Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 22 September 2010 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 19 September 2010, Chelsea vs Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          5   15  +20      90.99     7.59    80.80    71.41    92.67    98.64    99.71    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          5   11  +10      76.49     8.44    46.33     6.65    29.89    70.67    86.90    97.21     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          5   11   +7      83.14     7.90    56.42    21.06    69.28    91.07    97.04    99.67     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         5    8   +4      65.68     8.73    24.42     0.59     4.32    17.54    42.80    76.76     0.04R    0.00  
Tottenham        5    8   +2      61.33     8.80    14.07     0.12     1.56     7.96    23.49    58.43     0.15R    0.00  
Newcastle        5    7   +2      55.95     9.31     6.92     0.05     0.50     3.08    10.68    34.32     1.07R    0.08  
Fulham           5    7   +1      48.08     8.40    -6.45     0.00     0.03     0.25     1.46     8.81     4.95R    0.55  
Aston_Villa      5    7   -3      53.46     8.66    -2.21     0.01     0.15     1.32     5.25    22.68     1.55R    0.13  
Blackpool        5    7   -4      41.31     9.10   -26.06     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.43     2.70    23.99R    4.86  
West_Brom        5    7   -4      45.75     9.09   -17.38     0.00     0.04     0.23     1.11     6.52    11.45R    1.88  
Sunderland       5    6   +0      46.21     8.47   -10.49     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.88     6.09     8.29R    1.01  
Birmingham       5    6   -1      44.72     8.31   -12.68     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.56     4.15    10.67R    1.51  
Bolton           5    6   -1      40.77     8.33   -22.19     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.18     1.66    23.13R    4.23  
Blackburn        5    5   -1      43.30     8.31   -14.03     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.34     2.91    14.29R    2.26  
Wolverhampton    5    5   -2      37.04     7.94   -25.15     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.45    38.08R    8.99  
Liverpool        5    5   -3      62.28     8.61    15.43     0.10     1.49     8.35    26.39    63.15     0.08R    0.00  
Stoke            5    4   -3      39.51     8.10   -18.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.97    26.52R    5.09  
Wigan            5    4  -11      27.30     7.23   -56.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    84.88R   55.17  
Everton          5    2   -3      49.54     8.82    -1.08     0.00     0.06     0.53     2.57    13.05     4.46R    0.56  
West_Ham         5    1  -10      35.65     8.48   -31.93     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.46    46.40R   13.69  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 September 2010, Barnsley vs Derby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR               7   19  +17      81.13    10.46    30.20    29.23    47.40    80.82    55.73P    0.08R    0.01  
Cardiff           7   13   +6      79.53    10.38    26.40    23.74    41.17    76.53    51.76P    0.12R    0.02  
Norwich           7   13   +2      69.30    11.05     6.17     5.50    12.16    39.50    18.45P    2.55R    0.44  
Watford           7   12   +7      67.91    10.47    10.55     3.84     9.15    34.97    14.83P    2.52R    0.38  
Swansea           7   12   +3      66.57     9.40     6.22     1.89     5.17    27.56    10.83P    2.02R    0.24  
Ipswich           7   12   +2      61.53     9.87    -3.30     0.67     2.08    14.29     4.32P    7.73R    1.55  
Doncaster         7   12   +1      65.99    10.19     2.09     2.20     5.92    27.19    10.48P    3.49R    0.57  
Burnley           7   11   +3      73.76    11.40    17.42    11.97    23.18    56.30    32.36P    1.15R    0.18  
Coventry          7   11   +2      57.62     9.93    -7.97     0.30     0.97     7.81     2.17P   15.31R    3.70  
Millwall          7   11   +1      63.13    10.81    -1.02     1.65     4.25    20.36     7.86P    7.50R    1.61  
Barnsley          7   11   +0      57.20    10.24   -11.80     0.32     1.01     7.83     2.25P   17.47R    4.67  
Leeds_United      7   11   +0      64.12    10.99    -0.49     2.13     5.41    23.35     9.37P    6.69R    1.53  
Middlesbrough     7   10   -2      65.75    10.05     1.89     1.86     5.25    26.08    10.29P    3.56R    0.64  
Sheff_Utd         7   10   -5      62.21    10.08    -6.44     0.92     2.63    16.06     5.67P    7.30R    1.43  
Reading           7    9   +1      66.35    10.52     6.69     2.75     7.11    29.56    12.40P    3.61R    0.68  
Scunthorpe        7    9   +1      56.19    10.42   -10.17     0.32     0.99     6.98     2.11P   20.14R    5.85  
