Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 6 October 2010 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 October 2010, Chelsea vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          7   18  +21      90.35     7.02    75.01    80.47    96.58    99.37    99.87   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         7   14   +6      66.28     8.37    21.09     0.62     7.20    26.86    54.60    83.27     0.04R    0.00  
Man_Utd          7   13   +7      80.29     7.50    50.18    15.75    69.94    90.43    96.90    99.60     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          7   11   +7      72.34     8.22    38.73     2.97    22.99    62.28    81.54    95.01     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        7   11   +2      57.39     8.41     7.16     0.06     0.87     5.03    15.44    45.48     0.55R    0.06  
West_Brom        7   11   -3      47.59     8.79   -14.09     0.00     0.10     0.58     2.27    10.67     9.23R    1.85  
Stoke            7   10   -1      44.05     7.91   -14.27     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.59     4.00    14.38R    2.70  
Aston_Villa      7   10   -3      53.76     8.31    -2.32     0.02     0.32     2.19     7.66    27.59     1.64R    0.19  
Blackpool        7   10   -4      39.85     8.38   -27.79     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.27     1.78    32.61R    9.80  
Fulham           7    9   +1      47.95     8.07    -4.93     0.00     0.03     0.47     1.88    10.23     6.06R    0.89  
Sunderland       7    8   +0      45.66     8.09    -8.92     0.00     0.01     0.16     0.94     6.24    10.64R    1.89  
Bolton           7    8   -1      43.84     8.21   -13.75     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.62     4.49    15.76R    3.55  
Blackburn        7    8   -1      45.10     8.08   -11.18     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.82     5.47    11.82R    2.39  
Wigan            7    8   -9      33.12     7.35   -40.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14    66.76R   31.68  
Newcastle        7    7   +0      48.93     8.87    -2.10     0.01     0.11     0.89     3.37    14.77     6.46R    1.19  
Birmingham       7    7   -3      39.88     7.74   -18.67     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.13     1.23    29.29R    7.64  
Everton          7    6   -1      53.51     8.38     5.92     0.01     0.27     2.32     7.82    28.21     1.68R    0.21  
Liverpool        7    6   -4      60.32     8.31    13.73     0.09     1.55     8.89    25.11    60.30     0.21R    0.03  
Wolverhampton    7    5   -5      34.13     7.65   -28.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.23    59.16R   25.55  
West_Ham         7    5   -9      39.31     8.09   -24.23     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.15     1.31    33.69R   10.37  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 October 2010, Barnsley vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              10   26  +21      83.72     9.65    33.60    39.24    59.30    89.19    66.91P    0.01R    0.00  
Cardiff          10   20   +8      79.02     9.69    22.94    20.19    38.78    77.30    49.60P    0.08R    0.01  
Norwich          10   19   +4      69.55    10.23     5.34     4.51    11.19    41.04    17.74P    1.79R    0.27  
Watford          10   18   +9      70.69     9.95    13.74     5.65    13.36    46.29    20.94P    1.18R    0.21  
Burnley          10   16   +7      73.58    10.27    19.59     9.97    21.36    58.05    31.98P    0.73R    0.11  
Reading          10   16   +5      73.54     9.63    17.50     8.31    19.41    57.80    30.30P    0.42R    0.06  
Swansea          10   16   +2      67.31     9.40     5.40     2.20     6.09    31.43    12.08P    2.05R    0.34  
Ipswich          10   16   +2      65.63     9.41     2.62     1.33     4.31    25.30     8.81P    3.21R    0.48  
Coventry         10   15   +2      58.79     9.35    -6.33     0.32     1.01     8.80     2.49P   12.63R    3.10  
Leeds_United     10   14   -2      59.51    10.15    -8.72     0.60     1.83    11.73     3.79P   13.33R    3.79  
Nott'm_Forest    10   13   +2      67.59     9.52    10.06     2.58     6.97    33.53    14.34P    1.92R    0.36  
Millwall         10   13   +0      58.34     9.93    -6.12     0.29     1.06     9.32     2.74P   15.35R    4.37  
Doncaster        10   13   -3      58.39     9.37    -8.75     0.19     0.81     8.01     2.13P   14.00R    3.60  
Derby            10   12   +3      58.61     9.52    -1.39     0.28     1.10     9.31     2.80P   12.99R    3.28  
Barnsley         10   12   -4      52.80     9.30   -17.74     0.03     0.19     2.64     0.58P   31.77R   11.02  
Hull             10   12   -5      61.43    10.00    -4.61     0.75     2.19    14.91     5.22P    9.47R    2.37  
