Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 28 September 2010 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 26 September 2010, Bolton vs Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          6   15  +19      89.29     7.31    74.76    70.82    93.46    98.57    99.68    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          6   12   +7      82.30     7.68    54.61    23.65    73.31    91.77    97.41    99.73     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          6   11   +9      73.50     8.37    40.76     4.50    23.32    62.79    81.78    95.56     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         6   11   +5      65.37     8.65    21.39     0.59     5.07    20.45    44.85    78.22     0.05R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      6   10   -2      54.87     8.62    -1.83     0.02     0.35     2.51     8.53    31.11     1.23R    0.11  
West_Brom        6   10   -3      49.08     9.19   -12.62     0.01     0.12     0.80     3.01    13.76     7.13R    1.25  
Fulham           6    8   +1      48.29     8.35    -5.20     0.00     0.04     0.43     1.95    10.58     5.48R    0.73  
Tottenham        6    8   +1      55.75     8.63     6.13     0.03     0.44     3.00    10.19    35.90     0.89R    0.11  
Blackburn        6    8   +0      46.56     8.36   -10.36     0.00     0.02     0.22     1.18     7.40     8.67R    1.32  
Newcastle        6    7   +1      49.60     9.19    -2.35     0.01     0.13     1.06     3.81    15.79     5.49R    0.93  
Sunderland       6    7   +0      45.12     8.36   -10.94     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.74     5.47    11.54R    1.90  
Bolton           6    7   -1      43.91     8.51   -14.73     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.69     4.53    15.32R    3.04  
Birmingham       6    7   -1      42.12     8.06   -15.54     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.28     2.35    19.28R    3.66  
Stoke            6    7   -2      42.23     8.12   -16.12     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.35     2.48    19.35R    3.87  
Blackpool        6    7   -5      35.56     8.38   -34.59     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.60    51.20R   18.24  
Liverpool        6    6   -3      64.59     8.49    19.86     0.36     3.65    16.95    41.07    76.00     0.05R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    6    5   -3      36.36     7.97   -25.76     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.41    45.29R   14.48  
Wigan            6    5  -11      30.51     7.50   -45.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    75.62R   41.94  
West_Ham         6    4   -9      39.75     8.36   -24.47     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.15     1.52    30.27R    7.98  
Everton          6    3   -3      51.12     8.61     2.68     0.00     0.10     1.00     4.24    18.55     3.13R    0.45  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 28 September 2010, Burnley vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR               9   23  +20      82.02     9.89    32.74    34.58    53.33    84.78    61.38P    0.04R    0.01  
Cardiff           9   17   +7      77.37     9.91    22.16    17.86    33.49    71.11    44.37P    0.25R    0.03  
Norwich           9   16   +1      65.15    10.42    -2.47     2.49     6.01    25.42    10.03P    6.09R    1.46  
Watford           9   15   +8      68.13    10.08    11.13     3.99     9.68    36.03    15.87P    2.72R    0.54  
Burnley           9   15   +7      73.99    10.52    19.90    11.96    24.03    58.55    33.71P    0.88R    0.13  
Reading           9   15   +5      74.37     9.97    18.44    11.39    23.58    60.35    34.43P    0.57R    0.10  
Ipswich           9   15   +3      67.84     9.70     6.16     2.83     7.63    33.50    13.27P    2.54R    0.44  
Swansea           9   15   +2      68.49     9.57     6.36     3.25     8.46    35.76    15.11P    2.01R    0.32  
Coventry          9   14   +1      57.77     9.55   -10.40     0.30     0.97     7.56     2.12P   17.67R    4.97  
Leeds_United      9   14   -1      60.99    10.29    -7.83     0.96     2.74    14.32     5.23P   12.14R    3.38  
Nott'm_Forest     9   12   +2      67.75     9.63     9.84     2.83     7.61    33.72    14.66P    2.49R    0.53  
Millwall          9   12   +1      59.69    10.32    -4.26     0.63     1.98    12.30     4.05P   14.58R    4.28  
Barnsley          9   12   -2      55.54     9.65   -14.09     0.15     0.53     5.22     1.29P   24.81R    8.25  
Doncaster         9   12   -2      59.68     9.62    -6.76     0.44     1.46    10.45     3.21P   12.95R    3.43  
Derby             9   11   +3      58.21     9.74    -3.37     0.36     1.17     8.73     2.69P   16.35R    4.73  
