Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 27 September 2010 at 07:55:59 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 26 September 2010, Bolton vs Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          6   15  +19      89.54     7.24    75.25    71.41    93.82    98.71    99.72    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          6   12   +7      82.31     7.67    54.46    22.96    73.41    91.80    97.43    99.72     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          6   11   +9      73.49     8.40    40.79     4.62    23.36    62.87    81.77    95.59     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         6   11   +5      65.33     8.63    21.20     0.52     4.82    20.16    45.17    78.33     0.04R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      6   10   -2      54.72     8.63    -2.09     0.03     0.38     2.67     8.52    30.25     1.21R    0.13  
West_Brom        6   10   -3      49.26     9.22   -12.20     0.01     0.12     0.84     3.17    14.31     6.80R    1.11  
Fulham           6    8   +1      48.15     8.30    -5.39     0.00     0.03     0.41     1.88    10.06     5.67R    0.72  
Tottenham        6    8   +1      55.69     8.65     5.94     0.04     0.47     3.20    10.16    36.04     0.99R    0.07  
Blackburn        6    8   +0      46.57     8.42   -10.32     0.00     0.01     0.26     1.24     7.58     8.76R    1.40  
Newcastle        6    7   +1      49.36     9.14    -2.84     0.00     0.09     0.92     3.45    15.36     5.88R    1.02  
Sunderland       6    7   +0      45.11     8.32   -10.94     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.69     5.51    11.52R    1.82  
Bolton           6    7   -1      44.00     8.53   -14.56     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.68     4.64    15.25R    3.07  
Birmingham       6    7   -1      42.30     8.12   -15.30     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.32     2.65    18.76R    3.56  
Stoke            6    7   -2      42.21     8.17   -16.09     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.34     2.58    19.28R    3.91  
Blackpool        6    7   -5      35.55     8.41   -34.59     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.63    51.18R   18.67  
Liverpool        6    6   -3      64.51     8.52    19.67     0.40     3.37    16.66    41.01    76.00     0.05R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    6    5   -3      36.17     7.98   -25.99     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.46    46.35R   15.29  
Wigan            6    5  -11      30.65     7.51   -45.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    75.18R   41.06  
West_Ham         6    4   -9      39.79     8.31   -24.32     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.16     1.53    29.95R    7.71  
Everton          6    3   -3      51.11     8.56     2.58     0.01     0.10     1.06     4.18    18.72     3.12R    0.45  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 September 2010, Burnley vs Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR               8   22  +20      83.26    10.04    33.87    38.06    57.71    87.41    65.41P    0.03R    0.00  
Cardiff           8   16   +7      79.06    10.09    24.15    21.77    40.02    76.42    50.67P    0.14R    0.01  
Watford           8   15   +9      71.30    10.29    15.28     6.83    15.70    48.81    23.31P    1.44R    0.23  
Leeds_United      8   14   +1      64.94    10.40    -0.78     2.20     5.59    24.70     9.75P    5.68R    1.35  
Ipswich           8   13   +2      65.34     9.76     2.50     1.56     4.70    25.14     9.14P    4.04R    0.82  
Norwich           8   13   +0      63.46    10.49    -2.98     1.61     4.35    20.99     7.94P    7.69R    1.94  
Reading           8   12   +4      72.63    10.11    17.03     8.22    18.35    53.72    28.63P    0.80R    0.11  
Burnley           8   12   +3      69.83    10.85    11.68     5.96    13.54    43.15    21.45P    2.40R    0.45  
Swansea           8   12   +1      65.28     9.71     3.33     1.54     4.59    25.02     9.60P    4.14R    0.75  
Doncaster         8   12   -2      60.78     9.80    -6.75     0.53     1.74    13.14     3.94P   10.45R    2.53  
Nott'm_Forest     8   11   +2      68.85     9.90    10.83     3.63     9.48    38.59    17.38P    1.96R    0.32  
Coventry          8   11   +1      56.22     9.61    -9.46     0.18     0.65     5.98     1.56P   20.70R    6.10  
Millwall          8   11   +0      58.30    10.38    -7.76     0.46     1.42    10.00     3.11P   17.08R    5.45  
Hull              8   11   -1      66.25    10.44     3.94     2.63     6.89    29.32    12.66P    4.46R    1.01  
Barnsley          8   11   -3      54.48     9.73   -17.31     0.12     0.39     4.18     1.00P   27.25R    9.64  
