Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 18 September 2010 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 September 2010, Aston_Villa vs Bolton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          4   12  +16      90.72     7.63    81.74    72.27    92.73    98.64    99.70    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          5   11  +10      76.43     8.49    46.41     7.25    32.48    71.69    87.07    97.21     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          4    8   +6      82.17     8.09    56.08    19.50    65.93    89.13    96.09    99.49     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        5    8   +2      61.23     8.70    13.96     0.15     1.61     8.17    23.87    58.50     0.13R    0.00  
Newcastle        5    7   +2      55.79     9.34     6.59     0.04     0.54     3.26    10.94    34.36     1.20R    0.12  
Fulham           5    7   +1      48.11     8.37    -6.41     0.00     0.03     0.28     1.60     9.01     5.18R    0.59  
Blackpool        4    7   +0      41.52     9.15   -26.53     0.00     0.02     0.10     0.53     3.14    24.13R    5.35  
Aston_Villa      5    7   -3      53.34     8.68    -2.43     0.01     0.18     1.44     5.47    22.50     1.75R    0.18  
West_Brom        5    7   -4      45.92     9.10   -17.00     0.00     0.03     0.27     1.29     6.90    11.26R    1.96  
Sunderland       5    6   +0      46.25     8.40   -10.36     0.00     0.01     0.15     0.89     6.25     8.43R    1.07  
Birmingham       5    6   -1      44.99     8.35   -12.41     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.66     4.73    10.53R    1.54  
Bolton           5    6   -1      40.87     8.32   -21.99     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.18     1.65    23.41R    4.65  
Man_City         4    5   +2      64.64     9.00    23.56     0.56     4.13    16.19    39.39    73.29     0.07R    0.00  
Blackburn        5    5   -1      42.99     8.25   -14.59     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.37     2.85    15.63R    2.60  
Wolverhampton    5    5   -2      37.17     8.01   -24.93     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.53    38.81R   10.13  
Liverpool        4    5   -2      62.74     8.71    15.00     0.23     2.25     9.99    29.17    64.92     0.10R    0.01  
Stoke            5    4   -3      39.68     8.07   -17.84     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.13     1.13    26.42R    5.45  
Wigan            4    4   -9      28.40     7.63   -55.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    81.06R   50.90  
Everton          5    2   -3      49.55     8.72    -1.06     0.00     0.04     0.47     2.58    13.04     4.39R    0.59  
West_Ham         5    1  -10      35.60     8.40   -32.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.48    47.48R   14.87  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 September 2010, Barnsley vs Derby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR               7   19  +17      81.33    10.51    30.64    28.93    46.73    80.28    54.83P    0.08R    0.00  
Ipswich           7   14   +4      65.13    10.15     0.67     1.60     4.54    22.93     8.11P    3.98R    0.64  
Cardiff           7   13   +6      79.52    10.39    26.71    22.37    39.35    75.40    50.25P    0.11R    0.01  
Norwich           7   13   +2      69.88    11.07     7.06     5.81    12.58    40.22    19.06P    2.19R    0.33  
Watford           7   12   +7      68.12    10.55    10.75     3.80     9.22    34.24    14.91P    2.39R    0.42  
Swansea           7   12   +3      66.78     9.53     6.31     1.90     5.27    27.18    10.88P    1.94R    0.21  
Doncaster         7   12   +2      66.44    10.17     3.61     2.24     5.87    27.47    10.75P    2.98R    0.43  
Burnley           7   11   +3      74.30    11.56    18.52    12.76    24.14    56.50    33.36P    1.01R    0.14  
Millwall          7   11   +2      64.13    10.92     1.20     1.91     4.89    22.25     8.85P    6.21R    1.20  
Barnsley          7   11   +1      57.44    10.17   -10.95     0.27     0.90     7.61     2.00P   16.34R    3.95  
Coventry          7   11   +1      57.27    10.08   -10.28     0.28     0.91     7.14     1.96P   16.15R    3.70  
Leeds_United      7   11   +0      64.88    10.96     0.49     2.18     5.59    24.35     9.85P    5.55R    1.13  
Middlesbrough     7   10   -3      65.35    10.16     0.21     1.56     4.52    23.74     9.00P    3.89R    0.67  
Sheff_Utd         7   10   -5      62.11    10.12    -6.72     0.82     2.42    14.95     5.07P    7.10R    1.34  
Reading           7    9   +1      66.69    10.54     7.14     2.78     7.02    29.50    12.48P    3.21R    0.57  
Scunthorpe        7    9   +1      56.40    10.32   -10.24     0.27     0.82     6.53     1.71P   18.93R    5.16  
