Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 3 October 2010 at 21:15:02 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 October 2010, Chelsea vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          7   18  +21      90.41     7.02    75.24    80.55    96.60    99.43    99.89    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         7   14   +6      66.07     8.39    20.73     0.60     6.86    26.14    53.61    82.37     0.01R    0.00  
Man_Utd          7   13   +7      80.28     7.57    50.19    15.43    69.67    90.71    96.92    99.55     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          7   11   +7      72.39     8.23    38.85     3.24    23.57    62.44    81.69    95.01     0.00R    0.00  
Tottenham        7   11   +2      57.27     8.39     6.94     0.07     0.92     5.21    15.10    44.31     0.52R    0.04  
West_Brom        7   11   -3      47.85     8.82   -13.67     0.01     0.10     0.69     2.52    11.37     8.56R    1.68  
Stoke            7   10   -1      43.98     7.90   -14.37     0.00     0.01     0.15     0.68     3.96    14.47R    2.83  
Aston_Villa      7   10   -3      53.68     8.42    -2.47     0.01     0.34     2.31     7.80    27.56     1.74R    0.19  
Blackpool        7   10   -4      40.05     8.49   -27.48     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.28     2.10    32.24R    9.64  
Fulham           7    9   +1      48.08     8.04    -4.76     0.00     0.04     0.44     1.97    10.56     5.53R    0.81  
Sunderland       7    8   +0      45.64     8.09    -8.97     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.89     6.24    10.71R    1.87  
Bolton           7    8   -1      44.04     8.19   -13.45     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.73     4.63    15.14R    3.45  
Blackburn        7    8   -1      45.10     8.14   -11.14     0.00     0.02     0.18     0.97     5.84    12.17R    2.47  
Wigan            7    8   -9      32.89     7.34   -41.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.15    67.75R   32.61  
Newcastle        7    7   +0      48.84     8.90    -2.26     0.00     0.09     0.87     3.37    14.62     6.58R    1.24  
Birmingham       7    7   -3      39.94     7.86   -18.62     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.16     1.41    29.46R    7.47  
Everton          7    6   -1      53.35     8.37     5.67     0.01     0.23     2.14     7.69    27.86     1.75R    0.23  
Liverpool        7    6   -4      60.36     8.34    13.84     0.08     1.52     8.89    25.56    60.95     0.20R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    7    5   -5      34.38     7.70   -28.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.25    58.02R   24.35  
West_Ham         7    5   -9      39.09     8.20   -24.58     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.14     1.29    35.14R   11.11  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 October 2010, Barnsley vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              10   26  +21      83.65     9.60    33.47    39.05    58.93    89.39    66.79P    0.01R    0.00  
Cardiff          10   20   +8      79.26     9.73    23.38    20.93    39.76    77.89    50.43P    0.08R    0.01  
Norwich          10   19   +4      69.54    10.31     5.35     4.69    11.27    40.94    17.85P    1.94R    0.33  
Watford          10   18   +9      70.60     9.83    13.59     5.39    13.00    45.86    20.35P    1.15R    0.17  
Burnley          10   16   +7      73.55    10.22    19.57     9.86    21.29    58.06    31.77P    0.69R    0.11  
Reading          10   16   +5      73.68     9.64    17.69     8.56    19.86    58.74    30.91P    0.43R    0.06  
Swansea          10   16   +2      67.23     9.33     5.28     2.02     5.86    31.07    12.01P    2.07R    0.34  
Ipswich          10   16   +2      65.60     9.49     2.51     1.46     4.52    25.56     8.98P    3.23R    0.51  
Coventry         10   15   +2      58.46     9.30    -6.82     0.25     0.86     8.28     2.17P   13.32R    3.39  
Leeds_United     10   14   -2      59.45    10.05    -8.90     0.48     1.66    11.50     3.71P   13.45R    3.78  
Nott'm_Forest    10   13   +2      67.34     9.55     9.67     2.31     6.64    32.89    13.71P    2.25R    0.43  
Millwall         10   13   +0      58.13     9.94    -6.44     0.32     1.08     9.04     2.75P   15.84R    4.49  
Doncaster        10   13   -3      58.61     9.40    -8.41     0.19     0.88     8.46     2.39P   13.54R    3.42  
Derby            10   12   +3      58.66     9.49    -1.38     0.30     1.04     9.38     2.72P   12.95R    3.28  
Barnsley         10   12   -4      53.03     9.32   -17.45     0.03     0.18     2.77     0.64P   31.03R   10.83  
Hull             10   12   -5      61.25     9.90    -4.87     0.66     2.03    14.17     4.81P    9.62R    2.40  
