Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 9 October 2010 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 October 2010, Chelsea vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          7   18  +21      90.24     7.03    74.73    80.21    96.44    99.37    99.90   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         7   14   +6      66.17     8.39    20.87     0.62     7.02    26.87    54.26    82.74     0.02R    0.00  
Man_Utd          7   13   +7      80.31     7.54    50.29    15.92    69.89    90.51    96.91    99.59     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          7   11   +7      72.33     8.27    38.78     3.08    23.32    62.26    81.73    95.06     0.00R    0.00  
Tottenham        7   11   +2      57.13     8.43     6.73     0.05     0.85     5.01    15.10    43.97     0.61R    0.06  
West_Brom        7   11   -3      47.68     8.84   -13.96     0.00     0.09     0.58     2.44    11.16     9.22R    1.87  
Stoke            7   10   -1      44.04     7.90   -14.31     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.62     3.96    14.38R    2.77  
Aston_Villa      7   10   -3      53.75     8.43    -2.29     0.02     0.35     2.40     7.85    28.10     1.81R    0.25  
Blackpool        7   10   -4      40.24     8.46   -27.08     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.30     2.16    31.28R    9.22  
Fulham           7    9   +1      48.07     8.06    -4.82     0.00     0.03     0.45     2.01    10.55     5.80R    0.88  
Sunderland       7    8   +0      45.55     8.14    -9.15     0.00     0.02     0.17     0.97     6.39    10.93R    1.99  
Bolton           7    8   -1      44.01     8.26   -13.43     0.00     0.01     0.15     0.69     4.87    15.61R    3.39  
Blackburn        7    8   -1      45.05     8.13   -11.29     0.00     0.03     0.16     0.85     5.64    12.11R    2.52  
Wigan            7    8   -9      32.95     7.40   -41.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11    67.45R   32.69  
Newcastle        7    7   +0      48.96     8.97    -2.03     0.00     0.11     0.93     3.54    15.12     6.74R    1.25  
Birmingham       7    7   -3      40.02     7.80   -18.46     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14     1.33    28.84R    7.57  
Everton          7    6   -1      53.43     8.42     5.77     0.02     0.30     2.21     7.64    28.01     1.75R    0.21  
Liverpool        7    6   -4      60.19     8.38    13.50     0.07     1.54     8.70    24.90    59.70     0.22R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    7    5   -5      34.29     7.63   -28.44     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.23    58.59R   24.46  
West_Ham         7    5   -9      39.18     8.15   -24.32     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.14     1.33    34.62R   10.85  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 October 2010, Barnsley vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              10   26  +21      83.74     9.63    33.53    39.28    59.65    89.30    67.11P    0.01R    0.00  
Cardiff          10   20   +8      79.25     9.64    23.35    20.95    39.43    78.24    50.72P    0.07R    0.01  
Norwich          10   19   +4      69.49    10.17     5.28     4.47    11.05    40.69    17.46P    1.74R    0.27  
Watford          10   18   +9      70.77     9.98    13.92     5.79    13.92    46.51    21.36P    1.14R    0.16  
Burnley          10   16   +7      73.43    10.27    19.32     9.67    20.83    57.38    31.17P    0.72R    0.09  
Reading          10   16   +5      73.43     9.75    17.28     8.49    19.51    57.43    30.39P    0.44R    0.07  
Swansea          10   16   +2      67.31     9.29     5.41     1.94     5.85    31.46    11.95P    1.97R    0.35  
Ipswich          10   16   +2      65.70     9.47     2.74     1.44     4.50    25.97     9.05P    3.21R    0.58  
Coventry         10   15   +2      58.46     9.38    -6.82     0.24     0.88     8.39     2.19P   13.17R    3.27  
Leeds_United     10   14   -2      59.46    10.08    -8.89     0.55     1.70    11.48     3.69P   13.22R    3.68  
Nott'm_Forest    10   13   +2      67.56     9.41    10.00     2.24     6.65    33.34    13.96P    1.90R    0.30  
Millwall         10   13   +0      58.50     9.80    -5.83     0.30     1.10     9.33     2.84P   14.40R    4.04  
Hull             10   13   -4      62.89     9.92    -2.89     0.96     2.94    18.37     6.57P    6.98R    1.66  
Derby            10   12   +3      58.52     9.52    -1.52     0.27     0.98     9.29     2.60P   13.23R    3.21  
Barnsley         10   12   -4      53.04     9.30   -17.34     0.05     0.24     2.82     0.75P   30.42R   10.24  
Scunthorpe       10   11   -1      52.43     9.43   -14.68     0.05     0.19     2.69     0.57P   32.42R   11.64  
