Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 16 September 2010 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 13 September 2010, Stoke vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          4   12  +16      90.79     7.69    82.26    71.28    92.01    98.48    99.59    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          4   10  +10      77.73     8.76    48.41     9.38    37.07    75.68    89.31    97.57     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          4    8   +6      82.04     8.09    55.87    18.42    62.83    88.76    96.10    99.44     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        4    7   +0      41.44     9.12   -26.81     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.51     2.87    24.19R    5.23  
Birmingham       4    6   +1      46.70     8.50    -9.56     0.00     0.02     0.19     1.13     6.93     7.67R    1.00  
Fulham           4    6   +1      47.80     8.57    -7.58     0.00     0.02     0.29     1.67     8.72     5.82R    0.74  
Aston_Villa      4    6   -3      55.51     8.90     0.47     0.04     0.39     2.44     8.98    30.86     1.02R    0.09  
Man_City         4    5   +2      64.44     8.95    23.22     0.49     3.78    14.74    38.57    71.65     0.07R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    4    5   +0      37.89     8.06   -23.94     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.69    34.99R    8.47  
Sunderland       4    5   +0      46.08     8.66   -11.54     0.00     0.02     0.22     1.03     6.35     9.39R    1.30  
Tottenham        4    5   +0      60.29     8.96    13.04     0.12     1.37     6.64    21.14    53.76     0.23R    0.02  
Bolton           4    5   -1      39.89     8.53   -24.88     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.19     1.54    27.65R    6.52  
Liverpool        4    5   -2      62.55     8.78    14.69     0.23     2.04     9.32    28.18    63.85     0.13R    0.01  
Newcastle        4    4   +1      52.75     9.57     3.19     0.03     0.29     1.68     6.74    23.93     2.79R    0.33  
Blackburn        4    4   -1      44.26     8.62   -13.23     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.60     4.25    13.36R    2.12  
West_Brom        4    4   -6      43.34     9.29   -20.74     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.72     4.24    18.45R    3.99  
Wigan            4    4   -9      28.57     7.50   -55.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    80.66R   48.96  
Stoke            4    3   -3      40.85     8.42   -16.69     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.20     1.76    22.86R    4.64  
Everton          4    2   -2      52.33     9.04     2.29     0.01     0.13     1.22     5.23    21.19     2.57R    0.33  
West_Ham         4    0  -10      35.45     8.62   -33.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.43    48.15R   16.25  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 14 September 2010, Barnsley vs Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR               6   16  +15      77.79    10.74    25.73    16.69    31.74    68.75    40.39P    0.29R    0.03  
Cardiff           6   13   +8      82.92    10.61    32.42    32.89    50.95    83.28    60.68P    0.04R    0.00  
Millwall          6   11   +7      71.17    11.15    15.14     6.58    14.46    45.28    21.99P    1.80R    0.33  
Doncaster         6   11   +2      67.81    10.52     4.89     2.94     7.48    31.98    13.06P    2.78R    0.47  
Ipswich           6   11   +2      61.48    10.28    -4.70     0.71     2.14    14.02     4.43P    8.54R    1.85  
Burnley           6   10   +3      74.35    11.74    18.12    11.89    23.35    56.41    32.15P    1.34R    0.24  
Barnsley          6   10   +1      58.58    10.51   -10.25     0.48     1.31     9.48     2.68P   14.95R    4.05  
Norwich           6   10   +1      67.36    11.62     4.48     3.93     8.99    32.16    14.49P    4.60R    1.08  
Leeds_United      6   10   +0      64.50    11.38    -1.10     2.18     5.45    23.39     9.32P    6.93R    1.62  
Scunthorpe        6    9   +3      58.03    10.62    -8.19     0.46     1.26     9.02     2.59P   16.23R    4.46  
Reading           6    9   +3      69.58    10.78    11.61     4.53    10.74    39.12    17.63P    2.09R    0.34  
Watford           6    9   +2      62.00    10.63    -1.80     1.05     2.85    16.23     5.56P    8.64R    2.02  
Swansea           6    9   +1      64.67     9.66     3.69     1.13     3.24    20.14     7.64P    3.62R    0.57  
Coventry          6    8   +0      54.40    10.16   -13.74     0.15     0.46     4.18     1.09P   25.16R    7.81  
Nott'm_Forest     6    7   +0      74.88    10.19    19.71     9.46    21.11    59.29    34.30P    0.45R    0.06  
Hull              6    7   -4      61.10    11.21    -5.12     1.04     2.79    15.35     5.75P   11.48R    2.96  