Scunthorpe       10   11   -1      52.24     9.56   -15.04     0.04     0.22     2.75     0.65P   34.11R   12.88  
Middlesbrough    10   11   -6      63.23     9.66    -1.54     0.82     2.74    18.84     6.84P    6.21R    1.37  
Sheff_Utd        10   11   -7      61.22     9.29    -5.37     0.45     1.52    12.63     4.23P    8.28R    1.76  
Preston          10   10   -6      54.73     9.61   -14.50     0.08     0.36     4.32     1.11P   25.49R    8.75  
Portsmouth       10    9   -2      65.00    10.23     8.13     1.85     5.32    26.45    11.87P    4.87R    1.09  
Leicester        10    8  -10      58.06     9.56    -9.06     0.20     0.79     7.97     2.58P   15.28R    4.28  
Crystal_Palace   10    8  -10      52.48     9.28   -17.06     0.03     0.17     2.33     0.58P   32.60R   11.81  
Bristol_City     10    7   -9      48.06     9.17   -21.79     0.01     0.04     0.72     0.18P   51.55R   24.51  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 October 2010, Brentford vs Charlton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         10   21   +7      72.86     9.70    10.92     8.83    17.65    50.56    24.40P    0.75R    0.03  
Peterborough     10   19   +7      76.50    10.61    19.63    18.98    31.72    64.61    39.68P    0.67R    0.05  
Bournemouth      10   17  +11      67.73    10.22    12.99     4.17     9.29    32.91    14.38P    3.50R    0.34  
Carlisle         10   16   +7      69.96     9.69    13.90     5.07    11.40    40.00    17.99P    1.78R    0.12  
Rochdale         10   16   +6      66.25    10.31     7.03     3.27     7.33    27.50    11.59P    5.07R    0.60  
Colchester       10   16   +4      71.98     9.68    13.82     7.48    15.80    47.98    24.04P    1.04R    0.06  
Exeter           10   16   -1      56.30     9.24   -14.68     0.19     0.55     4.44     1.14P   23.22R    3.74  
Charlton         10   15   +1      72.72     9.78    13.45     9.09    18.17    50.58    27.71P    0.88R    0.05  
Bristol_Rovers   10   15   -2      60.17     9.68    -8.33     0.66     1.75    10.46     3.38P   13.31R    1.76  
Sheff_Wed        10   14   +6      75.68    10.10    24.13    15.86    28.58    63.43    39.64P    0.58R    0.02  
Huddersfield     10   14   +1      69.48     9.94    10.30     5.23    11.29    38.49    18.24P    2.32R    0.18  
Oldham           10   14   +1      60.65     9.56    -2.34     0.66     1.87    11.32     3.67P   11.60R    1.43  
MK_Dons          10   14   -2      65.72     9.80     1.53     2.10     5.17    24.15     9.35P    4.95R    0.48  
Notts_County     10   13   -3      58.56    10.24    -9.18     0.57     1.56     9.08     3.02P   18.81R    3.32  
Southampton      10   12   +1      74.93     9.56    21.16    12.67    24.76    61.02    36.91P    0.47R    0.03  
Swindon          10   12   -1      64.86     9.89     4.12     1.94     4.78    22.46     8.92P    5.92R    0.60  
Plymouth         10   12   -4      66.68    10.15     3.93     2.86     7.08    27.98    12.50P    4.75R    0.51  
Hartlepool       10   12   -7      54.22     9.58   -18.53     0.14     0.37     3.25     0.86P   31.90R    6.70  
Yeovil           10   11   -7      50.92     9.36   -20.92     0.03     0.11     1.43     0.33P   44.77R   11.91  
Dag_&_Red        10   10   -6      45.07     9.60   -29.32     0.01     0.03     0.40     0.11P   68.38R   31.42  
Tranmere         10   10   -6      51.16     9.28   -17.75     0.03     0.11     1.48     0.34P   43.08R   10.74  
Leyton_Orient    10    9   -3      51.20     9.38   -13.33     0.04     0.13     1.72     0.46P   42.02R   10.13  
Brentford        10    9   -5      53.69     9.26   -10.89     0.07     0.27     2.63     0.74P   31.58R    6.49  
Walsall          10    7   -5      52.01     9.58   -11.63     0.05     0.22     2.14     0.61P   38.65R    9.30  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 October 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale            10   22  +10      78.90     9.76    21.23    23.62    52.40    81.22    59.39P    0.00R    0.00  
Chesterfield         10   19   +9      74.44     9.95    18.01    12.84    35.29    66.79    43.38P    0.09R    0.02  
Rotherham            10   19   +7      73.82     9.66    15.21    10.77    31.79    64.58    40.11P    0.09R    0.02  
Shrewsbury           10   18   +7      74.33     9.72    17.35    11.57    34.07    66.81    42.42P    0.09R    0.02  
Bury                 10   16   +3      67.28     9.78     5.96     3.26    13.02    38.45    19.00P    0.86R    0.26  
Accrington_Stanley   10   15   +7      63.28     9.89     5.09     1.59     7.16    25.14    10.91P    2.21R    0.75  
Wycombe              10   15   +5      73.91    10.16    19.08    12.49    33.98    65.07    43.46P    0.15R    0.04  