Scunthorpe        9   11   +1      54.21     9.77   -12.52     0.14     0.47     4.19     1.16P   29.54R   10.34  
Hull              9   11   -6      62.30    10.28    -5.26     1.03     3.05    17.38     6.44P    9.93R    2.71  
Sheff_Utd         9   11   -6      63.84     9.67    -2.78     1.07     3.48    19.75     7.49P    6.28R    1.36  
Middlesbrough     9   10   -7      63.59     9.71    -2.64     1.09     3.21    19.39     7.17P    6.68R    1.50  
Preston           9    9   -6      55.29     9.92   -14.80     0.22     0.60     5.05     1.47P   26.26R    9.50  
Portsmouth        9    8   -2      64.72    10.42     7.23     2.13     5.48    25.33    11.57P    6.17R    1.49  
Crystal_Palace    9    8   -9      54.65     9.58   -15.18     0.10     0.36     3.91     1.06P   27.56R    9.67  
Bristol_City      9    6   -8      49.33     9.59   -20.07     0.04     0.12     1.35     0.37P   48.63R   23.17  
Leicester         9    5  -12      56.20     9.82   -11.53     0.14     0.55     5.86     1.85P   22.85R    7.67  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 28 September 2010, Bournemouth vs Exeter; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton          9   20   +7      73.87    10.08    11.82     9.99    19.03    50.70    25.38P    0.59R    0.02  
Bournemouth       9   17  +13      69.99    10.58    16.23     6.12    12.49    38.38    18.08P    2.00R    0.12  
Carlisle          9   16   +8      72.34    10.08    16.39     7.88    15.74    46.29    22.87P    1.01R    0.05  
Rochdale          9   16   +7      68.57    10.68     9.44     4.53     9.78    32.86    14.53P    3.03R    0.27  
Peterborough      9   16   +6      73.87    10.90    17.04    12.08    21.68    51.91    29.06P    1.02R    0.04  
Colchester        9   15   +4      72.21     9.99    13.65     7.40    15.10    45.19    22.78P    0.96R    0.04  
Charlton          9   15   +2      74.99    10.02    15.81    12.09    22.71    56.11    32.60P    0.44R    0.02  
Huddersfield      9   14   +2      72.61    10.25    14.16     8.41    16.71    47.10    24.31P    1.01R    0.06  
Oldham            9   13   +1      61.53     9.71    -1.79     0.68     1.82    11.48     3.76P    8.69R    0.77  
Notts_County      9   13   -1      60.91    10.56    -5.79     1.01     2.43    12.19     4.34P   11.86R    1.53  
Exeter            9   13   -2      54.04     9.55   -17.18     0.10     0.31     2.80     0.68P   28.66R    4.52  
MK_Dons           9   13   -2      66.34    10.01     1.86     2.27     5.28    23.42     9.18P    3.93R    0.29  
Swindon           9   12   +0      67.54    10.10     7.17     3.07     7.16    28.24    12.38P    3.04R    0.22  
Plymouth          9   12   -3      70.13    10.53     8.12     5.42    11.37    37.35    18.15P    2.32R    0.16  
Bristol_Rovers    9   12   -3      57.02     9.87   -12.11     0.26     0.73     5.46     1.60P   19.31R    2.58  
Sheff_Wed         9   11   +4      73.12    10.40    20.92     9.64    18.81    50.41    28.94P    1.02R    0.06  
Southampton       9    9   -1      73.16     9.91    19.24     8.73    17.80    50.13    28.55P    0.72R    0.05  
Tranmere          9    9   -6      51.33     9.51   -18.33     0.03     0.15     1.43     0.36P   38.52R    7.76  
Hartlepool        9    9   -8      51.15     9.81   -22.34     0.07     0.16     1.54     0.42P   40.54R    9.06  
Leyton_Orient     9    8   -3      51.04     9.64   -14.46     0.03     0.12     1.39     0.38P   39.03R    8.03  
Yeovil            9    8   -8      47.98     9.44   -24.46     0.01     0.04     0.60     0.12P   52.99R   14.47  
Walsall           9    7   -4      54.73     9.92    -8.84     0.15     0.42     3.46     1.08P   25.83R    4.41  
Dag_&_Red         9    7   -7      41.95     9.73   -33.36     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.05P   75.60R   37.62  
Brentford         9    6   -6      51.24     9.53   -13.19     0.04     0.12     1.36     0.40P   37.88R    7.86  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 28 September 2010, Cheltenham vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale             9   22  +11      81.00     9.80    23.33    28.97    59.11    85.85    65.79P    0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield          9   18   +9      74.67    10.04    17.90    11.91    34.50    66.56    42.36P    0.06R    0.01  
Rotherham             9   18   +7      73.92     9.91    14.89    10.32    31.22    64.04    39.24P    0.09R    0.03  
Shrewsbury            9   17   +7      75.58     9.95    18.70    13.35    37.92    70.31    46.23P    0.08R    0.02  
Bury                  9   15   +3      67.82     9.96     6.37     3.58    13.86    39.80    19.72P    0.63R    0.17  
Torquay               9   14   +4      66.29     9.79     6.70     2.35    10.66    33.88    15.91P    0.85R    0.28  
Stevenage             9   13   +4      62.11    10.25     2.15     1.23     5.98    21.72     9.51P    2.77R    0.94  
