Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 14 September 2010 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 13 September 2010, Stoke vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          4   12  +16      90.64     7.67    81.81    71.16    91.85    98.47    99.63    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          4   10  +10      77.73     8.72    48.46     9.48    37.30    75.55    88.93    97.57     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          4    8   +6      81.98     8.06    55.79    18.52    62.59    88.87    96.03    99.44     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        4    7   +0      41.45     9.14   -26.76     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.48     2.78    24.23R    5.37  
Birmingham       4    6   +1      46.87     8.46    -9.20     0.00     0.03     0.19     1.12     6.99     7.17R    0.95  
Fulham           4    6   +1      48.20     8.53    -6.96     0.01     0.03     0.30     1.76     9.40     5.35R    0.69  
Aston_Villa      4    6   -3      55.40     8.86     0.33     0.01     0.32     2.26     8.70    30.56     0.97R    0.07  
Man_City         4    5   +2      64.44     8.96    23.25     0.43     3.87    14.65    38.46    71.93     0.10R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    4    5   +0      37.92     8.10   -23.85     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.69    35.08R    8.48  
Sunderland       4    5   +0      45.82     8.61   -12.05     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.81     5.84     9.79R    1.31  
Tottenham        4    5   +0      60.52     8.88    13.42     0.11     1.41     6.80    21.66    54.50     0.24R    0.01  
Bolton           4    5   -1      40.00     8.51   -24.56     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.18     1.61    27.14R    6.23  
Liverpool        4    5   -2      62.65     8.78    14.83     0.24     2.11     9.54    28.82    64.07     0.10R    0.01  
Newcastle        4    4   +1      52.59     9.60     2.94     0.02     0.27     1.75     6.76    23.41     3.07R    0.35  
Blackburn        4    4   -1      44.13     8.54   -13.41     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.57     4.03    13.39R    2.25  
West_Brom        4    4   -6      43.15     9.34   -21.09     0.00     0.02     0.14     0.79     4.22    19.12R    4.11  
Wigan            4    4   -9      28.55     7.52   -55.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    80.82R   49.30  
Stoke            4    3   -3      40.93     8.33   -16.54     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.22     1.64    22.13R    4.60  
Everton          4    2   -2      52.33     9.00     2.33     0.02     0.16     1.13     4.96    20.91     2.70R    0.33  
West_Ham         4    0  -10      35.41     8.57   -33.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.40    48.59R   15.94  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 14 September 2010, Barnsley vs Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR               6   16  +15      76.61    10.73    23.80    13.94    26.85    63.54    35.25P    0.29R    0.03  
Cardiff           6   13   +8      81.77    10.70    30.45    27.76    44.96    79.37    55.00P    0.08R    0.00  
Millwall          6   11   +7      75.79    11.16    22.51    12.88    24.96    60.53    34.80P    0.60R    0.08  
Doncaster         6   11   +2      67.09    10.54     3.73     2.32     6.17    28.50    10.79P    2.98R    0.53  
Ipswich           6   11   +2      60.82    10.28    -5.82     0.58     1.76    12.12     3.69P    9.09R    1.96  
Burnley           6   10   +3      73.64    11.68    16.91    10.51    20.31    52.25    28.80P    1.26R    0.22  
Barnsley          6   10   +1      58.22    10.44   -10.82     0.39     1.14     8.18     2.30P   14.70R    3.81  
Norwich           6   10   +1      72.26    11.60    12.55     8.19    16.77    47.59    24.97P    1.67R    0.33  
Leeds_United      6   10   +0      69.50    11.47     7.04     5.00    10.94    37.71    17.43P    2.76R    0.50  
Scunthorpe        6    9   +3      57.61    10.58    -9.01     0.31     1.00     7.95     2.17P   16.07R    4.46  
Reading           6    9   +3      68.63    10.73    10.06     3.69     8.75    34.38    14.84P    2.19R    0.38  
Watford           6    9   +2      61.75    10.59    -2.16     0.87     2.46    14.84     4.82P    8.27R    1.87  
Swansea           6    9   +1      64.49     9.70     3.46     1.03     2.98    18.75     6.66P    3.39R    0.54  
Coventry          6    8   +0      53.73    10.23   -14.83     0.09     0.36     3.54     0.83P   26.18R    8.12  
Nott'm_Forest     6    7   +0      74.88    10.12    19.66     8.81    19.65    58.24    32.50P    0.33R    0.03  
Hull              6    7   -4      60.54    11.07    -6.16     0.76     2.14    13.04     4.49P   11.36R    3.06  
