Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 25 September 2010 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 September 2010, Arsenal vs West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          6   15  +19      88.77     7.39    75.97    66.66    92.59    98.29    99.58    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          6   11   +9      72.34     8.44    39.04     3.74    19.15    55.66    76.92    93.56     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          5   11   +7      83.17     7.95    55.35    28.17    76.50    92.47    97.44    99.68     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         6   11   +5      68.06     8.43    26.19     1.11     8.26    30.74    58.31    85.10     0.01R    0.00  
West_Brom        6   10   -3      50.69     9.20    -9.67     0.01     0.18     1.23     4.07    16.37     4.46R    0.59  
Fulham           6    8   +1      47.02     8.11    -6.88     0.00     0.01     0.26     1.12     6.91     6.22R    0.75  
Tottenham        6    8   +1      58.97     8.57    11.38     0.10     1.03     6.12    17.30    48.57     0.30R    0.01  
Blackburn        6    8   +0      45.29     8.20   -11.87     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.74     4.87     9.77R    1.34  
Newcastle        5    7   +2      55.63     9.35     6.46     0.08     0.71     4.24    11.52    34.36     1.22R    0.11  
Sunderland       6    7   +0      47.28     8.38    -7.63     0.00     0.01     0.23     1.21     7.92     6.75R    0.78  
Birmingham       6    7   -1      42.88     8.03   -14.12     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.33     2.61    15.04R    2.23  
Aston_Villa      5    7   -3      53.71     8.67    -1.65     0.01     0.25     1.98     6.51    24.94     1.45R    0.14  
Blackpool        6    7   -5      38.01     8.56   -30.24     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.16     1.11    37.23R    9.72  
Bolton           5    6   -1      40.44     8.49   -22.17     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.25     1.88    25.68R    5.70  
Liverpool        6    6   -3      60.62     8.40    13.21     0.12     1.24     7.80    21.60    56.74     0.14R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    5    5   -2      36.79     7.90   -24.83     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.05     0.42    40.96R   10.69  
Wigan            6    5  -11      28.19     7.16   -52.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    83.25R   52.12  
Stoke            5    4   -3      39.53     8.11   -17.55     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.13     1.14    27.38R    5.78  
West_Ham         6    4   -9      38.13     8.30   -28.21     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.85    35.56R    9.44  
Everton          6    3   -3      49.40     8.66    -0.43     0.00     0.05     0.66     2.70    12.98     4.58R    0.59  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 September 2010, Burnley vs Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR               8   22  +20      83.34    10.09    34.22    35.42    55.30    86.88    63.05P    0.03R    0.00  
Cardiff           8   16   +7      80.63    10.11    26.97    24.48    43.59    80.35    54.53P    0.09R    0.01  
Watford           8   15   +9      70.53    10.25    14.04     5.29    12.58    44.59    19.77P    1.43R    0.23  
Leeds_United      8   14   +1      66.42    10.57     1.46     2.46     6.52    29.31    11.34P    4.23R    0.90  
Ipswich           8   13   +2      61.80     9.66    -2.58     0.54     1.96    14.68     4.31P    7.49R    1.47  
Norwich           8   13   +0      65.49    10.53     0.29     2.13     5.58    26.35    10.25P    4.91R    0.98  
Reading           8   12   +4      68.44    10.19    10.39     3.36     8.72    36.75    15.51P    2.24R    0.36  
Burnley           8   12   +3      71.20    10.93    13.84     6.82    15.43    47.15    24.32P    1.67R    0.31  
Swansea           8   12   +1      64.96     9.30     3.59     1.01     3.23    22.03     7.65P    3.32R    0.58  
Doncaster         8   12   -2      64.11     9.95    -1.79     1.05     3.43    20.91     7.14P    5.48R    1.18  
Nott'm_Forest     8   11   +2      76.01     9.67    21.31    11.53    25.29    66.90    39.70P    0.26R    0.04  
Coventry          8   11   +1      55.46     9.60   -10.71     0.13     0.48     4.98     1.28P   21.52R    6.21  
Millwall          8   11   +0      62.86    10.55    -0.42     1.30     3.53    19.25     7.14P    7.86R    1.97  
Hull              8   11   -1      65.80    10.51     3.37     2.05     5.72    27.45    11.12P    4.62R    0.95  
Barnsley          8   11   -3      54.78     9.87   -17.00     0.09     0.41     4.57     1.16P   25.39R    8.24  
Scunthorpe        8   10   +1      55.29    10.04   -11.52     0.15     0.56     5.38     1.41P   23.65R    7.71  
