Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 1 October 2010 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 26 September 2010, Bolton vs Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          6   15  +19      89.42     7.27    75.08    71.16    93.78    98.76    99.73    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          6   12   +7      82.25     7.70    54.28    23.29    73.32    91.51    97.31    99.64     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          6   11   +9      73.37     8.41    40.51     4.44    22.99    62.45    81.37    95.48     0.00R    0.00  
Man_City         6   11   +5      65.37     8.66    21.34     0.61     5.19    20.69    45.29    78.37     0.05R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      6   10   -2      54.77     8.58    -1.89     0.04     0.36     2.63     8.57    30.39     1.20R    0.12  
West_Brom        6   10   -3      49.17     9.15   -12.45     0.01     0.11     0.72     2.96    13.98     6.87R    1.19  
Fulham           6    8   +1      48.36     8.38    -5.05     0.00     0.05     0.47     2.00    10.77     5.72R    0.76  
Tottenham        6    8   +1      55.76     8.62     6.16     0.03     0.42     3.18    10.51    35.95     0.96R    0.07  
Blackburn        6    8   +0      46.63     8.35   -10.26     0.00     0.02     0.24     1.16     7.56     8.44R    1.34  
Newcastle        6    7   +1      49.53     9.15    -2.49     0.01     0.11     1.04     3.68    15.60     5.64R    0.91  
Sunderland       6    7   +0      45.05     8.35   -11.06     0.00     0.02     0.14     0.71     5.31    12.04R    2.08  
Bolton           6    7   -1      43.89     8.48   -14.80     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.67     4.59    15.29R    2.97  
Birmingham       6    7   -1      42.19     7.98   -15.42     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.25     2.34    19.01R    3.62  
Stoke            6    7   -2      42.39     8.21   -15.91     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.37     2.70    18.93R    3.66  
Blackpool        6    7   -5      35.54     8.37   -34.67     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.55    51.22R   18.75  
Liverpool        6    6   -3      64.52     8.42    19.70     0.40     3.53    16.85    40.90    76.12     0.04R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    6    5   -3      36.25     7.97   -25.94     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.50    45.68R   14.89  
Wigan            6    5  -11      30.65     7.52   -45.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    75.15R   41.03  
West_Ham         6    4   -9      39.70     8.33   -24.47     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.17     1.41    30.42R    8.15  
Everton          6    3   -3      51.07     8.68     2.57     0.01     0.09     1.05     4.21    18.69     3.32R    0.45  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 28 September 2010, Burnley vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR               9   23  +20      81.51     9.83    31.80    33.63    52.27    84.53    60.42P    0.04R    0.00  
Cardiff           9   17   +7      77.08     9.88    21.61    17.71    33.52    71.07    44.46P    0.26R    0.02  
Norwich           9   16   +1      65.52    10.40    -1.69     2.71     6.55    27.04    10.85P    5.52R    1.31  
Watford           9   15   +8      68.07    10.07    11.03     4.14    10.07    36.53    16.05P    2.72R    0.56  
Burnley           9   15   +7      74.12    10.50    20.01    12.59    24.78    59.97    34.80P    0.82R    0.14  
Reading           9   15   +5      74.34     9.85    18.25    11.50    23.84    61.10    34.63P    0.52R    0.08  
Swansea           9   15   +2      68.45     9.67     6.43     3.51     8.99    36.74    15.86P    2.19R    0.42  
Coventry          9   14   +2      58.20     9.49    -8.10     0.33     1.09     8.45     2.40P   16.22R    4.61  
Leeds_United      9   14   -1      60.64    10.32    -8.15     0.96     2.69    14.31     5.04P   12.92R    3.85  
Ipswich           9   13   +1      64.47     9.74     2.29     1.45     4.20    23.22     8.39P    5.44R    1.18  
Nott'm_Forest     9   12   +2      67.71     9.65     9.77     3.23     8.02    34.37    15.30P    2.49R    0.48  
Millwall          9   12   +0      58.97    10.13    -5.94     0.62     1.72    10.90     3.47P   16.03R    4.84  
Barnsley          9   12   -3      54.80     9.55   -15.94     0.14     0.50     4.51     1.19P   27.23R    9.51  
Doncaster         9   12   -3      59.03     9.53    -8.47     0.38     1.30     9.59     2.94P   14.41R    3.97  
Derby             9   11   +3      58.29     9.73    -2.73     0.40     1.26     9.36     3.02P   16.00R    4.92  
Scunthorpe        9   11   +1      53.97     9.68   -12.54     0.11     0.43     4.15     1.14P   30.20R   11.21  
