Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 29 September 2010 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 26 September 2010, Bolton vs Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          6   15  +19      89.31     7.31    74.78    71.06    93.51    98.61    99.70    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          6   12   +7      82.06     7.76    53.95    23.01    72.43    91.37    97.11    99.70     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          6   11   +9      73.41     8.46    40.63     4.87    23.87    62.16    81.15    95.47     0.01R    0.00  
Man_City         6   11   +5      65.23     8.60    21.12     0.56     5.11    20.55    44.13    77.70     0.04R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      6   10   -2      54.67     8.60    -2.07     0.02     0.37     2.57     8.42    29.96     1.26R    0.12  
West_Brom        6   10   -3      49.22     9.22   -12.27     0.00     0.11     0.81     3.17    14.27     7.06R    1.17  
Fulham           6    8   +1      48.28     8.31    -5.17     0.00     0.04     0.47     1.97    10.43     5.41R    0.71  
Tottenham        6    8   +1      55.91     8.65     6.41     0.04     0.55     3.40    10.90    36.43     0.86R    0.07  
Blackburn        6    8   +0      46.43     8.32   -10.58     0.00     0.01     0.25     1.22     7.22     8.58R    1.39  
Newcastle        6    7   +1      49.63     9.13    -2.34     0.01     0.12     1.05     3.79    15.66     5.53R    0.87  
Sunderland       6    7   +0      45.17     8.39   -10.86     0.00     0.02     0.15     0.76     5.55    11.70R    2.00  
Bolton           6    7   -1      43.89     8.37   -14.72     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.61     4.25    15.04R    2.97  
Birmingham       6    7   -1      42.29     8.11   -15.28     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.32     2.60    18.92R    3.59  
Stoke            6    7   -2      42.29     8.18   -16.03     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.33     2.75    19.22R    3.92  
Blackpool        6    7   -5      35.56     8.35   -34.57     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.56    51.35R   18.69  
Liverpool        6    6   -3      64.66     8.49    19.92     0.41     3.72    17.30    41.74    76.37     0.05R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    6    5   -3      36.20     7.88   -26.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.40    46.32R   14.86  
Wigan            6    5  -11      30.62     7.50   -45.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    75.15R   41.23  
West_Ham         6    4   -9      39.80     8.37   -24.41     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.18     1.59    30.28R    7.96  
Everton          6    3   -3      51.27     8.62     2.89     0.01     0.12     1.06     4.41    19.07     3.22R    0.46  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 28 September 2010, Burnley vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR               9   23  +20      81.91     9.83    32.56    34.28    52.83    84.83    60.98P    0.06R    0.00  
Cardiff           9   17   +7      77.29     9.84    22.09    17.58    33.40    70.99    44.14P    0.24R    0.03  
Norwich           9   16   +1      65.21    10.45    -2.34     2.41     6.08    25.64    10.24P    5.93R    1.38  
Watford           9   15   +8      67.94    10.04    10.75     3.75     9.22    35.23    15.21P    2.77R    0.55  
Burnley           9   15   +7      74.17    10.58    20.22    12.31    24.28    59.41    34.19P    0.94R    0.19  
Reading           9   15   +5      74.39     9.87    18.46    11.27    23.30    60.55    34.06P    0.52R    0.08  
Ipswich           9   15   +3      67.77     9.74     6.06     2.78     7.70    33.19    13.12P    2.61R    0.46  
Swansea           9   15   +2      68.69     9.56     6.68     3.51     8.66    36.32    15.28P    1.95R    0.33  
Coventry          9   14   +1      57.92     9.48   -10.11     0.30     0.91     7.33     2.05P   17.39R    4.76  
Leeds_United      9   14   -1      60.78    10.37    -8.30     0.97     2.66    14.16     5.11P   12.88R    3.87  
Nott'm_Forest     9   12   +2      67.74     9.71     9.77     2.95     7.82    33.77    14.82P    2.66R    0.52  
Millwall          9   12   +1      59.73    10.28    -4.24     0.70     1.96    12.31     4.15P   14.29R    4.24  
Barnsley          9   12   -2      55.39     9.54   -14.39     0.15     0.51     4.70     1.21P   24.89R    7.93  
Doncaster         9   12   -2      59.66     9.62    -6.73     0.40     1.42    10.44     3.25P   12.94R    3.51  
Derby             9   11   +3      58.43     9.76    -2.97     0.37     1.25     9.13     2.82P   15.90R    4.58  
Scunthorpe        9   11   +1      54.04     9.74   -12.78     0.08     0.40     3.98     1.05P   29.80R   10.67  
