Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 26 September 2010 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 26 September 2010, Bolton vs Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          6   15  +19      89.00     7.34    76.54    72.05    93.50    98.42    99.62    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          6   12   +7      81.50     7.76    53.17    22.15    71.01    90.00    96.57    99.57     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          6   11   +9      72.46     8.45    39.24     4.09    21.66    56.63    78.06    93.91     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         6   11   +5      68.28     8.52    26.66     1.35     9.85    32.53    59.39    86.20     0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      6   10   -2      55.42     8.49    -0.55     0.06     0.50     2.90     8.90    31.20     0.83R    0.04  
West_Brom        6   10   -3      50.80     9.22    -9.63     0.01     0.23     1.33     4.13    16.82     4.68R    0.59  
Fulham           6    8   +1      46.95     8.10    -6.99     0.00     0.03     0.25     1.19     7.06     6.53R    0.75  
Tottenham        6    8   +1      59.20     8.59    11.80     0.11     1.29     6.66    18.20    50.56     0.26R    0.00  
Blackburn        6    8   +0      45.45     8.20   -11.73     0.00     0.02     0.14     0.75     5.11    10.06R    1.37  
Newcastle        6    7   +1      52.08     9.07     1.95     0.03     0.26     1.77     5.66    21.36     3.00R    0.35  
Sunderland       6    7   +0      47.33     8.42    -7.67     0.00     0.03     0.25     1.24     8.10     7.23R    0.83  
Bolton           6    7   -1      41.56     8.33   -19.53     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.28     2.18    21.54R    4.22  
Birmingham       6    7   -1      43.06     8.03   -13.87     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.36     2.65    15.14R    2.33  
Stoke            6    7   -2      42.66     8.03   -14.43     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.32     2.41    16.54R    2.60  
Blackpool        6    7   -5      37.95     8.58   -30.46     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.18     1.17    38.54R    9.72  
Liverpool        6    6   -3      60.77     8.49    13.47     0.15     1.55     8.24    22.56    57.97     0.18R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    6    5   -3      35.23     7.76   -26.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.28    50.01R   14.58  
Wigan            6    5  -11      28.15     7.22   -52.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    83.93R   52.77  
West_Ham         6    4   -9      38.16     8.34   -28.22     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.91    36.59R    9.27  
Everton          6    3   -3      49.15     8.61    -0.90     0.00     0.07     0.63     2.47    12.58     4.94R    0.58  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 September 2010, Burnley vs Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR               8   22  +20      83.55    10.06    34.83    35.35    55.05    86.72    62.94P    0.03R    0.00  
Cardiff           8   16   +7      80.84    10.11    27.53    24.61    43.89    80.25    54.76P    0.05R    0.01  
Watford           8   15   +9      70.24    10.27    13.47     4.85    11.66    42.22    18.29P    1.53R    0.24  
Ipswich           8   15   +4      65.26     9.68     1.23     1.20     3.73    23.01     7.42P    3.71R    0.63  
Leeds_United      8   14   +1      66.76    10.51     1.93     2.44     6.56    29.21    11.54P    3.86R    0.71  
Norwich           8   13   +0      65.71    10.60     0.57     2.14     5.62    26.18    10.17P    4.83R    1.01  
Reading           8   12   +4      69.08    10.13    11.35     3.45     9.27    37.96    16.43P    1.94R    0.33  
Burnley           8   12   +3      71.36    10.79    14.18     6.48    14.69    47.23    23.59P    1.56R    0.29  
Swansea           8   12   +1      65.04     9.42     3.55     1.11     3.40    21.95     8.02P    3.41R    0.62  
Doncaster         8   12   -1      64.65     9.91    -0.12     1.16     3.56    21.50     7.47P    4.80R    0.93  
Nott'm_Forest     8   11   +2      76.37     9.70    22.05    11.84    25.68    67.17    40.22P    0.21R    0.03  
Millwall          8   11   +1      63.54    10.58     1.30     1.31     3.75    20.44     7.47P    6.98R    1.64  
Coventry          8   11   +0      54.98     9.69   -13.13     0.07     0.34     4.32     1.07P   23.37R    7.01  
Barnsley          8   11   -2      55.48     9.89   -15.35     0.11     0.51     4.99     1.18P   23.02R    6.98  
Hull              8   11   -2      64.65    10.49     0.47     1.58     4.37    22.79     8.49P    5.67R    1.36  
Scunthorpe        8   10   +1      55.33     9.97   -11.77     0.18     0.55     5.15     1.36P   23.01R    7.23  
