Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 8 October 2010 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 October 2010, Chelsea vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          7   18  +21      90.29     7.06    74.86    79.99    96.45    99.38    99.86    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         7   14   +6      65.88     8.36    20.41     0.61     6.92    25.67    53.18    82.03     0.02R    0.00  
Man_Utd          7   13   +7      80.37     7.57    50.28    16.15    70.07    90.81    97.00    99.59     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          7   11   +7      72.46     8.18    38.98     3.07    23.42    63.20    82.29    95.50     0.00R    0.00  
Tottenham        7   11   +2      57.10     8.42     6.76     0.05     0.90     5.12    15.11    43.97     0.60R    0.05  
West_Brom        7   11   -3      47.73     8.87   -13.86     0.00     0.07     0.62     2.48    11.35     9.40R    1.83  
Stoke            7   10   -1      44.02     7.92   -14.37     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.59     4.02    14.66R    2.89  
Aston_Villa      7   10   -3      53.65     8.39    -2.48     0.01     0.34     2.31     7.83    27.80     1.68R    0.19  
Blackpool        7   10   -4      40.13     8.50   -27.27     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.33     2.16    31.97R    9.49  
Fulham           7    9   +1      48.12     8.06    -4.73     0.00     0.05     0.49     2.08    10.79     5.60R    0.85  
Sunderland       7    8   +0      45.69     8.13    -8.87     0.00     0.02     0.18     0.99     6.49    10.66R    1.92  
Bolton           7    8   -1      44.06     8.21   -13.37     0.00     0.01     0.15     0.74     4.63    15.27R    3.33  
Blackburn        7    8   -1      45.07     8.14   -11.27     0.00     0.02     0.15     0.87     5.61    12.24R    2.46  
Wigan            7    8   -9      33.00     7.33   -41.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13    67.41R   32.44  
Newcastle        7    7   +0      48.78     8.90    -2.40     0.00     0.08     0.86     3.28    14.55     6.78R    1.35  
Birmingham       7    7   -3      40.02     7.79   -18.41     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.16     1.31    28.95R    7.63  
Everton          7    6   -1      53.45     8.43     5.85     0.02     0.24     2.19     7.93    28.62     1.85R    0.25  
Liverpool        7    6   -4      60.18     8.30    13.52     0.08     1.39     8.63    25.09    59.84     0.24R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    7    5   -5      34.40     7.71   -28.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.24    57.98R   24.39  
West_Ham         7    5   -9      39.19     8.15   -24.39     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.17     1.38    34.68R   10.92  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 October 2010, Barnsley vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              10   26  +21      83.59     9.59    33.45    39.29    59.28    89.17    66.90P    0.01R    0.00  
Cardiff          10   20   +8      78.95     9.67    22.90    20.36    38.78    77.24    49.42P    0.08R    0.01  
Norwich          10   19   +4      69.41    10.11     5.11     4.55    10.92    40.03    17.08P    1.78R    0.30  
Watford          10   18   +9      70.83     9.87    14.00     5.73    13.74    47.00    21.51P    1.26R    0.19  
Burnley          10   16   +7      73.39    10.22    19.40     9.47    21.07    57.48    31.67P    0.73R    0.10  
Reading          10   16   +5      73.52     9.71    17.46     8.86    19.93    57.94    30.86P    0.55R    0.10  
Swansea          10   16   +2      67.22     9.29     5.26     2.06     5.97    31.26    11.99P    2.08R    0.36  
Ipswich          10   16   +2      65.84     9.49     2.93     1.47     4.72    26.39     9.41P    3.14R    0.56  
Coventry         10   15   +2      58.79     9.27    -6.26     0.29     0.94     8.65     2.37P   12.50R    3.02  
Leeds_United     10   14   -2      59.94    10.15    -8.06     0.59     1.85    12.46     4.01P   12.69R    3.60  
Nott'm_Forest    10   13   +2      67.34     9.44     9.68     2.30     6.44    32.68    13.44P    2.09R    0.37  
Millwall         10   13   +0      58.53     9.88    -5.93     0.35     1.17     9.58     2.92P   14.82R    4.24  
Doncaster        10   13   -2      59.15     9.40    -6.65     0.28     1.08     9.41     2.72P   12.11R    3.11  
Derby            10   12   +3      58.68     9.53    -1.38     0.30     1.06     9.55     2.80P   12.92R    3.32  
Barnsley         10   12   -4      52.81     9.34   -17.83     0.02     0.21     2.64     0.64P   32.05R   11.05  
Hull             10   12   -6      61.00    10.00    -6.33     0.67     2.06    14.04     4.98P   10.43R    2.63  