Nott'm_Forest     7    8   +0      73.46     9.93    17.60     8.41    18.97    56.29    31.67P    0.48R    0.04  
Hull              7    8   -3      61.61    10.79    -2.42     1.13     3.14    16.70     6.36P    9.39R    2.29  
Crystal_Palace    7    7   -4      55.66     9.93   -10.31     0.14     0.56     5.50     1.60P   20.26R    5.55  
Bristol_City      7    6   -4      51.23    10.01   -16.68     0.06     0.23     2.40     0.64P   35.73R   12.55  
Derby             7    5   -4      51.96     9.83   -13.37     0.05     0.17     2.55     0.65P   32.24R   10.76  
Leicester         7    5   -6      62.48    10.16     0.48     0.83     2.73    17.40     6.89P    6.83R    1.44  
Preston           7    3   -9      45.25    10.00   -28.02     0.01     0.04     0.62     0.17P   60.08R   32.01  
Portsmouth        7    2   -9      51.84    10.51   -13.71     0.08     0.30     3.33     1.16P   33.74R   11.87  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 September 2010, Dag_&_Red vs Exeter; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Huddersfield      7   14   +6      82.54    10.74    30.34    29.38    46.08    79.21    55.38P    0.11R    0.00  
Brighton          7   14   +5      70.01    10.36     8.76     3.78     8.81    35.37    14.15P    1.78R    0.10  
Peterborough      7   13   +6      73.16    11.58    16.17     9.16    18.08    48.34    24.98P    1.59R    0.12  
Carlisle          7   13   +6      70.21    10.56    11.42     4.25     9.84    36.59    15.68P    1.92R    0.08  
MK_Dons           7   13   +0      63.56    10.41    -5.18     1.04     2.84    16.02     5.15P    7.14R    0.55  
Rochdale          7   12   +4      67.71    11.32     6.79     3.43     7.86    29.91    12.41P    4.19R    0.36  
Oldham            7   12   +2      56.48     9.69   -10.31     0.15     0.45     4.30     1.04P   19.06R    1.99  
Bournemouth       7   11   +8      64.40    11.14     7.64     1.73     4.34    20.68     7.61P    6.66R    0.54  
Colchester        7   11   +2      72.54    10.36    14.06     5.90    13.60    45.26    21.65P    1.00R    0.03  
Charlton          7   11   +1      75.35    10.43    17.42     9.83    20.49    55.83    30.53P    0.49R    0.02  
Sheff_Wed         7   10   +5      74.39    11.14    21.40    10.31    20.18    53.16    29.80P    0.99R    0.04  
Exeter            7   10   -1      55.25    10.04   -13.76     0.11     0.36     3.86     0.88P   24.02R    2.82  
Notts_County      7   10   -1      73.30    11.19    13.73     8.09    16.97    48.41    26.21P    1.33R    0.05  
Swindon           7    9   +0      70.13    10.59    11.55     4.31     9.91    36.70    16.55P    1.95R    0.11  
Bristol_Rovers    7    9   -3      55.06    10.28   -15.69     0.11     0.41     3.97     0.97P   25.63R    3.29  
Plymouth          7    8   -4      62.94    11.05    -1.84     1.11     3.04    16.20     6.05P    9.05R    0.91  
Yeovil            7    7   -6      53.64    10.28   -16.67     0.09     0.34     3.07     0.80P   29.76R    4.47  
Walsall           7    6   -3      56.35    10.50    -8.70     0.23     0.71     5.49     1.73P   21.53R    2.76  
Brentford         7    6   -4      57.27    10.07    -6.65     0.18     0.60     5.56     1.74P   17.72R    1.97  
Hartlepool        7    6   -5      52.68    10.30   -16.38     0.06     0.22     2.45     0.61P   32.99R    5.72  
Tranmere          7    6   -5      43.39     9.57   -29.96     0.00     0.01     0.21     0.02P   69.63R   23.59  
Southampton       7    5   -2      72.71    10.50    19.79     6.70    14.71    47.45    25.64P    1.01R    0.06  
Dag_&_Red         7    5   -7      39.11     9.91   -39.62     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.02P   82.25R   43.48  
Leyton_Orient     7    4   -4      51.01    10.24   -14.31     0.04     0.13     1.80     0.40P   38.21R    6.94  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 September 2010, Aldershot vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Shrewsbury            7   16   +8      74.69    10.13    16.08    11.92    33.26    65.08    40.79P    0.08R    0.02  
Port_Vale             7   16   +8      80.61    10.09    24.77    27.48    56.72    83.67    64.05P    0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield          7   15   +9      71.43    10.34    13.51     7.19    23.51    53.26    30.20P    0.26R    0.07  
Torquay               7   14   +7      76.69    10.21    20.91    16.20    41.68    72.48    49.70P    0.06R    0.02  
Rotherham             7   14   +6      71.67    10.23    12.51     7.37    23.87    53.65    30.99P    0.25R    0.07  
Accrington_Stanley    7   11   +6      63.64    10.31     4.75     1.62     7.42    25.41    11.09P    2.08R    0.75  
Burton_Albion         7   10   +3      64.42    10.44     4.03     2.13     8.78    28.19    13.12P    1.82R    0.59  
