Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 27 September 2010 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 26 September 2010, Bolton vs Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          6   15  +19      89.34     7.26    74.85    71.35    93.67    98.69    99.68    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          6   12   +7      82.20     7.64    54.23    23.07    73.31    91.89    97.48    99.69     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          6   11   +9      73.44     8.38    40.72     4.51    23.16    62.34    81.71    95.64     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         6   11   +5      65.25     8.61    21.10     0.61     4.95    20.10    44.58    78.07     0.04R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      6   10   -2      54.79     8.62    -1.89     0.02     0.38     2.64     8.48    30.60     1.27R    0.14  
West_Brom        6   10   -3      49.19     9.20   -12.41     0.01     0.11     0.88     3.14    14.01     7.02R    1.14  
Fulham           6    8   +1      48.31     8.27    -5.16     0.00     0.03     0.37     1.75    10.35     5.44R    0.71  
Tottenham        6    8   +1      55.78     8.65     6.12     0.04     0.54     3.31    10.62    36.27     0.89R    0.08  
Blackburn        6    8   +0      46.69     8.41   -10.09     0.00     0.02     0.23     1.24     7.61     8.67R    1.38  
Newcastle        6    7   +1      49.44     9.15    -2.68     0.01     0.13     1.05     3.67    15.27     5.79R    0.87  
Sunderland       6    7   +0      44.86     8.39   -11.39     0.00     0.02     0.13     0.77     5.28    12.41R    2.09  
Bolton           6    7   -1      44.24     8.52   -14.21     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.77     4.86    14.52R    2.87  
Birmingham       6    7   -1      42.25     8.10   -15.28     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.30     2.55    19.05R    3.66  
Stoke            6    7   -2      42.19     8.15   -16.19     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.35     2.51    19.51R    3.92  
Blackpool        6    7   -5      35.59     8.44   -34.53     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.66    51.00R   18.54  
Liverpool        6    6   -3      64.49     8.50    19.59     0.38     3.56    17.01    40.86    75.54     0.07R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    6    5   -3      36.21     7.96   -25.90     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.48    45.81R   14.98  
Wigan            6    5  -11      30.60     7.48   -45.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    75.29R   41.22  
West_Ham         6    4   -9      39.86     8.34   -24.21     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.18     1.44    29.89R    7.93  
Everton          6    3   -3      51.18     8.68     2.71     0.00     0.09     1.07     4.29    19.13     3.34R    0.47  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 September 2010, Burnley vs Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR               8   22  +20      83.62    10.08    34.69    38.50    57.77    87.55    65.45P    0.04R    0.01  
Cardiff           8   16   +7      79.08    10.02    24.34    20.70    38.83    75.95    49.54P    0.15R    0.02  
Watford           8   15   +9      71.18    10.32    14.98     6.64    14.86    46.85    22.40P    1.47R    0.20  
Ipswich           8   15   +4      68.66     9.95     6.32     3.27     8.69    35.94    14.61P    2.09R    0.35  
Leeds_United      8   14   +1      64.93    10.41    -0.98     2.00     5.30    24.11     9.31P    5.64R    1.39  
Norwich           8   13   +0      63.63    10.52    -2.99     1.56     4.23    20.78     7.80P    7.54R    1.82  
Reading           8   12   +4      72.96    10.15    17.76     8.48    18.84    54.01    29.15P    0.84R    0.12  
Burnley           8   12   +3      69.90    10.82    11.76     5.61    13.14    42.68    21.21P    2.49R    0.47  
Swansea           8   12   +1      65.35     9.67     3.23     1.61     4.50    23.89     9.10P    4.05R    0.74  
Doncaster         8   12   -1      61.70     9.92    -4.56     0.72     2.26    14.68     4.81P    9.13R    2.19  
Nott'm_Forest     8   11   +2      68.71     9.82    10.69     3.29     8.91    36.63    16.53P    1.98R    0.32  
Millwall          8   11   +1      59.07    10.44    -6.27     0.55     1.67    11.15     3.56P   15.43R    4.78  
Coventry          8   11   +0      55.99     9.71   -11.55     0.17     0.65     5.53     1.45P   21.94R    6.52  
Barnsley          8   11   -2      55.49     9.88   -15.12     0.15     0.51     5.41     1.42P   24.20R    7.89  
Hull              8   11   -2      65.54    10.44     1.76     2.24     5.76    26.32    10.96P    5.19R    1.20  
Scunthorpe        8   10   +1      55.37     9.96   -11.40     0.18     0.60     5.28     1.47P   24.49R    8.17  
