Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 19 September 2010 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 19 September 2010, Chelsea vs Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          5   15  +19      90.59     7.61    77.83    71.81    92.34    98.43    99.59    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          5   11  +10      76.72     8.54    46.46     8.05    33.81    71.98    87.35    97.23     0.00R    0.00  
Man_Utd          5   11   +5      82.11     8.01    51.21    19.14    64.67    88.88    96.26    99.52     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         5    8   +4      65.63     8.78    24.11     0.58     4.74    17.83    42.86    76.83     0.03R    0.00  
Tottenham        5    8   +2      61.34     8.77    14.07     0.15     1.74     8.07    23.56    58.67     0.15R    0.01  
Newcastle        5    7   +2      55.70     9.38     6.55     0.08     0.59     3.10    10.48    33.75     1.21R    0.11  
Fulham           5    7   +1      47.57     8.35    -7.01     0.00     0.02     0.24     1.33     8.07     5.68R    0.56  
Aston_Villa      5    7   -3      53.46     8.61    -2.13     0.00     0.16     1.33     5.28    22.89     1.46R    0.13  
Blackpool        5    7   -4      40.82     8.99   -26.53     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.34     2.30    25.81R    5.46  
West_Brom        5    7   -4      45.71     9.17   -17.18     0.00     0.04     0.22     1.12     6.64    11.84R    1.89  
Sunderland       5    6   +0      46.27     8.44    -9.99     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.75     6.13     8.43R    0.96  
Birmingham       5    6   -1      44.77     8.34   -12.29     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.62     4.37    10.80R    1.50  
Bolton           5    6   -1      40.63     8.45   -21.96     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.22     1.78    24.45R    4.68  
Blackburn        5    5   -1      43.28     8.38   -13.69     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.36     3.12    14.83R    2.42  
Wolverhampton    5    5   -2      37.08     7.96   -24.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.46    38.61R    9.21  
Liverpool        5    5   -3      62.43     8.61    15.56     0.18     1.79     8.95    27.18    63.81     0.11R    0.01  
Stoke            5    4   -2      39.95     8.06   -15.91     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10     1.15    24.98R    4.58  
Wigan            5    4  -11      27.30     7.28   -55.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.94R   55.79  
Everton          5    2   -3      49.52     8.77    -1.01     0.00     0.06     0.56     2.52    12.74     4.34R    0.62  
West_Ham         5    1   -8      36.51     8.52   -27.58     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.56    42.31R   12.07  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 September 2010, Barnsley vs Derby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR               7   19  +17      80.93    10.36    29.87    28.27    46.53    80.32    54.59P    0.06R    0.00  
Cardiff           7   13   +6      79.66    10.46    26.72    24.22    41.30    76.64    51.94P    0.12R    0.01  
Norwich           7   13   +2      69.56    10.96     6.56     5.45    12.43    40.44    18.75P    2.30R    0.38  
Watford           7   12   +7      67.98    10.47    10.62     4.02     9.28    34.82    14.90P    2.50R    0.41  
Swansea           7   12   +3      66.83     9.48     6.50     1.92     5.46    28.56    11.28P    1.94R    0.26  
Doncaster         7   12   +2      66.73    10.20     4.24     2.45     6.63    29.34    11.60P    2.97R    0.50  
Ipswich           7   12   +2      61.47     9.89    -3.39     0.63     2.01    13.92     4.27P    7.77R    1.48  
Burnley           7   11   +3      74.07    11.40    17.94    12.70    24.06    57.23    33.23P    1.03R    0.14  
Coventry          7   11   +2      57.78    10.07    -7.74     0.36     1.09     8.33     2.46P   14.84R    3.70  
Millwall          7   11   +1      63.14    10.88    -0.96     1.68     4.39    20.41     7.99P    7.37R    1.63  
Barnsley          7   11   +0      56.69    10.17   -12.67     0.29     0.89     6.98     2.00P   18.59R    4.91  
Leeds_United      7   11   +0      64.36    10.89    -0.13     2.01     5.26    23.51     9.31P    6.07R    1.40  
Middlesbrough     7   10   -2      65.83    10.17     1.97     1.99     5.47    26.31    10.53P    3.54R    0.63  
Sheff_Utd         7   10   -5      62.06    10.08    -6.65     0.79     2.44    15.72     5.34P    7.30R    1.47  
Reading           7    9   +1      66.49    10.57     6.86     2.86     7.30    29.95    12.91P    3.62R    0.66  
Scunthorpe        7    9   +1      56.23    10.46   -10.23     0.34     0.99     6.97     2.09P   20.33R    5.84  
