Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 4 October 2010 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 October 2010, Chelsea vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          7   18  +21      90.45     7.00    75.23    80.32    96.70    99.51    99.90   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         7   14   +6      66.29     8.33    21.10     0.59     7.21    26.87    55.27    83.29     0.02R    0.00  
Man_Utd          7   13   +7      80.32     7.61    50.26    15.85    69.12    90.26    96.73    99.56     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          7   11   +7      72.54     8.14    39.08     3.07    23.76    63.21    82.61    95.63     0.00R    0.00  
Tottenham        7   11   +2      57.11     8.37     6.65     0.05     0.92     4.83    14.44    43.91     0.57R    0.06  
West_Brom        7   11   -3      47.75     8.87   -13.83     0.00     0.09     0.65     2.57    11.34     9.14R    1.75  
Stoke            7   10   -1      44.12     7.91   -14.17     0.00     0.02     0.12     0.61     4.05    14.24R    2.73  
Aston_Villa      7   10   -3      53.56     8.41    -2.68     0.02     0.35     2.14     7.40    27.64     1.83R    0.22  
Blackpool        7   10   -4      40.24     8.37   -27.06     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.28     2.07    31.13R    9.11  
Fulham           7    9   +1      47.99     8.09    -4.92     0.00     0.05     0.43     2.03    10.54     5.94R    0.88  
Sunderland       7    8   +0      45.60     8.10    -9.05     0.00     0.02     0.19     0.95     6.31    10.67R    1.92  
Bolton           7    8   -1      43.94     8.23   -13.61     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.67     4.67    15.90R    3.61  
Blackburn        7    8   -1      45.15     8.19   -11.06     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.80     5.97    12.17R    2.40  
Wigan            7    8   -9      32.98     7.30   -40.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.15    67.32R   32.29  
Newcastle        7    7   +0      48.70     8.88    -2.42     0.00     0.10     0.85     3.20    14.26     6.84R    1.30  
Birmingham       7    7   -3      40.00     7.79   -18.55     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.14     1.35    28.82R    7.59  
Everton          7    6   -1      53.36     8.41     5.68     0.01     0.24     2.17     7.62    28.20     1.72R    0.21  
Liverpool        7    6   -4      60.11     8.34    13.35     0.08     1.41     8.38    24.61    59.53     0.20R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    7    5   -5      34.13     7.61   -28.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.19    59.41R   25.34  
West_Ham         7    5   -9      39.27     8.13   -24.28     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.15     1.34    34.09R   10.58  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 October 2010, Barnsley vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              10   26  +21      83.70     9.69    33.57    39.03    59.18    89.14    66.80P    0.02R    0.00  
Cardiff          10   20   +8      79.23     9.63    23.31    20.77    39.88    78.11    50.75P    0.06R    0.00  
Norwich          10   19   +4      69.55    10.24     5.32     4.68    11.19    40.78    17.62P    1.90R    0.31  
Watford          10   18   +9      70.61     9.94    13.62     5.49    12.94    46.17    20.67P    1.20R    0.18  
Burnley          10   16   +7      73.42    10.36    19.40     9.78    21.21    57.24    31.47P    0.72R    0.11  
Reading          10   16   +5      73.54     9.72    17.52     8.66    19.74    57.92    30.78P    0.48R    0.06  
Swansea          10   16   +2      67.29     9.35     5.36     2.19     6.02    31.47    11.93P    2.08R    0.34  
Ipswich          10   16   +2      65.83     9.51     2.90     1.48     4.59    26.33     9.29P    3.10R    0.46  
Coventry         10   15   +2      58.53     9.27    -6.67     0.24     0.88     8.14     2.19P   13.14R    3.08  
Leeds_United     10   14   -2      59.68    10.12    -8.51     0.61     1.85    12.22     4.03P   13.13R    3.62  
Nott'm_Forest    10   13   +2      67.45     9.45     9.85     2.22     6.33    33.01    13.62P    2.10R    0.39  
Millwall         10   13   +0      58.14     9.90    -6.44     0.26     0.96     9.07     2.55P   15.73R    4.43  
Doncaster        10   13   -3      58.57     9.38    -8.52     0.24     0.84     8.31     2.29P   13.56R    3.29  
Derby            10   12   +3      58.88     9.53    -1.03     0.35     1.23     9.87     3.05P   12.36R    3.16  
Barnsley         10   12   -4      53.15     9.38   -17.13     0.04     0.19     3.04     0.67P   30.32R   10.42  
Hull             10   12   -5      61.59    10.03    -4.39     0.73     2.28    15.20     5.35P    9.36R    2.48  
