Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 20 September 2010 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 19 September 2010, Chelsea vs Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          5   15  +20      90.84     7.58    80.58    71.04    92.53    98.44    99.65    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          5   11  +10      76.30     8.49    45.99     6.55    29.76    69.91    86.07    97.03     0.00R    0.00  
Man_Utd          5   11   +7      83.13     7.91    56.43    21.49    69.09    91.00    96.97    99.71     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         5    8   +4      65.89     8.75    24.79     0.55     4.65    18.35    43.88    77.40     0.05R    0.00  
Tottenham        5    8   +2      61.50     8.82    14.40     0.17     1.67     8.09    23.94    59.14     0.14R    0.01  
Newcastle        5    7   +2      55.72     9.20     6.53     0.04     0.47     2.94    10.10    33.35     1.06R    0.08  
Fulham           5    7   +1      47.83     8.38    -6.79     0.00     0.01     0.28     1.40     8.46     5.25R    0.57  
Aston_Villa      5    7   -3      53.53     8.68    -2.14     0.02     0.15     1.39     5.50    23.04     1.47R    0.14  
Blackpool        5    7   -4      41.26     9.02   -26.28     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.36     2.58    24.02R    4.80  
West_Brom        5    7   -4      45.86     9.07   -17.10     0.00     0.04     0.31     1.20     6.49    11.17R    1.84  
Sunderland       5    6   +0      46.43     8.44   -10.10     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.83     6.33     7.92R    0.96  
Birmingham       5    6   -1      44.88     8.28   -12.41     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.59     4.25    10.32R    1.41  
Bolton           5    6   -1      40.71     8.42   -22.34     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.18     1.77    23.65R    4.57  
Blackburn        5    5   -1      43.16     8.40   -14.28     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.37     2.96    15.16R    2.46  
Wolverhampton    5    5   -2      37.15     7.99   -24.93     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.52    37.90R    8.77  
Liverpool        5    5   -3      62.29     8.66    15.51     0.15     1.55     8.46    26.40    62.80     0.08R    0.01  
Stoke            5    4   -3      39.59     8.17   -17.98     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12     1.11    26.36R    5.22  
Wigan            5    4  -11      27.45     7.33   -56.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    84.17R   54.17  
Everton          5    2   -3      49.55     8.70    -1.07     0.00     0.05     0.46     2.38    12.66     4.08R    0.52  
West_Ham         5    1  -10      35.48     8.49   -32.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.42    47.19R   14.49  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 September 2010, Barnsley vs Derby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR               7   19  +17      81.55    10.48    31.02    29.06    47.10    80.88    55.52P    0.06R    0.01  
Ipswich           7   14   +4      65.00    10.06     0.46     1.35     4.19    22.48     7.83P    3.93R    0.53  
Cardiff           7   13   +6      79.91    10.40    27.37    23.48    40.87    76.47    51.71P    0.11R    0.01  
Norwich           7   13   +2      69.74    11.21     6.89     5.52    12.50    39.83    19.02P    2.39R    0.39  
Watford           7   12   +7      68.10    10.51    10.77     3.65     8.84    34.13    14.49P    2.43R    0.36  
Swansea           7   12   +3      66.74     9.51     6.33     1.77     5.06    26.97    10.69P    1.99R    0.24  
Doncaster         7   12   +2      66.56    10.24     3.82     2.32     6.18    28.03    10.87P    3.03R    0.44  
Burnley           7   11   +3      74.17    11.38    18.20    12.08    23.35    56.37    32.44P    0.97R    0.13  
Millwall          7   11   +2      64.12    11.07     1.11     2.11     5.15    22.66     9.06P    6.55R    1.34  
Barnsley          7   11   +1      57.62    10.23   -10.65     0.37     1.05     7.98     2.26P   15.90R    3.90  
Coventry          7   11   +1      57.23    10.02   -10.34     0.31     0.86     6.96     2.05P   16.04R    3.83  
Leeds_United      7   11   +0      64.57    11.12     0.03     2.26     5.53    23.77     9.57P    6.09R    1.26  
Middlesbrough     7   10   -3      65.12    10.13    -0.15     1.62     4.35    22.90     8.71P    4.07R    0.74  
Sheff_Utd         7   10   -5      62.17    10.10    -6.76     0.80     2.29    15.27     5.19P    7.33R    1.29  
Reading           7    9   +1      66.36    10.71     6.66     2.78     6.98    28.85    12.02P    3.72R    0.66  
Scunthorpe        7    9   +1      56.38    10.43   -10.40     0.31     0.89     6.85     1.88P   19.41R    5.26  