Middlesbrough     8   10   -5      63.34     9.84    -2.91     0.80     2.65    17.75     6.20P    6.02R    1.25  
Sheff_Utd         8   10   -6      61.16     9.85    -7.27     0.47     1.69    12.73     4.19P    9.35R    2.17  
Derby             8    8   +1      56.80     9.88    -4.61     0.22     0.74     6.70     2.04P   17.99R    5.20  
Crystal_Palace    8    7   -9      51.79     9.52   -20.20     0.03     0.11     1.90     0.47P   35.19R   12.85  
Bristol_City      8    6   -6      50.00     9.61   -19.10     0.02     0.09     1.47     0.34P   42.35R   17.16  
Preston           8    6   -8      48.11     9.75   -26.38     0.00     0.05     0.91     0.18P   50.77R   24.16  
Portsmouth        8    5   -4      57.81    10.31    -2.95     0.35     1.14     8.96     3.31P   16.46R    4.63  
Leicester         8    5  -11      58.63     9.83    -8.64     0.24     0.91     8.50     2.82P   13.87R    3.57  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 September 2010, Bournemouth vs Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton          8   17   +6      71.33    10.17     9.35     5.41    12.05    40.38    17.79P    1.31R    0.06  
Peterborough      8   16   +7      74.70    11.19    17.01    11.91    22.24    53.96    29.48P    0.96R    0.05  
Bournemouth       8   14  +10      67.37    10.76    11.79     3.24     7.29    28.83    11.91P    3.73R    0.21  
Huddersfield      8   14   +5      80.20    10.46    27.51    23.91    39.58    74.08    49.43P    0.15R    0.01  
Colchester        8   14   +4      73.92    10.13    15.70     8.53    17.61    51.22    26.21P    0.63R    0.03  
Rochdale          8   13   +4      66.54    10.87     5.69     2.91     6.57    25.96    10.72P    4.64R    0.39  
Carlisle          8   13   +4      67.66    10.27     7.63     2.83     6.65    27.93    10.98P    3.10R    0.21  
Exeter            8   13   +1      58.74     9.83    -8.91     0.28     0.90     7.14     1.90P   14.87R    1.37  
MK_Dons           8   13   -1      62.67    10.10    -5.31     0.84     2.38    14.00     4.39P    8.36R    0.74  
Oldham            8   12   +1      55.07     9.56   -11.41     0.09     0.30     3.24     0.74P   24.22R    2.86  
Charlton          8   12   +1      73.13    10.18    14.57     7.52    16.02    48.34    25.04P    0.84R    0.02  
Swindon           8   12   +1      72.08    10.30    13.02     6.42    13.71    44.28    21.42P    1.22R    0.05  
Bristol_Rovers    8   12   -2      57.69     9.99   -12.95     0.21     0.74     6.11     1.60P   18.14R    1.93  
Sheff_Wed         8   10   +4      72.08    10.83    18.88     7.67    15.49    45.36    24.07P    1.49R    0.08  
Notts_County      8   10   -2      70.57    10.82    10.70     5.49    11.85    39.30    19.69P    2.23R    0.15  
Hartlepool        8    9   -4      54.69    10.08   -14.65     0.13     0.40     3.64     0.88P   26.82R    4.01  
Plymouth          8    9   -4      63.10    10.58    -1.00     1.15     3.01    16.08     6.05P    8.52R    0.80  
Southampton       8    8   -1      75.40    10.12    22.31    11.08    22.02    58.25    34.35P    0.50R    0.02  
Leyton_Orient     8    7   -3      53.26     9.93   -12.15     0.07     0.23     2.61     0.67P   31.30R    4.86  
Yeovil            8    7   -8      50.52     9.91   -21.55     0.04     0.14     1.40     0.38P   42.74R    8.32  
Walsall           8    6   -4      54.55    10.28   -10.36     0.13     0.42     3.86     1.13P   27.37R    4.34  
Brentford         8    6   -5      55.25     9.79    -8.47     0.13     0.41     3.71     1.11P   23.64R    3.10  
Dag_&_Red         8    6   -7      41.01     9.91   -35.68     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.03P   78.02R   37.19  
Tranmere          8    6   -7      42.30     9.25   -31.72     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.02P   75.19R   29.23  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 September 2010, Cheltenham vs Bury; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale             8   19  +10      82.67     9.96    27.32    35.52    65.21    88.49    71.64P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury            8   17   +8      74.89     9.98    16.87    11.89    34.53    66.69    42.27P    0.10R    0.03  
Rotherham             8   17   +7      72.90     9.98    12.99     8.39    27.45    58.60    34.92P    0.12R    0.02  
Chesterfield          8   15   +8      70.16    10.20    12.71     5.59    20.10    48.73    26.87P    0.32R    0.08  
Torquay               8   14   +5      73.34    10.16    16.02     9.24    29.24    60.69    37.25P    0.12R    0.04  
Bury                  8   12   +0      61.23     9.99    -4.09     0.71     4.22    17.40     6.81P    2.98R    1.01  
Accrington_Stanley    8   11   +4      61.98    10.04     2.40     0.96     5.17    20.20     8.21P    2.62R    0.86  