Doncaster        10   11   -4      56.01     9.35   -10.27     0.09     0.38     5.05     1.32P   19.87R    5.67  
Middlesbrough    10   11   -6      63.38     9.51    -1.31     0.82     2.83    18.85     6.85P    5.53R    1.17  
Sheff_Utd        10   11   -7      61.07     9.35    -5.60     0.36     1.42    12.74     4.07P    8.39R    1.91  
Preston          10   10   -6      54.71     9.66   -14.56     0.12     0.38     4.33     1.18P   25.01R    8.62  
Portsmouth       10    9   -2      64.73    10.11     7.74     1.71     4.67    25.52    11.02P    4.87R    1.11  
Leicester        10    8  -10      57.89     9.56    -9.27     0.17     0.71     7.66     2.40P   15.43R    4.20  
Crystal_Palace   10    8  -10      52.32     9.38   -17.34     0.04     0.17     2.36     0.59P   33.18R   12.14  
Bristol_City     10    7   -9      47.70     9.29   -22.26     0.01     0.05     0.78     0.19P   52.68R   25.61  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 October 2010, Brentford vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         11   22   +7      72.13     9.50    10.39     7.61    16.03    48.14    22.76P    0.92R    0.05  
Carlisle         11   19   +8      71.11     9.41    14.20     6.36    13.67    44.74    20.87P    1.18R    0.06  
Peterborough     11   19   +5      73.08    10.32    14.25    11.54    21.21    52.52    28.74P    1.18R    0.09  
Bournemouth      11   18  +11      67.85     9.98    13.73     4.13     9.37    33.04    14.35P    3.08R    0.23  
Sheff_Wed        11   17   +7      76.53     9.83    23.91    18.71    31.98    66.96    43.18P    0.37R    0.02  
Huddersfield     11   17   +4      73.03     9.78    16.30    10.06    19.96    53.07    28.44P    0.88R    0.05  
Oldham           11   17   +3      63.40     9.34     1.10     1.21     3.08    16.82     5.70P    6.66R    0.53  
MK_Dons          11   17   +0      67.24     9.52     3.34     2.83     6.70    28.48    11.35P    3.38R    0.21  
Rochdale         11   16   +5      63.22    10.04     3.68     1.68     4.05    18.79     7.21P    8.36R    0.90  
Charlton         11   16   +1      72.61     9.49    13.81     8.81    17.93    50.84    27.40P    0.82R    0.03  
Colchester       11   16   +1      68.42     9.51     7.62     3.64     8.73    33.57    14.86P    2.49R    0.17  
Exeter           11   16   -2      54.95     9.11   -15.72     0.12     0.39     3.44     0.92P   28.26R    4.56  
Southampton      11   15   +3      76.37     9.42    22.85    16.87    30.89    66.97    43.24P    0.29R    0.01  
Bristol_Rovers   10   15   -2      60.38     9.68    -7.92     0.67     1.86    10.83     3.57P   13.36R    1.65  
Hartlepool       11   15   -5      57.37     9.39   -13.92     0.25     0.73     5.78     1.65P   20.89R    3.26  
Yeovil           11   14   -6      54.05     9.13   -17.37     0.08     0.27     2.73     0.72P   31.90R    5.83  
Notts_County     11   13   -4      57.43     9.96    -9.62     0.36     1.08     7.05     2.29P   21.70R    3.53  
Plymouth         11   13   -4      66.07    10.05     3.57     2.67     6.30    26.25    11.54P    5.31R    0.63  
Swindon          10   12   -1      65.05     9.85     4.44     2.24     5.16    23.04     9.39P    5.82R    0.59  
Walsall          11   10   -4      53.81     9.33   -10.37     0.10     0.32     2.93     0.82P   31.56R    6.18  
Dag_&_Red        11   10   -8      43.15     9.21   -31.88     0.00     0.01     0.22     0.05P   76.25R   39.27  
Tranmere         11   10   -8      50.11     9.03   -19.07     0.01     0.09     1.00     0.25P   48.40R   12.00  
Leyton_Orient    11    9   -4      50.56     9.20   -13.07     0.02     0.10     1.30     0.31P   45.20R   10.82  
Brentford        11    9   -7      51.44     9.11   -14.24     0.02     0.11     1.46     0.38P   41.75R    9.33  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 October 2010, Barnet vs Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale            11   23  +10      77.96     9.43    20.41    21.29    49.66    79.75    56.98P    0.02R    0.00  
Chesterfield         11   22  +10      76.14     9.75    19.12    17.28    42.59    73.18    50.33P    0.04R    0.01  
Rotherham            11   20   +7      72.92     9.43    14.42     9.50    29.32    61.98    37.63P    0.11R    0.01  
Bury                 11   19   +6      69.95     9.48    10.55     5.62    19.69    49.58    26.83P    0.32R    0.05  
Shrewsbury           11   18   +6      72.25     9.40    15.29     8.25    27.21    59.68    35.74P    0.19R    0.04  
Wycombe              11   18   +6      75.58     9.86    20.18    16.74    41.01    71.66    50.35P    0.07R    0.01  
Cheltenham           11   17   -3      60.12     9.40   -10.90     0.58     3.16    14.33     5.15P    4.32R    1.49  