Nott'm_Forest     7    8   +0      73.71     9.86    18.16     8.14    18.42    55.57    31.23P    0.41R    0.04  
Hull              7    8   -4      60.74    10.86    -4.84     0.91     2.55    14.32     5.23P   11.00R    2.70  
Crystal_Palace    7    7   -4      55.61     9.91   -10.70     0.16     0.52     5.00     1.52P   19.95R    5.31  
Derby             7    5   -4      52.24    10.09   -13.68     0.06     0.26     2.89     0.71P   31.35R   10.36  
Bristol_City      7    5   -6      49.01     9.83   -21.34     0.02     0.08     1.21     0.32P   44.30R   17.12  
Leicester         7    5   -6      62.76    10.09     0.84     0.83     2.64    17.01     6.54P    6.27R    1.21  
Preston           7    3   -9      44.91    10.06   -29.30     0.00     0.03     0.52     0.11P   60.71R   32.07  
Portsmouth        7    2   -9      52.13    10.52   -13.48     0.08     0.29     3.10     1.03P   32.01R   10.82  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 September 2010, Brentford vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Huddersfield      7   14   +6      82.24    10.62    29.93    28.44    45.17    78.62    54.47P    0.09R    0.00  
Peterborough      7   13   +6      73.33    11.56    16.46     9.26    18.56    48.59    25.35P    1.54R    0.09  
Carlisle          7   13   +6      70.20    10.54    11.37     4.41     9.86    36.67    15.46P    1.95R    0.10  
MK_Dons           7   13   +0      63.51    10.43    -5.30     1.10     2.79    16.01     5.02P    7.40R    0.57  
Rochdale          7   12   +4      67.78    11.40     6.94     3.76     8.26    29.96    12.79P    4.30R    0.34  
Oldham            7   12   +2      56.32     9.66   -10.59     0.12     0.42     4.09     1.00P   19.83R    2.09  
Bournemouth       7   11   +8      64.42    11.10     7.69     1.77     4.45    20.69     7.77P    6.92R    0.54  
Brighton          6   11   +3      66.57    10.53     4.04     2.10     5.40    24.61     9.17P    3.97R    0.26  
Colchester        7   11   +2      72.63    10.38    14.19     6.31    13.81    45.36    21.69P    0.96R    0.05  
Charlton          7   11   +1      75.32    10.26    17.43     9.59    19.89    56.01    30.08P    0.50R    0.02  
Sheff_Wed         7   10   +5      74.42    11.24    21.50    10.46    20.43    53.21    29.92P    1.07R    0.06  
Notts_County      7   10   -1      73.27    11.19    13.72     8.17    17.08    48.34    26.15P    1.42R    0.08  
Swindon           7    9   +0      70.20    10.59    11.73     4.44    10.10    36.86    17.22P    2.04R    0.10  
Exeter            6    9   -1      55.93    10.33   -13.36     0.16     0.54     4.78     1.19P   22.81R    2.97  
Bristol_Rovers    7    9   -3      55.02    10.41   -15.85     0.14     0.49     4.26     1.12P   25.82R    3.75  
Plymouth          6    8   -2      66.61    11.24     3.63     2.66     6.21    25.82    10.86P    5.32R    0.45  
Yeovil            7    7   -6      53.56    10.23   -16.91     0.07     0.27     3.04     0.76P   30.33R    4.63  
Walsall           7    6   -3      56.34    10.45    -8.75     0.17     0.58     5.36     1.49P   21.68R    2.95  
Brentford         7    6   -4      57.35    10.05    -6.54     0.20     0.64     5.48     1.72P   17.68R    1.94  
Hartlepool        7    6   -5      52.78    10.29   -16.27     0.06     0.26     2.65     0.68P   33.02R    5.54  
Tranmere          7    6   -5      43.20     9.46   -30.49     0.00     0.02     0.19     0.04P   70.65R   23.62  
Southampton       7    5   -2      72.74    10.40    19.86     6.58    14.61    47.38    25.54P    1.04R    0.07  
Leyton_Orient     7    4   -4      51.05    10.29   -14.35     0.04     0.15     1.80     0.49P   38.94R    7.06  
Dag_&_Red         6    4   -7      39.45    10.32   -40.08     0.00     0.01     0.19     0.02P   80.75R   42.72  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 September 2010, Aldershot vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Shrewsbury            7   16   +8      74.34    10.17    15.56    10.91    32.16    64.03    39.44P    0.12R    0.04  
Port_Vale             7   16   +8      80.89    10.10    25.13    28.57    57.77    84.41    65.20P    0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield          7   15   +9      71.83    10.38    14.16     7.75    25.02    54.59    31.65P    0.22R    0.05  
Torquay               7   14   +7      76.96    10.18    21.28    16.42    42.80    73.36    50.81P    0.06R    0.02  
Rotherham             7   14   +6      71.40    10.17    12.08     6.73    22.79    52.91    29.76P    0.23R    0.06  
Accrington_Stanley    7   11   +6      63.73    10.25     4.91     1.63     7.37    25.49    11.21P    1.92R    0.64  
Burton_Albion         7   10   +3      63.96    10.50     3.28     1.87     8.35    26.67    12.50P    2.18R    0.77  
