Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 30 September 2010 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 26 September 2010, Bolton vs Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          6   15  +19      89.34     7.26    74.74    70.90    93.50    98.59    99.69    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          6   12   +7      82.25     7.73    54.43    23.20    73.10    91.62    97.24    99.67     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          6   11   +9      73.54     8.37    40.93     4.80    23.50    63.08    81.80    95.62     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         6   11   +5      65.07     8.74    20.82     0.56     4.93    19.94    43.68    76.87     0.05R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      6   10   -2      54.92     8.61    -1.68     0.04     0.39     2.68     8.88    30.99     1.18R    0.13  
West_Brom        6   10   -3      49.50     9.23   -11.87     0.01     0.12     0.86     3.40    14.46     6.40R    1.02  
Fulham           6    8   +1      48.23     8.34    -5.34     0.00     0.03     0.42     1.86    10.29     5.62R    0.74  
Tottenham        6    8   +1      55.90     8.59     6.36     0.03     0.53     3.36    10.57    36.47     0.79R    0.05  
Blackburn        6    8   +0      46.68     8.36   -10.24     0.00     0.01     0.25     1.23     7.62     8.31R    1.28  
Newcastle        6    7   +1      49.65     9.21    -2.30     0.02     0.12     1.08     3.94    16.05     5.65R    0.88  
Sunderland       6    7   +0      45.06     8.38   -11.05     0.00     0.02     0.14     0.79     5.38    11.82R    1.94  
Bolton           6    7   -1      44.02     8.43   -14.59     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.65     4.59    14.93R    2.83  
Birmingham       6    7   -1      42.15     8.06   -15.49     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.28     2.45    19.11R    3.56  
Stoke            6    7   -2      42.19     8.17   -16.16     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.35     2.63    19.42R    3.83  
Blackpool        6    7   -5      35.39     8.33   -34.97     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.54    51.68R   18.75  
Liverpool        6    6   -3      64.59     8.48    19.81     0.44     3.62    16.71    41.09    76.06     0.04R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    6    5   -3      36.30     7.95   -25.80     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.41    45.36R   14.61  
Wigan            6    5  -11      30.48     7.46   -45.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    75.71R   41.72  
West_Ham         6    4   -9      39.64     8.41   -24.59     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.20     1.48    30.53R    8.12  
Everton          6    3   -3      51.07     8.64     2.60     0.00     0.10     1.00     4.26    18.38     3.41R    0.52  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 28 September 2010, Burnley vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR               9   23  +20      81.82     9.89    32.41    33.98    52.65    84.10    60.70P    0.05R    0.01  
Cardiff           9   17   +7      77.39     9.87    22.25    17.82    33.78    71.52    44.71P    0.24R    0.03  
Norwich           9   16   +1      65.25    10.54    -2.29     2.61     6.41    25.66    10.49P    6.15R    1.45  
Watford           9   15   +8      67.90    10.14    10.77     4.02     9.43    35.19    15.33P    3.00R    0.60  
Burnley           9   15   +7      73.93    10.58    19.83    12.04    23.67    57.96    33.37P    0.82R    0.15  
Reading           9   15   +5      74.33     9.89    18.35    11.17    23.03    60.26    33.64P    0.55R    0.09  
Ipswich           9   15   +3      67.96     9.73     6.37     2.91     7.76    34.23    13.58P    2.55R    0.43  
Swansea           9   15   +2      68.66     9.54     6.59     3.32     8.71    36.27    15.42P    1.96R    0.32  
Coventry          9   14   +1      57.57     9.60   -10.72     0.30     0.94     7.37     2.10P   18.30R    5.18  
Leeds_United      9   14   -1      60.91    10.31    -8.05     0.91     2.54    14.40     4.99P   12.46R    3.65  
Nott'm_Forest     9   12   +2      67.70     9.67     9.76     2.98     7.90    33.36    14.67P    2.46R    0.45  
Millwall          9   12   +1      59.58    10.28    -4.43     0.64     1.93    11.96     3.97P   14.84R    4.41  
Barnsley          9   12   -2      55.42     9.61   -14.41     0.12     0.51     4.87     1.19P   24.84R    8.20  
Doncaster         9   12   -2      59.62     9.68    -6.80     0.47     1.51    10.44     3.24P   13.05R    3.39  
Derby             9   11   +3      58.50     9.84    -2.95     0.41     1.24     9.28     2.88P   15.75R    4.61  
Scunthorpe        9   11   +1      54.05     9.74   -12.79     0.12     0.43     3.94     1.07P   29.96R   10.85  
