Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 5 October 2010 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 October 2010, Chelsea vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          7   18  +21      90.38     7.07    75.09    80.49    96.55    99.39    99.88    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         7   14   +6      66.14     8.41    20.82     0.63     7.19    26.53    54.23    82.76     0.02R    0.00  
Man_Utd          7   13   +7      80.26     7.51    50.16    15.66    69.59    90.40    97.03    99.61     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          7   11   +7      72.38     8.21    38.72     3.03    23.39    62.59    81.86    95.21     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        7   11   +2      57.16     8.40     6.83     0.05     0.85     5.06    14.95    44.25     0.62R    0.08  
West_Brom        7   11   -3      47.95     8.81   -13.44     0.00     0.08     0.67     2.60    11.48     8.42R    1.65  
Stoke            7   10   -1      44.03     7.90   -14.32     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.53     3.94    14.59R    2.93  
Aston_Villa      7   10   -3      53.61     8.41    -2.59     0.02     0.38     2.27     7.73    27.59     1.70R    0.24  
Blackpool        7   10   -4      40.14     8.43   -27.26     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.34     2.14    31.91R    9.53  
Fulham           7    9   +1      48.08     8.03    -4.70     0.00     0.03     0.42     2.01    10.40     5.88R    0.86  
Sunderland       7    8   +0      45.50     8.11    -9.18     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.92     6.22    10.98R    1.89  
Bolton           7    8   -1      44.11     8.24   -13.30     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.77     4.75    15.17R    3.45  
Blackburn        7    8   -1      45.05     8.16   -11.23     0.00     0.02     0.18     0.87     5.87    12.22R    2.50  
Wigan            7    8   -9      32.93     7.28   -41.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.13    67.85R   32.51  
Newcastle        7    7   +0      48.69     8.85    -2.43     0.00     0.08     0.84     3.15    14.15     6.75R    1.21  
Birmingham       7    7   -3      39.95     7.81   -18.58     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.15     1.39    29.34R    7.55  
Everton          7    6   -1      53.34     8.39     5.68     0.01     0.25     2.15     7.59    27.98     1.85R    0.22  
Liverpool        7    6   -4      60.35     8.31    13.72     0.10     1.54     8.98    25.22    60.71     0.20R    0.03  
Wolverhampton    7    5   -5      34.38     7.67   -28.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.24    57.79R   24.40  
West_Ham         7    5   -9      39.11     8.12   -24.47     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12     1.19    34.72R   10.95  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 October 2010, Barnsley vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              10   26  +21      83.82     9.57    33.72    39.88    59.80    89.50    67.77P    0.01R    0.00  
Cardiff          10   20   +8      79.00     9.67    22.92    20.39    38.72    77.22    49.60P    0.08R    0.01  
Norwich          10   19   +4      69.15    10.25     4.72     4.29    10.60    39.35    16.81P    2.10R    0.34  
Watford          10   18   +9      70.68     9.95    13.74     5.65    13.30    46.31    20.90P    1.26R    0.20  
Burnley          10   16   +7      73.55    10.35    19.55     9.95    21.49    57.74    31.88P    0.75R    0.10  
Reading          10   16   +5      73.49     9.70    17.39     8.43    19.46    57.74    30.40P    0.46R    0.05  
Swansea          10   16   +2      67.35     9.36     5.45     2.12     6.15    31.49    12.22P    1.95R    0.29  
Ipswich          10   16   +2      65.58     9.50     2.57     1.29     4.41    25.46     8.83P    3.48R    0.63  
Coventry         10   15   +2      58.78     9.40    -6.31     0.29     0.99     8.86     2.30P   12.75R    3.21  
Leeds_United     10   14   -2      59.59    10.15    -8.58     0.59     1.76    11.87     3.86P   13.24R    3.76  
Nott'm_Forest    10   13   +2      67.62     9.45    10.08     2.36     6.81    33.50    14.12P    1.99R    0.32  
Millwall         10   13   +0      58.45     9.99    -5.96     0.29     1.13     9.75     2.93P   15.46R    4.31  
Doncaster        10   13   -3      58.44     9.42    -8.76     0.23     0.89     8.18     2.27P   13.84R    3.60  
Derby            10   12   +3      58.70     9.47    -1.29     0.27     0.98     9.43     2.69P   12.63R    3.24  
Barnsley         10   12   -4      52.86     9.25   -17.65     0.06     0.21     2.64     0.60P   31.58R   10.76  
Hull             10   12   -5      61.60     9.97    -4.41     0.72     2.32    15.30     5.31P    9.06R    2.19  