Nott'm_Forest     7    8   +0      73.88     9.94    18.39     8.58    19.07    56.27    31.75P    0.42R    0.03  
Hull              7    8   -4      60.59    10.79    -5.11     0.71     2.24    13.66     4.82P   10.92R    2.66  
Crystal_Palace    7    7   -4      55.71     9.85   -10.59     0.13     0.50     4.92     1.46P   19.73R    5.06  
Derby             7    5   -4      52.14    10.08   -13.86     0.07     0.20     2.80     0.76P   31.67R   10.25  
Bristol_City      7    5   -6      48.88     9.92   -21.57     0.02     0.11     1.34     0.35P   44.51R   17.78  
Leicester         7    5   -6      62.70    10.20     0.68     0.87     2.76    17.12     6.68P    6.56R    1.26  
Preston           7    3   -9      44.96    10.08   -29.22     0.00     0.03     0.51     0.11P   61.07R   31.87  
Portsmouth        7    2   -9      51.87    10.53   -13.85     0.11     0.32     3.09     0.99P   33.06R   11.18  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 September 2010, Brentford vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Huddersfield      7   14   +6      82.22    10.69    29.84    28.27    44.88    78.30    54.03P    0.08R    0.00  
Peterborough      7   13   +6      73.10    11.49    16.05     8.76    17.56    47.84    24.39P    1.56R    0.10  
Carlisle          7   13   +6      69.98    10.54    11.07     4.13     9.66    36.04    15.06P    2.05R    0.09  
MK_Dons           7   13   +0      63.36    10.35    -5.57     0.90     2.61    15.37     4.82P    7.62R    0.63  
Rochdale          7   12   +4      67.87    11.36     7.07     3.72     8.27    30.09    12.81P    4.21R    0.35  
Oldham            7   12   +2      56.20     9.68   -10.77     0.14     0.43     4.13     0.99P   20.26R    2.20  
Bournemouth       7   11   +8      64.57    11.04     7.95     1.74     4.43    21.04     7.84P    6.49R    0.45  
Brighton          6   11   +3      66.54    10.64     4.03     2.10     5.50    24.78     9.35P    4.14R    0.29  
Colchester        7   11   +2      72.52    10.31    14.04     6.11    13.36    45.01    21.32P    0.99R    0.03  
Charlton          7   11   +1      75.35    10.38    17.51     9.61    20.13    56.09    30.06P    0.53R    0.02  
Sheff_Wed         7   10   +5      74.68    11.24    21.93    10.90    21.17    54.07    30.95P    1.02R    0.05  
Notts_County      7   10   -1      73.72    11.21    14.39     8.83    17.97    49.83    27.23P    1.33R    0.05  
Swindon           7    9   +0      69.79    10.57    11.13     4.02     9.42    35.72    16.06P    2.13R    0.14  
Exeter            6    9   -1      55.89    10.27   -13.45     0.16     0.52     4.64     1.12P   22.79R    3.13  
Bristol_Rovers    7    9   -3      55.14    10.25   -15.70     0.14     0.45     3.96     1.03P   25.14R    3.38  
Plymouth          6    8   -2      66.88    11.24     4.08     2.90     6.63    26.61    11.43P    4.91R    0.36  
Yeovil            7    7   -6      53.59    10.25   -16.86     0.10     0.32     2.97     0.78P   30.32R    4.41  
Walsall           7    6   -3      56.19    10.55    -8.98     0.26     0.66     5.38     1.59P   22.43R    3.14  
Brentford         7    6   -4      57.26    10.06    -6.65     0.20     0.65     5.62     1.77P   17.67R    1.99  
Hartlepool        7    6   -5      52.77    10.37   -16.30     0.09     0.26     2.67     0.70P   33.20R    5.90  
Tranmere          7    6   -5      43.16     9.43   -30.58     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P   71.05R   23.62  
Southampton       7    5   -2      72.84    10.44    20.06     6.85    14.96    47.71    26.14P    0.96R    0.05  
Leyton_Orient     7    4   -4      51.10    10.26   -14.31     0.04     0.14     1.83     0.47P   38.52R    7.10  
Dag_&_Red         6    4   -7      39.42    10.21   -39.97     0.00     0.01     0.15     0.03P   80.60R   42.52  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 September 2010, Aldershot vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Shrewsbury            7   16   +8      74.61    10.11    16.02    11.45    33.09    65.34    40.57P    0.11R    0.01  
Port_Vale             7   16   +8      80.66    10.03    24.80    27.33    57.30    83.94    64.75P    0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield          7   15   +9      71.67    10.46    13.91     7.78    24.32    54.02    31.13P    0.26R    0.06  
Torquay               7   14   +7      77.04    10.25    21.42    17.19    42.78    73.53    50.94P    0.05R    0.01  
Rotherham             7   14   +6      71.29    10.26    11.92     6.89    22.81    52.46    29.78P    0.24R    0.06  
Accrington_Stanley    7   11   +6      63.95    10.30     5.28     1.83     7.79    26.47    11.62P    1.87R    0.67  
Burton_Albion         7   10   +3      63.97    10.43     3.26     1.84     8.20    26.67    12.23P    2.03R    0.67  