Torquay              10   15   +4      66.27     9.73     7.01     2.49    11.13    34.74    16.58P    1.00R    0.30  
Oxford_Utd           10   14   +5      60.31     9.69     1.83     0.73     3.80    16.15     6.53P    3.87R    1.29  
Burton_Albion        10   14   +3      60.66     9.81    -1.48     0.81     4.23    17.38     6.98P    3.79R    1.29  
Southend             10   14   +1      73.06    10.29    15.64    10.94    30.71    61.31    40.09P    0.25R    0.06  
Cheltenham           10   14   -4      57.97     9.81   -12.95     0.36     2.26    10.83     3.83P    7.20R    2.80  
Stevenage            10   13   +2      59.50     9.99    -1.87     0.77     3.70    15.13     6.25P    5.00R    1.87  
Crewe                10   12   +8      65.77    10.23    14.49     3.16    12.38    35.37    18.54P    1.34R    0.42  
Aldershot            10   12   -1      61.92     9.68    -0.01     0.89     4.77    19.87     8.19P    2.94R    0.99  
Macclesfield         10   12   -4      54.39     9.33   -13.92     0.11     0.76     4.94     1.47P   12.61R    5.14  
Stockport            10   11   -4      57.66    10.23    -8.25     0.50     2.58    11.57     4.55P    8.30R    3.47  
Gillingham           10   10   -3      61.96    10.18     0.94     1.24     5.95    21.52    10.28P    3.38R    1.21  
Northampton          10   10   -5      64.18     9.74     2.26     1.49     7.51    27.09    12.79P    1.90R    0.56  
Morecambe            10   10   -8      56.64     9.78   -12.65     0.28     1.64     8.67     3.06P    9.24R    3.81  
Barnet               10    9  -10      46.65     9.19   -28.26     0.01     0.07     0.89     0.18P   38.49R   20.67  
Lincoln_City         10    8   -7      48.13     9.01   -19.21     0.02     0.14     1.11     0.32P   30.38R   15.16  
Bradford             10    8   -9      54.11     9.49   -13.44     0.09     0.66     5.05     1.63P   13.37R    5.67  
Hereford             10    5  -16      43.36     9.07   -32.06     0.00     0.02     0.32     0.07P   53.44R   34.18  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 October 2010, AFC_Wimbledon vs Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       13   29  +12      78.29     8.71    18.51     9.11    57.48    18.94P    0.00R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      13   26  +10      77.05     8.83    19.24     7.00    52.59    16.64P    0.03R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     13   25   +9      71.72     9.59    11.35     3.07    30.62     8.25P    0.21R    0.01  
Luton              13   24   +9      89.51     8.34    42.32    55.38    93.77    69.99P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          13   23  +12      77.88     8.83    27.72     9.02    57.85    21.68P    0.01R    0.00  
Newport_County     13   23   +6      69.40     9.44     8.12     1.70    22.40     5.29P    0.42R    0.03  
Grimsby            13   21   +2      75.71     9.02    16.75     5.49    46.74    16.99P    0.05R    0.00  
Wrexham            13   20   +4      70.85     8.66    12.85     1.86    26.17     7.52P    0.12R    0.01  
Darlington         13   19   +5      72.41     8.94    17.77     2.77    33.19    11.64P    0.10R    0.01  
Tamworth           13   19   -1      61.04     8.71    -6.24     0.10     4.13     0.67P    2.93R    0.38  
Gateshead          13   19   -2      55.86     8.35   -15.38     0.02     1.06     0.14P    8.76R    1.32  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   13   18   +2      72.84     8.67    17.36     2.87    34.53    11.94P    0.08R    0.00  
York               13   17   +1      68.45     8.71    10.59     0.99    18.36     5.17P    0.29R    0.02  
Eastbourne_Boro    13   17   -2      53.16     8.58   -19.57     0.01     0.53     0.07P   15.39R    3.07  
Southport          13   16   -1      53.53     8.93   -12.42     0.01     0.78     0.16P   15.16R    3.18  
Kidderminster      13   16   -4      63.10     8.78    -1.32     0.26     6.71     1.62P    1.84R    0.18  
Kettering          13   14   -4      60.04     8.53    -2.35     0.08     3.09     0.66P    3.31R    0.38  
Bath_City          13   14   -5      51.92     9.32   -17.68     0.01     0.60     0.07P   21.37R    5.42  
Cambridge_Utd      13   13   +1      64.23     8.79    10.54     0.26     9.07     2.51P    1.28R    0.16  
Barrow             13   13   -2      50.25     8.35   -14.84     0.00     0.21     0.03P   23.31R    5.14  
Hayes_&_Yeading    13   11  -12      43.22     8.40   -35.92     0.00     0.02     0.00P   58.10R   24.24  
Forest_Green       13   10  -10      45.09     8.50   -28.22     0.00     0.03     0.00    47.66R   17.37  
Histon             13    9  -14      45.51     8.54   -28.70     0.00     0.05     0.01P   46.04R   16.60  
Altrincham         13    7  -16      43.86     8.51   -30.47     0.00     0.01     0.00P   53.54R   22.49