Middlesbrough     6    7   -5      62.81    10.31    -3.26     0.96     2.77    16.59     6.01P    7.06R    1.56  
Sheff_Utd         6    7   -6      60.60    10.38    -7.92     0.56     1.88    12.27     4.14P   10.58R    2.46  
Crystal_Palace    6    6   -4      56.36    10.25   -10.69     0.20     0.73     6.00     1.73P   19.28R    5.50  
Leicester         6    5   -4      66.03    10.46     5.64     1.89     5.27    26.36    11.15P    3.82R    0.74  
Bristol_City      6    5   -5      51.53    10.21   -19.04     0.05     0.17     2.41     0.61P   35.60R   13.35  
Derby             6    4   -4      52.01    10.18   -15.28     0.06     0.25     2.59     0.69P   33.08R   12.07  
Preston           6    3   -8      46.96    10.28   -27.97     0.01     0.08     0.95     0.22P   53.78R   26.97  
Portsmouth        6    2   -8      53.81    10.76   -12.38     0.16     0.55     4.75     1.67P   27.87R    9.46  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 15 September 2010, MK_Dons vs Southampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Peterborough      6   12   +6      73.49    11.92    16.03     9.63    18.58    48.45    25.27P    1.66R    0.14  
Carlisle          6   12   +6      71.30    10.91    12.44     5.54    11.69    40.23    17.60P    1.78R    0.11  
MK_Dons           6   12   +0      64.02    10.72    -5.21     1.20     3.22    17.24     5.58P    6.96R    0.70  
Bournemouth       6   11   +9      67.03    11.31    10.64     2.80     6.73    27.51    11.11P    4.56R    0.33  
Huddersfield      6   11   +4      80.70    10.98    27.90    22.51    37.84    73.29    47.89P    0.21R    0.01  
Rochdale          6   11   +4      68.03    11.62     6.84     3.80     8.46    30.36    12.99P    4.41R    0.45  
Sheff_Wed         6   10   +6      76.56    11.30    23.58    13.75    25.25    59.87    35.36P    0.67R    0.04  
Brighton          5   10   +3      66.30    10.90     2.95     2.18     5.32    23.38     8.84P    4.62R    0.42  
Colchester        6   10   +2      72.34    10.71    13.31     5.94    13.31    43.78    20.77P    1.28R    0.09  
Charlton          6   10   +1      76.63    10.65    18.86    11.76    23.31    59.78    33.67P    0.38R    0.01  
Oldham            6    9   +1      53.92     9.93   -12.66     0.06     0.23     2.81     0.67P   27.77R    4.17  
Exeter            5    8   -1      55.67    10.45   -14.29     0.19     0.53     4.45     1.16P   23.79R    3.79  
Notts_County      6    7   -2      72.63    11.50    14.17     7.54    15.47    45.32    24.32P    1.76R    0.13  
Yeovil            6    7   -4      54.46    10.36   -15.46     0.11     0.41     3.62     0.96P   27.02R    4.27  
Swindon           6    6   -1      67.80    10.84     9.46     2.77     6.86    28.92    12.40P    3.48R    0.30  
Walsall           6    6   -2      58.14    10.76    -7.08     0.33     0.99     7.64     2.31P   17.33R    2.63  
Bristol_Rovers    6    6   -6      51.12    10.47   -22.71     0.04     0.13     1.89     0.42P   39.65R    9.01  
Plymouth          5    5   -3      63.66    11.53     0.88     1.59     3.95    18.49     7.39P    8.83R    1.15  
Brentford         6    5   -4      58.66    10.33    -5.35     0.30     0.88     7.37     2.28P   15.03R    1.87  
Hartlepool        6    5   -5      52.56    10.46   -17.43     0.07     0.24     2.51     0.62P   33.81R    6.90  
Tranmere          6    5   -5      42.79     9.63   -31.75     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.03P   71.84R   28.18  
Southampton       6    4   -2      73.67    10.61    20.86     7.79    16.30    49.93    27.61P    0.91R    0.05  
Leyton_Orient     6    4   -3      52.00    10.43   -13.88     0.06     0.22     2.36     0.61P   35.12R    6.82  
Dag_&_Red         5    4   -4      43.62    10.94   -32.09     0.03     0.07     0.58     0.14P   67.12R   28.46  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 September 2010, Cheltenham vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Torquay               6   13   +7      77.04    10.56    21.03    19.13    44.18    72.99    51.74P    0.08R    0.03  
Shrewsbury            6   13   +6      71.92    10.35    12.48     8.47    25.34    54.99    32.19P    0.31R    0.10  
Port_Vale             6   13   +5      77.43    10.27    19.40    19.15    45.00    74.72    52.78P    0.04R    0.00  
Chesterfield          6   12   +6      69.57    10.66    10.20     6.21    19.87    46.51    25.89P    0.64R    0.19  
Rotherham             6   11   +3      68.01    10.31     6.56     4.15    15.24    40.14    21.06P    0.75R    0.22  
Cheltenham            6   10   -1      57.10    10.37   -14.45     0.44     2.32    10.17     3.58P    9.13R    3.91  
Oxford_Utd            6    9   +5      63.52    10.46     6.03     2.02     7.94    25.57    12.25P    2.31R    0.80  
