Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 10 October 2010 at 21:15:02 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 October 2010, Chelsea vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          7   18  +21      90.33     7.05    75.03    80.48    96.62    99.39    99.89    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         7   14   +6      66.30     8.41    21.09     0.70     7.49    27.22    54.76    83.15     0.03R    0.00  
Man_Utd          7   13   +7      80.14     7.56    49.87    15.50    68.85    90.18    96.83    99.57     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          7   11   +7      72.46     8.18    38.94     3.14    23.81    62.75    82.21    95.38     0.00R    0.00  
Tottenham        7   11   +2      57.22     8.43     6.92     0.05     0.87     5.13    15.09    44.56     0.56R    0.05  
West_Brom        7   11   -3      47.76     8.84   -13.79     0.00     0.06     0.53     2.44    11.22     8.96R    1.72  
Stoke            7   10   -1      43.96     7.93   -14.45     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.60     3.99    14.78R    2.86  
Aston_Villa      7   10   -3      53.60     8.39    -2.50     0.01     0.30     2.21     7.53    27.40     1.72R    0.21  
Blackpool        7   10   -4      40.10     8.45   -27.43     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.28     2.01    32.20R    9.48  
Fulham           7    9   +1      48.05     8.01    -4.74     0.00     0.03     0.42     1.85    10.26     5.73R    0.85  
Sunderland       7    8   +0      45.68     8.14    -8.87     0.00     0.02     0.18     1.04     6.65    10.74R    1.81  
Bolton           7    8   -1      43.97     8.15   -13.58     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.64     4.49    15.40R    3.38  
Blackburn        7    8   -1      45.20     8.13   -11.03     0.00     0.02     0.19     0.88     5.81    11.96R    2.36  
Wigan            7    8   -9      32.96     7.33   -40.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14    67.41R   32.66  
Newcastle        7    7   +0      48.69     8.86    -2.49     0.01     0.13     0.80     3.12    14.05     6.78R    1.28  
Birmingham       7    7   -3      39.96     7.77   -18.53     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.15     1.36    29.01R    7.64  
Everton          7    6   -1      53.39     8.40     5.72     0.01     0.24     2.06     7.63    28.52     1.83R    0.25  
Liverpool        7    6   -4      60.21     8.37    13.55     0.09     1.54     8.62    24.86    59.91     0.24R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    7    5   -5      34.29     7.63   -28.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.23    58.54R   24.66  
West_Ham         7    5   -9      39.24     8.17   -24.31     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.19     1.32    34.11R   10.78  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 October 2010, Barnsley vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              10   26  +21      83.61     9.69    33.40    38.76    58.63    88.88    66.20P    0.01R    0.00  
Cardiff          10   20   +8      79.37     9.71    23.55    21.70    40.35    78.19    51.28P    0.07R    0.01  
Norwich          10   19   +4      69.58    10.21     5.40     4.60    11.19    41.04    17.63P    1.81R    0.31  
Watford          10   18   +9      70.71     9.97    13.77     5.63    13.62    46.46    21.14P    1.16R    0.17  
Burnley          10   16   +7      73.32    10.32    19.22     9.55    20.88    57.11    31.22P    0.86R    0.13  
Reading          10   16   +5      73.42     9.68    17.34     8.27    19.40    57.51    30.26P    0.53R    0.06  
Swansea          10   16   +2      67.17     9.39     5.18     2.02     5.68    31.09    11.85P    2.18R    0.33  
Ipswich          10   16   +2      65.63     9.45     2.66     1.36     4.31    25.67     8.94P    3.19R    0.57  
Coventry         10   15   +2      58.57     9.39    -6.63     0.29     0.99     8.75     2.40P   13.33R    3.27  
Leeds_United     10   14   -2      59.53    10.13    -8.71     0.59     1.71    11.71     3.76P   13.47R    3.82  
Nott'm_Forest    10   13   +2      67.27     9.51     9.57     2.27     6.56    32.27    13.57P    2.32R    0.42  
Millwall         10   13   +0      58.30     9.94    -6.22     0.35     1.17     9.47     2.79P   15.49R    4.31  
Doncaster        10   13   -3      58.64     9.37    -8.44     0.24     0.92     8.48     2.34P   13.35R    3.36  
Derby            10   12   +3      58.69     9.50    -1.33     0.26     1.06     9.40     2.79P   12.89R    3.24  
Barnsley         10   12   -4      52.95     9.26   -17.50     0.04     0.18     2.66     0.58P   30.97R   10.51  
Hull             10   12   -5      61.46    10.03    -4.53     0.71     2.27    15.33     5.42P    9.40R    2.46  