Scunthorpe       10   11   -1      52.19     9.53   -15.12     0.05     0.19     2.62     0.62P   33.97R   12.68  
Middlesbrough    10   11   -6      63.21     9.57    -1.51     0.75     2.75    18.52     6.73P    5.75R    1.28  
Sheff_Utd        10   11   -7      61.14     9.41    -5.48     0.41     1.58    12.96     4.29P    8.40R    1.97  
Preston          10   10   -6      54.68     9.72   -14.69     0.11     0.38     4.35     1.14P   25.85R    8.84  
Portsmouth       10    9   -2      64.91    10.14     7.99     1.62     5.06    25.93    11.36P    4.81R    1.02  
Leicester        10    8  -10      58.21     9.57    -8.81     0.22     0.85     8.25     2.62P   14.84R    4.07  
Crystal_Palace   10    8  -10      52.16     9.30   -17.60     0.03     0.12     2.21     0.55P   33.84R   12.40  
Bristol_City     10    7   -9      47.93     9.23   -21.96     0.02     0.05     0.81     0.19P   51.90R   24.71  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 October 2010, Brentford vs Charlton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         10   21   +7      73.02     9.71    11.14     9.01    18.18    51.08    25.01P    0.79R    0.05  
Peterborough     10   19   +7      76.57    10.62    19.71    19.10    31.99    65.23    40.22P    0.69R    0.07  
Bournemouth      10   17  +11      67.75    10.26    13.01     4.38     9.40    32.94    14.48P    3.31R    0.30  
Carlisle         10   16   +7      70.05     9.73    14.01     5.19    11.51    40.50    18.25P    1.75R    0.12  
Rochdale         10   16   +6      66.11    10.37     6.90     3.11     7.13    27.10    11.25P    5.42R    0.58  
Colchester       10   16   +4      72.03     9.81    13.91     7.93    16.35    48.32    24.45P    1.10R    0.09  
Exeter           10   16   -1      56.49     9.24   -14.41     0.16     0.55     4.72     1.15P   22.81R    3.66  
Charlton         10   15   +1      72.63     9.79    13.29     8.94    17.87    50.46    27.19P    0.97R    0.06  
Bristol_Rovers   10   15   -2      60.42     9.73    -7.98     0.62     1.76    11.02     3.46P   12.96R    1.63  
Sheff_Wed        10   14   +6      75.73    10.09    24.25    15.80    28.66    63.54    40.12P    0.55R    0.04  
Huddersfield     10   14   +1      69.45     9.96    10.24     5.10    11.17    38.45    17.85P    2.27R    0.16  
Oldham           10   14   +1      60.21     9.44    -2.98     0.53     1.51    10.14     3.18P   12.41R    1.54  
MK_Dons          10   14   -2      65.57     9.85     1.29     2.02     5.11    23.90     9.11P    5.30R    0.55  
Notts_County     10   13   -3      58.31    10.21    -9.56     0.53     1.53     8.66     2.85P   19.55R    3.45  
Southampton      10   12   +1      74.79     9.64    21.03    12.40    24.29    60.32    36.51P    0.59R    0.03  
Swindon          10   12   -1      64.80     9.87     4.04     1.89     4.79    22.37     9.03P    5.83R    0.64  
Plymouth         10   12   -4      66.62    10.14     3.86     2.91     6.89    27.79    12.27P    4.61R    0.47  
Hartlepool       10   12   -7      54.38     9.56   -18.29     0.12     0.41     3.43     0.94P   31.38R    6.59  
Yeovil           10   11   -7      50.82     9.29   -21.15     0.04     0.15     1.46     0.38P   45.25R   11.71  
Dag_&_Red        10   10   -6      45.00     9.66   -29.50     0.01     0.04     0.46     0.11P   68.83R   31.89  
Tranmere         10   10   -6      51.35     9.36   -17.47     0.03     0.13     1.49     0.36P   42.51R   10.60  
Leyton_Orient    10    9   -3      51.27     9.39   -13.27     0.03     0.14     1.69     0.44P   41.77R   10.26  
Brentford        10    9   -5      53.86     9.30   -10.70     0.08     0.23     2.65     0.76P   31.24R    6.19  
Walsall          10    7   -5      52.18     9.59   -11.36     0.06     0.21     2.26     0.64P   38.11R    9.34  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 October 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale            10   22  +10      79.02     9.72    21.39    23.86    52.63    81.72    59.84P    0.02R    0.01  
Chesterfield         10   19   +9      74.22     9.92    17.63    12.18    34.20    66.02    42.08P    0.09R    0.03  
Rotherham            10   19   +7      73.73     9.75    15.07    10.96    31.88    64.15    40.21P    0.08R    0.02  
Shrewsbury           10   18   +7      74.54     9.61    17.70    11.80    34.83    67.85    43.35P    0.08R    0.01  
Bury                 10   16   +3      67.24     9.77     5.93     3.20    12.93    38.14    18.67P    0.80R    0.21  
Accrington_Stanley   10   15   +7      63.44     9.87     5.40     1.59     7.32    25.47    11.13P    2.12R    0.74  
Wycombe              10   15   +5      73.87    10.22    19.03    12.67    33.82    64.99    43.56P    0.19R    0.04  