Hull              9   11   -5      62.76    10.28    -3.33     1.28     3.67    19.11     7.37P    9.28R    2.43  
Sheff_Utd         9   11   -6      63.66     9.59    -2.92     1.14     3.40    20.01     7.36P    6.28R    1.48  
Middlesbrough     9   10   -6      64.12     9.72    -0.69     1.41     3.93    21.80     8.37P    5.93R    1.28  
Preston           9    9   -6      55.08     9.91   -14.86     0.22     0.59     5.15     1.49P   27.22R   10.23  
Portsmouth        9    8   -2      64.91    10.35     7.48     2.26     6.06    26.46    12.17P    5.62R    1.49  
Crystal_Palace    9    8   -9      54.30     9.46   -15.48     0.09     0.33     3.60     0.96P   28.74R   10.20  
Bristol_City      9    7   -6      51.22     9.54   -16.06     0.04     0.16     2.08     0.53P   40.54R   17.46  
Leicester         9    5  -12      56.00     9.80   -11.80     0.15     0.61     5.94     1.79P   23.39R    8.32  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 28 September 2010, Bournemouth vs Exeter; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton          9   20   +7      73.79    10.07    11.69     9.46    18.48    50.28    24.94P    0.61R    0.05  
Bournemouth       9   17  +13      69.75    10.60    15.82     5.82    11.97    37.17    17.30P    2.10R    0.10  
Carlisle          9   16   +8      72.42    10.14    16.63     7.93    15.90    46.37    22.85P    1.03R    0.05  
Rochdale          9   16   +7      68.81    10.66     9.76     4.84    10.12    33.33    15.09P    2.89R    0.27  
Peterborough      9   16   +6      73.96    10.96    17.13    12.18    22.03    52.27    29.55P    1.05R    0.07  
Colchester        9   15   +4      72.46    10.05    14.06     7.78    15.69    45.99    23.29P    0.85R    0.04  
Charlton          9   15   +2      74.99     9.96    15.91    11.60    22.13    56.08    31.87P    0.43R    0.02  
Huddersfield      9   14   +2      72.42    10.21    13.85     8.06    15.77    45.97    23.35P    1.08R    0.06  
Oldham            9   13   +1      61.27     9.71    -2.17     0.61     1.69    10.96     3.50P    9.08R    0.92  
Notts_County      9   13   -1      60.68    10.62    -6.19     0.93     2.45    11.93     4.32P   12.46R    1.42  
Exeter            9   13   -2      53.83     9.60   -17.60     0.08     0.29     2.64     0.67P   29.51R    4.74  
MK_Dons           9   13   -2      66.47    10.00     2.07     2.17     5.42    23.76     9.33P    3.68R    0.26  
Swindon           9   12   +0      67.56    10.19     7.18     3.15     7.08    28.40    12.27P    3.10R    0.23  
Plymouth          9   12   -3      70.17    10.64     8.18     5.77    11.73    37.44    18.56P    2.28R    0.15  
Bristol_Rovers    9   12   -3      56.94     9.94   -12.34     0.31     0.80     5.62     1.63P   19.61R    2.59  
Sheff_Wed         9   11   +4      73.21    10.50    21.10     9.86    19.08    50.11    29.08P    0.98R    0.05  
Southampton       9    9   -1      73.37     9.95    19.53     9.10    18.26    50.85    29.37P    0.76R    0.03  
Tranmere          9    9   -6      51.46     9.54   -18.12     0.03     0.12     1.52     0.36P   38.00R    7.38  
Hartlepool        9    9   -8      51.16     9.75   -22.31     0.03     0.13     1.49     0.41P   40.08R    8.81  
Leyton_Orient     9    8   -3      51.09     9.66   -14.35     0.04     0.15     1.58     0.42P   38.67R    7.81  
Yeovil            9    8   -8      48.04     9.46   -24.31     0.01     0.05     0.64     0.14P   52.51R   14.27  
Walsall           9    7   -4      54.99    10.05    -8.52     0.21     0.53     4.06     1.29P   25.05R    4.39  
Dag_&_Red         9    7   -7      41.64     9.69   -33.80     0.00     0.02     0.17     0.03P   76.30R   38.51  
Brentford         9    6   -6      51.24     9.55   -13.19     0.02     0.11     1.37     0.36P   37.88R    7.80  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 28 September 2010, Cheltenham vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale             9   22  +11      80.53     9.78    22.70    27.66    57.60    84.89    64.16P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield          9   18   +9      74.82    10.03    18.07    12.65    35.47    67.25    43.45P    0.06R    0.01  
Rotherham             9   18   +7      73.92     9.85    14.92    10.54    31.50    63.88    39.80P    0.08R    0.01  
Shrewsbury            9   17   +7      75.36     9.95    18.38    13.12    37.10    69.64    45.36P    0.06R    0.01  
Bury                  9   15   +3      67.85     9.89     6.38     3.36    14.02    40.13    20.06P    0.56R    0.12  
Torquay               9   14   +4      66.05     9.86     6.36     2.32    10.33    33.71    15.70P    0.97R    0.29  
Stevenage             9   13   +4      62.37    10.07     2.51     1.22     5.98    22.15     9.56P    2.37R    0.74  