Scunthorpe       10   11   -1      52.14     9.53   -15.28     0.04     0.17     2.49     0.60P   34.44R   12.73  
Middlesbrough    10   11   -6      63.11     9.63    -1.66     0.78     2.68    18.45     6.50P    6.11R    1.38  
Sheff_Utd        10   11   -7      61.08     9.32    -5.59     0.41     1.43    12.59     4.24P    8.61R    1.97  
Preston          10   10   -6      54.76     9.61   -14.53     0.13     0.41     4.39     1.20P   25.54R    8.65  
Portsmouth       10    9   -2      64.87    10.14     7.91     1.79     5.11    26.08    11.67P    4.80R    1.06  
Leicester        10    8  -10      57.93     9.60    -9.28     0.20     0.79     7.63     2.37P   15.88R    4.53  
Crystal_Palace   10    8  -10      52.29     9.30   -17.42     0.04     0.17     2.17     0.56P   33.61R   12.29  
Bristol_City     10    7   -9      47.99     9.14   -21.90     0.01     0.03     0.68     0.15P   51.78R   24.45  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 October 2010, Brentford vs Charlton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         10   21   +7      72.91     9.71    11.00     9.10    18.15    50.77    24.81P    0.78R    0.05  
Peterborough     10   19   +7      75.97    10.63    18.70    17.60    30.08    62.77    38.05P    0.71R    0.06  
Bournemouth      10   17  +11      67.89    10.33    13.23     4.54     9.91    33.47    15.08P    3.46R    0.33  
Carlisle         10   16   +7      69.77     9.73    13.68     4.95    11.27    39.38    17.68P    1.97R    0.12  
Rochdale         10   16   +6      66.02    10.40     6.72     3.00     7.04    27.14    11.29P    5.49R    0.55  
Colchester       10   16   +4      72.15     9.76    14.03     7.98    16.56    48.77    24.78P    1.02R    0.06  
Exeter           10   16   -1      56.52     9.27   -14.42     0.19     0.50     4.77     1.12P   22.99R    3.64  
Charlton         10   15   +1      72.68     9.76    13.42     9.04    18.19    50.74    27.68P    0.87R    0.05  
Bristol_Rovers   10   15   -2      60.27     9.74    -8.17     0.66     1.78    10.87     3.49P   13.48R    1.73  
Sheff_Wed        10   14   +6      75.70    10.13    24.20    16.07    28.77    63.51    39.97P    0.54R    0.01  
Huddersfield     10   14   +1      69.34    10.02    10.07     5.32    11.31    38.18    17.97P    2.47R    0.20  
Oldham           10   14   +1      60.47     9.45    -2.64     0.56     1.55    10.52     3.32P   11.87R    1.46  
MK_Dons          10   14   -2      65.96     9.86     1.88     2.27     5.49    25.03     9.79P    4.86R    0.46  
Notts_County     10   13   -3      58.73    10.34    -8.85     0.55     1.54     9.78     3.14P   18.77R    3.14  
Southampton      10   12   +1      74.98     9.55    21.24    12.91    24.90    61.35    37.06P    0.43R    0.02  
Swindon          10   12   -1      64.81     9.92     4.13     2.04     5.00    22.17     9.12P    6.04R    0.68  
Plymouth         10   12   -4      66.46    10.19     3.63     2.81     6.63    27.28    12.05P    4.95R    0.57  
Hartlepool       10   12   -7      54.56     9.56   -18.06     0.14     0.42     3.48     0.94P   30.61R    6.30  
Yeovil           10   11   -7      51.00     9.38   -20.81     0.04     0.15     1.54     0.35P   44.72R   11.24  
Dag_&_Red        10   10   -6      44.91     9.60   -29.60     0.01     0.03     0.44     0.08P   69.18R   32.38  
Tranmere         10   10   -6      51.28     9.20   -17.52     0.02     0.10     1.45     0.35P   42.42R   10.40  
Leyton_Orient    10    9   -3      51.04     9.34   -13.62     0.05     0.15     1.58     0.44P   42.72R   10.70  
Brentford        10    9   -5      53.75     9.34   -10.82     0.09     0.27     2.78     0.80P   31.57R    6.59  
Walsall          10    7   -5      52.20     9.60   -11.41     0.06     0.23     2.24     0.65P   38.10R    9.27  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 October 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale            10   22  +10      78.95     9.62    21.24    23.57    52.71    81.78    59.90P    0.02R    0.00  
Chesterfield         10   19   +9      74.24     9.86    17.73    12.10    34.36    66.55    42.67P    0.09R    0.03  
Rotherham            10   19   +7      73.77     9.68    15.17    10.94    32.06    64.52    40.33P    0.13R    0.03  
Shrewsbury           10   18   +7      74.54     9.74    17.72    12.31    34.90    67.73    43.41P    0.08R    0.02  
Bury                 10   16   +3      67.33     9.79     6.03     3.43    13.40    38.34    19.04P    0.73R    0.21  
Accrington_Stanley   10   15   +7      63.29     9.88     5.08     1.53     7.18    25.13    10.76P    2.16R    0.78  
Wycombe              10   15   +5      73.72    10.17    18.80    12.21    33.35    64.26    42.95P    0.17R    0.04  
