Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 23 September 2010 at 21:15:02 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 19 September 2010, Chelsea vs Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          5   15  +20      90.86     7.56    80.50    71.00    92.56    98.58    99.69    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          5   11  +10      76.50     8.46    46.37     6.85    29.89    71.05    86.79    97.21     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          5   11   +7      83.20     7.84    56.57    21.19    69.43    91.18    97.25    99.67     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         5    8   +4      65.53     8.68    24.19     0.55     4.15    16.80    42.17    76.49     0.03R    0.00  
Tottenham        5    8   +2      61.37     8.77    14.15     0.16     1.63     7.95    23.41    58.80     0.10R    0.01  
Newcastle        5    7   +2      55.91     9.27     6.84     0.03     0.48     2.97    10.59    34.29     1.05R    0.11  
Fulham           5    7   +1      47.89     8.36    -6.81     0.00     0.02     0.23     1.38     8.41     5.24R    0.53  
Aston_Villa      5    7   -3      53.55     8.67    -2.10     0.01     0.18     1.27     5.41    23.15     1.43R    0.12  
Blackpool        5    7   -4      41.22     9.00   -26.24     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.39     2.60    24.13R    4.88  
West_Brom        5    7   -4      45.89     9.17   -17.13     0.00     0.03     0.30     1.24     6.78    11.39R    1.90  
Sunderland       5    6   +0      46.25     8.46   -10.31     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.94     5.98     8.37R    1.05  
Birmingham       5    6   -1      44.66     8.26   -12.82     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.52     4.05    10.82R    1.55  
Bolton           5    6   -1      40.87     8.41   -21.91     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.19     1.81    22.85R    4.35  
Blackburn        5    5   -1      43.00     8.35   -14.48     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.34     2.84    15.65R    2.52  
Wolverhampton    5    5   -2      37.15     7.96   -24.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.51    37.82R    8.80  
Liverpool        5    5   -3      62.37     8.69    15.58     0.21     1.54     8.76    26.97    63.15     0.09R    0.00  
Stoke            5    4   -3      39.68     8.09   -17.76     0.00     0.01     0.01     0.11     1.12    25.76R    4.95  
Wigan            5    4  -11      27.44     7.31   -56.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    84.12R   54.69  
Everton          5    2   -3      49.49     8.82    -1.15     0.00     0.05     0.53     2.53    12.70     4.58R    0.53  
West_Ham         5    1  -10      35.64     8.45   -31.95     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.46    46.56R   14.01  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 September 2010, Barnsley vs Derby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR               7   19  +17      81.25    10.49    30.56    28.30    46.25    80.10    54.58P    0.07R    0.00  
Ipswich           7   14   +4      64.83     9.99     0.19     1.36     4.00    22.18     7.46P    3.99R    0.63  
Cardiff           7   13   +6      79.71    10.46    27.05    23.42    40.53    75.78    51.12P    0.14R    0.02  
Norwich           7   13   +2      69.57    11.05     6.53     5.33    12.03    38.92    18.16P    2.33R    0.40  
Watford           7   12   +7      67.98    10.57    10.51     3.84     9.15    34.09    14.72P    2.48R    0.38  
Swansea           7   12   +3      66.68     9.50     6.19     1.78     5.03    26.84    10.55P    1.95R    0.22  
Doncaster         7   12   +2      66.65    10.21     3.92     2.31     5.97    28.25    10.98P    2.94R    0.47  
Burnley           7   11   +3      74.10    11.42    18.07    12.06    23.20    56.08    32.39P    1.01R    0.17  
Millwall          7   11   +2      64.31    11.00     1.41     2.26     5.36    23.05     9.36P    6.25R    1.31  
Barnsley          7   11   +1      57.69    10.27   -10.50     0.37     1.12     8.11     2.33P   16.09R    3.91  
Coventry          7   11   +1      57.25    10.02   -10.31     0.24     0.88     6.99     1.93P   15.99R    3.75  
Leeds_United      7   11   +0      64.72    11.13     0.35     2.38     5.82    23.98     9.87P    6.01R    1.31  
Middlesbrough     7   10   -3      65.35    10.12     0.20     1.62     4.47    23.35     9.08P    3.86R    0.68  
Sheff_Utd         7   10   -5      62.26    10.10    -6.59     0.92     2.53    15.26     5.37P    7.15R    1.29  
Reading           7    9   +1      66.65    10.54     7.10     2.81     7.03    29.19    12.32P    3.29R    0.55  
Scunthorpe        7    9   +1      56.38    10.43   -10.38     0.26     0.87     6.74     1.88P   19.28R    5.36  