Hull              9   11   -6      62.29    10.21    -5.25     1.05     2.98    16.91     6.26P    9.78R    2.66  
Sheff_Utd         9   11   -6      63.90     9.68    -2.67     1.22     3.50    19.76     7.55P    6.10R    1.36  
Middlesbrough     9   10   -7      63.94     9.80    -2.04     1.22     3.49    20.42     7.84P    6.28R    1.50  
Preston           9    9   -6      55.33     9.98   -14.81     0.18     0.64     5.13     1.52P   26.37R    9.60  
Portsmouth        9    8   -2      65.06    10.37     7.81     2.21     5.91    26.18    12.19P    5.61R    1.40  
Crystal_Palace    9    8   -9      54.61     9.52   -15.27     0.10     0.39     3.97     1.12P   27.59R    9.30  
Bristol_City      9    6   -8      49.38     9.51   -19.99     0.02     0.08     1.24     0.33P   48.49R   22.64  
Leicester         9    5  -12      56.11     9.76   -11.68     0.16     0.56     5.59     1.82P   22.80R    7.74  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 28 September 2010, Bournemouth vs Exeter; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton          9   20   +7      73.70    10.06    11.49     9.41    18.18    50.13    24.88P    0.65R    0.04  
Bournemouth       9   17  +13      70.00    10.58    16.24     6.00    12.32    38.13    18.00P    1.96R    0.12  
Carlisle          9   16   +8      72.38    10.12    16.44     7.84    15.70    46.21    22.59P    1.00R    0.05  
Rochdale          9   16   +7      68.81    10.81     9.79     5.04    10.29    33.79    15.04P    3.03R    0.22  
Peterborough      9   16   +6      74.01    11.09    17.34    12.68    22.60    51.96    29.82P    1.22R    0.10  
Colchester        9   15   +4      72.61    10.11    14.29     8.10    16.33    46.77    24.10P    0.88R    0.03  
Charlton          9   15   +2      75.00     9.99    15.87    11.97    22.44    55.88    32.22P    0.45R    0.03  
Huddersfield      9   14   +2      72.83    10.29    14.49     8.79    17.20    48.17    25.17P    1.07R    0.07  
Oldham            9   13   +1      61.43     9.83    -1.97     0.73     1.94    11.60     3.84P    9.07R    0.93  
Notts_County      9   13   -1      60.68    10.42    -6.13     0.86     2.16    11.53     4.06P   12.04R    1.39  
Exeter            9   13   -2      54.05     9.56   -17.29     0.09     0.28     2.68     0.64P   28.37R    4.52  
MK_Dons           9   13   -2      66.33    10.12     1.81     2.23     5.59    23.93     9.64P    4.19R    0.31  
Swindon           9   12   +0      67.66    10.12     7.33     3.07     7.13    28.44    12.36P    3.11R    0.24  
Plymouth          9   12   -3      70.00    10.50     7.87     5.21    11.01    36.82    17.81P    2.18R    0.19  
Bristol_Rovers    9   12   -3      57.03     9.82   -12.08     0.27     0.77     5.50     1.62P   18.85R    2.52  
Sheff_Wed         9   11   +4      72.78    10.47    20.44     9.15    18.01    48.77    27.57P    1.13R    0.06  
Southampton       9    9   -1      72.96     9.85    18.87     8.24    17.04    49.15    27.75P    0.74R    0.02  
Tranmere          9    9   -6      51.48     9.55   -18.12     0.04     0.14     1.45     0.40P   37.97R    7.57  
Hartlepool        9    9   -8      51.18     9.82   -22.23     0.05     0.13     1.58     0.35P   39.81R    8.93  
Leyton_Orient     9    8   -3      50.79     9.64   -14.81     0.03     0.11     1.40     0.35P   40.17R    8.32  
Yeovil            9    8   -8      47.72     9.50   -24.85     0.01     0.05     0.60     0.14P   54.24R   15.25  
Walsall           9    7   -4      55.12     9.98    -8.35     0.16     0.46     3.96     1.22P   24.60R    4.17  
Dag_&_Red         9    7   -7      41.99     9.78   -33.25     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.04P   75.15R   37.08  
Brentford         9    6   -6      51.19     9.52   -13.20     0.03     0.11     1.37     0.38P   38.15R    7.84  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 28 September 2010, Cheltenham vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale             9   22  +11      80.70     9.86    22.93    28.17    57.84    85.12    64.54P    0.00R    0.00  
Chesterfield          9   18   +9      74.56    10.04    17.72    11.90    34.32    66.47    42.27P    0.08R    0.02  
Rotherham             9   18   +7      73.87     9.83    14.81    10.39    30.94    63.88    39.19P    0.06R    0.01  
Shrewsbury            9   17   +7      75.53     9.94    18.62    13.42    38.00    70.13    46.33P    0.06R    0.01  
Bury                  9   15   +3      67.81     9.96     6.30     3.40    13.84    39.74    19.73P    0.61R    0.16  
Torquay               9   14   +4      66.15     9.85     6.50     2.34    10.40    33.73    15.75P    0.92R    0.29  
Stevenage             9   13   +4      62.23    10.29     2.42     1.37     6.22    22.12     9.82P    2.72R    0.88  
