Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 17 September 2010 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 13 September 2010, Stoke vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          4   12  +16      90.77     7.69    82.24    71.65    92.03    98.52    99.60    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          4   10  +10      77.61     8.70    48.08     9.10    36.86    75.51    88.97    97.51     0.00R    0.00  
Man_Utd          4    8   +6      82.04     8.07    55.93    18.33    63.01    89.08    96.20    99.45     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        4    7   +0      41.66     9.16   -26.37     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.50     3.14    23.36R    5.24  
Birmingham       4    6   +1      46.65     8.49    -9.62     0.00     0.03     0.19     1.11     6.74     7.80R    1.03  
Fulham           4    6   +1      48.16     8.55    -6.98     0.00     0.02     0.29     1.70     9.25     5.60R    0.74  
Aston_Villa      4    6   -3      55.34     8.78     0.14     0.02     0.30     2.16     8.49    30.15     1.09R    0.11  
Man_City         4    5   +2      64.37     8.98    23.14     0.48     3.72    14.51    38.20    71.68     0.06R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    4    5   +0      38.03     8.12   -23.63     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.72    34.69R    8.28  
Sunderland       4    5   +0      45.95     8.71   -11.80     0.00     0.02     0.23     1.05     6.12     9.77R    1.35  
Tottenham        4    5   +0      60.37     9.01    13.18     0.17     1.45     6.85    21.35    54.07     0.29R    0.01  
Bolton           4    5   -1      39.96     8.60   -24.68     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.22     1.74    27.80R    6.23  
Liverpool        4    5   -2      62.67     8.70    14.84     0.21     2.07     9.28    28.93    64.22     0.09R    0.00  
Newcastle        4    4   +1      52.69     9.60     3.04     0.03     0.29     1.84     6.92    23.63     2.90R    0.37  
Blackburn        4    4   -1      44.12     8.55   -13.44     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.54     3.95    13.44R    2.22  
West_Brom        4    4   -6      43.10     9.29   -21.11     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.70     4.23    18.99R    4.03  
Wigan            4    4   -9      28.54     7.59   -55.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    80.66R   49.42  
Stoke            4    3   -3      41.04     8.36   -16.33     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.21     1.82    22.02R    4.38  
Everton          4    2   -2      52.21     9.09     2.13     0.01     0.17     1.22     5.19    21.10     2.76R    0.34  
West_Ham         4    0  -10      35.38     8.63   -33.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.49    48.67R   16.25  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 17 September 2010, Doncaster vs Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR               6   16  +15      77.64    10.62    25.46    16.72    31.83    68.76    40.63P    0.27R    0.04  
Cardiff           6   13   +8      82.87    10.57    32.20    32.96    51.43    83.63    61.26P    0.06R    0.01  
Doncaster         7   12   +2      66.62    10.31     3.78     2.21     5.85    28.10    10.73P    3.34R    0.56  
Millwall          6   11   +7      71.01    11.26    14.97     6.89    14.84    44.85    22.54P    1.89R    0.33  
Ipswich           6   11   +2      61.64    10.23    -4.40     0.76     2.24    14.35     4.46P    8.31R    1.75  
Leeds_United      7   11   +0      65.18    11.04     0.77     2.24     5.74    24.89     9.93P    5.62R    1.31  
Burnley           6   10   +3      74.74    11.67    18.83    12.89    24.49    57.91    33.59P    1.15R    0.22  
Barnsley          6   10   +1      58.76    10.48    -9.79     0.48     1.51     9.96     2.93P   14.44R    3.88  
Norwich           6   10   +1      67.10    11.39     4.06     3.68     8.56    31.31    13.87P    4.48R    1.05  
Scunthorpe        6    9   +3      58.05    10.61    -8.03     0.38     1.35     9.32     2.75P   16.27R    4.51  
Reading           6    9   +3      69.02    10.77    10.79     4.10     9.88    37.56    16.69P    2.28R    0.42  
Watford           6    9   +2      61.92    10.62    -1.81     1.00     2.92    16.28     5.79P    8.67R    1.99  
Swansea           6    9   +1      64.73     9.64     3.84     1.12     3.34    20.73     7.51P    3.43R    0.51  
Coventry          6    8   +0      54.46    10.13   -13.53     0.13     0.48     4.36     1.16P   24.82R    7.45  
Nott'm_Forest     6    7   +0      74.57    10.13    19.18     9.31    20.56    58.45    33.23P    0.50R    0.07  
Hull              6    7   -4      61.05    11.20    -5.24     1.07     3.00    15.30     5.92P   11.27R    2.96  