Middlesbrough     8   10   -5      65.65     9.89     0.52     1.65     4.77    25.39     9.91P    4.18R    0.88  
Sheff_Utd         8   10   -6      63.48     9.79    -3.81     0.94     3.01    18.48     6.76P    6.45R    1.38  
Derby             8    8   +1      56.04     9.96    -6.14     0.20     0.69     6.14     1.91P   21.73R    7.00  
Crystal_Palace    8    7   -9      53.33     9.70   -17.97     0.08     0.26     3.09     0.83P   31.21R   11.20  
Bristol_City      8    6   -6      50.60     9.70   -17.91     0.04     0.16     1.76     0.51P   41.31R   17.52  
Preston           8    6   -8      50.86     9.84   -20.99     0.05     0.19     1.96     0.49P   41.16R   17.89  
Portsmouth        8    5   -4      62.73    10.54     4.69     1.23     3.75    19.69     8.76P    8.52R    2.21  
Leicester         8    5  -11      57.15     9.80   -11.06     0.17     0.66     6.74     2.07P   18.78R    5.74  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 September 2010, Bournemouth vs Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton          8   17   +6      72.07    10.22    10.50     6.30    13.59    43.45    19.93P    1.08R    0.07  
Peterborough      8   16   +7      77.43    11.19    21.67    18.23    30.74    63.60    38.79P    0.60R    0.04  
Bournemouth       8   14  +10      66.61    10.87    10.48     2.96     6.76    26.91    10.94P    4.71R    0.35  
Huddersfield      8   14   +5      76.29    10.47    20.88    13.85    25.77    60.85    35.01P    0.45R    0.01  
Colchester        8   14   +4      74.45    10.18    16.57     9.80    19.45    53.82    28.05P    0.57R    0.02  
Rochdale          8   13   +4      64.74    11.05     2.76     2.25     5.11    21.55     8.42P    7.21R    0.83  
Carlisle          8   13   +4      68.20    10.29     8.64     3.13     7.51    29.97    12.40P    2.90R    0.23  
Exeter            8   13   +1      56.61     9.85   -12.56     0.20     0.62     4.97     1.30P   20.73R    2.57  
MK_Dons           8   13   -1      67.83    10.27     2.95     2.91     6.87    28.19    11.34P    3.19R    0.21  
Oldham            8   12   +1      60.74     9.99    -3.80     0.54     1.66    10.43     3.38P   10.65R    1.04  
Charlton          8   12   +1      73.54    10.30    15.14     8.63    17.62    49.86    26.97P    0.77R    0.03  
Swindon           8   12   +1      70.20    10.32    10.16     4.82    10.55    37.22    17.03P    1.77R    0.10  
Bristol_Rovers    8   12   -2      59.66    10.16    -9.51     0.45     1.39     9.11     2.79P   13.78R    1.45  
Sheff_Wed         8   10   +4      74.92    10.75    23.30    12.04    22.65    56.16    33.21P    0.79R    0.05  
Notts_County      8   10   -2      57.21    10.71   -10.22     0.42     1.13     7.11     2.35P   20.74R    3.16  
Hartlepool        8    9   -4      55.15    10.12   -14.05     0.16     0.44     3.98     1.08P   25.83R    4.14  
Plymouth          8    9   -4      67.25    10.94     5.28     3.20     7.14    28.22    12.65P    4.62R    0.43  
Southampton       8    8   -1      74.52    10.12    20.81     9.80    20.00    54.97    31.62P    0.60R    0.04  
Leyton_Orient     8    7   -3      51.78     9.87   -14.34     0.06     0.21     1.83     0.52P   36.84R    6.79  
Yeovil            8    7   -8      47.99     9.64   -25.22     0.02     0.05     0.73     0.13P   53.61R   13.69  
Walsall           8    6   -4      55.25    10.16    -8.95     0.17     0.51     4.08     1.29P   25.02R    3.99  
Brentford         8    6   -5      52.59     9.71   -12.45     0.05     0.18     2.03     0.57P   33.17R    5.75  
Dag_&_Red         8    6   -7      40.44     9.87   -36.68     0.01     0.02     0.14     0.03P   79.96R   43.08  
Tranmere          8    6   -7      48.59     9.64   -21.36     0.01     0.05     0.79     0.19P   50.41R   11.95  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 September 2010, Cheltenham vs Bury; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale             8   19  +10      78.85     9.96    21.63    22.16    50.68    80.40    57.91P    0.02R    0.00  
Shrewsbury            8   17   +8      77.17    10.09    20.07    17.86    44.11    75.47    52.04P    0.07R    0.02  
Rotherham             8   17   +7      75.21    10.11    16.16    13.29    36.08    68.24    44.45P    0.10R    0.02  
Chesterfield          8   15   +8      72.20    10.14    15.64     8.22    26.48    57.74    34.22P    0.21R    0.05  
Torquay               8   14   +5      68.45    10.15     8.81     4.26    15.81    42.76    21.89P    0.69R    0.21  
Bury                  8   12   +0      64.33    10.01     0.55     1.68     7.98    27.48    12.38P    1.89R    0.62  
Accrington_Stanley    8   11   +4      59.25     9.91    -1.34     0.57     3.07    13.91     5.20P    5.16R    1.99  