Accrington_Stanley    9   12   +4      59.68     9.77    -0.17     0.61     3.17    14.53     5.40P    4.01R    1.45  
Wycombe               9   12   +3      70.75    10.30    14.89     7.02    22.79    52.22    31.75P    0.34R    0.09  
Aldershot             9   12   +1      65.14     9.87     4.82     1.85     8.85    30.13    13.60P    1.36R    0.45  
Crewe                 9   11   +8      65.20    10.36    13.09     2.66    11.01    32.62    16.69P    1.41R    0.42  
Oxford_Utd            9   11   +4      57.18     9.68    -0.90     0.31     1.85     9.77     3.60P    6.29R    2.32  
Burton_Albion         9   11   +2      58.47    10.00    -3.11     0.50     2.86    12.59     4.94P    5.45R    1.99  
Southend              9   11   +0      72.46    10.59    16.17     9.69    28.54    58.85    37.59P    0.32R    0.10  
Stockport             9   11   -3      59.11    10.43    -6.86     0.60     3.45    14.50     5.83P    6.06R    2.44  
Cheltenham            9   11   -6      54.28     9.85   -18.04     0.14     0.99     5.60     1.81P   12.80R    5.30  
Gillingham            9   10   +0      65.07    10.27     6.80     2.33     9.76    30.77    15.72P    1.52R    0.47  
Northampton           9   10   -3      67.20     9.85     6.73     2.87    12.18    37.70    19.23P    0.77R    0.23  
Macclesfield          9    9   -6      51.33     9.49   -17.91     0.04     0.32     2.71     0.74P   19.23R    8.75  
Lincoln_City          9    8   -6      48.84     9.13   -19.20     0.03     0.14     1.36     0.34P   25.93R   12.13  
Bradford              9    8   -8      56.95     9.69   -10.11     0.22     1.51     8.56     2.95P    7.41R    2.91  
Morecambe             9    7   -9      54.16    10.01   -14.83     0.14     0.92     5.80     1.92P   13.12R    5.72  
Barnet                9    6  -12      43.66     9.38   -32.24     0.00     0.04     0.44     0.09P   49.36R   31.00  
Hereford              9    5  -14      45.68     9.34   -28.43     0.01     0.05     0.66     0.16P   40.16R   22.86  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 29 September 2010, AFC_Wimbledon vs Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       12   26  +10      76.63     9.01    16.36     6.95    46.73    14.69P    0.01R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      12   25  +10      78.98     9.09    21.82    10.68    57.90    20.76P    0.01R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     12   24   +9      73.48     9.71    13.42     4.49    34.63     9.98P    0.12R    0.01  
Newport_County     12   23   +8      71.23     9.67    10.82     2.63    26.65     7.13P    0.24R    0.01  
Mansfield          12   22  +12      78.97     9.11    29.00    11.28    59.44    23.28P    0.01R    0.00  
Luton              12   21   +8      88.31     8.57    42.34    47.38    90.27    64.00P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         12   19   +6      74.98     9.17    20.64     5.20    41.46    15.93P    0.04R    0.00  
Tamworth           12   19   +0      62.58     8.85    -4.90     0.19     5.13     0.88P    1.89R    0.21  
Grimsby            12   18   +0      73.78     9.38    14.32     3.98    36.04    12.56P    0.10R    0.01  
Gateshead          12   18   -2      55.95     8.55   -15.97     0.02     0.93     0.13P    7.50R    1.11  
Wrexham            12   17   +3      68.09     8.86    10.25     1.03    16.31     4.70P    0.29R    0.02  
York               12   17   +2      70.32     8.88    12.33     1.56    22.12     6.45P    0.12R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   12   17   +2      73.44     8.80    17.68     3.39    34.29    11.98P    0.05R    0.00  
Kidderminster      12   16   -2      64.68     9.02     0.98     0.39     8.66     2.09P    1.08R    0.10  
Eastbourne_Boro    12   14   -3      50.99     8.76   -21.58     0.00     0.27     0.05P   19.88R    4.52  
Cambridge_Utd      12   13   +2      67.60     8.99    14.66     0.76    15.46     4.65P    0.43R    0.04  
Barrow             12   13   -1      51.36     8.57   -14.58     0.00     0.26     0.05P   17.45R    3.55  
Southport          12   13   -2      51.85     9.24   -13.37     0.01     0.58     0.10P   17.95R    4.25  
Kettering          12   11   -5      59.34     8.79    -1.84     0.05     2.60     0.57P    3.54R    0.47  
Bath_City          12   11   -6      47.91     9.23   -22.84     0.00     0.14     0.02P   32.46R   10.16  
Hayes_&_Yeading    12   11  -11      43.83     8.48   -36.32     0.00     0.03     0.00P   51.16R   19.39  
Forest_Green       12    9  -10      44.11     8.70   -30.90     0.00     0.04     0.00P   48.98R   18.75  
Histon             12    8  -14      44.63     8.70   -31.21     0.00     0.04     0.00P   46.31R   17.50  
Altrincham         12    6  -16      43.77     8.64   -31.10     0.00     0.02     0.01P   50.37R   19.90