Scunthorpe        8   10   +1      55.09     9.99   -11.51     0.16     0.58     5.42     1.40P   25.39R    9.01  
Middlesbrough     8   10   -4      66.23     9.84     2.46     1.85     5.57    28.03    11.39P    3.69R    0.74  
Sheff_Utd         8   10   -6      63.27     9.81    -3.94     1.00     3.02    18.74     6.82P    6.68R    1.48  
Derby             8    8   +1      55.75     9.85    -5.96     0.15     0.63     5.89     1.71P   22.15R    7.29  
Bristol_City      8    7   -4      52.61     9.68   -13.81     0.07     0.26     2.87     0.79P   33.30R   12.54  
Crystal_Palace    8    7   -9      53.22     9.64   -17.83     0.08     0.27     3.25     0.91P   31.70R   11.59  
Preston           8    6   -8      50.80     9.88   -20.56     0.02     0.13     2.08     0.49P   41.58R   18.65  
Portsmouth        8    5   -4      62.73    10.46     4.60     1.18     3.75    20.15     8.79P    8.31R    2.14  
Leicester         8    5  -11      57.05     9.82   -11.00     0.18     0.69     7.00     2.14P   18.91R    5.85  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 September 2010, Bournemouth vs Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton          8   17   +6      71.80    10.16    10.11     6.02    13.01    42.58    18.90P    1.21R    0.07  
Peterborough      8   16   +7      77.49    11.23    21.79    18.68    31.43    63.90    39.40P    0.60R    0.03  
Bournemouth       8   14  +10      66.61    10.81    10.49     3.05     7.10    26.69    11.20P    4.49R    0.32  
Huddersfield      8   14   +5      76.21    10.55    20.85    13.95    26.11    60.66    35.28P    0.52R    0.02  
Colchester        8   14   +4      74.12    10.21    16.02     9.32    18.76    52.37    27.30P    0.63R    0.02  
Rochdale          8   13   +4      65.20    11.03     3.44     2.57     5.75    22.80     9.09P    6.64R    0.75  
Carlisle          8   13   +4      68.30    10.40     8.69     3.35     7.63    30.90    12.67P    3.01R    0.19  
Exeter            8   13   +1      56.55     9.70   -12.54     0.20     0.54     4.59     1.17P   20.72R    2.44  
MK_Dons           8   13   -1      67.94    10.35     3.01     3.06     7.03    29.05    11.75P    3.27R    0.22  
Oldham            8   12   +1      60.50    10.00    -4.06     0.57     1.62    10.03     3.16P   11.31R    1.15  
Charlton          8   12   +1      73.52    10.31    15.14     8.63    17.78    50.26    27.11P    0.84R    0.04  
Swindon           8   12   +1      70.16    10.31    10.07     4.64    10.57    37.26    17.02P    1.93R    0.12  
Bristol_Rovers    8   12   -2      59.60    10.18    -9.55     0.55     1.43     9.24     2.90P   13.97R    1.50  
Sheff_Wed         8   10   +4      74.72    10.71    22.97    11.72    22.06    55.79    33.03P    0.84R    0.05  
Notts_County      8   10   -2      57.20    10.70   -10.26     0.39     1.08     7.12     2.36P   21.07R    3.08  
Hartlepool        8    9   -4      55.00    10.10   -14.32     0.13     0.44     3.92     1.06P   26.41R    4.32  
Plymouth          8    9   -4      67.20    10.76     5.15     3.02     6.77    27.75    12.42P    4.45R    0.39  
Southampton       8    8   -1      74.40    10.16    20.52     9.84    19.87    54.82    31.36P    0.66R    0.03  
Leyton_Orient     8    7   -3      51.78     9.90   -14.28     0.04     0.17     1.95     0.49P   37.11R    7.05  
Yeovil            8    7   -8      47.87     9.72   -25.35     0.00     0.04     0.69     0.14P   54.10R   14.27  
Walsall           8    6   -4      55.42    10.17    -8.70     0.18     0.52     4.38     1.31P   24.45R    4.09  
Brentford         8    6   -5      52.85     9.71   -11.98     0.06     0.19     2.19     0.58P   32.47R    5.68  
Dag_&_Red         8    6   -7      40.56     9.81   -36.26     0.00     0.01     0.17     0.04P   79.83R   42.43  
Tranmere          8    6   -7      48.84     9.76   -20.95     0.02     0.07     0.89     0.23P   49.45R   11.73  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 September 2010, Cheltenham vs Bury; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale             8   19  +10      78.89    10.05    21.66    22.56    51.04    80.17    58.25P    0.02R    0.01  
Shrewsbury            8   17   +8      76.93    10.10    19.71    17.26    43.15    74.27    50.93P    0.06R    0.02  
Rotherham             8   17   +7      75.44    10.05    16.53    13.57    37.23    69.22    45.24P    0.10R    0.02  
Chesterfield          8   15   +8      72.19    10.27    15.64     8.60    26.47    57.80    34.40P    0.20R    0.05  
Torquay               8   14   +5      68.38    10.10     8.58     4.03    15.64    42.63    21.67P    0.78R    0.21  
Bury                  8   12   +0      64.07    10.08     0.20     1.61     7.44    26.69    11.71P    2.06R    0.68  
Accrington_Stanley    8   11   +4      59.27     9.90    -1.37     0.55     3.01    14.03     5.19P    5.23R    1.97  