Scunthorpe       10   11   -1      52.11     9.60   -15.28     0.04     0.18     2.67     0.60P   34.28R   12.97  
Middlesbrough    10   11   -6      63.18     9.55    -1.60     0.78     2.59    18.30     6.44P    6.02R    1.28  
Sheff_Utd        10   11   -7      61.12     9.35    -5.54     0.42     1.56    12.72     4.38P    8.38R    1.80  
Preston          10   10   -6      54.93     9.68   -14.26     0.14     0.45     4.45     1.24P   24.80R    8.37  
Portsmouth       10    9   -2      65.10    10.19     8.26     1.90     5.33    26.51    11.77P    4.58R    1.05  
Leicester        10    8  -10      57.85     9.62    -9.41     0.23     0.75     7.66     2.36P   15.71R    4.42  
Crystal_Palace   10    8  -10      52.39     9.31   -17.24     0.03     0.13     2.34     0.60P   33.16R   11.84  
Bristol_City     10    7   -9      47.86     9.21   -22.04     0.01     0.04     0.69     0.17P   52.13R   24.89  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 October 2010, Brentford vs Charlton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         10   21   +7      72.74     9.74    10.73     8.72    17.47    49.92    24.04P    0.91R    0.06  
Peterborough     10   19   +7      76.40    10.64    19.51    18.71    31.28    64.49    39.32P    0.66R    0.06  
Bournemouth      10   17  +11      67.73    10.24    12.96     4.27     9.05    33.02    14.12P    3.66R    0.31  
Carlisle         10   16   +7      70.04     9.80    14.05     5.32    12.04    40.84    18.56P    1.90R    0.12  
Rochdale         10   16   +6      66.48    10.40     7.45     3.48     7.72    28.55    12.14P    4.95R    0.54  
Colchester       10   16   +4      72.17     9.82    14.07     7.87    16.81    48.61    25.09P    1.10R    0.06  
Exeter           10   16   -1      56.48     9.24   -14.41     0.20     0.57     4.73     1.22P   22.75R    3.60  
Charlton         10   15   +1      72.61     9.80    13.27     8.74    17.92    50.46    27.37P    0.96R    0.06  
Bristol_Rovers   10   15   -2      60.49     9.74    -7.85     0.65     1.83    11.14     3.58P   12.71R    1.72  
Sheff_Wed        10   14   +6      75.34    10.18    23.66    15.24    27.52    62.05    38.66P    0.64R    0.03  
Huddersfield     10   14   +1      69.45    10.00    10.24     5.10    11.31    38.42    18.35P    2.34R    0.19  
Oldham           10   14   +1      60.41     9.53    -2.74     0.55     1.60    10.69     3.43P   12.05R    1.53  
MK_Dons          10   14   -2      65.75     9.79     1.54     2.21     5.35    23.78     9.29P    4.95R    0.51  
Notts_County     10   13   -3      58.14    10.20    -9.73     0.52     1.38     8.53     2.81P   20.01R    3.46  
Southampton      10   12   +1      74.94     9.72    21.20    13.12    25.05    60.93    37.03P    0.50R    0.03  
Swindon          10   12   -1      64.96     9.85     4.31     1.99     4.89    22.66     9.18P    5.57R    0.55  
Plymouth         10   12   -4      66.65    10.17     3.92     2.93     6.89    27.89    12.28P    4.72R    0.49  
Hartlepool       10   12   -7      54.24     9.59   -18.54     0.12     0.40     3.24     0.87P   31.75R    6.84  
Yeovil           10   11   -7      51.10     9.32   -20.67     0.03     0.12     1.58     0.38P   43.74R   11.25  
Dag_&_Red        10   10   -6      45.00     9.53   -29.47     0.01     0.04     0.42     0.09P   68.91R   31.68  
Tranmere         10   10   -6      51.11     9.25   -17.81     0.03     0.13     1.41     0.35P   43.45R   10.77  
Leyton_Orient    10    9   -3      51.07     9.39   -13.58     0.04     0.17     1.65     0.43P   42.66R   10.54  
Brentford        10    9   -5      53.88     9.25   -10.65     0.08     0.25     2.71     0.76P   30.71R    6.18  
Walsall          10    7   -5      52.10     9.61   -11.48     0.06     0.22     2.27     0.66P   38.39R    9.41  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 October 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale            10   22  +10      78.94     9.59    21.32    23.70    52.71    81.90    59.94P    0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield         10   19   +9      74.21     9.93    17.62    12.33    34.58    66.05    42.45P    0.12R    0.03  
Rotherham            10   19   +7      73.98     9.75    15.42    11.29    32.90    65.19    41.28P    0.10R    0.03  
Shrewsbury           10   18   +7      74.42     9.70    17.56    11.83    34.42    67.35    42.77P    0.08R    0.02  
Bury                 10   16   +3      67.34     9.82     6.03     3.44    13.30    38.61    19.26P    0.75R    0.20  
Accrington_Stanley   10   15   +7      63.57     9.82     5.49     1.66     7.39    25.90    11.15P    1.95R    0.65  
Wycombe              10   15   +5      73.53    10.12    18.63    11.76    32.69    63.81    42.28P    0.18R    0.05  
