke            7   10   -1      44.04     7.92   -14.30     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.63     4.06    14.77R    2.80  
Aston_Villa      7   10   -3      53.75     8.36    -2.30     0.02     0.37     2.31     7.76    27.70     1.72R    0.22  
Blackpool        7   10   -4      39.94     8.44   -27.64     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.30     1.98    32.51R    9.95  
Fulham           7    9   +1      47.99     7.96    -4.85     0.00     0.03     0.40     1.83    10.13     5.60R    0.79  
Sunderland       7    8   +0      45.67     8.09    -8.86     0.00     0.02     0.22     1.00     6.33    10.50R    1.83  
Bolton           7    8   -1      44.15     8.23   -13.18     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.69     4.84    15.01R    3.38  
Blackburn        7    8   -1      45.15     8.08   -11.08     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.84     5.67    11.95R    2.33  
Wigan            7    8   -9      32.87     7.31   -41.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.13    68.04R   33.12  
Newcastle        7    7   +0      48.57     8.86    -2.65     0.00     0.08     0.77     3.09    13.89     7.07R    1.32  
Birmingham       7    7   -3      40.00     7.83   -18.47     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.16     1.43    28.99R    7.51  
Everton          7    6   -1      53.50     8.38     5.93     0.01     0.29     2.25     7.89    28.25     1.64R    0.18  
Liverpool        7    6   -4      60.33     8.30    13.70     0.10     1.56     8.64    25.59    60.82     0.20R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    7    5   -5      34.44     7.65   -28.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.23    57.58R   23.95  
West_Ham         7    5   -9      39.09     8.13   -24.57     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.15     1.30    35.11R   10.84  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 October 2010, Barnsley vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              10   26  +21      83.60     9.60    33.35    38.48    58.64    89.15    66.17P    0.01R    0.00  
Cardiff          10   20   +8      79.39     9.69    23.58    21.55    40.34    78.35    51.07P    0.10R    0.01  
Norwich          10   19   +4      69.38    10.15     5.10     4.40    10.82    40.17    17.05P    1.94R    0.31  
Watford          10   18   +9      70.81     9.92    13.99     5.71    13.85    46.47    21.27P    1.06R    0.13  
Burnley          10   16   +7      73.63    10.27    19.71     9.87    21.32    57.87    31.93P    0.62R    0.09  
Reading          10   16   +5      73.70     9.67    17.76     8.76    20.01    58.61    31.25P    0.43R    0.05  
Swansea          10   16   +2      67.18     9.29     5.23     2.01     5.69    30.72    11.59P    2.08R    0.33  
Ipswich          10   16   +2      65.82     9.45     2.83     1.42     4.46    26.13     9.22P    3.03R    0.55  
Coventry         10   15   +2      58.63     9.41    -6.56     0.25     0.99     8.70     2.39P   13.24R    3.28  
Leeds_United     10   14   -2      59.36    10.19    -9.09     0.55     1.72    11.39     3.62P   14.01R    4.06  
Nott'm_Forest    10   13   +2      67.33     9.44     9.65     2.10     6.24    32.51    13.44P    2.07R    0.39  
Millwall         10   13   +0      58.17     9.86    -6.45     0.26     0.96     9.09     2.59P   15.56R    4.43  
Doncaster        10   13   -2      59.11     9.42    -6.79     0.24     0.99     9.36     2.63P   12.34R    3.15  
Derby            10   12   +3      58.71     9.53    -1.29     0.31     1.08     9.47     2.77P   12.91R    3.35  
Barnsley         10   12   -4      52.98     9.21   -17.56     0.04     0.18     2.51     0.59P   31.06R   10.34  
Hull             10   12   -6      60.79    10.09    -6.63     0.67     2.01    13.63     4.82P   10.99R    2.96  
Scunthorpe       10   11   -1      52.29     9.58   -15.01     0.05     0.18     2.76     0.69P   33.80R   12.53  
Middlesbrough    10   11   -6      63.38     9.54    -1.34     0.83     2.66    18.80     6.70P    5.79R    1.30  
Sheff_Utd        10   11   -7      60.98     9.40    -5.74     0.35     1.51    12.58     4.11P    8.85R    2.08  
Preston          10   10   -6      54.62     9.67   -14.81     0.10     0.39     4.18     1.12P   25.82R    9.02  
Portsmouth       10    9   -2      65.06    10.07     8.24     1.81     5.00    26.61    11.73P    4.46R    0.97  
