Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 7 October 2010 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 October 2010, Chelsea vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          7   18  +21      90.26     7.07    74.78    80.25    96.43    99.36    99.87   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         7   14   +6      66.06     8.46    20.70     0.68     7.39    26.79    54.05    82.34     0.04R    0.00  
Man_Utd          7   13   +7      80.14     7.56    49.87    15.74    69.37    90.35    96.83    99.50     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          7   11   +7      72.34     8.21    38.72     3.17    23.46    62.37    81.90    95.23     0.00R    0.00  
Tottenham        7   11   +2      57.17     8.40     6.86     0.04     0.85     5.09    15.18    44.41     0.56R    0.05  
West_Brom        7   11   -3      48.00     8.89   -13.35     0.00     0.11     0.72     2.75    11.73     8.93R    1.69  
Stoke            7   10   -1      44.02     7.97   -14.33     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.57     4.07    14.74R    2.97  
Aston_Villa      7   10   -3      53.60     8.35    -2.52     0.02     0.34     2.17     7.33    27.22     1.66R    0.22  
Blackpool        7   10   -4      40.19     8.42   -27.20     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.30     2.16    31.58R    9.33  
Fulham           7    9   +1      48.02     7.99    -4.84     0.00     0.04     0.44     1.95    10.28     5.76R    0.89  
Sunderland       7    8   +0      45.58     8.09    -9.03     0.00     0.02     0.18     1.01     6.30    10.95R    1.87  
Bolton           7    8   -1      43.96     8.21   -13.56     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.70     4.69    15.63R    3.46  
Blackburn        7    8   -1      45.03     8.08   -11.28     0.00     0.01     0.15     0.84     5.57    12.09R    2.46  
Wigan            7    8   -9      32.91     7.33   -41.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    67.92R   33.10  
Newcastle        7    7   +0      48.80     8.91    -2.26     0.00     0.10     0.85     3.34    14.65     7.08R    1.28  
Birmingham       7    7   -3      40.18     7.81   -18.24     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.18     1.46    28.56R    7.26  
Everton          7    6   -1      53.39     8.43     5.77     0.01     0.27     2.29     7.80    28.32     1.84R    0.28  
Liverpool        7    6   -4      60.30     8.27    13.74     0.09     1.59     8.91    25.16    60.40     0.21R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    7    5   -5      34.37     7.70   -28.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.20    58.10R   24.53  
West_Ham         7    5   -9      39.23     8.15   -24.34     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.19     1.39    34.36R   10.59  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 October 2010, Barnsley vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              10   26  +21      84.15     9.68    34.37    40.06    59.78    89.48    67.61P    0.01R    0.00  
Cardiff          10   20   +8      79.40     9.62    23.70    20.29    39.01    77.88    50.07P    0.08R    0.01  
Norwich          10   19   +4      69.44    10.26     5.16     4.41    10.70    39.42    17.00P    1.91R    0.31  
Watford          10   18   +9      70.57     9.95    13.52     5.28    12.67    44.82    19.88P    1.21R    0.17  
Ipswich          10   18   +4      68.81     9.54     6.20     2.73     7.82    36.04    13.71P    1.56R    0.25  
Burnley          10   16   +7      73.66    10.26    19.87     9.27    20.75    57.25    31.26P    0.73R    0.10  
Reading          10   16   +5      73.69     9.63    17.77     8.26    19.03    57.52    30.14P    0.43R    0.06  
Swansea          10   16   +2      67.17     9.35     5.14     1.93     5.57    30.10    11.53P    2.05R    0.33  
Coventry         10   15   +1      58.00     9.30    -9.02     0.21     0.76     7.08     1.99P   14.26R    3.37  
Leeds_United     10   14   -2      59.87    10.10    -8.41     0.56     1.76    11.52     3.67P   12.72R    3.37  
Nott'm_Forest    10   13   +2      67.51     9.50     9.95     2.26     6.55    32.36    13.51P    1.97R    0.30  
Millwall         10   13   +1      58.86    10.01    -4.75     0.39     1.29    10.07     3.15P   14.06R    3.66  
Doncaster        10   13   -2      59.09     9.40    -6.95     0.25     0.93     8.73     2.47P   12.10R    2.90  
Derby            10   12   +3      58.86     9.50    -1.49     0.32     1.01     9.21     2.69P   12.38R    2.87  
Barnsley         10   12   -3      53.53     9.33   -15.97     0.04     0.21     2.94     0.67P   28.65R    9.00  
Hull             10   12   -6      60.89    10.04    -6.61     0.55     1.90    13.42     4.59P   10.46R    2.62  
