Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 2 October 2010 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 October 2010, Birmingham vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          6   15  +19      89.08     7.28    73.96    74.84    93.73    98.68    99.72    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          7   13   +7      80.42     7.48    50.77    18.39    67.62    89.29    96.31    99.55     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          6   11   +9      73.38     8.41    40.40     5.48    26.87    63.27    81.64    95.46     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         6   11   +5      65.36     8.58    21.30     0.66     6.07    21.58    45.79    78.56     0.02R    0.00  
Tottenham        7   11   +2      57.11     8.31     6.77     0.06     0.75     4.20    12.81    41.63     0.49R    0.04  
West_Brom        7   11   -3      48.16     8.79   -13.11     0.01     0.08     0.55     2.19    11.05     7.33R    1.30  
Stoke            7   10   -1      44.11     7.91   -14.30     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.50     3.76    13.25R    2.25  
Aston_Villa      7   10   -3      53.69     8.32    -2.44     0.01     0.30     1.86     6.49    25.78     1.43R    0.15  
Fulham           7    9   +1      48.18     7.99    -4.66     0.00     0.03     0.35     1.72     9.49     4.83R    0.64  
Sunderland       7    8   +0      45.69     8.09    -8.91     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.73     5.58     9.51R    1.72  
Bolton           7    8   -1      44.15     8.23   -13.37     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.62     4.30    13.95R    2.84  
Blackburn        7    8   -1      45.10     8.06   -11.28     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.60     4.85    10.69R    1.97  
Wigan            7    8   -9      32.89     7.33   -41.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    65.76R   29.55  
Newcastle        6    7   +1      49.30     9.11    -2.74     0.01     0.11     1.03     3.54    14.94     6.01R    0.94  
Birmingham       7    7   -3      40.09     7.72   -18.56     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     1.15    26.21R    6.35  
Blackpool        6    7   -5      35.61     8.47   -34.29     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.63    50.96R   20.75  
Everton          7    6   -1      53.47     8.27     5.92     0.01     0.21     1.71     6.49    26.24     1.40R    0.16  
Liverpool        6    6   -3      64.37     8.46    19.40     0.54     4.20    16.97    40.51    75.61     0.03R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    7    5   -5      34.36     7.67   -28.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.20    55.76R   21.76  
West_Ham         7    5   -9      39.18     8.11   -24.60     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.13     1.15    32.37R    9.58  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 October 2010, Barnsley vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              10   26  +21      84.01     9.72    34.17    39.21    59.46    89.06    66.93P    0.01R    0.00  
Cardiff          10   20   +8      79.59     9.74    24.04    21.13    40.12    77.99    51.21P    0.09R    0.01  
Norwich          10   19   +4      69.33    10.23     4.85     4.36    10.33    38.97    16.49P    1.92R    0.29  
Watford          10   18   +9      70.68     9.87    13.72     5.24    12.57    45.18    19.85P    1.14R    0.16  
Ipswich          10   18   +4      68.95     9.53     6.44     2.75     7.88    37.10    14.06P    1.47R    0.20  
Burnley          10   16   +7      73.48    10.33    19.54     9.23    20.46    56.72    30.83P    0.79R    0.10  
Reading          10   16   +5      73.80     9.70    17.95     8.47    19.43    58.12    30.65P    0.44R    0.05  
Swansea          10   16   +2      67.23     9.33     5.18     2.05     5.71    29.65    11.57P    1.96R    0.30  
Coventry         10   15   +1      58.07     9.31    -8.90     0.23     0.74     7.27     1.83P   14.00R    3.23  
Leeds_United     10   14   -2      59.84    10.18    -8.43     0.55     1.68    11.96     3.80P   12.86R    3.36  
Nott'm_Forest    10   13   +2      67.39     9.52     9.71     2.20     6.13    31.77    13.02P    2.20R    0.36  
Millwall         10   13   +1      59.16     9.92    -4.32     0.36     1.25    10.22     3.02P   13.17R    3.35  
Doncaster        10   13   -2      59.07     9.47    -6.95     0.25     1.00     8.98     2.65P   12.38R    2.86  
Derby            10   12   +3      58.73     9.54    -1.64     0.25     1.00     9.05     2.53P   12.82R    3.21  
Barnsley         10   12   -3      53.50     9.36   -16.03     0.04     0.20     2.87     0.71P   28.72R    9.03  