Leicester        10    8  -10      57.99     9.63    -9.19     0.20     0.77     7.87     2.53P   15.55R    4.39  
Crystal_Palace   10    8  -10      52.57     9.31   -17.02     0.03     0.13     2.30     0.55P   32.26R   11.66  
Bristol_City     10    7   -9      47.92     9.23   -21.97     0.00     0.04     0.79     0.17P   52.05R   24.63  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 11 October 2010, Swindon vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         11   22   +7      72.29     9.44    10.59     7.91    16.47    48.28    23.08P    0.84R    0.04  
Carlisle         11   19   +8      71.15     9.47    14.23     6.48    13.92    44.51    20.80P    1.15R    0.05  
Peterborough     11   19   +5      73.34    10.37    14.62    11.67    21.95    53.30    29.48P    1.17R    0.08  
Bournemouth      11   18  +11      67.84    10.02    13.75     4.22     9.23    32.91    14.27P    3.28R    0.26  
Sheff_Wed        11   17   +7      76.41     9.87    23.73    18.14    31.41    66.44    42.73P    0.39R    0.01  
Huddersfield     11   17   +4      73.04     9.70    16.30    10.10    19.88    52.81    28.44P    0.84R    0.06  
Oldham           11   17   +3      63.30     9.40     0.96     1.05     3.03    16.76     5.66P    7.02R    0.60  
MK_Dons          11   17   +0      67.24     9.47     3.33     2.76     6.47    28.38    11.12P    3.29R    0.21  
Rochdale         11   16   +5      63.14    10.01     3.53     1.67     3.97    18.11     7.05P    8.30R    0.95  
Charlton         11   16   +1      72.37     9.56    13.49     8.51    17.44    49.54    26.87P    0.79R    0.03  
Colchester       11   16   +1      68.55     9.61     7.79     3.96     8.98    34.27    15.40P    2.51R    0.17  
Exeter           11   16   -2      54.83     9.06   -15.83     0.13     0.40     3.12     0.80P   28.52R    4.62  
Southampton      11   15   +3      76.42     9.37    22.92    16.88    30.34    67.22    42.72P    0.28R    0.01  
Swindon          11   15   +0      66.56     9.63     5.27     2.51     6.27    27.19    11.30P    3.96R    0.33  
Bristol_Rovers   11   15   -3      59.21     9.46    -8.64     0.44     1.24     8.50     2.57P   15.44R    1.90  
Hartlepool       11   15   -5      57.46     9.31   -13.82     0.25     0.71     5.64     1.57P   20.37R    3.21  
Yeovil           11   14   -6      53.77     9.05   -17.80     0.08     0.22     2.49     0.59P   32.80R    6.07  
Notts_County     11   13   -4      57.27     9.98    -9.86     0.39     1.03     6.92     2.21P   22.06R    3.77  
Plymouth         11   13   -4      66.35     9.98     4.00     2.68     6.46    26.99    11.62P    4.79R    0.47  
Walsall          11   10   -4      53.81     9.34   -10.34     0.09     0.29     2.87     0.80P   31.67R    6.32  
Dag_&_Red        11   10   -8      43.50     9.20   -31.36     0.00     0.02     0.20     0.04P   75.09R   37.45  
Tranmere         11   10   -8      49.98     9.04   -19.35     0.03     0.08     0.87     0.21P   48.78R   12.51  
Leyton_Orient    11    9   -4      50.53     9.23   -13.14     0.03     0.09     1.30     0.32P   44.85R   10.91  
Brentford        11    9   -7      51.38     9.15   -14.38     0.04     0.11     1.40     0.35P   41.82R    9.98  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 October 2010, Barnet vs Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale            11   23  +10      78.13     9.43    20.66    21.44    50.00    80.30    57.44P    0.02R    0.00  
Chesterfield         11   22  +10      76.27     9.71    19.28    17.33    42.72    73.79    50.36P    0.03R    0.00  
Rotherham            11   20   +7      73.00     9.48    14.61     9.39    29.61    62.09    38.04P    0.11R    0.03  
Bury                 11   19   +6      69.80     9.46    10.31     5.22    19.22    48.90    26.27P    0.31R    0.08  
Shrewsbury           11   18   +6      72.46     9.47    15.67     8.56    27.76    60.55    36.47P    0.14R    0.03  
Wycombe              11   18   +6      75.75     9.79    20.41    16.56    41.16    72.09    50.37P    0.05R    0.01  
Cheltenham           11   17   -3      60.26     9.34   -10.67     0.55     3.11    14.33     5.09P    4.00R    1.37  
Torquay              11   16   +4      66.55     9.59     8.00     2.86    11.74    36.08    17.54P    0.89R    0.24  
Accrington_Stanley   11   15   +4      60.66     9.65     0.17     0.75     4.33    16.93     6.91P    3.75R    1.23  
Aldershot            11   15   +0      64.12     9.49     1.72     1.51     7.35    26.55    11.51P    1.66R    0.53  