Scunthorpe       10   11   -1      52.37     9.56   -14.89     0.04     0.20     2.75     0.64P   33.53R   12.41  
Middlesbrough    10   11   -6      63.28     9.54    -1.49     0.79     2.69    18.62     6.57P    5.87R    1.24  
Sheff_Utd        10   11   -7      61.00     9.39    -5.69     0.42     1.46    12.48     4.11P    8.75R    2.08  
Preston          10   10   -6      54.88     9.57   -14.31     0.11     0.35     4.34     1.14P   24.81R    8.24  
Portsmouth       10    9   -2      64.94    10.23     8.04     1.76     5.32    26.62    12.09P    4.93R    1.13  
Leicester        10    8  -10      58.13     9.62    -8.96     0.22     0.88     8.06     2.49P   15.15R    4.33  
Crystal_Palace   10    8  -10      52.23     9.32   -17.47     0.03     0.16     2.29     0.60P   33.88R   12.45  
Bristol_City     10    7   -9      47.94     9.22   -21.95     0.01     0.04     0.79     0.19P   52.08R   25.14  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 October 2010, Brentford vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         11   22   +7      72.17     9.44    10.44     7.56    15.92    48.09    22.63P    0.85R    0.04  
Carlisle         11   19   +8      71.05     9.51    14.19     6.57    13.99    44.31    20.78P    1.22R    0.07  
Peterborough     11   19   +5      73.26    10.17    14.52    11.59    21.57    52.97    29.05P    1.10R    0.07  
Bournemouth      11   18  +11      67.87     9.99    13.82     4.22     9.29    33.48    14.56P    3.14R    0.26  
Sheff_Wed        11   17   +7      76.56     9.83    23.94    18.24    31.99    67.04    43.40P    0.34R    0.02  
Huddersfield     11   17   +4      73.13     9.72    16.44    10.32    20.14    53.27    28.74P    0.82R    0.03  
Oldham           11   17   +3      63.39     9.32     1.09     1.14     3.11    16.76     5.88P    6.55R    0.54  
MK_Dons          11   17   +0      67.27     9.56     3.37     2.95     7.01    28.86    11.83P    3.32R    0.23  
Rochdale         11   16   +5      63.24    10.03     3.69     1.72     4.20    18.58     7.26P    8.16R    0.94  
Charlton         11   16   +1      72.52     9.46    13.67     8.63    17.37    50.15    26.94P    0.84R    0.05  
Colchester       11   16   +1      68.73     9.53     8.04     4.09     9.08    34.81    15.51P    2.31R    0.15  
Exeter           11   16   -2      55.05     9.10   -15.55     0.12     0.38     3.38     0.87P   27.89R    4.54  
Southampton      11   15   +3      76.36     9.39    22.81    16.60    30.27    66.91    42.45P    0.27R    0.01  
Bristol_Rovers   10   15   -2      60.32     9.73    -8.03     0.65     1.82    10.92     3.37P   13.50R    1.72  
Hartlepool       11   15   -5      57.23     9.30   -14.19     0.21     0.69     5.52     1.51P   21.19R    3.19  
Yeovil           11   14   -6      53.76     9.17   -17.84     0.09     0.31     2.58     0.69P   33.04R    6.26  
Notts_County     11   13   -4      57.19     9.92   -10.03     0.34     0.99     6.87     2.11P   22.21R    3.88  
Plymouth         11   13   -4      66.12     9.89     3.66     2.57     6.03    25.85    11.10P    4.93R    0.52  
Swindon          10   12   -1      65.01     9.92     4.44     2.20     5.27    22.97     9.61P    5.81R    0.55  
Walsall          11   10   -4      53.75     9.30   -10.42     0.09     0.28     2.80     0.76P   31.76R    6.33  
Dag_&_Red        11   10   -8      43.45     9.27   -31.44     0.00     0.01     0.21     0.04P   75.08R   37.93  
Tranmere         11   10   -8      50.19     9.05   -19.05     0.02     0.08     0.94     0.21P   47.85R   12.15  
Leyton_Orient    11    9   -4      50.56     9.23   -13.08     0.03     0.10     1.37     0.35P   45.52R   10.90  
Brentford        11    9   -7      51.28     9.05   -14.51     0.03     0.11     1.34     0.34P   42.30R    9.62  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 October 2010, Barnet vs Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale            11   23  +10      78.08     9.41    20.53    21.11    49.77    80.11    57.42P    0.02R    0.01  
Chesterfield         11   22  +10      76.26     9.72    19.34    16.97    42.57    73.62    50.23P    0.04R    0.00  
Rotherham            11   20   +7      72.85     9.47    14.36     9.52    28.70    61.38    37.26P    0.10R    0.02  
Bury                 11   19   +6      70.06     9.47    10.66     5.42    19.84    50.13    26.89P    0.27R    0.08  
Shrewsbury           11   18   +6      72.46     9.46    15.68     8.55    27.71    60.23    36.35P    0.16R    0.04  
Wycombe              11   18   +6      75.74     9.84    20.41    16.76    41.21    72.04    50.51P    0.07R    0.02  
Cheltenham           11   17   -3      60.03     9.47   -11.09     0.58     3.17    14.20     5.10P    4.48R    1.53  