Middlesbrough     6    7   -5      62.89    10.36    -3.03     0.95     2.91    17.36     6.32P    6.98R    1.48  
Sheff_Utd         6    7   -6      60.42    10.37    -8.18     0.56     1.72    12.21     4.00P   10.64R    2.50  
Crystal_Palace    6    6   -4      56.32    10.28   -10.69     0.23     0.75     6.29     1.85P   19.43R    5.46  
Leicester         6    5   -4      66.40    10.35     6.16     2.05     5.58    27.82    11.74P    3.49R    0.63  
Bristol_City      6    5   -5      51.58    10.28   -18.89     0.06     0.21     2.48     0.63P   35.53R   13.16  
Derby             6    4   -4      51.95    10.19   -15.16     0.05     0.25     2.69     0.78P   33.23R   11.84  
Preston           6    3   -8      46.73    10.31   -28.23     0.01     0.05     0.88     0.17P   54.55R   27.61  
Portsmouth        6    2   -8      53.35    10.82   -13.05     0.15     0.51     4.53     1.50P   29.34R   10.25  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 15 September 2010, MK_Dons vs Southampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Peterborough      6   12   +6      73.46    12.02    15.97     9.66    18.62    48.51    25.47P    1.85R    0.16  
Carlisle          6   12   +6      70.99    10.90    11.99     5.14    11.40    39.11    17.04P    1.86R    0.12  
MK_Dons           6   12   +0      64.08    10.65    -5.12     1.20     3.21    17.22     5.51P    7.16R    0.68  
Bournemouth       6   11   +9      66.91    11.41    10.45     2.87     6.77    27.51    11.20P    4.82R    0.40  
Huddersfield      6   11   +4      80.66    10.97    27.74    22.40    37.87    73.20    47.69P    0.25R    0.03  
Rochdale          6   11   +4      67.78    11.66     6.29     3.79     8.14    29.71    12.69P    4.75R    0.46  
Sheff_Wed         6   10   +6      76.37    11.31    23.32    13.47    24.61    59.23    34.59P    0.68R    0.05  
Brighton          5   10   +3      66.27    10.84     2.94     2.07     5.23    23.72     8.83P    4.80R    0.42  
Colchester        6   10   +2      72.63    10.65    13.65     6.31    13.52    44.86    21.16P    1.20R    0.08  
Charlton          6   10   +1      76.70    10.66    19.02    12.10    23.88    59.97    34.27P    0.36R    0.02  
Oldham            6    9   +1      54.01     9.87   -12.49     0.07     0.25     2.73     0.65P   27.34R    4.06  
Exeter            5    8   -1      55.69    10.46   -14.18     0.14     0.55     4.66     1.21P   23.41R    3.68  
Notts_County      6    7   -2      72.57    11.36    14.15     7.18    15.04    45.25    24.11P    1.70R    0.12  
Yeovil            6    7   -4      54.62    10.49   -15.24     0.14     0.42     3.89     1.10P   26.73R    4.45  
Swindon           6    6   -1      67.53    10.86     9.06     2.65     6.43    28.33    11.88P    3.95R    0.36  
Walsall           6    6   -2      58.39    10.76    -6.64     0.40     1.19     7.93     2.46P   16.92R    2.37  
Bristol_Rovers    6    6   -6      51.22    10.51   -22.51     0.05     0.19     1.97     0.46P   39.46R    9.04  
Plymouth          5    5   -3      63.89    11.45     1.16     1.70     3.99    18.80     7.56P    8.37R    1.02  
Brentford         6    5   -4      58.37    10.41    -5.77     0.25     0.92     7.11     2.24P   15.92R    2.16  
Hartlepool        6    5   -5      52.51    10.58   -17.56     0.08     0.23     2.61     0.69P   34.39R    7.07  
Tranmere          6    5   -5      43.07     9.73   -31.35     0.00     0.01     0.23     0.03P   70.69R   27.43  
Southampton       6    4   -2      73.80    10.70    21.17     8.25    17.27    50.59    28.44P    0.91R    0.05  
Leyton_Orient     6    4   -3      51.90    10.46   -14.01     0.07     0.20     2.18     0.55P   35.45R    7.28  
Dag_&_Red         5    4   -4      43.64    10.99   -32.04     0.02     0.06     0.70     0.16P   67.02R   28.52  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 17 September 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Torquay               6   13   +7      76.87    10.49    20.77    18.91    43.52    72.41    51.25P    0.05R    0.01  
Shrewsbury            6   13   +6      71.99    10.30    12.55     8.64    25.69    54.78    32.49P    0.30R    0.07  
Port_Vale             6   13   +5      77.26    10.29    19.25    18.91    44.43    73.82    52.30P    0.04R    0.01  
Chesterfield          6   12   +6      68.97    10.64     9.30     5.75    18.40    43.78    24.26P    0.70R    0.22  
Accrington_Stanley    7   11   +6      63.95    10.14     5.17     1.81     7.75    25.99    11.50P    2.00R    0.71  
Rotherham             6   11   +3      67.87    10.31     6.34     4.23    14.83    39.21    20.56P    0.73R    0.23  
Cheltenham            6   10   -1      57.18    10.34   -14.36     0.43     2.40    10.06     3.57P    8.47R    3.63  
