Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 11 October 2010 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 October 2010, Chelsea vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          7   18  +21      90.36     6.98    75.03    80.34    96.69    99.44    99.90   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         7   14   +6      66.07     8.40    20.66     0.60     6.78    26.54    54.19    82.62     0.03R    0.00  
Man_Utd          7   13   +7      80.40     7.53    50.47    15.87    70.41    90.80    96.90    99.54     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          7   11   +7      72.30     8.24    38.62     3.03    22.90    62.39    81.54    95.27     0.00R    0.00  
Tottenham        7   11   +2      57.12     8.33     6.80     0.03     0.82     4.79    14.87    44.07     0.54R    0.04  
West_Brom        7   11   -3      47.73     8.85   -13.95     0.01     0.07     0.58     2.51    11.34     9.18R    1.85  
Stoke            7   10   -1      44.12     7.95   -14.23     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.63     4.23    14.38R    2.83  
Aston_Villa      7   10   -3      53.71     8.42    -2.37     0.01     0.38     2.40     7.87    27.87     1.68R    0.21  
Blackpool        7   10   -4      40.21     8.42   -27.07     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.29     2.09    31.37R    9.44  
Fulham           7    9   +1      48.18     8.14    -4.57     0.00     0.04     0.49     2.22    11.13     5.83R    0.90  
Sunderland       7    8   +0      45.62     8.09    -8.96     0.00     0.02     0.20     0.90     6.36    10.77R    1.93  
Bolton           7    8   -1      44.10     8.25   -13.37     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.69     4.88    15.63R    3.26  
Blackburn        7    8   -1      44.86     8.10   -11.61     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.78     5.40    12.57R    2.61  
Wigan            7    8   -9      32.96     7.31   -41.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10    67.54R   32.86  
Newcastle        7    7   +0      48.81     8.91    -2.32     0.00     0.12     0.93     3.31    14.66     6.76R    1.22  
Birmingham       7    7   -3      39.97     7.73   -18.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12     1.29    28.88R    7.50  
Everton          7    6   -1      53.20     8.42     5.40     0.01     0.27     2.08     7.58    27.21     1.93R    0.23  
Liverpool        7    6   -4      60.31     8.36    13.73     0.10     1.46     8.90    25.50    60.35     0.24R    0.03  
Wolverhampton    7    5   -5      34.32     7.62   -28.41     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.22    58.55R   24.53  
West_Ham         7    5   -9      39.30     8.17   -24.25     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.15     1.37    34.13R   10.56  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 October 2010, Barnsley vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              10   26  +21      83.48     9.58    33.18    38.27    58.49    88.98    66.34P    0.01R    0.00  
Cardiff          10   20   +8      79.32     9.64    23.42    21.51    39.87    78.42    50.51P    0.08R    0.01  
Norwich          10   19   +4      69.45    10.20     5.18     4.53    11.15    40.68    17.63P    1.85R    0.27  
Watford          10   18   +9      70.74     9.91    13.93     5.52    13.35    46.32    20.95P    1.19R    0.16  
Burnley          10   16   +7      73.48    10.32    19.42     9.87    21.31    57.68    31.44P    0.76R    0.10  
Reading          10   16   +5      73.68     9.68    17.64     8.58    20.03    58.86    31.28P    0.44R    0.05  
Swansea          10   16   +2      67.12     9.29     5.15     1.96     5.78    30.50    11.80P    2.05R    0.39  
Ipswich          10   16   +2      65.87     9.51     2.98     1.56     4.61    26.73     9.35P    3.04R    0.50  
Coventry         10   15   +2      58.57     9.33    -6.61     0.28     0.94     8.49     2.28P   13.19R    3.23  
Leeds_United     10   14   -2      59.63    10.09    -8.54     0.55     1.78    11.56     3.72P   13.25R    3.69  
Nott'm_Forest    10   13   +2      67.40     9.43     9.78     2.40     6.59    32.58    13.66P    2.03R    0.31  
Millwall         10   13   +0      58.22     9.81    -6.29     0.28     1.00     8.97     2.69P   15.05R    4.34  
Doncaster        10   13   -3      58.57     9.35    -8.47     0.22     0.87     8.47     2.40P   13.51R    3.47  
Derby            10   12   +3      58.69     9.53    -1.33     0.27     0.98     9.35     2.71P   13.14R    3.41  
Barnsley         10   12   -4      52.98     9.24   -17.51     0.05     0.21     2.60     0.64P   31.04R   10.71  
Hull             10   12   -5      61.63    10.00    -4.28     0.76     2.36    15.54     5.57P    9.08R    2.19  