Oxford_Utd           11   14   +4      57.99     9.28    -0.41     0.27     2.02    10.60     3.87P    5.81R    2.05  
Burton_Albion        11   14   +2      59.10     9.51    -2.83     0.51     2.80    13.26     4.99P    4.77R    1.58  
Stevenage            11   14   +2      60.02     9.74    -0.60     0.74     3.76    15.97     6.53P    4.22R    1.42  
Southend             11   14   +0      71.37    10.03    14.15     8.09    25.60    56.10    34.99P    0.37R    0.09  
Crewe                11   13   +8      64.95     9.92    13.74     2.64    10.34    31.93    16.08P    1.43R    0.39  
Gillingham           11   13   -2      63.53     9.98     1.83     1.74     7.59    25.87    12.57P    2.24R    0.78  
Morecambe            11   13   -7      59.13     9.52   -10.25     0.47     2.56    12.43     4.67P    5.49R    1.99  
Macclesfield         11   12   -5      52.78     9.16   -15.38     0.06     0.46     3.50     1.01P   16.16R    6.95  
Stockport            11   11   -5      55.89     9.92    -9.90     0.29     1.67     8.19     3.12P   10.65R    4.41  
Lincoln_City         11   11   -6      49.89     8.85   -18.04     0.01     0.16     1.54     0.39P   24.08R   10.91  
Bradford             11   11   -7      56.86     9.29    -9.79     0.16     1.38     8.19     2.82P    7.69R    2.78  
Northampton          11   10   -6      62.22     9.33     0.31     0.86     4.60    20.14     8.83P    2.51R    0.90  
Barnet               11    9  -12      44.32     8.94   -31.81     0.00     0.03     0.42     0.09P   50.23R   29.71  
Hereford             11    6  -16      43.55     8.88   -31.17     0.00     0.02     0.27     0.06P   53.37R   32.49  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 October 2010, Fleetwood_Town vs Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       15   33  +13      81.51     8.43    22.45    15.97    73.15    27.56P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      15   32  +14      83.66     8.54    28.53    23.92    81.05    37.06P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     15   27  +10      72.01     9.08    13.95     3.00    32.40     8.67P    0.14R    0.02  
Fleetwood_Town     15   27   +9      71.26     8.98    11.72     2.41    29.05     7.49P    0.22R    0.01  
Luton              14   24   +8      86.78     8.26    39.04    40.04    90.22    59.22P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   15   24   +4      75.79     8.26    18.89     5.05    48.84    17.32P    0.02R    0.00  
Mansfield          15   23   +8      73.24     8.52    20.46     3.33    37.78    11.37P    0.04R    0.00  
Grimsby            15   22   +1      73.82     8.78    15.71     3.87    39.89    13.82P    0.07R    0.00  
Gateshead          15   22   -1      57.16     8.11   -12.89     0.01     1.26     0.17P    7.34R    0.93  
Kidderminster      15   22   -2      65.89     8.49    -0.16     0.40    11.00     2.40P    0.89R    0.08  
Wrexham            15   21   +3      67.56     8.29     9.47     0.69    15.47     4.37P    0.36R    0.02  
Kettering          15   20   -2      64.93     8.26     1.90     0.24     8.75     1.98P    0.90R    0.09  
Tamworth           15   20   -3      58.21     8.32   -10.11     0.01     1.95     0.29P    5.98R    0.86  
Darlington         15   19   +3      67.35     8.53    11.97     0.70    16.08     5.06P    0.45R    0.04  
Eastbourne_Boro    15   19   -2      54.13     8.26   -16.56     0.01     0.61     0.08P   14.22R    2.55  
York               15   17   -4      63.03     8.39     1.51     0.18     6.16     1.58P    1.80R    0.20  
Hayes_&_Yeading    15   17   -9      49.53     8.20   -27.18     0.00     0.16     0.02P   31.35R    8.42  
Southport          15   16   -3      49.80     8.43   -16.36     0.00     0.20     0.02P   29.17R    7.63  
Barrow             15   15   -2      50.20     8.08   -14.11     0.00     0.17     0.03P   25.91R    6.00  
Bath_City          14   15   -5      50.19     8.90   -19.71     0.01     0.38     0.07P   29.18R    8.56  
Histon             15   15  -10      49.46     8.23   -23.40     0.00     0.14     0.02P   31.07R    8.22  
Cambridge_Utd      15   14   -1      61.86     8.48     7.48     0.13     5.26     1.39P    2.41R    0.27  
Forest_Green       14   11  -10      45.44     8.36   -27.29     0.00     0.04     0.00P   49.83R   19.09  
Altrincham         14    7  -19      41.46     8.25   -35.33     0.00     0.01     0.00P   68.65R   37.01