Middlesbrough     8   10   -4      63.74     9.75    -1.13     0.92     2.92    19.48     6.73P    5.27R    1.14  
Sheff_Utd         8   10   -6      61.24     9.82    -6.97     0.50     1.78    13.53     4.48P    9.00R    2.05  
Derby             8    8   +1      56.43     9.78    -4.64     0.15     0.59     6.25     1.71P   18.66R    5.63  
Bristol_City      8    7   -4      52.04     9.59   -14.98     0.03     0.18     2.46     0.57P   33.85R   12.43  
Crystal_Palace    8    7   -9      51.64     9.56   -19.97     0.03     0.17     2.16     0.57P   36.22R   13.36  
Preston           8    6   -8      47.98     9.77   -26.01     0.03     0.08     1.01     0.24P   51.68R   25.22  
Portsmouth        8    5   -4      57.67    10.35    -3.04     0.34     1.08     8.84     3.17P   16.82R    5.06  
Leicester         8    5  -11      58.45     9.81    -8.71     0.21     0.88     8.73     2.85P   14.34R    3.96  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 September 2010, Bournemouth vs Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton          8   17   +6      71.19    10.23     9.12     5.21    11.71    40.15    17.49P    1.33R    0.06  
Peterborough      8   16   +7      74.45    11.14    16.63    11.51    21.57    52.98    28.78P    1.09R    0.04  
Bournemouth       8   14  +10      67.37    10.93    11.83     3.26     7.59    29.05    12.12P    3.94R    0.26  
Huddersfield      8   14   +5      80.03    10.51    27.27    23.66    38.58    72.98    48.06P    0.18R    0.01  
Colchester        8   14   +4      74.07    10.21    15.89     8.84    17.99    51.96    26.60P    0.70R    0.02  
Rochdale          8   13   +4      67.00    11.02     6.36     3.34     7.47    27.74    11.77P    4.41R    0.41  
Carlisle          8   13   +4      67.69    10.30     7.73     2.75     6.67    28.15    11.21P    3.23R    0.17  
Exeter            8   13   +1      58.73     9.90    -8.91     0.33     0.96     7.27     2.07P   14.95R    1.36  
MK_Dons           8   13   -1      62.49    10.21    -5.56     0.90     2.38    13.67     4.29P    8.74R    0.70  
Oldham            8   12   +1      55.12     9.59   -11.34     0.11     0.35     3.33     0.85P   24.29R    2.78  
Charlton          8   12   +1      73.12    10.16    14.56     7.38    15.77    47.86    24.99P    0.84R    0.03  
Swindon           8   12   +1      72.19    10.27    13.25     6.41    13.83    44.43    21.64P    1.18R    0.05  
Bristol_Rovers    8   12   -2      57.81    10.13   -12.81     0.28     0.89     6.68     1.82P   18.01R    1.92  
Sheff_Wed         8   10   +4      72.12    10.99    19.00     7.91    15.93    45.85    24.73P    1.58R    0.10  
Notts_County      8   10   -2      70.46    10.86    10.47     5.50    11.92    38.81    19.50P    2.19R    0.11  
Hartlepool        8    9   -4      54.81     9.98   -14.44     0.09     0.37     3.39     0.87P   26.37R    3.85  
Plymouth          8    9   -4      62.94    10.68    -1.13     1.21     3.01    15.76     5.93P    8.90R    0.75  
Southampton       8    8   -1      75.33    10.11    22.15    10.95    21.76    58.04    34.00P    0.47R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient     8    7   -3      53.29    10.00   -12.16     0.07     0.29     2.73     0.72P   31.14R    4.79  
Yeovil            8    7   -8      50.34    10.01   -21.86     0.05     0.14     1.43     0.35P   43.33R    8.77  
Walsall           8    6   -4      54.82    10.23    -9.90     0.15     0.45     3.93     1.13P   26.44R    4.03  
Brentford         8    6   -5      55.43     9.79    -8.17     0.10     0.36     3.54     1.03P   23.08R    3.01  
Dag_&_Red         8    6   -7      41.07     9.96   -35.71     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P   77.55R   36.72  
Tranmere          8    6   -7      42.00     9.24   -32.26     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.01P   76.06R   30.04  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 September 2010, Cheltenham vs Bury; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale             8   19  +10      82.81     9.92    27.48    36.01    65.80    88.69    71.93P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury            8   17   +8      74.93    10.07    16.94    11.78    34.62    66.61    42.25P    0.06R    0.02  
Rotherham             8   17   +7      73.13    10.09    13.25     8.94    28.06    59.50    35.38P    0.13R    0.03  
Chesterfield          8   15   +8      70.21    10.19    12.82     5.37    20.15    48.62    26.71P    0.34R    0.09  
Torquay               8   14   +5      73.30    10.10    15.93     9.18    29.12    60.57    37.31P    0.14R    0.04  
Bury                  8   12   +0      61.60    10.01    -3.57     0.83     4.67    18.48     7.38P    2.67R    0.89  
Accrington_Stanley    8   11   +4      62.08    10.12     2.51     0.99     5.24    20.47     8.26P    2.63R    0.97  