Torquay              11   16   +4      66.63     9.60     8.05     2.91    12.00    36.05    17.65P    0.83R    0.21  
Accrington_Stanley   11   15   +4      60.94     9.51     0.61     0.75     4.17    17.62     6.74P    3.31R    1.10  
Aldershot            11   15   +0      63.94     9.44     1.53     1.43     6.95    25.62    11.12P    1.70R    0.51  
Oxford_Utd           11   14   +4      57.99     9.34    -0.34     0.30     2.08    10.73     3.92P    5.80R    2.03  
Burton_Albion        11   14   +2      58.91     9.59    -3.08     0.52     2.89    13.20     5.04P    5.07R    1.80  
Stevenage            11   14   +2      60.26     9.68    -0.23     0.71     3.83    16.20     6.73P    3.94R    1.38  
Southend             11   14   +0      71.46    10.09    14.24     8.30    25.93    56.35    35.40P    0.31R    0.06  
Crewe                11   13   +8      64.82     9.97    13.53     2.50    10.33    31.84    16.15P    1.58R    0.50  
Gillingham           11   13   -2      63.62     9.95     1.96     1.80     7.73    26.13    12.57P    2.19R    0.68  
Morecambe            11   13   -7      59.08     9.49   -10.34     0.39     2.49    12.21     4.44P    5.67R    1.99  
Macclesfield         11   12   -5      52.79     9.05   -15.45     0.05     0.45     3.36     0.96P   15.78R    6.53  
Stockport            11   11   -5      56.18     9.99    -9.41     0.33     1.85     8.77     3.38P   10.51R    4.34  
Lincoln_City         11   11   -6      49.85     8.81   -18.11     0.01     0.16     1.47     0.39P   23.84R   10.81  
Bradford             11   11   -7      56.71     9.33   -10.03     0.17     1.32     7.96     2.67P    8.12R    3.10  
Northampton          11   10   -6      62.07     9.45     0.22     0.89     4.77    20.06     8.90P    2.80R    0.94  
Barnet               11    9  -12      44.33     8.95   -31.83     0.01     0.05     0.43     0.12P   50.11R   29.47  
Hereford             11    6  -16      43.58     8.92   -31.19     0.00     0.02     0.28     0.06P   53.29R   32.84  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 October 2010, Fleetwood_Town vs Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       15   33  +13      81.52     8.42    22.54    16.24    73.59    28.08P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      15   32  +14      83.56     8.49    28.37    23.74    81.12    36.77P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     15   27  +10      72.08     9.06    14.03     3.04    32.57     8.66P    0.16R    0.02  
Fleetwood_Town     15   27   +9      71.28     9.05    11.78     2.48    29.19     7.46P    0.21R    0.02  
Luton              14   24   +8      86.71     8.34    38.90    40.08    89.73    59.21P    0.00R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   15   24   +4      75.77     8.27    18.76     5.18    48.84    17.47P    0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield          15   23   +8      73.36     8.55    20.66     3.38    38.89    11.93P    0.09R    0.00  
Grimsby            15   22   +1      73.36     8.75    15.04     3.50    37.94    12.82P    0.09R    0.01  
Gateshead          15   22   -1      57.18     8.15   -12.87     0.02     1.37     0.19P    7.30R    1.01  
Kidderminster      15   22   -2      65.78     8.50    -0.28     0.40    11.12     2.43P    0.88R    0.09  
Wrexham            15   21   +3      67.52     8.27     9.45     0.63    15.36     4.09P    0.39R    0.02  
Kettering          15   20   -2      65.11     8.24     2.14     0.27     9.16     2.18P    0.88R    0.09  
Tamworth           15   20   -3      58.00     8.28   -10.42     0.02     1.85     0.28P    6.33R    0.97  
Darlington         15   19   +3      67.34     8.60    11.92     0.76    16.33     5.11P    0.56R    0.04  
Eastbourne_Boro    15   19   -2      53.98     8.22   -16.78     0.00     0.63     0.08P   14.41R    2.77  
York               15   17   -4      63.06     8.28     1.59     0.16     5.96     1.57P    1.63R    0.16  
Hayes_&_Yeading    15   17   -9      49.75     8.19   -26.79     0.00     0.13     0.01P   30.76R    8.24  
Southport          15   16   -3      50.14     8.45   -15.79     0.00     0.27     0.05P   28.05R    7.11  
Barrow             15   15   -2      50.22     8.06   -14.14     0.00     0.16     0.03P   26.13R    6.03  
Bath_City          14   15   -5      50.33     8.87   -19.52     0.01     0.40     0.10P   28.87R    8.34  
Histon             15   15  -10      49.50     8.21   -23.34     0.00     0.12     0.03P   31.13R    8.25  
Cambridge_Utd      15   14   -1      61.79     8.45     7.38     0.09     5.21     1.46P    2.58R    0.34  
Forest_Green       14   11  -10      45.41     8.40   -27.30     0.00     0.05     0.01P   50.39R   19.19  
Altrincham         14    7  -19      41.45     8.19   -35.33     0.00     0.01     0.00P   69.13R   37.28