Burton_Albion         6    9   +3      65.08    10.69     4.29     2.92    10.95    30.80    15.29P    1.94R    0.69  
Crewe                 6    8   +8      65.11    10.97    10.88     3.36    11.78    32.12    16.55P    2.19R    0.82  
Accrington_Stanley    6    8   +3      61.38    10.52     0.72     1.21     5.55    19.44     8.34P    4.10R    1.53  
Bury                  6    8   -2      59.75    10.30    -6.74     0.73     3.72    14.72     5.89P    5.38R    2.12  
Wycombe               6    7   +1      70.35    11.09    14.05     8.05    23.46    50.07    31.11P    0.78R    0.26  
Aldershot             6    7   +0      69.06    10.42    11.03     5.11    17.95    44.65    25.17P    0.70R    0.21  
Southend              6    7   -1      69.22    11.35    10.31     6.77    20.33    45.53    27.35P    1.09R    0.39  
Lincoln_City          6    7   -2      49.62     9.60   -18.70     0.04     0.24     2.01     0.55P   25.16R   12.64  
Northampton           6    7   -2      65.73    10.31     4.14     2.51    10.38    31.79    15.76P    1.52R    0.51  
Gillingham            6    6   +0      67.85    10.98    10.72     5.01    16.79    40.97    24.14P    1.20R    0.39  
Stevenage             6    6   +0      66.77    10.62     9.20     3.82    13.67    36.29    20.62P    1.15R    0.33  
Stockport             6    6   -4      47.92    10.37   -23.89     0.03     0.31     1.99     0.56P   33.41R   19.15  
Macclesfield          6    5   -5      51.97     9.94   -15.95     0.06     0.52     3.60     1.14P   18.75R    8.85  
Barnet                6    5   -7      46.63     9.63   -26.18     0.01     0.11     1.07     0.27P   37.18R   21.03  
Bradford              6    4   -7      53.76    10.27   -14.72     0.20     1.08     5.56     2.00P   15.18R    6.92  
Hereford              6    4   -9      48.88     9.93   -23.48     0.04     0.23     1.83     0.51P   29.16R   15.61  
Morecambe             6    3   -7      58.16    10.59    -6.93     0.57     3.04    12.47     5.25P    7.85R    3.30  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 September 2010, AFC_Wimbledon vs Bath_City; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon       8   19  +11      84.14     9.90    31.63    22.22    75.96    35.32P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town        8   17   +7      69.08     9.77     7.39     1.34    19.72     4.38P    0.43R    0.04  
Mansfield           8   16   +6      76.45    10.17    19.71     7.16    46.52    14.91P    0.08R    0.01  
Tamworth            8   15   +3      66.24     9.72     2.28     0.56    12.15     2.16P    1.09R    0.12  
Fleetwood_Town      8   14   +5      67.57    11.21     7.32     1.74    19.13     4.95P    1.61R    0.25  
Luton               8   14   +4      87.65     9.68    39.16    36.10    85.84    52.59P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington          8   13   +5      65.16    10.17     5.81     0.74    12.23     2.97P    1.53R    0.19  
Grimsby             8   13   +0      76.04    10.39    16.67     6.28    45.11    15.76P    0.11R    0.01  
Newport_County      8   11   +3      61.50    11.06     0.96     0.46     8.11     1.69P    5.19R    1.02  
Southport           8   11   +0      56.09    10.45    -9.81     0.09     2.58     0.46P   11.23R    2.51  
Kidderminster       8   11   -2      65.02    10.18     0.50     0.61    11.63     2.49P    1.88R    0.24  
Gateshead           8   11   -4      50.75     9.41   -24.06     0.01     0.46     0.05P   22.72R    5.71  
York                8   10   +3      78.44     9.51    27.69     8.61    55.98    23.59P    0.03R    0.00  
Barrow              8   10   +2      56.08     9.89    -8.12     0.07     2.12     0.32P    9.84R    1.88  
Wrexham             8   10   -1      64.20     9.57     2.97     0.39     8.87     2.05P    1.51R    0.16  
Rushden_&_D'mnds    8   10   -1      80.32     9.69    28.05    11.87    63.07    28.19P    0.01R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       8    9   +3      69.13    10.15    15.76     1.50    21.85     6.14P    0.69R    0.09  
Forest_Green        8    9   -2      48.65     9.52   -23.29     0.00     0.34     0.03P   30.02R    8.61  
Eastbourne_Boro     8    8   -3      45.27     9.46   -29.66     0.00     0.12     0.02P   43.98R   15.91  
Histon              8    8   -5      47.21     9.50   -25.89     0.00     0.20     0.02P   35.83R   11.33  
Hayes_&_Yeading     8    7  -10      43.55     9.65   -40.03     0.00     0.08     0.01P   52.21R   22.22  
Kettering           8    6   -4      63.08     9.66     4.06     0.24     7.49     1.84P    2.08R    0.28  
Bath_City           8    6   -7      44.94    10.31   -28.51     0.00     0.20     0.02P   45.58R   18.87  
Altrincham          8    1  -13      47.98     9.75   -20.61     0.00     0.23     0.04P   32.34R   10.55