Scunthorpe       10   11   -1      52.36     9.52   -15.17     0.04     0.19     2.57     0.61P   33.20R   11.37  
Middlesbrough    10   11   -7      63.07     9.56    -2.89     0.69     2.44    17.34     6.02P    6.15R    1.32  
Sheff_Utd        10   11   -7      61.17     9.45    -5.58     0.46     1.58    12.57     4.26P    8.57R    1.86  
Preston          10   10   -6      55.01     9.58   -14.40     0.08     0.38     4.23     1.16P   24.11R    7.78  
Portsmouth       10    9   -2      64.98    10.12     8.14     1.68     4.78    25.33    11.01P    4.65R    0.95  
Leicester        10    8  -10      58.03     9.62    -9.17     0.19     0.73     7.54     2.37P   15.24R    4.13  
Crystal_Palace   10    8  -10      52.48     9.31   -17.28     0.03     0.14     2.15     0.54P   32.59R   10.96  
Bristol_City     10    6  -11      45.86     9.25   -26.14     0.00     0.02     0.43     0.09P   60.91R   32.33  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 October 2010, Brentford vs Charlton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         10   21   +7      72.76     9.66    10.78     8.53    17.50    50.42    24.11P    0.87R    0.04  
Peterborough     10   19   +7      76.37    10.54    19.31    18.26    31.05    64.57    39.16P    0.58R    0.04  
Bournemouth      10   17  +11      67.72    10.36    12.98     4.29     9.38    33.27    14.39P    3.77R    0.36  
Carlisle         10   16   +7      69.86     9.76    13.78     5.26    11.54    39.84    18.24P    1.82R    0.14  
Rochdale         10   16   +6      66.15    10.40     6.92     3.33     7.24    27.24    11.37P    5.18R    0.56  
Colchester       10   16   +4      72.34     9.81    14.34     8.26    17.09    49.47    25.48P    1.01R    0.05  
Exeter           10   16   -1      56.57     9.22   -14.28     0.21     0.60     4.76     1.21P   22.49R    3.49  
Charlton         10   15   +1      72.52     9.71    13.13     8.67    17.74    49.99    26.85P    0.89R    0.05  
Bristol_Rovers   10   15   -2      60.35     9.62    -8.10     0.58     1.73    10.68     3.37P   12.96R    1.67  
Sheff_Wed        10   14   +6      75.65    10.08    24.12    15.92    28.70    63.62    40.19P    0.57R    0.03  
Huddersfield     10   14   +1      69.38     9.97    10.14     5.10    11.37    38.04    18.20P    2.36R    0.19  
Oldham           10   14   +1      60.47     9.50    -2.68     0.60     1.65    10.79     3.41P   11.95R    1.50  
MK_Dons          10   14   -2      65.60     9.78     1.33     2.02     5.03    23.58     9.06P    5.28R    0.56  
Notts_County     10   13   -3      58.69    10.20    -8.93     0.58     1.60     9.34     3.11P   18.64R    3.07  
Southampton      10   12   +1      75.04     9.63    21.36    13.37    25.19    61.54    37.49P    0.44R    0.02  
Swindon          10   12   -1      64.62     9.84     3.78     1.85     4.56    21.64     8.72P    6.12R    0.60  
Plymouth         10   12   -4      66.51    10.24     3.72     2.83     6.77    27.79    12.21P    5.00R    0.57  
Hartlepool       10   12   -7      54.25     9.59   -18.50     0.09     0.32     3.19     0.79P   31.76R    6.84  
Yeovil           10   11   -7      50.90     9.25   -20.97     0.03     0.13     1.38     0.32P   44.59R   11.36  
Dag_&_Red        10   10   -6      45.03     9.62   -29.28     0.01     0.04     0.48     0.10P   69.02R   31.88  
Tranmere         10   10   -6      51.26     9.31   -17.61     0.03     0.14     1.56     0.39P   43.03R   10.81  
Leyton_Orient    10    9   -3      51.20     9.39   -13.38     0.05     0.16     1.79     0.45P   42.31R   10.50  
Brentford        10    9   -5      53.87     9.28   -10.63     0.07     0.24     2.65     0.74P   31.28R    6.35  
Walsall          10    7   -5      52.22     9.61   -11.33     0.07     0.21     2.36     0.65P   38.09R    9.31  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 October 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale            10   22  +10      78.89     9.74    21.18    23.79    52.21    81.38    59.23P    0.02R    0.01  
Chesterfield         10   19   +9      74.25     9.96    17.76    12.33    34.66    66.12    42.48P    0.12R    0.02  
Rotherham            10   19   +7      73.87     9.62    15.28    10.95    32.65    65.07    41.19P    0.10R    0.03  
Shrewsbury           10   18   +7      74.36     9.77    17.42    12.04    34.35    66.83    42.61P    0.10R    0.03  
Bury                 10   16   +3      67.02     9.63     5.63     2.95    12.27    37.08    18.01P    0.73R    0.18  
Accrington_Stanley   10   15   +7      63.38     9.80     5.23     1.43     7.17    25.30    10.89P    2.08R    0.69  
Wycombe              10   15   +5      73.86    10.15    19.08    12.42    33.88    64.84    43.17P    0.19R    0.04  