Torquay              10   15   +4      66.33     9.68     7.10     2.50    11.03    34.96    16.48P    0.89R    0.26  
Oxford_Utd           10   14   +5      60.20     9.58     1.68     0.63     3.51    15.67     6.13P    3.76R    1.31  
Burton_Albion        10   14   +3      60.54     9.77    -1.61     0.80     4.21    16.76     6.80P    3.78R    1.24  
Southend             10   14   +1      73.16    10.32    15.70    11.09    31.37    62.05    40.64P    0.21R    0.05  
Cheltenham           10   14   -4      57.79     9.72   -13.13     0.36     2.16    10.39     3.65P    7.35R    2.80  
Stevenage            10   13   +2      59.76     9.86    -1.53     0.70     3.63    15.25     6.36P    4.61R    1.66  
Crewe                10   12   +8      65.86    10.15    14.61     3.09    12.14    35.39    18.28P    1.33R    0.41  
Aldershot            10   12   -1      61.76     9.76    -0.28     0.91     4.84    19.69     8.20P    3.04R    1.09  
Macclesfield         10   12   -4      54.53     9.37   -13.79     0.10     0.83     5.26     1.61P   12.05R    4.84  
Stockport            10   11   -4      57.72    10.18    -8.10     0.40     2.52    11.79     4.51P    8.21R    3.33  
Gillingham           10   10   -3      62.00    10.22     1.00     1.31     6.13    21.84    10.49P    3.41R    1.18  
Northampton          10   10   -5      64.26     9.63     2.33     1.47     7.36    26.95    12.66P    1.73R    0.56  
Morecambe            10   10   -8      56.54     9.75   -12.75     0.27     1.68     8.39     3.05P    9.16R    3.55  
Barnet               10    9  -10      46.39     9.19   -28.73     0.01     0.10     0.80     0.22P   39.75R   21.54  
Lincoln_City         10    8   -7      48.01     8.99   -19.32     0.00     0.06     1.00     0.23P   31.05R   15.72  
Bradford             10    8   -9      54.23     9.53   -13.30     0.09     0.81     5.15     1.78P   13.11R    5.51  
Hereford             10    5  -16      43.40     9.13   -32.02     0.00     0.02     0.33     0.07P   53.20R   33.90  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 October 2010, Hayes_&_Yeading vs Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       14   32  +13      81.83     8.64    22.45    17.82    73.01    29.03P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      14   29  +13      80.96     8.66    25.91    16.31    70.46    28.50P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     14   26   +9      72.01     9.30    12.38     3.36    31.58     8.60P    0.19R    0.01  
Luton              14   24   +8      86.58     8.34    38.64    40.24    89.06    58.99P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     14   24   +6      67.76     9.28     6.04     1.17    17.63     4.10P    0.69R    0.08  
Mansfield          14   23   +9      74.46     8.71    21.36     4.79    42.42    13.40P    0.06R    0.00  
Wrexham            14   21   +4      69.84     8.47    11.89     1.47    22.29     6.35P    0.20R    0.01  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   14   21   +3      74.54     8.50    18.46     4.44    41.85    14.71P    0.05R    0.00  
Grimsby            13   21   +2      75.82     9.17    16.92     6.86    47.31    17.95P    0.08R    0.00  
Tamworth           14   20   -1      59.93     8.43    -7.30     0.05     2.89     0.45P    3.89R    0.57  
Darlington         14   19   +4      71.29     8.86    16.99     2.41    29.02    10.10P    0.16R    0.02  
Kidderminster      14   19   -3      63.84     8.67    -1.70     0.31     7.43     1.59P    1.52R    0.15  
Gateshead          14   19   -3      55.11     8.22   -15.43     0.01     0.72     0.09P   10.98R    1.89  
Eastbourne_Boro    14   18   -2      53.97     8.42   -17.54     0.01     0.63     0.08P   14.45R    2.82  
York               14   17   +0      65.93     8.51     7.91     0.44    11.25     3.06P    0.69R    0.07  
Kettering          14   17   -3      62.90     8.52     0.40     0.18     5.91     1.40P    1.72R    0.18  
Southport          14   16   -2      51.75     8.84   -14.18     0.01     0.50     0.09P   21.61R    5.22  
Barrow             14   14   -2      50.61     8.31   -13.90     0.00     0.24     0.04P   23.74R    5.67  
Bath_City          13   14   -5      51.64     9.22   -18.02     0.02     0.57     0.12P   23.74R    6.77  
Hayes_&_Yeading    14   14  -10      45.96     8.27   -31.72     0.00     0.05     0.01P   47.03R   16.97  
Cambridge_Utd      14   13   -1      61.53     8.58     6.50     0.12     5.03     1.34P    2.62R    0.32  
Histon             14   12  -13      47.19     8.39   -27.63     0.00     0.09     0.01P   40.60R   13.87  
Forest_Green       13   10  -10      45.31     8.58   -27.66     0.00     0.03     0.00P   49.17R   19.24  
Altrincham         13    7  -16      43.64     8.55   -30.76     0.00     0.01     0.00P   56.81R   26.15