Torquay              11   16   +4      66.75     9.49     8.26     2.84    12.17    36.95    17.94P    0.83R    0.22  
Accrington_Stanley   11   15   +4      60.98     9.51     0.64     0.84     4.23    17.66     6.97P    3.47R    1.24  
Aldershot            11   15   +0      64.22     9.38     1.87     1.48     7.27    26.51    11.49P    1.54R    0.45  
Oxford_Utd           11   14   +4      58.07     9.36    -0.26     0.36     2.18    11.05     4.10P    5.84R    2.06  
Burton_Albion        11   14   +2      58.78     9.56    -3.34     0.46     2.76    12.72     4.75P    5.35R    1.79  
Stevenage            11   14   +2      60.37     9.75    -0.10     0.76     4.15    16.91     7.21P    4.10R    1.41  
Southend             11   14   +0      71.26     9.98    14.02     7.94    25.38    55.40    34.79P    0.31R    0.09  
Crewe                11   13   +8      64.96     9.93    13.77     2.61    10.64    32.19    16.22P    1.52R    0.46  
Gillingham           11   13   -2      63.47     9.89     1.75     1.68     7.54    25.68    12.25P    2.29R    0.70  
Morecambe            11   13   -7      58.84     9.49   -10.64     0.36     2.37    11.90     4.30P    5.75R    2.09  
Macclesfield         11   12   -5      52.75     9.14   -15.47     0.05     0.47     3.55     1.01P   16.27R    6.99  
Stockport            11   11   -5      56.26     9.99    -9.31     0.32     1.92     9.00     3.55P   10.26R    4.31  
Lincoln_City         11   11   -6      49.96     8.79   -17.94     0.02     0.17     1.56     0.45P   23.72R   10.72  
Bradford             11   11   -7      56.92     9.23    -9.70     0.19     1.26     8.18     2.80P    7.57R    2.71  
Northampton          11   10   -6      62.08     9.37     0.20     0.84     4.79    19.90     8.98P    2.58R    0.85  
Barnet               11    9  -12      44.32     8.87   -31.83     0.00     0.03     0.36     0.08P   50.56R   29.82  
Hereford             11    6  -16      43.68     8.96   -30.98     0.00     0.03     0.31     0.09P   52.98R   32.45  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 October 2010, Barrow vs Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       15   33  +13      81.55     8.42    22.55    16.14    72.77    27.96P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      15   32  +14      83.59     8.45    28.38    23.21    80.65    36.49P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     15   27  +10      71.92     9.03    13.82     2.80    31.46     8.11P    0.14R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     14   26   +9      71.89     9.30    12.15     3.05    31.60     8.35P    0.22R    0.01  
Luton              14   24   +8      86.68     8.21    38.84    38.78    89.85    58.33P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   15   24   +4      75.82     8.25    18.86     5.23    48.20    17.15P    0.02R    0.00  
Mansfield          15   23   +8      73.18     8.47    20.40     3.17    36.88    11.14P    0.08R    0.01  
Grimsby            14   22   +2      75.19     8.91    16.66     5.40    45.38    16.27P    0.06R    0.01  
Gateshead          15   22   -1      57.10     8.05   -12.91     0.02     1.16     0.16P    7.21R    0.96  
Wrexham            15   21   +3      67.62     8.26     9.60     0.69    15.04     4.01P    0.38R    0.03  
Kettering          15   20   -2      65.17     8.24     2.27     0.25     9.07     2.07P    0.83R    0.07  
Tamworth           15   20   -3      57.98     8.25   -10.38     0.02     1.80     0.24P    6.31R    1.00  
Darlington         15   19   +3      67.38     8.46    12.04     0.69    15.39     4.85P    0.45R    0.03  
Eastbourne_Boro    15   19   -2      53.79     8.21   -17.07     0.01     0.58     0.11P   14.84R    2.66  
Kidderminster      14   19   -3      63.91     8.67    -1.68     0.25     7.86     1.74P    1.75R    0.19  
York               15   17   -4      63.17     8.32     1.76     0.16     5.97     1.43P    1.62R    0.20  
Hayes_&_Yeading    15   17   -9      49.73     8.16   -26.70     0.00     0.15     0.01P   30.21R    7.89  
Southport          15   16   -3      49.89     8.51   -16.10     0.00     0.23     0.03P   28.99R    7.61  
Barrow             15   15   -2      50.20     8.03   -14.04     0.00     0.14     0.03P   25.61R    5.86  
Bath_City          14   15   -5      50.24     8.87   -19.57     0.00     0.34     0.06P   29.14R    8.52  
Histon             15   15  -10      49.59     8.26   -23.24     0.00     0.13     0.02P   30.72R    8.19  
Cambridge_Utd      14   13   -1      61.69     8.68     6.64     0.12     5.27     1.43P    2.84R    0.37  
Forest_Green       14   11  -10      45.54     8.43   -26.98     0.00     0.06     0.01P   49.58R   18.96  
Altrincham         14    7  -19      41.43     8.20   -35.31     0.00     0.01     0.00    69.02R   37.44