Middlesbrough     6    7   -5      61.97    10.30    -4.49     0.70     2.11    14.02     4.70P    7.56R    1.66  
Sheff_Utd         6    7   -6      59.69    10.31    -9.37     0.38     1.27     9.89     3.13P   11.26R    2.54  
Crystal_Palace    6    6   -4      55.24    10.08   -12.45     0.11     0.41     4.36     1.18P   20.79R    6.02  
Leicester         6    5   -4      65.15    10.30     4.29     1.47     4.17    22.46     9.15P    3.96R    0.75  
Bristol_City      6    5   -5      51.34    10.22   -19.45     0.04     0.23     2.25     0.61P   34.90R   12.62  
Derby             6    4   -4      51.08    10.12   -16.65     0.03     0.18     2.04     0.53P   35.28R   12.59  
Preston           6    3   -8      46.23    10.32   -29.32     0.02     0.05     0.83     0.19P   55.19R   27.39  
Portsmouth        6    2   -8      52.82    10.82   -13.94     0.10     0.39     3.62     1.17P   29.84R   10.51  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 September 2010, Bournemouth vs Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Peterborough      6   12   +6      68.25    11.80     7.09     3.93     8.83    31.71    13.32P    4.69R    0.48  
Carlisle          6   12   +6      71.35    10.89    12.53     5.32    11.81    40.79    17.94P    1.77R    0.13  
Bournemouth       6   11   +9      67.41    11.39    11.27     3.13     7.11    29.03    11.82P    4.44R    0.39  
Huddersfield      6   11   +4      81.30    10.97    28.77    23.95    39.81    75.14    49.81P    0.19R    0.01  
Rochdale          6   11   +4      68.99    11.66     8.32     4.32     9.40    33.60    14.69P    3.89R    0.41  
Sheff_Wed         6   10   +6      72.02    11.38    16.65     6.96    14.19    44.00    21.75P    1.83R    0.16  
Brighton          5   10   +3      67.21    10.97     4.29     2.54     6.03    27.02    10.15P    4.28R    0.42  
Colchester        6   10   +2      72.74    10.71    13.82     6.47    13.94    45.41    21.99P    1.14R    0.05  
Charlton          6   10   +1      77.34    10.67    19.93    12.79    25.40    62.99    36.17P    0.39R    0.02  
Oldham            6    9   +1      54.60     9.92   -11.64     0.08     0.28     3.30     0.79P   25.93R    3.79  
MK_Dons           5    9   -2      61.12    11.00    -9.31     0.75     2.16    12.46     3.89P   12.49R    1.69  
Exeter            5    8   -1      56.63    10.60   -12.77     0.24     0.65     5.60     1.54P   21.81R    3.51  
Notts_County      6    7   -2      73.61    11.43    15.72     8.27    17.26    49.64    26.95P    1.47R    0.12  
Yeovil            6    7   -4      55.33    10.47   -14.10     0.16     0.48     4.41     1.13P   24.92R    3.93  
Swindon           6    6   -1      68.78    10.88    11.00     3.39     8.08    32.57    14.42P    3.02R    0.25  
Walsall           6    6   -2      58.86    10.76    -5.82     0.35     1.20     8.66     2.64P   15.91R    2.34  
Bristol_Rovers    6    6   -6      52.10    10.51   -21.09     0.06     0.23     2.45     0.59P   36.82R    7.99  
Plymouth          5    5   -3      58.82    11.28    -6.29     0.53     1.47     9.59     3.16P   17.41R    2.82  
Brentford         6    5   -4      58.85    10.35    -5.06     0.32     0.97     7.95     2.42P   14.79R    1.88  
Hartlepool        6    5   -5      53.13    10.52   -16.46     0.10     0.32     2.96     0.76P   32.85R    6.56  
Tranmere          6    5   -5      43.17     9.80   -31.13     0.00     0.01     0.24     0.02P   70.55R   28.55  
Southampton       5    4   +0      78.33    10.87    28.28    16.26    30.07    66.94    43.14P    0.34R    0.02  
Leyton_Orient     6    4   -3      52.85    10.43   -12.48     0.07     0.25     2.91     0.76P   32.74R    6.31  
Dag_&_Red         5    4   -4      43.96    10.91   -31.51     0.00     0.06     0.65     0.14P   66.34R   28.19  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 September 2010, Cheltenham vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Torquay               6   13   +7      77.32    10.45    21.42    19.58    45.05    74.14    52.69P    0.06R    0.02  
Shrewsbury            6   13   +6      71.97    10.35    12.53     8.45    25.66    55.24    32.62P    0.28R    0.07  
Port_Vale             6   13   +5      77.40    10.29    19.43    18.94    45.00    74.47    52.86P    0.05R    0.01  
Chesterfield          6   12   +6      69.43    10.54     9.99     5.90    19.08    45.70    25.10P    0.60R    0.17  
Rotherham             6   11   +3      68.21    10.38     6.79     4.48    15.73    40.53    21.47P    0.76R    0.25  
Cheltenham            6   10   -1      57.33    10.36   -14.04     0.45     2.39    10.26     3.62P    8.71R    3.56  
Oxford_Utd            6    9   +5      63.82    10.34     6.41     1.91     8.06    26.39    12.56P    2.08R    0.68  