Cheltenham            7   10   -4      55.03    10.15   -18.37     0.22     1.26     6.56     2.05P   11.63R    5.10  
Crewe                 7    9   +8      65.01    10.62    11.50     2.59    10.32    31.22    15.33P    1.72R    0.58  
Oxford_Utd            7    9   +4      60.55    10.11     2.91     0.82     4.02    16.65     7.07P    3.47R    1.27  
Bury                  7    9   -2      58.19    10.04    -8.38     0.39     2.43    11.19     4.13P    6.03R    2.19  
Stockport             7    9   -3      51.49    10.38   -19.59     0.08     0.65     3.90     1.15P   20.39R   10.03  
Wycombe               7    8   +1      70.18    10.72    14.25     6.60    21.06    49.17    29.50P    0.52R    0.18  
Aldershot             7    8   +0      68.42    10.27    10.54     3.89    15.17    41.91    22.24P    0.69R    0.20  
Stevenage             7    7   +0      65.95    10.39     8.56     2.68    10.89    33.08    17.55P    1.26R    0.39  
Southend              7    7   -2      66.00    10.98     6.44     3.11    12.28    34.09    18.37P    1.77R    0.67  
Northampton           7    7   -4      63.65    10.15     1.01     1.37     6.71    24.60    11.05P    2.01R    0.69  
Lincoln_City          7    7   -5      47.25     9.31   -23.18     0.01     0.10     0.91     0.21P   31.82R   16.34  
Bradford              7    7   -6      56.39    10.00   -12.08     0.20     1.44     8.24     2.77P    8.65R    3.60  
Gillingham            7    6   -1      65.73    10.81     8.58     3.02    11.76    33.35    18.41P    1.54R    0.52  
Morecambe             7    6   -6      61.64    10.50    -3.00     1.07     5.20    19.72     8.58P    3.90R    1.46  
Macclesfield          7    5   -8      49.21     9.67   -21.16     0.02     0.20     1.78     0.46P   25.68R   12.59  
Hereford              7    5   -9      49.24     9.70   -22.11     0.03     0.23     1.83     0.47P   25.63R   12.65  
Barnet                7    5  -10      43.57     9.30   -32.30     0.00     0.04     0.36     0.08P   48.56R   29.96  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 September 2010, Barrow vs Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town        9   20   +8      69.79     9.50     6.92     1.41    21.65     4.56P    0.25R    0.02  
AFC_Wimbledon       9   19   +8      82.48     9.65    28.37    16.59    71.16    29.95P    0.00R    0.00  
Tamworth            9   18   +4      68.98     9.44     4.83     0.99    18.94     3.57P    0.33R    0.01  
Luton               9   17   +7      90.06     9.24    44.07    48.66    91.79    64.05P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town      9   17   +6      71.61    11.00    12.12     3.30    30.62     8.17P    0.65R    0.08  
Mansfield           9   16   +5      74.31     9.82    17.41     4.38    39.22    11.41P    0.15R    0.01  
Darlington          9   14   +5      64.62     9.80     5.44     0.55    10.86     2.53P    1.31R    0.14  
Newport_County      9   14   +4      64.23    10.72     3.84     0.72    11.68     2.65P    2.50R    0.43  
Barrow              9   13   +5      58.52     9.54    -3.83     0.09     3.23     0.57P    5.28R    0.84  
York                9   13   +5      78.43     9.30    26.92     8.20    56.91    23.63P    0.01R    0.00  
Grimsby             9   13   -1      72.80    10.15    12.91     3.01    33.49    10.46P    0.21R    0.01  
Southport           9   12   +0      55.90    10.11   -10.08     0.06     2.42     0.42P   10.53R    2.20  
Kidderminster       9   12   -2      63.76     9.83    -0.85     0.36     8.90     1.79P    2.00R    0.25  
Eastbourne_Boro     9   11   +2      49.74     9.32   -20.11     0.01     0.37     0.05P   24.61R    6.35  
Wrexham             9   11   -1      64.52     9.36     3.88     0.37     9.31     2.10P    1.12R    0.09  
Rushden_&_D'mnds    9   11   -1      79.48     9.44    27.80     9.85    61.12    26.49P    0.01R    0.00  
Gateshead           9   11   -5      50.00     9.25   -24.40     0.00     0.34     0.05P   23.94R    6.01  
Cambridge_Utd       9   10   +3      69.10     9.75    16.30     1.32    21.81     6.12P    0.53R    0.05  
Forest_Green        9    9   -5      46.52     9.23   -28.09     0.00     0.12     0.01P   37.28R   11.66  
Histon              9    8   -6      45.47     9.01   -27.97     0.00     0.05     0.01P   41.43R   13.61  
Kettering           9    7   -4      62.04     9.36     3.13     0.13     5.71     1.40P    2.35R    0.31  
Bath_City           9    7   -7      44.91    10.07   -28.67     0.00     0.19     0.02P   44.99R   17.87  
Hayes_&_Yeading     9    7  -12      43.54     9.35   -39.40     0.00     0.06     0.00P   51.42R   20.83  
Altrincham          9    1  -18      43.73     9.29   -30.52     0.00     0.05     0.00P   49.09R   19.23