Scunthorpe       10   11   -1      52.18     9.55   -15.25     0.03     0.18     2.66     0.59P   34.19R   12.81  
Middlesbrough    10   11   -6      63.11     9.59    -1.64     0.78     2.55    18.26     6.51P    6.21R    1.40  
Sheff_Utd        10   11   -7      60.99     9.39    -5.72     0.39     1.48    12.59     4.00P    8.57R    1.99  
Preston          10   10   -6      54.76     9.65   -14.50     0.09     0.39     4.34     1.27P   25.34R    8.67  
Portsmouth       10    9   -2      64.81    10.17     7.83     1.85     5.07    25.74    11.41P    4.82R    1.14  
Leicester        10    8  -10      57.82     9.55    -9.38     0.21     0.79     7.52     2.45P   15.71R    4.46  
Crystal_Palace   10    8  -10      52.42     9.30   -17.18     0.05     0.18     2.40     0.63P   33.04R   11.87  
Bristol_City     10    7   -9      47.95     9.21   -21.81     0.01     0.03     0.75     0.17P   52.39R   24.85  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 11 October 2010, Swindon vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         11   22   +7      71.98     9.50    10.15     7.54    15.67    47.10    22.11P    0.99R    0.05  
Carlisle         11   19   +8      71.17     9.54    14.34     6.72    14.13    45.05    21.09P    1.22R    0.08  
Peterborough     11   19   +5      73.16    10.35    14.35    11.46    21.56    52.60    28.89P    1.22R    0.09  
Bournemouth      11   18  +11      67.53    10.11    13.33     4.15     9.11    32.35    14.16P    3.50R    0.26  
Sheff_Wed        11   17   +7      76.61     9.79    24.00    18.29    31.94    67.00    43.13P    0.39R    0.01  
Huddersfield     11   17   +4      73.09     9.77    16.34    10.12    19.74    53.24    28.48P    0.91R    0.05  
Oldham           11   17   +3      63.48     9.36     1.27     1.16     3.18    16.95     5.87P    6.56R    0.62  
MK_Dons          11   17   +0      67.19     9.53     3.24     2.81     6.75    28.45    11.50P    3.39R    0.23  
Rochdale         11   16   +5      63.39    10.15     3.91     1.81     4.37    19.13     7.52P    8.34R    1.00  
Charlton         11   16   +1      72.37     9.59    13.50     8.74    17.53    49.82    26.76P    0.86R    0.03  
Colchester       11   16   +1      68.70     9.52     7.99     3.94     9.10    34.52    15.36P    2.26R    0.16  
Exeter           11   16   -2      54.93     9.10   -15.73     0.10     0.35     3.28     0.76P   28.46R    4.75  
Southampton      11   15   +3      76.30     9.39    22.73    16.51    30.01    66.64    42.58P    0.30R    0.02  
Swindon          11   15   +0      66.44     9.67     5.10     2.64     6.30    26.71    11.07P    4.11R    0.38  
Bristol_Rovers   11   15   -3      59.03     9.46    -8.95     0.43     1.16     8.19     2.46P   15.81R    2.10  
Hartlepool       11   15   -5      57.22     9.41   -14.18     0.24     0.72     5.61     1.57P   21.47R    3.39  
Yeovil           11   14   -6      54.00     9.09   -17.49     0.09     0.27     2.70     0.69P   32.12R    5.92  
Notts_County     11   13   -4      57.43     9.93    -9.61     0.37     1.05     7.01     2.29P   21.46R    3.56  
Plymouth         11   13   -4      66.35    10.01     4.04     2.71     6.48    26.92    11.94P    4.82R    0.53  
Walsall          11   10   -4      53.84     9.36   -10.29     0.08     0.28     2.87     0.82P   31.87R    6.26  
Dag_&_Red        11   10   -8      43.49     9.24   -31.43     0.01     0.02     0.23     0.05P   75.15R   37.67  
Tranmere         11   10   -8      50.06     9.07   -19.23     0.02     0.08     0.96     0.23P   48.18R   12.21  
Leyton_Orient    11    9   -4      50.55     9.17   -13.16     0.02     0.10     1.28     0.32P   45.27R   11.09  
Brentford        11    9   -7      51.49     9.01   -14.20     0.03     0.12     1.39     0.36P   41.34R    9.54  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 October 2010, Barnet vs Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale            11   23  +10      78.04     9.49    20.48    21.55    49.82    79.83    57.23P    0.03R    0.01  
Chesterfield         11   22  +10      76.24     9.69    19.26    16.82    42.80    73.72    50.51P    0.04R    0.01  
Rotherham            11   20   +7      73.05     9.44    14.65     9.68    29.60    62.31    37.97P    0.11R    0.02  
Bury                 11   19   +6      69.85     9.47    10.42     5.32    19.60    49.35    26.52P    0.28R    0.07  
Shrewsbury           11   18   +6      72.40     9.44    15.63     8.26    27.74    60.39    36.29P    0.14R    0.04  
Wycombe              11   18   +6      75.68     9.85    20.34    16.69    40.91    71.98    50.18P    0.10R    0.03  
Cheltenham           11   17   -3      60.03     9.45   -11.12     0.62     3.18    14.50     5.20P    4.37R    1.48  