Nott'm_Forest     7    8   +0      73.85     9.90    18.32     8.56    18.95    56.19    31.70P    0.40R    0.05  
Hull              7    8   -4      60.90    10.99    -4.64     0.96     2.77    14.67     5.55P   11.06R    2.57  
Crystal_Palace    7    7   -4      55.98     9.89   -10.17     0.12     0.55     5.37     1.57P   19.18R    4.64  
Derby             7    5   -4      52.01     9.98   -14.12     0.06     0.18     2.53     0.64P   31.81R   10.28  
Bristol_City      7    5   -6      49.00    10.03   -21.44     0.05     0.13     1.39     0.36P   44.23R   17.47  
Leicester         7    5   -6      62.80    10.14     0.84     0.91     2.77    17.22     6.84P    6.34R    1.26  
Preston           7    3   -9      44.97    10.06   -29.17     0.01     0.04     0.52     0.13P   60.69R   31.75  
Portsmouth        7    2   -9      51.87    10.62   -13.92     0.10     0.38     3.21     1.12P   33.45R   11.53  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 September 2010, Dag_&_Red vs Exeter; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Huddersfield      7   14   +6      82.60    10.93    30.39    29.49    46.16    79.05    55.44P    0.10R    0.00  
Brighton          7   14   +5      69.90    10.45     8.59     3.86     9.00    35.09    14.30P    1.93R    0.13  
Peterborough      7   13   +6      73.03    11.65    15.99     9.04    17.86    47.68    24.70P    1.62R    0.10  
Carlisle          7   13   +6      70.35    10.58    11.62     4.41    10.12    37.25    15.78P    1.83R    0.10  
MK_Dons           7   13   +0      63.52    10.53    -5.30     1.09     2.99    16.18     5.16P    7.43R    0.60  
Rochdale          7   12   +4      67.89    11.47     7.17     3.78     8.45    30.49    13.13P    4.25R    0.37  
Oldham            7   12   +2      56.46     9.72   -10.28     0.11     0.37     4.39     1.03P   19.54R    1.91  
Bournemouth       7   11   +8      64.42    11.24     7.75     1.91     4.74    21.18     8.10P    6.93R    0.57  
Colchester        7   11   +2      72.38    10.32    13.77     5.71    13.11    44.64    20.91P    1.03R    0.03  
Charlton          7   11   +1      75.30    10.45    17.32     9.62    20.29    56.09    30.71P    0.56R    0.02  
Sheff_Wed         7   10   +5      74.05    11.21    20.85     9.68    19.15    52.03    28.48P    1.09R    0.07  
Exeter            7   10   -1      55.10     9.92   -13.91     0.11     0.33     3.67     0.91P   23.95R    2.94  
Notts_County      7   10   -1      73.33    11.25    13.82     8.24    16.92    48.48    26.01P    1.31R    0.07  
Swindon           7    9   +0      70.07    10.70    11.46     4.42    10.03    36.73    16.74P    2.09R    0.10  
Bristol_Rovers    7    9   -3      54.99    10.38   -15.81     0.15     0.48     4.11     1.09P   25.89R    3.57  
Plymouth          7    8   -4      63.22    10.91    -1.34     1.15     3.14    16.60     6.39P    8.58R    0.82  
Yeovil            7    7   -6      53.52    10.19   -16.88     0.07     0.27     2.91     0.69P   29.89R    4.49  
Walsall           7    6   -3      56.50    10.33    -8.47     0.20     0.62     5.20     1.57P   20.63R    2.78  
Brentford         7    6   -4      57.45    10.04    -6.41     0.18     0.63     5.83     1.76P   16.99R    1.80  
Hartlepool        7    6   -5      52.73    10.36   -16.21     0.07     0.23     2.65     0.65P   33.15R    5.85  
Tranmere          7    6   -5      43.26     9.46   -30.27     0.00     0.01     0.16     0.02P   70.05R   23.54  
Southampton       7    5   -2      72.86    10.40    19.93     6.68    14.97    47.67    25.96P    0.94R    0.06  
Dag_&_Red         7    5   -7      39.37    10.13   -39.22     0.00     0.01     0.16     0.03P   81.07R   42.80  
Leyton_Orient     7    4   -4      50.88    10.28   -14.54     0.03     0.14     1.76     0.43P   39.15R    7.29  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 September 2010, Aldershot vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Shrewsbury            7   16   +8      74.47    10.08    15.77    10.85    32.22    64.52    39.75P    0.09R    0.02  
Port_Vale             7   16   +8      80.67    10.06    24.86    27.55    57.15    83.81    64.44P    0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield          7   15   +9      71.70    10.43    13.94     7.70    24.61    54.04    31.28P    0.27R    0.08  
Torquay               7   14   +7      77.02    10.27    21.39    16.82    42.68    73.61    51.00P    0.06R    0.01  
Rotherham             7   14   +6      71.58    10.21    12.34     7.27    23.34    53.60    30.50P    0.23R    0.06  
Accrington_Stanley    7   11   +6      63.79    10.34     4.98     1.77     7.66    25.58    11.33P    2.09R    0.71  
Burton_Albion         7   10   +3      64.20    10.45     3.60     1.98     8.63    27.29    12.77P    2.06R    0.67  