Torquay              10   15   +4      66.58     9.79     7.44     2.93    11.84    35.89    17.50P    0.97R    0.26  
Oxford_Utd           10   14   +5      60.19     9.65     1.66     0.65     3.60    15.92     6.31P    3.94R    1.32  
Burton_Albion        10   14   +3      60.53     9.74    -1.61     0.80     3.94    16.98     6.63P    3.79R    1.21  
Southend             10   14   +1      72.92    10.30    15.38    10.81    30.53    61.14    40.00P    0.22R    0.06  
Cheltenham           10   14   -4      57.77     9.72   -13.18     0.36     2.18    10.44     3.78P    7.34R    2.83  
Stevenage            10   13   +2      59.82    10.00    -1.43     0.83     3.92    15.59     6.61P    4.64R    1.65  
Crewe                10   12   +8      65.77    10.13    14.45     2.97    12.05    35.06    18.00P    1.34R    0.41  
Aldershot            10   12   -1      61.98     9.65     0.03     0.91     4.85    19.87     8.28P    2.92R    0.98  
Macclesfield         10   12   -4      54.43     9.30   -13.90     0.08     0.76     4.98     1.47P   12.34R    5.12  
Stockport            10   11   -4      57.71    10.15    -8.15     0.43     2.49    11.42     4.47P    7.96R    3.33  
Gillingham           10   10   -3      62.02    10.26     1.01     1.30     6.18    21.97    10.55P    3.28R    1.12  
Northampton          10   10   -5      64.53     9.76     2.72     1.67     8.05    28.39    13.57P    1.86R    0.62  
Morecambe            10   10   -8      56.56     9.77   -12.79     0.23     1.53     8.53     3.09P    9.35R    3.71  
Barnet               10    9  -10      46.34     9.25   -28.77     0.01     0.08     0.81     0.17P   40.22R   21.82  
Lincoln_City         10    8   -7      48.10     9.00   -19.21     0.02     0.09     1.01     0.26P   30.58R   15.27  
Bradford             10    8   -9      54.18     9.52   -13.29     0.10     0.70     5.06     1.62P   13.21R    5.50  
Hereford             10    5  -16      43.43     9.15   -31.93     0.00     0.02     0.34     0.09P   52.72R   33.80  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 7 October 2010, Forest_Green vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       14   32  +13      81.91     8.58    22.60    18.03    73.52    29.52P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      14   29  +13      80.86     8.76    25.70    16.14    70.05    28.18P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     14   26   +9      72.05     9.17    12.43     3.18    31.47     8.34P    0.17R    0.01  
Luton              14   24   +8      86.59     8.33    38.65    40.85    88.96    58.77P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     14   24   +6      67.84     9.27     6.07     1.30    17.59     4.26P    0.61R    0.06  
Mansfield          14   23   +9      74.43     8.71    21.26     4.85    42.67    13.64P    0.06R    0.00  
Grimsby            14   22   +2      75.24     8.93    16.72     5.59    45.23    16.31P    0.06R    0.01  
Wrexham            14   21   +4      69.80     8.47    11.85     1.50    22.50     6.62P    0.18R    0.01  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   14   21   +3      74.83     8.49    18.93     4.98    43.42    15.81P    0.03R    0.00  
Tamworth           14   20   -1      59.75     8.46    -7.66     0.06     2.89     0.45P    4.17R    0.59  
Darlington         14   19   +4      71.20     8.77    16.85     2.43    28.75     9.96P    0.17R    0.02  
Kidderminster      14   19   -3      63.88     8.70    -1.68     0.30     7.72     1.83P    1.58R    0.16  
Gateshead          14   19   -3      55.09     8.27   -15.33     0.01     0.80     0.10P   10.86R    1.90  
Eastbourne_Boro    14   18   -2      53.89     8.50   -17.77     0.00     0.62     0.09P   14.94R    3.01  
York               14   17   +0      65.85     8.54     7.79     0.50    11.27     3.05P    0.74R    0.09  
Kettering          14   17   -3      62.94     8.51     0.45     0.16     6.00     1.38P    1.80R    0.20  
Southport          14   16   -2      51.95     8.87   -13.85     0.00     0.56     0.11P   20.93R    5.06  
Barrow             14   14   -2      50.60     8.28   -14.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P   23.49R    5.64  
Bath_City          13   14   -5      51.60     9.29   -18.14     0.01     0.63     0.10P   23.89R    6.86  
Hayes_&_Yeading    14   14  -10      46.03     8.28   -31.59     0.00     0.05     0.01P   46.90R   16.86  
Cambridge_Utd      14   13   -1      61.49     8.61     6.46     0.12     5.00     1.41P    2.69R    0.37  
Histon             14   12  -13      47.04     8.46   -27.90     0.00     0.05     0.00P   41.58R   14.43  
Forest_Green       14   11  -10      45.33     8.36   -27.33     0.00     0.03     0.00P   48.87R   18.88  
Altrincham         13    7  -16      43.79     8.51   -30.51     0.00     0.03     0.00P   56.29R   25.84