Burton_Albion         6    9   +3      65.31    10.85     4.76     3.10    11.39    31.68    16.09P    2.03R    0.68  
Crewe                 6    8   +8      64.93    10.85    10.56     3.08    11.33    31.14    16.03P    2.06R    0.71  
Accrington_Stanley    6    8   +3      61.20    10.54     0.46     1.16     5.22    18.98     8.06P    4.20R    1.62  
Bury                  6    8   -2      59.58    10.32    -6.97     0.81     3.65    14.47     5.77P    5.42R    2.12  
Wycombe               6    7   +1      70.37    10.97    14.14     7.86    22.95    49.69    30.94P    0.61R    0.22  
Aldershot             6    7   +0      69.11    10.43    11.10     5.03    17.86    44.88    25.04P    0.74R    0.23  
Southend              6    7   -1      69.21    11.37    10.34     6.62    20.20    45.63    27.34P    1.15R    0.40  
Lincoln_City          6    7   -2      49.32     9.55   -19.25     0.02     0.22     1.80     0.43P   25.86R   13.02  
Northampton           6    7   -2      65.78    10.35     4.25     2.68    10.65    31.81    15.90P    1.49R    0.53  
Gillingham            6    6   +0      67.63    11.00    10.45     5.00    16.41    40.00    23.38P    1.23R    0.43  
Stevenage             6    6   +0      66.86    10.71     9.34     4.04    13.93    36.82    20.69P    1.28R    0.41  
Stockport             6    6   -4      48.07    10.27   -23.57     0.03     0.27     2.02     0.57P   32.16R   18.10  
Macclesfield          6    5   -5      52.11    10.08   -15.86     0.09     0.65     3.83     1.25P   18.28R    8.84  
Barnet                6    5   -7      46.24     9.59   -26.94     0.01     0.10     0.89     0.23P   38.71R   22.04  
Bradford              6    4   -7      53.72    10.36   -14.81     0.14     1.04     5.52     1.88P   15.48R    7.19  
Hereford              6    4   -9      48.95     9.87   -23.24     0.01     0.22     1.85     0.47P   28.39R   14.92  
Morecambe             6    3   -7      57.99    10.71    -7.30     0.59     2.94    12.26     5.01P    8.38R    3.79  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 September 2010, AFC_Wimbledon vs Bath_City; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon       8   19  +11      84.17     9.89    31.75    22.16    75.77    35.11P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley_Town        8   17   +7      68.90     9.75     7.13     1.20    19.39     4.09P    0.46R    0.04  
Mansfield           8   16   +6      76.62    10.13    20.00     7.03    47.52    15.05P    0.07R    0.00  
Tamworth            8   15   +3      66.43     9.74     2.57     0.59    13.03     2.40P    1.00R    0.10  
Fleetwood_Town      8   14   +5      67.41    11.15     7.01     1.50    18.69     4.37P    1.70R    0.27  
Luton               8   14   +4      88.05     9.66    39.85    37.38    86.79    53.95P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington          8   13   +5      65.43    10.26     6.20     0.79    13.06     3.19P    1.50R    0.20  
Grimsby             8   13   +0      76.02    10.61    16.70     6.16    45.17    15.64P    0.14R    0.01  
Newport_County      8   11   +3      61.79    11.10     1.45     0.44     8.53     1.87P    4.99R    0.97  
Southport           8   11   +0      55.79    10.43   -10.24     0.06     2.40     0.42P   12.01R    2.75  
Kidderminster       8   11   -2      64.82    10.16     0.16     0.61    11.15     2.50P    1.91R    0.27  
Gateshead           8   11   -4      50.96     9.38   -23.80     0.01     0.52     0.07P   22.23R    5.55  
York                8   10   +3      78.15     9.63    27.22     8.33    54.93    23.27P    0.03R    0.00  
Barrow              8   10   +2      56.05     9.78    -8.11     0.04     1.95     0.30P    9.76R    1.91  
Wrexham             8   10   -1      64.07     9.47     2.78     0.30     8.53     2.01P    1.55R    0.18  
Rushden_&_D'mnds    8   10   -1      80.39     9.73    28.14    11.76    63.46    28.25P    0.02R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       8    9   +3      68.84    10.10    15.28     1.40    21.02     5.75P    0.70R    0.11  
Forest_Green        8    9   -2      48.76     9.62   -23.13     0.01     0.35     0.05P   30.00R    8.72  
Eastbourne_Boro     8    8   -3      45.28     9.37   -29.77     0.00     0.08     0.00P   43.92R   16.02  
Histon              8    8   -5      46.86     9.34   -26.45     0.00     0.16     0.02P   36.88R   11.97  
Hayes_&_Yeading     8    7  -10      43.69     9.65   -39.85     0.00     0.08     0.01P   51.66R   21.75  
Kettering           8    6   -4      62.89     9.61     3.75     0.20     6.97     1.59P    2.36R    0.28  
Bath_City           8    6   -7      45.26    10.40   -27.92     0.01     0.25     0.05P   44.55R   18.36  
Altrincham          8    1  -13      47.90     9.71   -20.73     0.00     0.20     0.03P   32.56R   10.52