Accrington_Stanley    9   12   +4      59.54     9.73    -0.38     0.55     3.05    14.06     5.09P    4.24R    1.56  
Wycombe               9   12   +3      70.49    10.33    14.54     6.82    22.10    51.12    30.80P    0.39R    0.08  
Aldershot             9   12   +1      65.42     9.92     5.20     2.01     9.27    31.16    14.21P    1.23R    0.42  
Crewe                 9   11   +8      65.09    10.22    12.93     2.59    10.49    32.07    16.17P    1.31R    0.41  
Oxford_Utd            9   11   +4      57.42     9.76    -0.53     0.30     1.93    10.29     3.75P    6.37R    2.34  
Burton_Albion         9   11   +2      58.92     9.99    -2.40     0.58     3.07    13.74     5.45P    4.97R    1.76  
Southend              9   11   +0      72.42    10.62    16.13     9.75    28.53    58.62    37.86P    0.29R    0.08  
Stockport             9   11   -3      59.26    10.46    -6.62     0.77     3.54    14.47     6.02P    6.00R    2.40  
Cheltenham            9   11   -6      54.02     9.81   -18.48     0.15     0.84     5.15     1.60P   13.35R    5.76  
Gillingham            9   10   +0      65.17    10.22     6.88     2.32     9.95    31.04    15.69P    1.35R    0.43  
Northampton           9   10   -3      67.15     9.94     6.66     2.90    12.22    37.27    18.99P    0.85R    0.27  
Macclesfield          9    9   -6      51.13     9.48   -18.30     0.05     0.31     2.56     0.69P   19.56R    9.18  
Lincoln_City          9    8   -6      48.75     9.22   -19.31     0.02     0.16     1.48     0.40P   26.53R   12.53  
Bradford              9    8   -8      56.71     9.76   -10.47     0.20     1.47     8.34     2.95P    8.09R    3.22  
Morecambe             9    7   -9      54.10    10.05   -14.96     0.11     0.98     5.87     2.00P   13.25R    5.72  
Barnet                9    6  -12      43.80     9.35   -32.00     0.00     0.02     0.40     0.07P   48.64R   30.25  
Hereford              9    5  -14      45.83     9.41   -28.21     0.01     0.05     0.69     0.16P   39.48R   22.41  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 29 September 2010, AFC_Wimbledon vs Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       12   26  +10      76.68     8.97    16.42     6.84    47.34    14.55P    0.01R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      12   25  +10      79.01     9.04    21.90    10.71    58.12    20.85P    0.01R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     12   24   +9      73.22     9.85    13.07     4.38    34.15     9.78P    0.14R    0.02  
Newport_County     12   23   +8      71.13     9.76    10.67     2.70    26.41     7.13P    0.27R    0.02  
Mansfield          12   22  +12      78.74     9.04    28.57    10.78    58.12    22.84P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              12   21   +8      88.32     8.63    42.42    47.29    90.35    63.86P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         12   19   +6      75.17     9.20    20.92     5.58    42.19    16.29P    0.04R    0.00  
Tamworth           12   19   +0      62.52     8.87    -4.94     0.20     5.26     0.98P    1.69R    0.15  
Grimsby            12   18   +0      73.77     9.42    14.32     4.07    35.89    12.77P    0.10R    0.01  
Gateshead          12   18   -2      56.17     8.63   -15.59     0.02     1.13     0.16P    7.40R    1.15  
Wrexham            12   17   +3      68.05     8.81    10.23     0.97    15.72     4.39P    0.33R    0.02  
York               12   17   +2      70.52     8.85    12.66     1.67    22.87     6.87P    0.13R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   12   17   +2      73.50     8.84    17.83     3.52    34.45    12.08P    0.05R    0.00  
Kidderminster      12   16   -2      64.61     9.04     0.88     0.36     8.66     2.00P    1.15R    0.13  
Eastbourne_Boro    12   14   -3      51.26     8.77   -21.09     0.01     0.32     0.04P   19.13R    4.27  
Cambridge_Utd      12   13   +2      67.68     8.94    14.78     0.80    15.38     4.66P    0.42R    0.04  
Barrow             12   13   -1      51.46     8.63   -14.51     0.00     0.33     0.06P   16.97R    3.36  
Southport          12   13   -2      51.61     9.21   -13.77     0.01     0.47     0.07P   18.61R    4.28  
Kettering          12   11   -5      59.40     8.80    -1.84     0.08     2.59     0.56P    3.61R    0.49  
Bath_City          12   11   -6      47.64     9.30   -23.31     0.01     0.16     0.02P   33.78R   10.99  
Hayes_&_Yeading    12   11  -11      43.76     8.56   -36.54     0.00     0.02     0.01P   51.50R   19.72  
Forest_Green       12    9  -10      44.16     8.70   -30.81     0.00     0.04     0.01P   48.35R   18.27  
Histon             12    8  -14      44.66     8.71   -31.09     0.00     0.03     0.01P   46.26R   17.07  
Altrincham         12    6  -16      43.77     8.64   -31.17     0.00     0.02     0.00P   50.07R   20.02