Nott'm_Forest     7    8   +0      73.32     9.85    17.46     7.96    18.07    55.38    30.95P    0.48R    0.08  
Hull              7    8   -4      60.72    10.67    -4.81     0.85     2.38    14.20     5.13P   10.72R    2.59  
Crystal_Palace    7    7   -4      55.37     9.92   -10.81     0.15     0.49     5.03     1.38P   21.04R    5.76  
Bristol_City      7    6   -4      51.37     9.94   -16.57     0.08     0.25     2.36     0.70P   34.92R   12.09  
Derby             7    5   -4      52.05     9.88   -13.34     0.04     0.22     2.64     0.73P   31.97R   10.66  
Leicester         7    5   -6      62.56    10.10     0.54     0.87     2.73    17.23     6.74P    6.59R    1.25  
Preston           7    3   -9      45.01     9.98   -28.50     0.00     0.04     0.50     0.13P   60.66R   32.38  
Portsmouth        7    2   -9      51.97    10.49   -13.46     0.08     0.30     3.22     1.05P   33.27R   11.78  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 September 2010, Brentford vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Huddersfield      7   14   +6      82.38    10.70    30.09    29.70    46.78    79.36    55.94P    0.09R    0.00  
Bournemouth       7   13   +9      67.28    10.93    10.36     3.01     7.08    28.63    11.58P    4.03R    0.29  
Peterborough      7   13   +6      73.40    11.48    16.60     9.64    18.97    49.33    25.95P    1.52R    0.10  
Carlisle          7   13   +6      70.02    10.53    11.15     4.42    10.12    36.31    15.60P    1.94R    0.09  
MK_Dons           7   13   +0      63.34    10.43    -5.54     1.08     2.92    16.01     5.12P    7.77R    0.64  
Rochdale          7   12   +4      67.75    11.32     6.94     3.77     8.35    30.40    12.92P    4.39R    0.31  
Oldham            7   12   +2      56.40     9.65   -10.25     0.12     0.46     4.31     1.08P   20.16R    1.98  
Brighton          6   11   +3      66.42    10.45     3.93     2.15     5.37    24.14     9.20P    4.22R    0.27  
Colchester        7   11   +2      72.33    10.29    13.77     6.05    13.42    45.06    21.49P    1.04R    0.04  
Charlton          7   11   +1      75.18    10.44    17.28    10.00    20.62    55.99    30.76P    0.56R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed         7   10   +4      73.54    11.02    19.14     9.14    18.36    50.34    27.60P    1.24R    0.07  
Swindon           7    9   +0      70.32    10.48    11.91     4.56    10.58    37.97    17.42P    1.93R    0.08  
Exeter            6    9   -1      55.72    10.14   -13.57     0.15     0.48     4.47     1.12P   23.45R    3.19  
Notts_County      7    9   -2      71.14    11.04    10.89     5.89    12.79    41.13    20.86P    1.88R    0.09  
Bristol_Rovers    7    9   -3      54.92    10.31   -15.83     0.15     0.44     4.07     1.03P   26.49R    3.76  
Plymouth          6    8   -2      66.59    11.17     3.64     2.62     6.32    26.23    11.09P    5.23R    0.43  
Yeovil            7    7   -6      53.56    10.21   -16.78     0.08     0.27     3.11     0.73P   30.94R    4.61  
Walsall           7    6   -3      56.10    10.42    -8.99     0.24     0.72     5.13     1.53P   22.71R    3.12  
Hartlepool        7    6   -4      53.56    10.25   -13.75     0.08     0.29     3.04     0.79P   30.25R    4.91  
Brentford         7    6   -4      57.31     9.99    -6.51     0.17     0.60     5.67     1.72P   18.18R    2.01  
Tranmere          7    6   -5      43.45     9.41   -29.74     0.00     0.02     0.16     0.03P   70.43R   23.02  
Southampton       7    5   -2      72.61    10.38    19.59     6.95    14.91    47.30    26.03P    1.00R    0.05  
Leyton_Orient     7    4   -4      50.90    10.17   -14.49     0.03     0.11     1.70     0.38P   39.76R    7.25  
Dag_&_Red         6    4   -7      39.47    10.30   -39.83     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   80.78R   43.66  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 September 2010, Aldershot vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale             7   16   +8      80.71    10.07    24.86    29.67    58.89    84.73    65.92P    0.02R    0.01  
Chesterfield          7   15   +9      71.24    10.28    13.28     7.44    24.16    53.39    30.79P    0.30R    0.07  
Torquay               7   14   +7      76.79    10.12    21.04    17.39    43.74    73.96    51.87P    0.05R    0.01  
Rotherham             7   14   +6      71.20    10.17    11.82     7.17    23.88    53.68    31.20P    0.29R    0.07  
Shrewsbury            7   14   +4      69.48     9.99     7.59     4.85    17.91    45.97    24.11P    0.42R    0.10  
Crewe                 7   11   +9      67.73    10.58    13.72     4.73    16.73    41.28    22.47P    0.83R    0.20  
Accrington_Stanley    7   11   +6      63.45    10.12     4.52     1.65     7.40    25.33    11.10P    2.03R    0.65  