Hull             10   12   -6      60.59    10.00    -7.04     0.51     1.70    12.39     4.24P   11.02R    2.85  
Scunthorpe       10   11   -1      52.33     9.52   -15.28     0.04     0.17     2.42     0.52P   33.24R   11.50  
Middlesbrough    10   11   -7      63.00     9.55    -2.92     0.70     2.43    16.93     6.16P    6.01R    1.21  
Sheff_Utd        10   11   -7      61.35     9.45    -5.31     0.44     1.54    12.89     4.26P    8.13R    1.79  
Preston          10   10   -6      54.77     9.63   -14.77     0.10     0.34     4.16     1.03P   25.17R    8.00  
Portsmouth       10    9   -2      65.18    10.15     8.42     1.69     5.01    25.96    11.54P    4.57R    0.89  
Leicester        10    8  -10      58.03     9.62    -9.17     0.18     0.67     7.71     2.45P   15.12R    3.98  
Crystal_Palace   10    8  -10      52.63     9.39   -17.09     0.03     0.17     2.25     0.57P   32.21R   11.06  
Bristol_City     10    6  -11      45.89     9.22   -26.18     0.00     0.03     0.39     0.11P   60.53R   32.21  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 October 2010, Brentford vs Charlton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         10   21   +7      72.96     9.83    11.02     9.07    18.30    51.09    25.01P    0.81R    0.05  
Peterborough     10   19   +7      76.32    10.51    19.26    18.06    31.11    64.03    39.16P    0.57R    0.05  
Bournemouth      10   17  +11      67.47    10.33    12.60     4.10     8.89    32.21    13.79P    3.86R    0.33  
Carlisle         10   16   +7      69.92     9.76    13.77     5.23    11.59    40.24    18.14P    1.74R    0.11  
Rochdale         10   16   +6      66.13    10.29     6.89     3.16     7.03    27.28    11.31P    5.22R    0.59  
Colchester       10   16   +4      71.91     9.82    13.71     7.66    15.74    47.65    23.90P    1.11R    0.06  
Exeter           10   16   -1      56.30     9.24   -14.82     0.17     0.52     4.54     1.06P   23.60R    3.80  
Charlton         10   15   +1      72.47     9.79    13.09     8.59    17.51    49.92    26.82P    0.98R    0.04  
Bristol_Rovers   10   15   -2      60.38     9.64    -8.05     0.58     1.68    10.85     3.36P   12.98R    1.70  
Sheff_Wed        10   14   +6      75.86    10.13    24.40    16.36    29.19    64.47    40.57P    0.51R    0.03  
Huddersfield     10   14   +1      69.51    10.07    10.35     5.43    11.71    38.75    18.41P    2.37R    0.19  
Oldham           10   14   +1      60.64     9.52    -2.39     0.57     1.69    11.10     3.51P   11.57R    1.52  
MK_Dons          10   14   -2      65.80     9.77     1.64     2.14     5.34    24.10     9.55P    4.97R    0.53  
Notts_County     10   13   -3      58.28    10.20    -9.55     0.55     1.44     8.59     2.79P   19.63R    3.37  
Southampton      10   12   +1      75.04     9.64    21.39    13.00    25.05    61.42    37.57P    0.45R    0.02  
Swindon          10   12   -1      64.72     9.84     3.96     1.78     4.52    21.74     8.66P    6.03R    0.63  
Plymouth         10   12   -4      66.65    10.27     3.99     3.09     7.24    28.21    12.75P    4.91R    0.52  
Hartlepool       10   12   -7      54.47     9.66   -18.12     0.15     0.48     3.78     0.99P   31.11R    6.67  
Yeovil           10   11   -7      50.92     9.33   -20.95     0.05     0.15     1.45     0.35P   44.94R   11.52  
Dag_&_Red        10   10   -6      45.00     9.54   -29.39     0.01     0.03     0.48     0.10P   69.06R   31.52  
Tranmere         10   10   -6      51.41     9.27   -17.38     0.04     0.14     1.65     0.38P   42.12R   10.24  
Leyton_Orient    10    9   -3      51.14     9.35   -13.42     0.03     0.12     1.56     0.41P   42.32R   10.62  
Brentford        10    9   -5      53.79     9.28   -10.73     0.09     0.29     2.58     0.72P   31.34R    6.51  
Walsall          10    7   -5      52.27     9.63   -11.29     0.08     0.24     2.30     0.69P   37.80R    9.37  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 October 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale            10   22  +10      79.01     9.69    21.33    24.22    52.87    81.81    60.00P    0.01R    0.01  
Chesterfield         10   19   +9      74.17     9.96    17.61    12.19    34.21    65.95    41.96P    0.11R    0.03  
Rotherham            10   19   +7      73.93     9.61    15.38    10.96    32.31    64.85    40.72P    0.07R    0.02  
Shrewsbury           10   18   +7      74.31     9.67    17.36    11.74    33.65    66.76    42.10P    0.08R    0.02  
Bury                 10   16   +3      67.23     9.75     5.87     3.08    12.99    38.18    18.68P    0.77R    0.21  
Accrington_Stanley   10   15   +7      63.23     9.92     4.96     1.53     7.17    24.91    10.88P    2.27R    0.70  
Wycombe              10   15   +5      73.78    10.18    18.85    12.06    33.36    64.49    42.97P    0.20R    0.05  