Scunthorpe       10   11   -1      52.27     9.50   -15.06     0.04     0.22     2.55     0.63P   33.72R   12.38  
Middlesbrough    10   11   -6      63.11     9.58    -1.69     0.71     2.68    18.25     6.49P    6.18R    1.30  
Sheff_Utd        10   11   -7      61.21     9.37    -5.43     0.45     1.51    13.13     4.37P    8.39R    1.86  
Preston          10   10   -6      54.70     9.70   -14.60     0.13     0.42     4.30     1.18P   25.68R    8.95  
Portsmouth       10    9   -2      64.59    10.18     7.55     1.69     4.93    25.23    11.23P    5.19R    1.15  
Leicester        10    8  -10      57.78     9.60    -9.48     0.18     0.76     7.57     2.31P   16.02R    4.43  
Crystal_Palace   10    8  -10      52.41     9.28   -17.23     0.02     0.14     2.22     0.56P   32.78R   11.90  
Bristol_City     10    7   -9      47.75     9.23   -22.22     0.01     0.04     0.72     0.17P   52.77R   25.71  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 October 2010, Brentford vs Charlton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         10   21   +7      73.09     9.67    11.30     9.18    18.43    51.72    25.31P    0.77R    0.04  
Peterborough     10   19   +7      76.46    10.53    19.57    18.88    31.51    64.48    39.73P    0.56R    0.05  
Bournemouth      10   17  +11      67.78    10.26    13.04     4.13     9.29    32.88    14.26P    3.66R    0.29  
Carlisle         10   16   +7      70.02     9.80    14.03     5.29    11.96    40.47    18.57P    1.79R    0.14  
Rochdale         10   16   +6      66.13    10.36     6.86     3.19     7.22    27.17    11.49P    5.22R    0.57  
Colchester       10   16   +4      72.11     9.74    14.05     7.86    16.33    48.61    24.52P    1.05R    0.05  
Exeter           10   16   -1      56.56     9.20   -14.38     0.16     0.54     4.75     1.19P   22.56R    3.31  
Charlton         10   15   +1      72.66     9.79    13.34     9.02    18.14    50.63    27.52P    0.89R    0.06  
Bristol_Rovers   10   15   -2      60.23     9.60    -8.26     0.57     1.58    10.44     3.30P   13.18R    1.56  
Sheff_Wed        10   14   +6      75.61    10.09    24.03    15.74    28.21    63.21    39.40P    0.52R    0.04  
Huddersfield     10   14   +1      69.49     9.98    10.27     5.14    11.34    38.50    18.27P    2.28R    0.22  
Oldham           10   14   +1      60.47     9.55    -2.64     0.51     1.57    10.91     3.35P   12.03R    1.52  
MK_Dons          10   14   -2      65.83     9.86     1.68     2.30     5.49    24.40     9.54P    4.91R    0.53  
Notts_County     10   13   -3      58.60    10.19    -9.05     0.60     1.51     8.95     3.03P   18.53R    3.13  
Southampton      10   12   +1      74.78     9.58    21.03    12.38    24.34    60.40    36.52P    0.54R    0.04  
Swindon          10   12   -1      64.79     9.83     4.05     1.88     4.65    21.97     8.65P    5.79R    0.61  
Plymouth         10   12   -4      66.63    10.09     3.87     2.81     6.69    27.57    12.00P    4.52R    0.50  
Hartlepool       10   12   -7      54.17     9.57   -18.62     0.11     0.35     3.35     0.87P   32.10R    6.90  
Yeovil           10   11   -7      50.96     9.26   -20.82     0.04     0.14     1.37     0.34P   44.14R   11.44  
Dag_&_Red        10   10   -6      45.06     9.57   -29.39     0.01     0.04     0.46     0.10P   68.64R   31.29  
Tranmere         10   10   -6      51.16     9.26   -17.75     0.03     0.11     1.43     0.32P   43.06R   10.67  
Leyton_Orient    10    9   -3      51.13     9.43   -13.49     0.04     0.15     1.73     0.44P   42.16R   10.56  
Brentford        10    9   -5      53.61     9.27   -10.99     0.09     0.25     2.60     0.71P   32.22R    6.53  
Walsall          10    7   -5      51.93     9.56   -11.72     0.06     0.17     2.00     0.57P   38.88R    9.97  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 October 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale            10   22  +10      79.06     9.69    21.42    24.02    53.13    81.95    60.13P    0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield         10   19   +9      74.46     9.93    18.07    12.72    35.07    67.04    43.04P    0.11R    0.01  
Rotherham            10   19   +7      73.89     9.74    15.29    11.10    32.25    64.83    40.47P    0.08R    0.01  
Shrewsbury           10   18   +7      74.41     9.70    17.48    11.58    34.53    67.31    42.90P    0.08R    0.03  
Bury                 10   16   +3      67.25     9.67     5.99     3.08    12.74    37.92    18.44P    0.67R    0.19  
Accrington_Stanley   10   15   +7      63.35     9.93     5.18     1.60     7.15    25.47    10.99P    2.27R    0.73  
Wycombe              10   15   +5      73.65    10.21    18.69    12.06    33.01    64.35    42.48P    0.19R    0.04  