Cheltenham            7   10   -4      54.72    10.02   -18.87     0.17     1.10     6.10     1.87P   12.03R    5.11  
Crewe                 7    9   +8      65.18    10.67    11.76     2.74    10.89    31.85    15.93P    1.63R    0.57  
Oxford_Utd            7    9   +4      60.47    10.07     2.82     0.74     3.98    16.58     6.96P    3.52R    1.15  
Bury                  7    9   -2      58.25    10.03    -8.32     0.37     2.39    11.08     4.07P    6.02R    2.20  
Stockport             7    9   -3      51.63    10.29   -19.41     0.09     0.66     3.93     1.14P   19.59R    9.40  
Wycombe               7    8   +1      70.29    10.94    14.37     6.95    21.83    49.34    30.16P    0.64R    0.23  
Aldershot             7    8   +0      68.39    10.23    10.52     3.70    15.17    42.00    22.54P    0.73R    0.25  
Stevenage             7    7   +0      66.29    10.34     9.01     2.69    11.34    34.14    18.34P    1.06R    0.36  
Southend              7    7   -2      66.10    11.00     6.60     3.29    12.63    34.47    18.46P    1.71R    0.58  
Northampton           7    7   -4      63.55    10.13     0.90     1.19     6.49    24.25    10.75P    2.12R    0.74  
Lincoln_City          7    7   -5      47.31     9.35   -23.21     0.01     0.09     0.95     0.19P   31.80R   16.26  
Bradford              7    7   -6      56.26    10.06   -12.21     0.22     1.48     7.92     2.79P    9.06R    3.75  
Gillingham            7    6   -1      65.42    10.68     8.17     2.74    10.95    32.03    17.21P    1.59R    0.57  
Morecambe             7    6   -6      61.80    10.52    -2.71     1.12     5.35    20.08     8.66P    3.72R    1.42  
Macclesfield          7    5   -8      49.09     9.65   -21.31     0.02     0.23     1.66     0.51P   25.82R   12.96  
Hereford              7    5   -9      49.10     9.58   -22.44     0.03     0.19     1.55     0.42P   25.69R   12.87  
Barnet                7    5  -10      43.56     9.29   -32.23     0.00     0.02     0.35     0.07P   48.74R   30.08  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 September 2010, Altrincham vs Barrow; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town        9   20   +8      69.81     9.57     6.85     1.55    21.97     4.84P    0.27R    0.01  
Mansfield          10   19  +10      79.00     9.50    27.97    10.00    59.03    20.89P    0.01R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon       9   19   +8      82.33     9.68    28.25    16.80    70.80    30.27P    0.01R    0.00  
Tamworth           10   19   +4      67.61     9.29     3.12     0.71    14.86     2.78P    0.46R    0.04  
Luton              10   18   +7      89.59     9.06    44.42    47.20    91.57    63.11P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     10   18   +6      69.89    10.54     9.83     2.21    24.55     6.27P    0.66R    0.08  
Newport_County     10   17   +5      67.10    10.39     6.57     1.08    16.95     3.93P    1.10R    0.12  
Darlington         10   15   +5      64.76     9.65     6.04     0.44    10.75     2.36P    1.33R    0.15  
Eastbourne_Boro    10   14   +3      52.68     9.21   -17.63     0.01     0.73     0.10P   15.49R    3.14  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   10   14   +1      79.93     9.19    28.00    10.79    63.25    27.58P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham            10   14   +0      65.76     9.09     4.26     0.39    10.74     2.50P    0.75R    0.06  
Grimsby            10   14   -1      71.51     9.79    11.52     2.15    27.96     8.56P    0.25R    0.01  
Cambridge_Utd      10   13   +6      71.84     9.46    21.26     2.21    30.30     8.92P    0.20R    0.01  
Barrow             10   13   +3      56.44     9.22    -7.20     0.03     1.82     0.29P    7.22R    1.11  
York               10   13   +0      74.65     9.26    18.60     3.91    39.69    14.38P    0.06R    0.00  
Kidderminster      10   13   -2      64.18     9.55     0.33     0.39     8.96     1.93P    1.53R    0.19  
Southport          10   12   -1      55.15     9.98   -10.52     0.06     1.89     0.35P   11.79R    2.42  
Gateshead          10   12   -5      50.03     8.93   -23.81     0.00     0.22     0.03P   23.60R    5.56  
Forest_Green       10    9   -6      44.36     8.90   -31.25     0.00     0.05     0.00P   46.87R   16.31  
Bath_City          10    8   -7      45.76     9.79   -27.32     0.01     0.19     0.04P   41.50R   14.75  
Histon             10    8   -8      44.73     8.82   -28.98     0.00     0.04     0.00    44.79R   15.28  
Kettering          10    7   -7      59.96     9.24    -0.95     0.06     3.55     0.86P    3.51R    0.49  
Hayes_&_Yeading    10    7  -13      41.44     9.05   -42.38     0.00     0.02     0.00P   61.01R   28.10  
Altrincham         10    4  -16      46.37     9.12   -26.97     0.00     0.11     0.01P   37.59R   12.16