Torquay              11   16   +4      66.59     9.48     8.02     2.81    11.62    35.94    17.40P    0.82R    0.26  
Accrington_Stanley   11   15   +4      60.67     9.63     0.13     0.76     4.14    17.15     6.73P    3.80R    1.30  
Aldershot            11   15   +0      64.13     9.47     1.77     1.42     7.07    26.47    11.37P    1.78R    0.50  
Oxford_Utd           11   14   +4      57.82     9.38    -0.61     0.35     2.18    10.65     4.09P    6.04R    2.13  
Burton_Albion        11   14   +2      58.88     9.60    -3.17     0.55     2.85    13.06     5.03P    5.38R    1.86  
Stevenage            11   14   +2      60.56     9.72     0.21     0.77     4.11    17.26     7.22P    3.79R    1.33  
Southend             11   14   +0      71.24    10.08    13.91     8.12    25.21    55.25    34.52P    0.36R    0.10  
Crewe                11   13   +8      65.04     9.92    13.87     2.68    10.61    32.45    16.48P    1.37R    0.40  
Gillingham           11   13   -2      63.44     9.93     1.65     1.74     7.48    25.56    12.25P    2.32R    0.73  
Morecambe            11   13   -7      59.02     9.47   -10.46     0.40     2.49    12.13     4.48P    5.64R    1.94  
Macclesfield         11   12   -5      52.81     9.06   -15.41     0.05     0.44     3.19     0.91P   16.08R    6.85  
Stockport            11   11   -5      56.07     9.81    -9.57     0.29     1.67     8.22     3.26P   10.44R    4.27  
Lincoln_City         11   11   -6      50.06     8.78   -17.89     0.02     0.17     1.48     0.41P   23.37R   10.40  
Bradford             11   11   -7      57.04     9.33    -9.56     0.21     1.49     8.33     2.87P    7.86R    2.90  
Northampton          11   10   -6      62.07     9.49     0.21     0.88     4.78    20.11     8.91P    2.84R    0.95  
Barnet               11    9  -12      44.45     8.94   -31.57     0.00     0.03     0.37     0.08P   49.64R   29.37  
Hereford             11    6  -16      43.57     8.84   -31.19     0.00     0.02     0.29     0.07P   53.40R   33.05  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 October 2010, Fleetwood_Town vs Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       15   33  +13      81.47     8.41    22.37    16.13    73.41    28.02P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      15   32  +14      83.60     8.50    28.41    24.07    81.20    37.02P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     15   27  +10      71.86     9.06    13.69     2.94    32.30     8.58P    0.20R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town     15   27   +9      71.30     8.97    11.74     2.53    29.28     7.43P    0.19R    0.02  
Luton              14   24   +8      86.71     8.27    38.94    40.14    90.10    59.60P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   15   24   +4      75.67     8.24    18.61     4.94    48.46    17.24P    0.02R    0.00  
Mansfield          15   23   +8      73.31     8.50    20.58     3.36    38.82    11.87P    0.06R    0.00  
Grimsby            15   22   +1      73.37     8.72    15.05     3.37    38.14    12.67P    0.11R    0.01  
Gateshead          15   22   -1      57.24     8.11   -12.77     0.02     1.42     0.19P    7.18R    0.98  
Kidderminster      15   22   -2      65.89     8.47    -0.11     0.47    11.21     2.58P    0.99R    0.07  
Wrexham            15   21   +3      67.49     8.27     9.37     0.73    15.33     4.26P    0.44R    0.03  
Kettering          15   20   -2      65.02     8.23     1.99     0.25     9.17     2.07P    0.86R    0.06  
Tamworth           15   20   -3      57.97     8.24   -10.45     0.03     1.74     0.32P    6.39R    0.96  
Darlington         15   19   +3      67.27     8.52    11.85     0.72    16.04     4.92P    0.50R    0.05  
Eastbourne_Boro    15   19   -2      54.07     8.28   -16.64     0.01     0.64     0.07P   14.66R    2.84  
York               15   17   -4      63.09     8.34     1.62     0.19     6.40     1.62P    1.66R    0.15  
Hayes_&_Yeading    15   17   -9      49.76     8.18   -26.71     0.00     0.15     0.02P   30.63R    8.10  
Southport          15   16   -3      50.05     8.45   -15.86     0.00     0.22     0.03P   28.57R    7.25  
Barrow             15   15   -2      50.31     8.04   -13.92     0.00     0.17     0.02P   25.82R    5.96  
Bath_City          14   15   -5      50.33     8.87   -19.53     0.00     0.34     0.06P   28.99R    8.28  
Histon             15   15  -10      49.51     8.21   -23.43     0.00     0.15     0.02P   31.33R    8.37  
Cambridge_Utd      15   14   -1      61.89     8.46     7.53     0.11     5.24     1.40P    2.54R    0.35  
Forest_Green       14   11  -10      45.47     8.39   -27.22     0.00     0.07     0.01P   50.07R   19.47  
Altrincham         14    7  -19      41.59     8.26   -35.10     0.00     0.01     0.00P   68.79R   37.03