Accrington_Stanley    9   12   +4      59.51     9.81    -0.40     0.47     3.15    14.26     5.33P    4.27R    1.57  
Wycombe               9   12   +3      70.56    10.39    14.68     6.75    22.15    51.55    31.06P    0.43R    0.13  
Aldershot             9   12   +1      65.23     9.95     4.94     1.87     8.95    30.50    13.79P    1.32R    0.41  
Crewe                 9   11   +8      65.28    10.26    13.20     2.63    10.66    32.77    16.49P    1.29R    0.39  
Oxford_Utd            9   11   +4      57.28     9.76    -0.68     0.33     1.93    10.08     3.73P    6.40R    2.44  
Burton_Albion         9   11   +2      58.46    10.00    -3.10     0.49     2.82    12.62     4.93P    5.28R    1.94  
Southend              9   11   +0      72.46    10.54    16.15     9.35    28.01    58.44    37.23P    0.30R    0.07  
Stockport             9   11   -3      59.17    10.39    -6.73     0.68     3.34    14.37     5.78P    5.74R    2.24  
Cheltenham            9   11   -6      53.99     9.82   -18.60     0.13     0.90     5.36     1.63P   13.24R    5.75  
Gillingham            9   10   +0      64.91    10.27     6.53     2.21     9.40    30.49    15.33P    1.60R    0.52  
Northampton           9   10   -3      67.29     9.96     6.88     2.93    12.38    37.95    19.37P    0.85R    0.24  
Macclesfield          9    9   -6      51.38     9.46   -17.81     0.03     0.30     2.72     0.73P   18.89R    8.59  
Lincoln_City          9    8   -6      48.64     9.21   -19.40     0.00     0.14     1.30     0.38P   26.68R   12.94  
Bradford              9    8   -8      56.92     9.78   -10.21     0.25     1.60     8.61     3.19P    7.57R    3.12  
Morecambe             9    7   -9      54.03    10.00   -15.06     0.15     0.90     5.63     1.91P   13.47R    5.86  
Barnet                9    6  -12      43.74     9.32   -32.15     0.01     0.04     0.43     0.12P   48.67R   30.08  
Hereford              9    5  -14      45.83     9.46   -28.26     0.01     0.08     0.75     0.23P   39.52R   22.25  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 28 September 2010, Barrow vs Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Fleetwood_Town     12   24   +9      73.55     9.87    13.62     4.83    36.66    10.70P    0.13R    0.02  
Newport_County     12   23   +8      71.03     9.77    10.52     2.82    27.17     7.32P    0.26R    0.02  
Crawley_Town       11   23   +8      74.86     9.24    14.14     5.38    40.77    12.36P    0.03R    0.00  
Mansfield          12   22  +12      78.97     9.05    28.89    11.59    60.50    23.95P    0.01R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      11   22   +7      76.24     9.29    17.07     7.04    46.92    15.32P    0.02R    0.00  
Luton              12   21   +8      88.55     8.62    42.73    49.88    91.23    65.77P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         12   19   +6      75.42     9.21    21.20     6.11    44.67    17.41P    0.04R    0.00  
Tamworth           11   19   +2      63.77     9.10    -2.97     0.31     7.69     1.41P    1.59R    0.16  
Grimsby            12   18   +0      73.85     9.38    14.35     4.38    37.63    13.37P    0.10R    0.01  
Gateshead          12   18   -2      56.18     8.59   -15.58     0.01     1.14     0.17P    7.48R    1.03  
Wrexham            12   17   +3      68.15     8.88    10.28     1.19    16.95     4.79P    0.31R    0.02  
York               12   17   +2      70.52     8.87    12.61     1.76    23.89     7.30P    0.16R    0.02  
Kidderminster      12   16   -2      64.63     9.00     0.98     0.43     8.99     2.18P    1.14R    0.12  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   11   14   +0      70.93     9.10    14.25     2.32    26.22     8.80P    0.17R    0.02  
Eastbourne_Boro    11   14   -1      52.97     9.07   -18.39     0.02     0.77     0.12P   15.24R    3.27  
Cambridge_Utd      11   13   +5      70.23     9.14    19.55     1.87    24.99     8.25P    0.22R    0.02  
Barrow             12   13   -1      51.30     8.51   -14.66     0.00     0.24     0.03P   17.63R    3.55  
Southport          12   13   -2      51.54     9.23   -13.85     0.02     0.54     0.10P   19.07R    4.52  
Kettering          12   11   -5      59.37     8.76    -1.84     0.04     2.75     0.60P    3.45R    0.44  
Bath_City          12   11   -6      47.82     9.19   -22.92     0.01     0.16     0.03P   33.31R    9.98  
Hayes_&_Yeading    12   11  -11      43.72     8.59   -36.48     0.00     0.04     0.00P   51.80R   20.09  
Forest_Green       12    9  -10      43.92     8.65   -31.17     0.00     0.03     0.00P   50.02R   19.46  
Histon             12    8  -14      44.55     8.66   -31.27     0.00     0.05     0.01P   47.33R   17.20  
Altrincham         12    6  -16      43.75     8.63   -31.06     0.00     0.02     0.00P   50.47R   20.04