Torquay              10   15   +4      66.36     9.71     7.18     2.73    11.31    34.99    16.91P    0.98R    0.30  
Oxford_Utd           10   14   +5      60.12     9.60     1.61     0.62     3.48    15.75     6.17P    3.87R    1.30  
Burton_Albion        10   14   +3      60.68     9.81    -1.37     0.87     4.29    17.37     7.01P    3.84R    1.29  
Southend             10   14   +1      73.11    10.27    15.69    10.91    31.28    61.77    40.73P    0.22R    0.05  
Cheltenham           10   14   -4      57.58     9.66   -13.50     0.32     2.01     9.79     3.43P    7.42R    2.76  
Stevenage            10   13   +2      59.79     9.96    -1.48     0.71     3.79    15.50     6.45P    4.83R    1.72  
Crewe                10   12   +8      65.92    10.14    14.69     3.18    12.43    35.40    18.58P    1.35R    0.42  
Aldershot            10   12   -1      61.89     9.69    -0.05     0.84     4.66    20.03     7.98P    2.86R    0.99  
Macclesfield         10   12   -4      54.49     9.31   -13.83     0.09     0.72     5.05     1.48P   12.21R    5.04  
Stockport            10   11   -4      57.78    10.24    -8.06     0.48     2.81    11.80     4.85P    8.08R    3.35  
Gillingham           10   10   -3      62.09    10.29     1.13     1.38     6.29    22.03    10.65P    3.45R    1.17  
Northampton          10   10   -5      64.33     9.79     2.40     1.67     7.71    27.68    13.08P    1.75R    0.58  
Morecambe            10   10   -8      56.77     9.84   -12.48     0.30     1.72     9.01     3.27P    9.02R    3.51  
Barnet               10    9  -10      46.51     9.16   -28.47     0.00     0.08     0.79     0.19P   39.22R   21.05  
Lincoln_City         10    8   -7      48.04     9.05   -19.27     0.01     0.10     1.01     0.25P   30.93R   15.55  
Bradford             10    8   -9      54.05     9.46   -13.50     0.09     0.76     4.82     1.60P   13.37R    5.80  
Hereford             10    5  -16      43.38     9.08   -32.06     0.00     0.02     0.26     0.07P   53.10R   34.09  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 October 2010, AFC_Wimbledon vs Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       13   29  +12      78.36     8.72    18.56     9.08    58.06    18.87P    0.00R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      13   26  +10      77.09     8.79    19.32     7.22    52.76    17.40P    0.01R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     13   25   +9      71.69     9.45    11.24     2.84    30.34     7.79P    0.22R    0.01  
Luton              13   24   +9      89.49     8.35    42.26    55.45    93.73    70.19P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          13   23  +12      77.91     8.79    27.82     9.09    57.96    21.42P    0.01R    0.00  
Newport_County     13   23   +6      69.37     9.44     8.10     1.64    22.16     5.37P    0.38R    0.04  
Grimsby            13   21   +2      75.65     9.09    16.71     5.52    46.25    16.81P    0.05R    0.01  
Wrexham            13   20   +4      70.92     8.71    13.02     1.84    26.53     7.71P    0.14R    0.01  
Darlington         13   19   +5      72.53     8.96    17.98     2.88    34.02    11.74P    0.10R    0.01  
Tamworth           13   19   -1      61.01     8.65    -6.29     0.09     3.90     0.67P    2.85R    0.41  
Gateshead          13   19   -2      55.77     8.36   -15.52     0.02     0.92     0.11P    8.90R    1.38  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   13   18   +2      72.75     8.63    17.22     2.86    34.13    11.74P    0.09R    0.01  
York               13   17   +1      68.35     8.61    10.44     0.89    17.56     4.96P    0.28R    0.02  
Eastbourne_Boro    13   17   -2      53.30     8.52   -19.25     0.01     0.58     0.07P   14.85R    2.91  
Southport          13   16   -1      53.36     8.94   -12.61     0.02     0.80     0.16P   15.41R    3.12  
Kidderminster      13   16   -4      63.10     8.80    -1.35     0.23     6.72     1.51P    1.88R    0.23  
Kettering          13   14   -4      60.17     8.65    -2.13     0.06     3.39     0.75P    3.36R    0.42  
Bath_City          13   14   -5      51.72     9.20   -17.96     0.02     0.60     0.12P   21.63R    5.52  
Cambridge_Utd      13   13   +1      64.25     8.82    10.56     0.24     9.24     2.56P    1.35R    0.17  
Barrow             13   13   -2      50.25     8.38   -14.91     0.00     0.23     0.03P   23.24R    5.28  
Hayes_&_Yeading    13   11  -12      43.22     8.44   -35.96     0.00     0.01     0.00P   57.94R   24.72  
Forest_Green       13   10  -10      45.07     8.49   -28.23     0.00     0.04     0.00P   47.93R   17.45  
Histon             13    9  -14      45.51     8.54   -28.69     0.00     0.06     0.01P   45.79R   16.38  
Altrincham         13    7  -16      43.89     8.48   -30.33     0.00     0.00     0.00P   53.60R   21.91