Crewe                 8   10   +8      66.90    10.46    15.15     3.76    14.38    38.73    20.84P    1.15R    0.39  
Oxford_Utd            8   10   +4      57.67     9.96    -0.84     0.48     2.37    11.15     4.41P    7.04R    2.84  
Burton_Albion         8   10   +2      59.46    10.17    -2.44     0.66     3.55    15.22     5.81P    5.44R    2.13  
Stevenage             8   10   +1      58.51    10.32    -3.51     0.61     3.12    13.39     5.40P    6.85R    2.73  
Southend              8   10   +0      73.10    10.84    16.84    11.23    30.79    60.86    39.81P    0.38R    0.13  
Northampton           8   10   -2      69.25    10.00     8.73     4.47    16.95    45.71    24.77P    0.62R    0.17  
Stockport             8   10   -3      59.80    10.62    -6.44     0.84     4.10    16.39     6.79P    6.32R    2.67  
Cheltenham            8   10   -6      54.63     9.90   -18.37     0.16     0.98     6.07     1.85P   13.60R    6.00  
Wycombe               8    9   +1      68.45    10.59    12.03     4.82    17.15    43.76    25.15P    0.97R    0.33  
Gillingham            8    9   +0      66.05    10.53     7.50     3.13    11.96    34.63    18.41P    1.51R    0.52  
Aldershot             8    9   +0      62.37    10.11     2.04     1.14     5.81    22.07     9.60P    3.00R    1.11  
Macclesfield          8    8   -6      50.47     9.56   -20.32     0.03     0.28     2.39     0.63P   24.01R   12.08  
Morecambe             8    7   -6      57.39    10.30    -8.89     0.37     2.27    10.74     4.09P    8.93R    3.88  
Lincoln_City          8    7   -6      49.18     9.49   -19.69     0.02     0.21     1.73     0.49P   27.95R   14.39  
Bradford              8    7   -8      56.76     9.97   -11.20     0.20     1.62     8.90     3.21P    9.57R    4.08  
Barnet                8    6  -10      45.23     9.46   -29.73     0.02     0.09     0.67     0.20P   45.02R   27.81  
Hereford              8    5  -11      48.94     9.57   -22.41     0.02     0.19     1.61     0.44P   29.51R   15.83  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 27 September 2010, York vs Darlington; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       11   23   +8      74.73     9.13    13.92     5.73    41.04    12.53P    0.04R    0.00  
Mansfield          11   22  +14      80.17     9.28    30.72    16.80    66.03    29.29P    0.02R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      11   22   +7      76.58     9.27    17.62     8.21    49.12    16.96P    0.02R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     11   21   +7      69.93    10.07     8.35     2.72    24.95     6.62P    0.59R    0.05  
Newport_County     11   20   +6      69.92     9.96     9.38     2.61    24.72     6.65P    0.46R    0.03  
Darlington         12   19   +6      75.22     9.15    21.01     6.19    44.63    17.24P    0.04R    0.00  
Tamworth           11   19   +2      64.03     9.03    -2.63     0.39     8.18     1.52P    1.38R    0.14  
Luton              11   18   +6      86.94     8.89    40.82    44.10    87.83    60.52P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            11   17   +4      69.28     9.02    11.08     1.69    21.34     6.21P    0.26R    0.03  
York               12   17   +2      70.30     8.89    12.36     1.88    24.07     7.07P    0.17R    0.01  
Kidderminster      11   16   +0      67.28     9.26     5.05     1.15    15.58     4.23P    0.62R    0.06  
Grimsby            11   15   -1      72.05     9.52    13.11     3.44    31.73    11.24P    0.23R    0.02  
Gateshead          11   15   -4      52.80     8.69   -20.26     0.01     0.50     0.06P   15.36R    2.96  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   11   14   +0      71.24     9.11    14.79     2.76    28.14     9.86P    0.17R    0.02  
Eastbourne_Boro    11   14   -1      53.41     9.04   -17.58     0.03     0.80     0.13P   14.12R    2.60  
Cambridge_Utd      11   13   +5      70.11     9.19    19.43     2.18    25.10     8.50P    0.23R    0.02  
Barrow             11   13   +1      53.73     8.82   -10.91     0.01     0.81     0.11P   12.04R    2.00  
Southport          11   12   -2      53.37     9.72   -12.00     0.02     1.17     0.23P   15.95R    3.80  
Kettering          11   10   -5      60.75     8.91    -0.26     0.10     3.90     0.94P    2.88R    0.36  
Hayes_&_Yeading    11   10  -11      43.33     8.72   -38.25     0.00     0.02     0.00P   54.68R   21.42  
Forest_Green       11    9   -8      45.20     8.87   -29.14     0.00     0.06     0.01P   44.73R   15.24  
Bath_City          11    8   -8      44.45     9.52   -28.12     0.00     0.10     0.02P   48.12R   19.26  
Histon             11    8  -12      47.80     9.00   -26.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   33.27R    9.82  
Altrincham         11    5  -16      43.02     8.64   -32.47     0.00     0.02     0.01P   54.64R   22.17