Crewe                 8   10   +8      63.63    10.45     9.96     1.87     8.19    26.75    12.59P    1.96R    0.58  
Oxford_Utd            8   10   +4      60.79     9.83     3.84     0.64     3.99    16.88     7.12P    2.87R    0.98  
Burton_Albion         8   10   +2      62.50    10.26     2.25     1.21     6.19    22.37     9.94P    2.43R    0.83  
Stevenage             8   10   +1      67.69    10.26     9.64     3.32    14.00    39.37    21.44P    0.68R    0.20  
Southend              8   10   +0      69.10    10.79    10.70     5.26    18.48    44.74    25.65P    0.68R    0.20  
Northampton           8   10   -2      65.60     9.93     3.60     1.85     9.21    30.54    14.43P    1.10R    0.35  
Stockport             8   10   -3      51.44    10.03   -19.16     0.07     0.53     3.33     1.04P   19.16R    9.07  
Cheltenham            8   10   -6      51.96     9.78   -22.97     0.06     0.50     3.45     0.98P   17.55R    8.11  
Wycombe               8    9   +1      69.48    10.61    13.74     5.54    19.32    46.53    27.48P    0.59R    0.19  
Gillingham            8    9   +0      66.46    10.44     8.31     3.02    12.27    35.09    18.82P    1.09R    0.35  
Aldershot             8    9   +0      67.98    10.07    10.41     3.18    14.08    40.13    21.26P    0.61R    0.17  
Macclesfield          8    8   -6      53.32     9.72   -15.48     0.09     0.63     4.21     1.27P   13.37R    5.79  
Morecambe             8    7   -6      60.19    10.36    -4.70     0.68     3.93    16.06     6.60P    4.60R    1.70  
Lincoln_City          8    7   -6      45.53     9.08   -24.58     0.00     0.04     0.54     0.11P   38.12R   20.82  
Bradford              8    7   -8      54.47     9.90   -14.71     0.11     0.89     5.65     1.78P   11.58R    4.90  
Barnet                8    6  -10      44.20     9.26   -30.66     0.00     0.03     0.43     0.09P   44.96R   26.46  
Hereford              8    5  -11      47.09     9.52   -25.53     0.00     0.08     0.98     0.20P   32.69R   17.27  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 September 2010, Altrincham vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Mansfield          11   22  +14      80.59     9.25    31.73    14.27    64.97    25.29P    0.01R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      10   22   +9      83.05     9.51    27.94    20.17    72.40    32.45P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     11   21   +7      70.94    10.01     9.97     2.52    25.56     6.41P    0.32R    0.02  
Crawley_Town       10   20   +7      68.86     9.24     6.46     1.30    17.56     3.87P    0.23R    0.02  
Newport_County     11   20   +6      70.26     9.93    10.02     2.12    23.08     5.71P    0.39R    0.04  
Tamworth           11   19   +2      65.28     8.99    -0.47     0.37     9.08     1.53P    0.78R    0.07  
Luton              11   18   +6      86.51     8.84    40.54    34.11    85.41    52.11P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         11   18   +6      66.13     9.31     6.68     0.68    11.91     2.83P    0.70R    0.04  
Wrexham            11   17   +4      68.27     8.89     9.56     0.83    15.48     3.96P    0.27R    0.01  
York               11   16   +2      77.66     8.88    22.84     7.38    51.88    20.91P    0.00R    0.00  
Grimsby            11   15   -1      71.05     9.46    11.44     2.15    24.88     7.59P    0.20R    0.01  
Gateshead          11   15   -4      53.24     8.71   -20.03     0.00     0.47     0.05P   12.66R    2.23  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   10   14   +1      79.95     9.22    28.05    12.22    62.10    28.24P    0.00R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    11   14   -1      50.70     8.81   -22.59     0.00     0.25     0.03P   19.75R    4.35  
Cambridge_Utd      11   13   +5      68.91     9.27    17.86     1.25    18.94     5.44P    0.38R    0.05  
Barrow             11   13   +1      54.37     8.91   -10.28     0.02     0.82     0.14P    9.61R    1.61  
Kidderminster      10   13   -2      64.41     9.50     0.83     0.46     8.83     1.96P    1.46R    0.13  
Southport          11   12   -2      53.94     9.64   -11.27     0.02     1.03     0.19P   13.03R    2.89  
Kettering          11   10   -5      62.46     8.98     2.31     0.13     5.13     1.25P    1.79R    0.17  
Hayes_&_Yeading    11   10  -11      43.86     8.79   -38.42     0.00     0.04     0.00P   49.20R   17.78  
Forest_Green       11    9   -8      42.32     8.68   -34.72     0.00     0.01     0.00P   55.69R   22.40  
Bath_City          11    8   -8      45.24     9.49   -26.91     0.00     0.11     0.02P   42.56R   14.88  
Histon             11    8  -12      42.63     8.57   -34.67     0.00     0.02     0.00P   54.36R   21.27  
Altrincham         11    5  -16      46.25     8.90   -26.88     0.00     0.06     0.01P   36.58R   12.01