Crewe                 8   10   +8      63.67    10.49     9.99     1.92     8.38    26.92    12.60P    1.98R    0.61  
Oxford_Utd            8   10   +4      60.63     9.86     3.60     0.67     3.93    16.41     6.92P    3.03R    1.02  
Burton_Albion         8   10   +2      62.57    10.24     2.37     1.24     6.29    22.20     9.82P    2.39R    0.82  
Stevenage             8   10   +1      68.00    10.12    10.10     3.51    14.41    40.44    22.18P    0.58R    0.18  
Southend              8   10   +0      69.11    10.79    10.71     5.11    18.64    45.11    25.83P    0.68R    0.22  
Northampton           8   10   -2      65.69     9.96     3.66     2.14     9.56    30.66    14.68P    1.06R    0.33  
Stockport             8   10   -3      51.87    10.04   -18.40     0.05     0.54     3.67     1.01P   17.88R    8.62  
Cheltenham            8   10   -6      51.93     9.76   -23.00     0.07     0.53     3.26     0.92P   17.38R    7.88  
Wycombe               8    9   +1      69.54    10.56    13.84     5.48    19.38    47.13    27.44P    0.63R    0.20  
Gillingham            8    9   +0      66.83    10.39     8.80     3.30    12.78    36.23    19.64P    0.98R    0.31  
Aldershot             8    9   +0      67.88    10.03    10.34     3.25    14.04    39.50    20.83P    0.63R    0.19  
Macclesfield          8    8   -6      53.48     9.73   -15.25     0.08     0.63     4.43     1.33P   13.12R    5.76  
Morecambe             8    7   -6      59.86    10.35    -5.23     0.73     3.77    15.25     6.33P    4.76R    1.83  
Lincoln_City          8    7   -6      45.39     9.12   -24.83     0.01     0.04     0.52     0.10P   38.78R   20.74  
Bradford              8    7   -8      54.85    10.05   -14.18     0.15     1.04     6.27     2.09P   11.09R    4.66  
Barnet                8    6  -10      44.15     9.13   -30.71     0.00     0.03     0.37     0.10P   45.11R   26.39  
Hereford              8    5  -11      46.77     9.42   -26.00     0.01     0.08     0.84     0.21P   33.66R   18.20  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 26 September 2010, Kidderminster vs AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       11   23   +8      72.20     9.00    10.27     2.75    28.43     7.07P    0.07R    0.00  
Mansfield          11   22  +14      80.65     9.29    31.92    16.75    65.96    27.98P    0.01R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      11   22   +7      80.78     9.14    24.40    15.37    65.31    27.10P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     11   21   +7      71.15     9.98    10.26     3.04    26.88     7.21P    0.31R    0.02  
Newport_County     11   20   +6      70.14     9.83     9.90     2.33    23.28     6.31P    0.34R    0.03  
Tamworth           11   19   +2      65.24     8.99    -0.55     0.43     9.18     1.67P    0.76R    0.06  
Luton              11   18   +6      86.19     8.82    39.95    37.14    84.90    54.18P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         11   18   +6      66.19     9.33     6.83     0.73    12.56     3.03P    0.67R    0.07  
Wrexham            11   17   +4      68.17     8.90     9.45     1.13    15.91     4.26P    0.21R    0.01  
York               11   16   +2      77.57     8.88    22.71     8.25    52.63    21.83P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster      11   16   +0      67.09     9.29     4.62     0.93    13.81     3.30P    0.62R    0.07  
Grimsby            11   15   -1      70.88     9.60    11.17     2.56    25.54     8.21P    0.26R    0.01  
Gateshead          11   15   -4      52.89     8.73   -20.57     0.01     0.49     0.08P   14.09R    2.64  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   11   14   +0      76.45     8.91    23.45     6.77    47.69    20.10P    0.03R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    11   14   -1      50.76     8.81   -22.26     0.00     0.26     0.03P   19.99R    4.23  
Cambridge_Utd      11   13   +5      69.02     9.26    18.03     1.54    19.91     5.96P    0.33R    0.05  
Barrow             11   13   +1      54.28     8.94   -10.30     0.03     0.84     0.15P   10.09R    1.60  
Southport          11   12   -2      53.99     9.58   -11.09     0.03     1.07     0.18P   12.74R    2.75  
Kettering          11   10   -5      62.46     8.92     2.33     0.20     5.13     1.33P    1.69R    0.18  
Hayes_&_Yeading    11   10  -11      43.70     8.80   -38.58     0.00     0.04     0.00P   50.25R   18.47  
Forest_Green       11    9   -8      42.34     8.52   -34.39     0.00     0.01     0.00P   55.64R   22.26  
Bath_City          11    8   -8      45.49     9.42   -26.43     0.00     0.11     0.02P   41.33R   14.50  
Histon             11    8  -12      42.64     8.60   -34.65     0.00     0.01     0.00    54.49R   21.77  
Altrincham         11    5  -16      46.42     8.85   -26.49     0.00     0.06     0.01P   36.09R   11.28