Torquay              10   15   +4      66.45     9.80     7.26     2.63    11.49    35.61    17.05P    1.00R    0.33  
Oxford_Utd           10   14   +5      60.46     9.64     2.03     0.75     3.88    16.65     6.58P    3.52R    1.22  
Burton_Albion        10   14   +3      60.40     9.76    -1.82     0.76     4.04    16.59     6.58P    3.96R    1.39  
Southend             10   14   +1      73.00    10.32    15.49    10.84    30.84    61.43    40.21P    0.24R    0.07  
Cheltenham           10   14   -4      57.93     9.65   -12.92     0.36     2.04    10.33     3.50P    7.14R    2.68  
Stevenage            10   13   +2      59.60     9.95    -1.72     0.76     3.62    15.18     6.27P    4.76R    1.77  
Crewe                10   12   +8      65.88    10.15    14.71     3.09    12.16    35.45    18.34P    1.30R    0.36  
Aldershot            10   12   -1      61.65     9.67    -0.39     0.85     4.57    19.33     7.73P    3.08R    1.05  
Macclesfield         10   12   -4      54.45     9.37   -13.88     0.08     0.71     5.13     1.47P   12.42R    5.18  
Stockport            10   11   -4      57.65    10.17    -8.20     0.54     2.54    11.41     4.46P    8.36R    3.57  
Gillingham           10   10   -3      61.84    10.30     0.73     1.32     6.09    21.57    10.40P    3.68R    1.37  
Northampton          10   10   -5      64.20     9.70     2.29     1.57     7.41    27.00    12.76P    1.78R    0.59  
Morecambe            10   10   -8      56.52     9.90   -12.83     0.24     1.67     8.75     3.20P    9.62R    3.87  
Barnet               10    9  -10      46.48     9.26   -28.49     0.01     0.06     0.82     0.17P   39.74R   21.78  
Lincoln_City         10    8   -7      48.23     9.07   -19.03     0.01     0.12     1.06     0.32P   30.36R   15.00  
Bradford             10    8   -9      54.24     9.47   -13.22     0.09     0.79     5.08     1.81P   13.11R    5.55  
Hereford             10    5  -16      43.56     9.12   -31.78     0.00     0.02     0.31     0.08P   52.54R   33.13  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 7 October 2010, Forest_Green vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       14   32  +13      82.00     8.68    22.69    18.67    73.43    29.86P    0.00R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      14   29  +13      80.96     8.72    25.86    16.60    70.48    28.87P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     14   26   +9      72.18     9.38    12.64     3.53    32.58     8.85P    0.20R    0.02  
Luton              14   24   +8      86.49     8.31    38.46    39.86    89.07    58.48P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     14   24   +6      67.63     9.27     5.81     1.12    17.27     4.11P    0.70R    0.07  
Mansfield          14   23   +9      74.30     8.78    21.08     4.78    42.00    13.45P    0.06R    0.00  
Grimsby            14   22   +2      75.22     8.94    16.72     5.60    45.20    16.18P    0.04R    0.00  
Wrexham            14   21   +4      69.69     8.50    11.69     1.46    21.82     6.30P    0.22R    0.01  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   14   21   +3      74.78     8.49    18.83     4.73    43.42    15.56P    0.04R    0.00  
Tamworth           14   20   -1      59.84     8.44    -7.53     0.07     2.88     0.46P    3.92R    0.55  
Darlington         14   19   +4      71.15     8.82    16.83     2.41    28.82     9.89P    0.17R    0.02  
Kidderminster      14   19   -3      63.87     8.66    -1.70     0.28     7.62     1.70P    1.62R    0.19  
Gateshead          14   19   -3      55.12     8.25   -15.31     0.01     0.79     0.10P   11.12R    1.91  
Eastbourne_Boro    14   18   -2      53.90     8.46   -17.70     0.02     0.63     0.09P   14.65R    3.11  
York               14   17   +0      65.96     8.54     7.92     0.55    11.61     3.19P    0.71R    0.06  
Kettering          14   17   -3      63.00     8.42     0.49     0.15     5.87     1.28P    1.69R    0.20  
Southport          14   16   -2      51.80     8.66   -13.99     0.00     0.43     0.09P   21.01R    4.89  
Barrow             14   14   -2      50.66     8.30   -13.83     0.00     0.24     0.05P   23.48R    5.70  
Bath_City          13   14   -5      51.88     9.31   -17.58     0.01     0.73     0.13P   23.02R    6.38  
Hayes_&_Yeading    14   14  -10      45.91     8.23   -31.87     0.00     0.03     0.00    47.06R   17.32  
Cambridge_Utd      14   13   -1      61.57     8.62     6.47     0.14     4.96     1.34P    2.59R    0.33  
Histon             14   12  -13      47.06     8.45   -27.84     0.00     0.06     0.01P   41.31R   14.16  
Forest_Green       14   11  -10      45.34     8.36   -27.33     0.00     0.04     0.00P   48.96R   18.76  
Altrincham         13    7  -16      43.59     8.52   -30.83     0.00     0.02     0.00P   57.45R   26.30