Crewe                 8   10   +8      66.91    10.43    15.13     3.77    14.20    39.20    20.73P    1.24R    0.46  
Oxford_Utd            8   10   +4      57.79     9.99    -0.71     0.40     2.43    11.42     4.41P    7.12R    2.77  
Burton_Albion         8   10   +2      59.75    10.10    -1.97     0.74     3.64    15.62     6.22P    5.04R    1.87  
Stevenage             8   10   +1      58.31    10.23    -3.88     0.55     2.96    12.73     5.22P    7.02R    3.05  
Southend              8   10   +0      73.14    10.76    16.84    11.16    30.95    61.03    40.30P    0.38R    0.10  
Northampton           8   10   -2      69.39    10.10     8.95     4.82    17.68    46.48    25.67P    0.61R    0.19  
Stockport             8   10   -3      59.90    10.61    -6.27     0.81     4.15    16.47     6.83P    6.36R    2.61  
Cheltenham            8   10   -6      54.69    10.04   -18.27     0.17     1.17     6.38     2.11P   13.79R    6.28  
Wycombe               8    9   +1      68.78    10.59    12.51     5.13    18.09    44.98    26.18P    0.86R    0.31  
Gillingham            8    9   +0      65.70    10.40     7.03     2.56    10.89    33.52    17.20P    1.60R    0.57  
Aldershot             8    9   +0      62.11    10.04     1.63     1.03     5.26    21.17     8.67P    3.35R    1.28  
Macclesfield          8    8   -6      50.34     9.63   -20.50     0.04     0.30     2.30     0.63P   24.49R   12.50  
Morecambe             8    7   -6      57.70    10.19    -8.45     0.39     2.39    11.07     4.34P    8.12R    3.33  
Lincoln_City          8    7   -6      49.35     9.48   -19.39     0.02     0.17     1.72     0.43P   27.16R   13.75  
Bradford              8    7   -8      56.65     9.97   -11.38     0.22     1.49     8.79     3.03P    9.74R    4.16  
Barnet                8    6  -10      45.23     9.54   -29.77     0.01     0.07     0.68     0.18P   45.38R   28.22  
Hereford              8    5  -11      48.97     9.57   -22.41     0.01     0.17     1.63     0.45P   29.31R   15.57  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 26 September 2010, Kidderminster vs AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       11   23   +8      74.68     9.20    13.84     5.52    40.61    12.23P    0.04R    0.00  
Mansfield          11   22  +14      80.32     9.19    31.00    16.70    66.07    29.30P    0.00R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      11   22   +7      76.69     9.22    17.76     8.04    49.58    16.60P    0.02R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     11   21   +7      69.77    10.10     8.09     2.51    24.31     6.34P    0.53R    0.07  
Newport_County     11   20   +6      69.80     9.94     9.22     2.54    23.86     6.43P    0.43R    0.03  
Tamworth           11   19   +2      63.84     9.11    -2.94     0.41     7.94     1.43P    1.49R    0.15  
Luton              11   18   +6      87.17     8.87    41.34    44.33    88.18    61.17P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         11   18   +6      75.08     9.47    20.37     6.34    43.77    17.00P    0.06R    0.00  
Wrexham            11   17   +4      69.40     9.05    11.26     1.66    21.14     6.18P    0.24R    0.01  
York               11   16   +2      71.28     9.12    13.32     2.51    27.58     8.74P    0.15R    0.00  
Kidderminster      11   16   +0      67.18     9.32     4.79     1.06    15.25     4.05P    0.73R    0.06  
Grimsby            11   15   -1      72.20     9.55    13.31     3.62    31.77    11.43P    0.22R    0.02  
Gateshead          11   15   -4      53.02     8.78   -20.01     0.01     0.51     0.08P   14.91R    2.88  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   11   14   +0      71.15     9.11    14.65     2.51    27.39     9.30P    0.17R    0.02  
Eastbourne_Boro    11   14   -1      53.25     9.04   -18.00     0.03     0.76     0.13P   14.89R    2.97  
Cambridge_Utd      11   13   +5      70.15     9.17    19.48     2.02    24.87     8.16P    0.22R    0.01  
Barrow             11   13   +1      53.62     8.90   -11.16     0.02     0.82     0.14P   12.46R    2.26  
Southport          11   12   -2      53.57     9.64   -11.73     0.03     1.10     0.22P   15.04R    3.25  
Kettering          11   10   -5      60.78     9.01    -0.27     0.12     4.16     1.04P    3.07R    0.35  
Hayes_&_Yeading    11   10  -11      43.42     8.79   -38.17     0.00     0.03     0.00    54.09R   21.38  
Forest_Green       11    9   -8      45.12     8.86   -29.36     0.00     0.06     0.01P   44.89R   15.37  
Bath_City          11    8   -8      44.20     9.47   -28.68     0.00     0.09     0.01P   49.34R   19.67  
Histon             11    8  -12      47.86     9.02   -25.99     0.00     0.14     0.02P   33.44R    9.71  
Altrincham         11    5  -16      43.25     8.78   -32.13     0.00     0.01     0.00    53.55R   21.76