Burton_Albion         7   10   +3      63.93    10.34     3.29     1.99     8.48    27.16    12.59P    2.00R    0.67  
Stockport             7   10   +1      55.48    10.22   -10.27     0.31     1.70     7.89     2.77P   10.79R    4.52  
Cheltenham            7   10   -4      54.97    10.00   -18.41     0.19     1.30     6.53     2.13P   11.91R    4.94  
Oxford_Utd            7    9   +4      60.53    10.08     2.96     0.86     4.40    17.33     7.52P    3.74R    1.31  
Bury                  7    9   -2      58.24     9.91    -8.27     0.44     2.48    11.46     4.21P    6.02R    2.30  
Wycombe               7    8   +1      70.49    10.80    14.69     7.74    23.59    51.31    32.11P    0.54R    0.16  
Aldershot             7    8   +0      67.91    10.08     9.90     3.68    14.96    40.91    21.81P    0.75R    0.23  
Stevenage             7    7   +0      65.90    10.35     8.57     2.83    11.43    33.96    18.35P    1.30R    0.45  
Southend              7    7   -2      66.31    10.84     6.90     3.49    13.47    35.73    19.67P    1.51R    0.51  
Northampton           7    7   -4      63.57    10.13     0.89     1.45     7.23    25.01    11.54P    2.18R    0.75  
Bradford              7    7   -6      56.16     9.96   -12.38     0.24     1.55     8.09     2.87P    9.46R    3.77  
Gillingham            7    6   -1      64.99    10.56     7.52     2.67    10.61    31.33    16.79P    1.77R    0.58  
Morecambe             7    6   -6      61.68    10.43    -2.80     1.17     5.56    20.26     8.87P    3.77R    1.43  
Lincoln_City          7    6   -6      45.78     9.23   -24.66     0.00     0.05     0.66     0.15P   38.91R   20.91  
Macclesfield          7    5   -8      49.34     9.67   -20.85     0.02     0.21     1.89     0.54P   25.82R   12.97  
Hereford              7    5   -9      49.46     9.62   -21.66     0.03     0.25     1.84     0.56P   25.48R   12.51  
Barnet                7    5  -10      43.49     9.21   -32.26     0.00     0.03     0.28     0.06P   50.11R   30.89  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 September 2010, Barrow vs Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town        9   20   +6      68.47     9.30     3.10     1.05    17.75     3.67P    0.39R    0.02  
AFC_Wimbledon       9   19   +8      81.87     9.57    27.07    15.28    69.90    29.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield           9   18   +6      76.63     9.77    18.90     6.68    48.86    14.94P    0.08R    0.01  
Tamworth            9   18   +4      69.03     9.43     4.86     1.06    19.27     3.82P    0.42R    0.04  
Luton               9   17   +7      89.83     9.20    43.40    48.34    91.77    63.88P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town      9   17   +6      71.42    10.67    11.82     3.16    30.15     7.91P    0.48R    0.06  
Barrow              9   15   +6      61.25     9.53    -1.44     0.20     5.77     1.03P    3.14R    0.38  
Darlington          9   14   +5      64.44     9.85     5.19     0.58    11.10     2.62P    1.57R    0.18  
Newport_County      9   14   +4      63.83    10.49     3.20     0.58    11.07     2.44P    2.85R    0.47  
York                9   13   +5      78.22     9.21    26.54     7.94    57.02    23.65P    0.02R    0.00  
Grimsby             9   13   -1      72.78     9.96    12.87     3.16    33.33    10.66P    0.26R    0.04  
Southport           9   12   +0      56.20     9.96    -9.50     0.06     2.26     0.42P   10.49R    2.11  
Kidderminster       9   12   -2      63.67     9.68    -1.04     0.41     8.66     1.88P    2.17R    0.28  
Eastbourne_Boro     9   11   +2      49.88     9.24   -19.03     0.01     0.37     0.03P   25.33R    6.54  
Rushden_&_D'mnds    9   11   -1      79.14     9.43    27.08     9.92    60.36    25.96P    0.02R    0.00  
Gateshead           9   11   -5      50.21     9.11   -23.98     0.00     0.35     0.04P   24.66R    6.31  
Cambridge_Utd       9   10   +3      68.87     9.65    15.91     1.27    21.29     5.74P    0.53R    0.06  
Wrexham             9   10   -2      62.71     9.18     1.71     0.19     6.53     1.45P    1.96R    0.26  
Forest_Green        9    9   -5      46.96     9.19   -27.07     0.00     0.15     0.02P   36.99R   11.87  
Histon              9    8   -5      46.03     9.07   -25.75     0.00     0.09     0.01P   40.85R   13.47  
Bath_City           9    7   -7      44.90    10.01   -28.72     0.00     0.17     0.03P   46.71R   19.06  
Hayes_&_Yeading     9    7  -10      44.76     9.42   -34.60     0.00     0.10     0.01P   47.41R   18.25  
Kettering           9    6   -6      59.82     9.29    -0.60     0.09     3.61     0.80P    4.16R    0.62  
Altrincham          9    1  -18      44.00     9.25   -29.90     0.00     0.05     0.00P   49.53R   19.97