Cheltenham            7   10   -4      54.91    10.10   -18.64     0.16     1.08     6.37     1.86P   11.79R    5.03  
Crewe                 7    9   +8      65.07    10.56    11.60     2.60    10.69    31.29    15.61P    1.55R    0.49  
Oxford_Utd            7    9   +4      60.70    10.09     3.15     0.79     4.03    16.95     7.12P    3.50R    1.23  
Bury                  7    9   -2      58.43    10.06    -8.01     0.44     2.52    11.75     4.31P    5.74R    2.10  
Stockport             7    9   -3      51.37    10.24   -19.71     0.09     0.66     3.58     1.16P   20.55R    9.80  
Wycombe               7    8   +1      70.42    10.91    14.58     7.15    22.17    50.07    30.56P    0.55R    0.16  
Aldershot             7    8   +0      68.10    10.16    10.09     3.48    14.46    40.64    21.32P    0.73R    0.24  
Stevenage             7    7   +0      66.09    10.40     8.77     2.67    11.31    34.05    18.30P    1.20R    0.40  
Southend              7    7   -2      66.11    10.90     6.63     3.06    12.34    34.62    18.43P    1.68R    0.62  
Northampton           7    7   -4      63.83    10.17     1.32     1.49     7.08    24.91    11.47P    1.94R    0.66  
Lincoln_City          7    7   -5      47.31     9.27   -23.12     0.01     0.07     0.91     0.21P   31.74R   16.00  
Bradford              7    7   -6      56.27    10.05   -12.22     0.22     1.50     8.04     2.79P    8.80R    3.74  
Gillingham            7    6   -1      64.99    10.61     7.58     2.44    10.03    30.53    16.20P    1.71R    0.55  
Morecambe             7    6   -6      61.66    10.59    -2.95     1.05     5.33    19.84     8.53P    3.99R    1.53  
Macclesfield          7    5   -8      49.24     9.59   -21.12     0.02     0.18     1.75     0.44P   25.15R   12.39  
Hereford              7    5   -9      49.33     9.74   -22.08     0.02     0.24     1.85     0.56P   25.39R   12.82  
Barnet                7    5  -10      43.47     9.37   -32.50     0.00     0.03     0.42     0.09P   49.43R   30.76  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 September 2010, Barrow vs Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town        9   20   +8      69.69     9.56     6.79     1.50    21.43     4.63P    0.24R    0.01  
AFC_Wimbledon       9   19   +8      82.24     9.75    27.97    15.79    70.10    29.10P    0.00R    0.00  
Tamworth            9   18   +4      68.88     9.53     4.67     1.02    18.75     3.63P    0.43R    0.04  
Luton               9   17   +7      90.23     9.27    44.29    49.07    91.80    64.33P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town      9   17   +6      71.67    10.90    12.21     3.28    30.68     8.17P    0.51R    0.06  
Mansfield           9   16   +5      74.57     9.86    17.87     4.51    40.14    11.69P    0.09R    0.00  
Darlington          9   14   +5      64.47     9.93     5.19     0.53    10.81     2.44P    1.48R    0.21  
Newport_County      9   14   +4      64.47    10.59     4.18     0.67    11.88     2.64P    2.37R    0.31  
Barrow              9   13   +5      58.50     9.60    -3.85     0.12     3.33     0.56P    5.19R    0.76  
York                9   13   +5      78.34     9.27    26.80     7.86    56.53    23.23P    0.01R    0.00  
Grimsby             9   13   -1      73.09    10.16    13.32     3.44    34.27    11.05P    0.20R    0.01  
Southport           9   12   +0      55.96    10.17    -9.96     0.05     2.32     0.45P   10.39R    2.02  
Kidderminster       9   12   -2      63.91     9.81    -0.64     0.43     9.11     2.10P    1.89R    0.26  
Eastbourne_Boro     9   11   +2      49.60     9.40   -20.33     0.01     0.36     0.05P   25.00R    6.24  
Wrexham             9   11   -1      64.37     9.28     3.66     0.30     8.99     2.04P    1.12R    0.11  
Rushden_&_D'mnds    9   11   -1      79.54     9.45    27.84    10.08    61.69    26.63P    0.01R    0.00  
Gateshead           9   11   -5      49.79     9.16   -24.79     0.00     0.29     0.04P   24.46R    6.36  
Cambridge_Utd       9   10   +3      68.95     9.68    16.05     1.20    20.85     5.72P    0.43R    0.04  
Forest_Green        9    9   -5      46.71     9.15   -27.57     0.00     0.12     0.01P   36.21R   10.91  
Histon              9    8   -6      45.49     9.11   -27.91     0.00     0.07     0.01P   41.24R   13.95  
Kettering           9    7   -4      62.24     9.39     3.48     0.14     6.19     1.45P    2.17R    0.26  
Bath_City           9    7   -7      44.82    10.06   -28.88     0.01     0.19     0.03P   45.24R   17.75  
Hayes_&_Yeading     9    7  -12      43.32     9.43   -39.82     0.00     0.06     0.01P   52.35R   21.39  
Altrincham          9    1  -18      43.70     9.24   -30.57     0.00     0.03     0.01P   48.99R   19.30