Hull              9   11   -6      62.32    10.29    -5.19     1.14     3.21    17.32     6.64P    9.89R    2.85  
Sheff_Utd         9   11   -6      63.93     9.71    -2.63     1.28     3.58    20.10     7.66P    6.13R    1.43  
Middlesbrough     9   10   -7      63.56     9.79    -2.63     1.13     3.50    19.43     7.53P    6.75R    1.54  
Preston           9    9   -6      55.47     9.95   -14.45     0.22     0.62     5.28     1.57P   25.90R    9.19  
Portsmouth        9    8   -2      64.92    10.35     7.55     2.18     5.73    25.69    11.89P    5.77R    1.34  
Crystal_Palace    9    8   -9      54.37     9.53   -15.56     0.08     0.34     3.63     1.00P   28.42R    9.88  
Bristol_City      9    6   -8      49.31     9.49   -20.08     0.02     0.08     1.23     0.30P   48.70R   22.92  
Leicester         9    5  -12      56.09     9.71   -11.73     0.15     0.55     5.34     1.73P   22.67R    7.73  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 28 September 2010, Bournemouth vs Exeter; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton          9   20   +7      73.64    10.00    11.49     9.20    17.78    49.82    24.34P    0.63R    0.04  
Bournemouth       9   17  +13      70.00    10.61    16.28     5.98    12.30    38.32    18.04P    2.11R    0.15  
Carlisle          9   16   +8      72.37    10.11    16.49     7.66    15.59    46.17    22.58P    0.92R    0.05  
Rochdale          9   16   +7      68.69    10.73     9.63     4.86    10.13    33.03    14.99P    2.99R    0.23  
Peterborough      9   16   +6      73.81    11.08    16.91    12.20    22.01    51.54    29.25P    1.18R    0.08  
Colchester        9   15   +4      72.60    10.09    14.27     7.94    16.02    46.87    23.97P    0.99R    0.03  
Charlton          9   15   +2      75.16     9.95    16.04    11.93    22.66    56.65    32.22P    0.39R    0.02  
Huddersfield      9   14   +2      72.79    10.26    14.46     8.85    17.25    47.68    25.10P    1.00R    0.06  
Oldham            9   13   +1      61.31     9.76    -2.07     0.72     1.86    11.12     3.64P    9.11R    0.80  
Notts_County      9   13   -1      61.01    10.51    -5.65     1.02     2.39    12.24     4.38P   11.49R    1.42  
Exeter            9   13   -2      53.96     9.53   -17.32     0.08     0.27     2.65     0.61P   28.61R    4.53  
MK_Dons           9   13   -2      66.53    10.11     2.09     2.47     5.64    24.14     9.74P    3.90R    0.30  
Swindon           9   12   +0      67.52    10.19     7.12     3.17     7.18    28.29    12.19P    3.12R    0.23  
Plymouth          9   12   -3      70.17    10.60     8.17     5.61    11.66    37.65    18.37P    2.32R    0.14  
Bristol_Rovers    9   12   -3      56.93     9.95   -12.29     0.26     0.81     5.36     1.71P   19.72R    2.76  
Sheff_Wed         9   11   +4      72.79    10.42    20.38     9.14    17.93    48.67    27.88P    0.95R    0.07  
Southampton       9    9   -1      73.06     9.97    19.06     8.67    17.62    49.63    28.27P    0.82R    0.06  
Tranmere          9    9   -6      51.39     9.49   -18.21     0.02     0.09     1.36     0.31P   38.16R    7.53  
Hartlepool        9    9   -8      51.14     9.81   -22.35     0.04     0.14     1.53     0.37P   40.33R    9.03  
Leyton_Orient     9    8   -3      51.07     9.66   -14.39     0.04     0.13     1.53     0.40P   38.94R    7.97  
Yeovil            9    8   -8      47.94     9.45   -24.46     0.00     0.03     0.63     0.16P   53.14R   14.22  
Walsall           9    7   -4      54.67     9.91    -8.95     0.09     0.39     3.61     1.10P   25.88R    4.49  
Dag_&_Red         9    7   -7      41.89     9.81   -33.41     0.01     0.02     0.19     0.05P   75.33R   38.07  
Brentford         9    6   -6      51.18     9.41   -13.28     0.02     0.10     1.29     0.34P   37.98R    7.74  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 28 September 2010, Cheltenham vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale             9   22  +11      80.98     9.82    23.31    29.31    59.46    85.88    65.86P    0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield          9   18   +9      74.65    10.06    17.83    12.39    34.52    66.92    42.40P    0.08R    0.02  
Rotherham             9   18   +7      73.76     9.86    14.72    10.22    31.13    63.67    39.40P    0.08R    0.02  
Shrewsbury            9   17   +7      75.43     9.84    18.48    13.26    37.75    69.86    45.95P    0.06R    0.01  
Bury                  9   15   +3      67.79     9.86     6.27     3.42    13.77    39.73    19.57P    0.56R    0.13  
Torquay               9   14   +4      66.21     9.82     6.57     2.28    10.69    33.87    16.04P    0.85R    0.25  
Stevenage             9   13   +4      62.22    10.20     2.29     1.27     6.05    22.12     9.67P    2.80R    0.95  