Torquay              10   15   +4      66.44     9.72     7.33     2.72    11.47    35.40    17.24P    0.94R    0.29  
Oxford_Utd           10   14   +5      60.03     9.67     1.48     0.67     3.56    15.43     6.29P    4.03R    1.43  
Burton_Albion        10   14   +3      60.69     9.80    -1.41     0.86     4.34    17.34     7.05P    3.67R    1.23  
Southend             10   14   +1      73.11    10.29    15.67    10.79    31.07    61.80    40.50P    0.23R    0.06  
Cheltenham           10   14   -4      57.64     9.68   -13.37     0.34     2.07     9.79     3.43P    7.66R    2.87  
Stevenage            10   13   +2      59.72     9.93    -1.49     0.71     3.67    15.41     6.32P    4.67R    1.70  
Crewe                10   12   +8      66.01    10.14    14.88     3.25    12.50    36.13    18.79P    1.27R    0.39  
Aldershot            10   12   -1      61.75     9.69    -0.26     0.83     4.72    19.55     8.14P    3.16R    1.09  
Macclesfield         10   12   -4      54.42     9.37   -14.00     0.11     0.76     5.03     1.52P   12.44R    5.27  
Stockport            10   11   -4      57.44    10.15    -8.55     0.42     2.37    10.86     4.26P    8.59R    3.48  
Gillingham           10   10   -3      61.72    10.23     0.59     1.32     5.70    20.96     9.93P    3.61R    1.29  
Northampton          10   10   -5      64.19     9.69     2.27     1.42     7.26    26.91    12.65P    1.85R    0.59  
Morecambe            10   10   -8      56.78     9.83   -12.46     0.26     1.67     9.06     3.22P    9.21R    3.78  
Barnet               10    9  -10      46.52     9.26   -28.53     0.01     0.08     0.90     0.21P   39.09R   21.31  
Lincoln_City         10    8   -7      48.21     9.00   -19.07     0.02     0.10     1.01     0.26P   30.22R   14.93  
Bradford             10    8   -9      54.21     9.48   -13.33     0.10     0.74     5.22     1.64P   12.98R    5.54  
Hereford             10    5  -16      43.46     9.08   -31.89     0.00     0.04     0.32     0.10P   52.99R   33.72  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 October 2010, AFC_Wimbledon vs Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       13   29  +12      78.46     8.74    18.76     9.35    58.32    19.39P    0.00R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      13   26  +10      77.17     8.83    19.47     7.25    53.11    17.37P    0.01R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     13   25   +9      71.78     9.51    11.41     2.90    30.86     7.91P    0.20R    0.02  
Luton              13   24   +9      89.38     8.39    42.09    54.87    93.41    69.23P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          13   23  +12      78.08     8.85    28.06     9.24    58.55    21.83P    0.02R    0.00  
Newport_County     13   23   +6      69.26     9.45     7.93     1.62    21.93     5.45P    0.45R    0.03  
Grimsby            13   21   +2      75.70     9.04    16.70     5.69    46.65    16.95P    0.03R    0.00  
Wrexham            13   20   +4      70.93     8.71    13.01     2.03    26.40     7.68P    0.12R    0.01  
Darlington         13   19   +5      72.39     8.89    17.77     2.76    33.23    11.69P    0.11R    0.00  
Tamworth           13   19   -1      61.04     8.67    -6.16     0.09     4.06     0.66P    2.85R    0.38  
Gateshead          13   19   -2      55.97     8.47   -15.26     0.01     1.08     0.11P    8.76R    1.36  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   13   18   +2      72.67     8.62    17.08     2.67    33.47    11.40P    0.06R    0.00  
York               13   17   +1      68.31     8.65    10.44     0.91    17.55     5.08P    0.31R    0.01  
Eastbourne_Boro    13   17   -2      52.97     8.55   -19.82     0.00     0.54     0.05P   15.72R    3.13  
Southport          13   16   -1      53.49     8.99   -12.40     0.02     0.84     0.16P   15.27R    3.21  
Kidderminster      13   16   -4      63.05     8.82    -1.47     0.21     6.71     1.56P    1.89R    0.23  
Kettering          13   14   -4      60.29     8.51    -1.98     0.06     3.16     0.73P    3.11R    0.37  
Bath_City          13   14   -5      51.65     9.23   -18.08     0.00     0.57     0.10P   21.79R    5.44  
Cambridge_Utd      13   13   +1      64.33     8.78    10.69     0.30     9.21     2.61P    1.27R    0.13  
Barrow             13   13   -2      50.41     8.37   -14.67     0.00     0.24     0.04P   22.61R    4.75  
Hayes_&_Yeading    13   11  -12      43.15     8.42   -36.09     0.00     0.02     0.00    58.17R   24.63  
Forest_Green       13   10  -10      45.20     8.59   -27.98     0.00     0.04     0.00P   46.90R   17.25  
Histon             13    9  -14      45.43     8.54   -28.91     0.00     0.04     0.01P   46.28R   16.44  
Altrincham         13    7  -16      43.74     8.52   -30.61     0.00     0.01     0.00    54.09R   22.62