Cheltenham            7   10   -4      55.17    10.05   -18.13     0.21     1.27     6.60     2.13P   11.01R    4.71  
Crewe                 7    9   +8      65.09    10.65    11.67     2.64    10.78    31.28    15.46P    1.54R    0.50  
Oxford_Utd            7    9   +4      60.30    10.01     2.64     0.67     3.76    15.93     6.56P    3.54R    1.29  
Bury                  7    9   -2      58.24    10.08    -8.30     0.38     2.52    11.32     4.20P    6.29R    2.32  
Stockport             7    9   -3      51.40    10.22   -19.71     0.09     0.56     3.64     1.08P   20.09R    9.95  
Wycombe               7    8   +1      70.37    10.85    14.56     7.04    21.76    50.10    30.21P    0.57R    0.18  
Aldershot             7    8   +0      68.40    10.12    10.57     3.56    14.65    41.74    21.99P    0.61R    0.16  
Stevenage             7    7   +0      65.90    10.42     8.50     2.60    10.94    33.11    17.69P    1.24R    0.38  
Southend              7    7   -2      66.32    11.06     6.88     3.36    13.09    35.28    19.39P    1.64R    0.61  
Northampton           7    7   -4      63.77    10.17     1.22     1.40     6.87    24.70    11.19P    1.99R    0.67  
Lincoln_City          7    7   -5      47.08     9.31   -23.47     0.01     0.08     0.90     0.20P   32.80R   16.82  
Bradford              7    7   -6      56.21    10.09   -12.36     0.24     1.46     8.11     2.84P    9.12R    3.77  
Gillingham            7    6   -1      65.07    10.72     7.66     2.68    10.24    30.85    16.28P    1.70R    0.59  
Morecambe             7    6   -6      61.65    10.59    -3.06     1.14     5.30    19.98     8.64P    3.98R    1.57  
Macclesfield          7    5   -8      49.22     9.70   -21.20     0.03     0.19     1.82     0.47P   25.49R   12.68  
Hereford              7    5   -9      49.27     9.66   -22.17     0.02     0.21     1.79     0.45P   25.38R   12.66  
Barnet                7    5  -10      43.65     9.32   -32.16     0.00     0.03     0.40     0.10P   48.21R   29.57  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 23 September 2010, AFC_Wimbledon vs Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      10   22   +9      83.41     9.42    28.45    18.38    74.49    32.29P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town       10   20   +7      69.01     9.29     6.65     1.13    18.80     3.92P    0.25R    0.02  
Mansfield          10   19  +10      79.04     9.56    28.00    10.40    58.91    20.95P    0.02R    0.00  
Tamworth           10   19   +4      67.85     9.30     3.50     0.73    15.49     2.85P    0.49R    0.04  
Luton              10   18   +7      89.54     9.12    44.48    46.38    91.11    62.25P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     10   18   +6      69.98    10.47    10.04     2.07    24.63     6.04P    0.63R    0.08  
Newport_County     10   17   +5      66.63    10.22     5.95     0.90    15.28     3.43P    1.16R    0.14  
Darlington         10   15   +5      64.91     9.64     6.12     0.48    11.09     2.60P    1.20R    0.11  
Eastbourne_Boro    10   14   +3      52.44     9.14   -17.98     0.01     0.66     0.10P   15.91R    3.10  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   10   14   +1      79.80     9.15    27.72    10.38    62.87    27.34P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham            10   14   +0      65.72     9.06     4.25     0.44    10.75     2.55P    0.68R    0.06  
Grimsby            10   14   -1      71.75     9.76    11.90     2.27    28.88     8.86P    0.19R    0.02  
Cambridge_Utd      10   13   +6      71.98     9.45    21.45     2.31    30.46     9.11P    0.17R    0.02  
Barrow             10   13   +3      56.41     9.22    -7.32     0.03     1.75     0.26P    7.23R    1.16  
York               10   13   +0      74.76     9.15    18.78     3.70    39.96    14.47P    0.04R    0.00  
Kidderminster      10   13   -2      64.13     9.52     0.27     0.30     8.98     1.88P    1.53R    0.22  
Southport          10   12   -1      54.96     9.80   -10.83     0.03     1.67     0.30P   11.57R    2.35  
Gateshead          10   12   -5      49.91     8.96   -24.08     0.00     0.25     0.03P   24.09R    5.89  
Forest_Green       10    9   -6      44.24     8.90   -31.57     0.00     0.04     0.01P   47.55R   16.73  
Bath_City          10    8   -7      45.95     9.73   -27.06     0.00     0.17     0.03P   40.42R   14.30  
Histon             10    8   -8      44.79     8.85   -28.87     0.00     0.03     0.00P   45.20R   15.18  
Kettering          10    7   -7      60.09     9.25    -0.81     0.06     3.62     0.72P    3.57R    0.50  
Hayes_&_Yeading    10    7  -13      41.47     9.14   -42.19     0.00     0.02     0.00P   60.80R   28.34  
Altrincham         10    4  -16      46.47     9.12   -26.85     0.00     0.09     0.01P   37.29R   11.73