Accrington_Stanley    9   12   +4      59.52     9.78    -0.38     0.51     3.05    14.07     5.28P    4.22R    1.53  
Wycombe               9   12   +3      70.35    10.28    14.35     6.55    21.65    50.72    30.34P    0.37R    0.09  
Aldershot             9   12   +1      65.24     9.91     4.95     1.92     8.93    30.51    13.94P    1.35R    0.41  
Crewe                 9   11   +8      65.19    10.21    13.10     2.58    10.51    32.49    16.15P    1.37R    0.43  
Oxford_Utd            9   11   +4      57.20     9.85    -0.82     0.32     1.96    10.17     3.77P    6.72R    2.48  
Burton_Albion         9   11   +2      58.76     9.91    -2.67     0.47     2.80    13.10     4.91P    4.95R    1.77  
Southend              9   11   +0      72.46    10.54    16.20     9.45    28.54    58.62    37.86P    0.30R    0.09  
Stockport             9   11   -3      59.33    10.46    -6.57     0.67     3.70    14.93     6.16P    5.95R    2.33  
Cheltenham            9   11   -6      54.18     9.84   -18.24     0.15     0.92     5.52     1.67P   12.81R    5.56  
Gillingham            9   10   +0      65.11    10.19     6.85     2.20     9.77    31.02    15.82P    1.42R    0.51  
Northampton           9   10   -3      66.98     9.85     6.44     2.60    11.70    37.10    18.79P    0.83R    0.29  
Macclesfield          9    9   -6      51.25     9.44   -18.07     0.03     0.35     2.64     0.77P   19.12R    8.71  
Lincoln_City          9    8   -6      48.75     9.23   -19.28     0.02     0.15     1.38     0.35P   26.20R   12.65  
Bradford              9    8   -8      57.00     9.71   -10.09     0.24     1.57     8.70     3.10P    7.63R    3.01  
Morecambe             9    7   -9      54.15    10.09   -14.84     0.13     0.95     5.91     1.97P   13.36R    5.97  
Barnet                9    6  -12      43.72     9.29   -32.16     0.00     0.04     0.41     0.09P   49.24R   30.41  
Hereford              9    5  -14      45.78     9.37   -28.26     0.00     0.05     0.66     0.14P   39.72R   22.38  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 29 September 2010, AFC_Wimbledon vs Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       12   26  +10      76.43     8.93    16.10     6.48    45.73    13.99P    0.01R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      12   25  +10      79.20     9.03    22.23    10.99    58.85    21.38P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     12   24   +9      73.66     9.76    13.81     4.53    35.40    10.19P    0.11R    0.01  
Newport_County     12   23   +8      71.00     9.64    10.52     2.45    25.64     6.70P    0.23R    0.02  
Mansfield          12   22  +12      78.76     9.06    28.59    10.80    58.41    22.78P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton              12   21   +8      88.43     8.55    42.52    47.67    90.56    63.95P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         12   19   +6      74.99     9.14    20.64     5.11    41.26    15.61P    0.04R    0.00  
Tamworth           12   19   +0      62.44     8.81    -5.10     0.18     4.91     0.85P    1.72R    0.20  
Grimsby            12   18   +0      74.21     9.34    15.00     4.40    37.48    13.31P    0.08R    0.01  
Gateshead          12   18   -2      56.06     8.64   -15.85     0.02     1.01     0.13P    7.64R    1.07  
Wrexham            12   17   +3      68.17     8.84    10.39     1.01    16.05     4.58P    0.26R    0.02  
York               12   17   +2      70.48     8.90    12.61     1.75    22.72     7.00P    0.12R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   12   17   +2      73.40     8.80    17.64     3.32    33.91    12.03P    0.05R    0.00  
Kidderminster      12   16   -2      64.70     9.04     1.04     0.39     8.46     1.99P    1.10R    0.11  
Eastbourne_Boro    12   14   -3      50.98     8.73   -21.68     0.00     0.29     0.03P   19.83R    4.34  
Cambridge_Utd      12   13   +2      67.72     9.01    14.80     0.83    15.66     4.74P    0.51R    0.04  
Barrow             12   13   -1      51.30     8.54   -14.73     0.00     0.27     0.03P   17.12R    3.49  
Southport          12   13   -2      51.83     9.17   -13.45     0.01     0.48     0.10P   17.66R    4.16  
Kettering          12   11   -5      59.68     8.74    -1.44     0.05     2.68     0.58P    3.17R    0.45  
Bath_City          12   11   -6      47.66     9.19   -23.17     0.00     0.14     0.02P   33.01R   10.31  
Hayes_&_Yeading    12   11  -11      43.50     8.49   -37.01     0.00     0.01     0.00P   52.08R   20.05  
Forest_Green       12    9  -10      43.88     8.64   -31.32     0.00     0.03     0.01P   49.43R   18.96  
Histon             12    8  -14      44.64     8.66   -31.08     0.00     0.04     0.00P   46.26R   17.10  
Altrincham         12    6  -16      43.81     8.62   -31.05     0.00     0.02     0.00P   49.55R   19.67