Oxford_Utd            6    9   +5      63.81    10.30     6.44     2.01     8.07    25.99    12.47P    2.02R    0.68  
Burton_Albion         6    9   +3      65.02    10.67     4.21     2.89    10.77    30.24    15.03P    1.98R    0.66  
Crewe                 6    8   +8      65.09    10.84    10.83     3.19    11.62    31.61    16.30P    1.91R    0.68  
Bury                  6    8   -2      60.01    10.32    -6.39     0.74     3.90    15.25     6.21P    5.03R    1.90  
Wycombe               6    7   +1      70.47    11.22    14.29     8.39    23.72    50.01    31.45P    0.73R    0.25  
Aldershot             6    7   +0      69.31    10.46    11.39     5.37    18.63    45.23    25.74P    0.64R    0.20  
Southend              6    7   -1      69.13    11.15    10.15     6.27    19.88    44.97    26.91P    0.96R    0.32  
Northampton           6    7   -2      65.97    10.29     4.50     2.69    10.85    32.36    15.96P    1.40R    0.49  
Lincoln_City          7    7   -5      47.46     9.23   -23.14     0.01     0.09     0.93     0.24P   32.27R   16.89  
Gillingham            6    6   +0      67.68    10.92    10.47     5.01    16.29    40.06    23.41P    1.20R    0.42  
Stevenage             6    6   +0      66.91    10.47     9.37     3.77    13.66    36.65    20.44P    1.08R    0.35  
Stockport             6    6   -4      48.10    10.37   -23.66     0.06     0.35     2.18     0.69P   32.33R   18.28  
Macclesfield          6    5   -5      52.13     9.98   -15.80     0.06     0.57     3.71     1.17P   18.32R    8.41  
Barnet                6    5   -7      46.58     9.57   -26.43     0.01     0.12     0.96     0.26P   37.01R   20.44  
Bradford              6    4   -7      53.77    10.28   -14.78     0.19     1.07     5.73     1.99P   14.60R    6.82  
Hereford              6    4   -9      48.83     9.81   -23.61     0.03     0.18     1.59     0.43P   28.49R   14.97  
Morecambe             6    3   -7      58.22    10.66    -6.87     0.64     3.21    12.48     5.36P    7.73R    3.38  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 17 September 2010, Luton vs AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon       9   19   +8      82.24     9.80    27.88    14.86    69.63    27.90P    0.01R    0.00  
Luton               9   17   +7      90.30     9.35    44.21    47.12    91.58    62.61P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        8   17   +7      69.01     9.72     7.18     1.15    19.73     4.10P    0.42R    0.04  
Mansfield           8   16   +6      76.37    10.13    19.58     6.32    46.85    14.38P    0.10R    0.01  
Tamworth            8   15   +3      66.66     9.72     2.90     0.68    13.28     2.58P    0.88R    0.09  
Fleetwood_Town      8   14   +5      67.92    11.14     7.80     1.57    20.14     4.68P    1.50R    0.23  
Darlington          8   13   +5      65.06    10.08     5.58     0.69    11.87     2.84P    1.59R    0.19  
Grimsby             8   13   +0      76.31    10.34    17.09     6.04    45.94    15.81P    0.09R    0.01  
Newport_County      8   11   +3      61.65    11.20     1.26     0.47     8.76     2.01P    5.27R    1.09  
Southport           8   11   +0      55.87    10.34   -10.26     0.07     2.51     0.47P   11.59R    2.47  
Kidderminster       8   11   -2      64.40     9.98    -0.46     0.51     9.83     2.23P    1.98R    0.24  
Gateshead           8   11   -4      50.81     9.30   -24.08     0.00     0.46     0.05P   22.61R    5.82  
York                8   10   +3      78.23     9.51    27.39     7.54    55.51    22.80P    0.02R    0.00  
Barrow              8   10   +2      56.00     9.91    -8.30     0.04     2.11     0.35P   10.11R    1.99  
Wrexham             8   10   -1      63.92     9.46     2.61     0.30     8.43     1.88P    1.46R    0.16  
Rushden_&_D'mnds    8   10   -1      80.21     9.73    27.92    11.03    63.20    27.56P    0.02R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       8    9   +3      69.20    10.11    15.85     1.41    21.95     5.94P    0.62R    0.06  
Forest_Green        8    9   -2      48.80     9.55   -23.19     0.00     0.31     0.05P   29.67R    8.73  
Eastbourne_Boro     8    8   -3      45.23     9.43   -29.92     0.00     0.12     0.01P   44.24R   16.08  
Histon              8    8   -5      47.04     9.33   -26.22     0.00     0.15     0.02P   36.20R   11.62  
Hayes_&_Yeading     8    7  -10      43.65     9.60   -39.97     0.00     0.05     0.00P   52.29R   22.39  
Kettering           8    6   -4      62.93     9.59     3.84     0.19     7.13     1.67P    2.23R    0.33  
Bath_City           8    6   -7      45.33    10.27   -27.95     0.01     0.21     0.03P   44.52R   17.97  
Altrincham          8    1  -13      47.87     9.69   -20.75     0.00     0.25     0.04P   32.58R   10.47