Torquay              10   15   +4      66.29     9.64     7.04     2.59    11.15    34.87    16.60P    0.89R    0.28  
Oxford_Utd           10   14   +5      59.92     9.62     1.33     0.64     3.41    15.18     5.93P    4.11R    1.50  
Burton_Albion        10   14   +3      60.60     9.71    -1.53     0.77     4.13    17.11     6.85P    3.70R    1.25  
Southend             10   14   +1      72.88    10.31    15.33    10.83    30.44    61.05    39.76P    0.27R    0.07  
Cheltenham           10   14   -4      57.88     9.57   -13.02     0.38     2.08    10.06     3.40P    6.94R    2.60  
Stevenage            10   13   +2      59.41     9.98    -2.04     0.77     3.63    14.76     6.12P    5.22R    1.89  
Crewe                10   12   +8      65.89    10.09    14.72     3.20    12.44    35.46    18.80P    1.23R    0.36  
Aldershot            10   12   -1      62.01     9.59     0.04     0.91     4.76    20.05     8.17P    2.88R    0.95  
Macclesfield         10   12   -4      54.53     9.32   -13.76     0.08     0.74     5.24     1.53P   12.44R    5.06  
Stockport            10   11   -4      57.49    10.10    -8.54     0.47     2.46    10.96     4.25P    8.42R    3.40  
Gillingham           10   10   -3      62.24    10.20     1.33     1.34     6.47    22.45    10.86P    3.32R    1.15  
Northampton          10   10   -5      64.35     9.73     2.50     1.63     7.72    27.81    13.20P    1.78R    0.55  
Morecambe            10   10   -8      56.56     9.83   -12.78     0.28     1.61     8.70     3.14P    9.58R    3.91  
Barnet               10    9  -10      46.67     9.25   -28.22     0.00     0.09     0.89     0.24P   38.89R   20.85  
Lincoln_City         10    8   -7      48.24     9.00   -19.11     0.01     0.09     1.10     0.26P   30.48R   15.14  
Bradford             10    8   -9      54.22     9.45   -13.29     0.08     0.76     5.18     1.67P   12.98R    5.39  
Hereford             10    5  -16      43.37     9.13   -32.07     0.00     0.02     0.31     0.08P   53.67R   34.69  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 October 2010, Hayes_&_Yeading vs Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       14   32  +13      82.15     8.66    22.90    18.66    74.11    29.92P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      14   29  +13      80.95     8.68    25.86    15.86    70.28    28.02P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     14   26   +9      72.06     9.35    12.42     3.42    31.73     8.69P    0.19R    0.02  
Luton              14   24   +8      86.59     8.25    38.61    39.68    89.24    58.04P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     14   24   +6      68.03     9.34     6.47     1.33    18.13     4.39P    0.71R    0.05  
Mansfield          14   23   +9      74.30     8.78    21.06     4.69    41.58    13.23P    0.07R    0.00  
Wrexham            14   21   +4      69.61     8.59    11.56     1.46    21.57     6.21P    0.24R    0.01  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   14   21   +3      74.63     8.48    18.58     4.61    41.82    14.98P    0.03R    0.00  
Grimsby            13   21   +2      75.99     9.12    17.21     6.86    48.17    18.33P    0.05R    0.00  
Tamworth           14   20   -1      59.74     8.45    -7.59     0.06     2.76     0.42P    4.03R    0.60  
Darlington         14   19   +4      71.04     8.87    16.62     2.27    28.31     9.74P    0.15R    0.02  
Kidderminster      14   19   -3      63.89     8.69    -1.62     0.30     7.54     1.69P    1.52R    0.18  
Gateshead          14   19   -3      54.97     8.28   -15.64     0.01     0.71     0.13P   11.45R    2.02  
Eastbourne_Boro    14   18   -2      53.82     8.40   -17.75     0.01     0.57     0.07P   14.63R    2.99  
York               14   17   +0      65.92     8.51     7.91     0.54    11.18     3.14P    0.66R    0.06  
Kettering          14   17   -3      62.88     8.45     0.32     0.13     5.83     1.38P    1.68R    0.20  
Southport          14   16   -2      51.79     8.74   -14.02     0.01     0.46     0.10P   21.17R    4.86  
Barrow             14   14   -2      50.68     8.30   -13.76     0.00     0.21     0.03P   23.52R    5.47  
Bath_City          13   14   -5      51.49     9.20   -18.25     0.01     0.49     0.07P   23.81R    6.88  
Hayes_&_Yeading    14   14  -10      46.05     8.29   -31.59     0.00     0.06     0.01P   46.38R   16.60  
Cambridge_Utd      14   13   -1      61.73     8.65     6.75     0.10     5.11     1.37P    2.62R    0.39  
Histon             14   12  -13      47.08     8.35   -27.79     0.00     0.05     0.01P   40.81R   13.96  
Forest_Green       13   10  -10      45.20     8.55   -27.74     0.00     0.05     0.01P   49.78R   19.72  
Altrincham         13    7  -16      43.75     8.60   -30.53     0.00     0.02     0.00P   56.52R   25.98