Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 13 September 2010 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 13 September 2010, Stoke vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          4   12  +15      90.29     7.77    78.56    71.34    91.49    98.19    99.52    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          4   10  +10      77.87     8.70    48.28    10.44    40.46    76.30    89.33    97.74     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          4    8   +4      80.99     8.18    50.61    17.11    58.63    86.51    95.02    99.13     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        4    7   +0      41.12     9.16   -26.82     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.50     2.80    25.32R    5.65  
Birmingham       4    6   +1      46.61     8.61    -9.35     0.00     0.03     0.20     1.14     6.95     8.26R    1.14  
Fulham           4    6   +1      47.88     8.61    -7.16     0.00     0.03     0.33     1.72     8.90     5.96R    0.77  
Aston_Villa      4    6   -3      55.53     8.88     0.64     0.03     0.45     2.42     9.14    30.94     1.07R    0.09  
Man_City         4    5   +2      64.48     9.08    23.15     0.57     4.39    15.38    38.60    71.89     0.10R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    4    5   +0      37.90     8.07   -23.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.65    35.21R    8.61  
Sunderland       4    5   +0      45.80     8.72   -11.63     0.00     0.03     0.18     0.97     6.15    10.13R    1.41  
Tottenham        4    5   +0      60.40     8.93    13.18     0.18     1.62     7.14    21.19    54.11     0.23R    0.02  
Bolton           4    5   -1      39.98     8.57   -23.94     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.24     1.64    27.53R    6.08  
Liverpool        4    5   -2      62.69     8.78    14.79     0.27     2.37    10.02    29.29    64.05     0.11R    0.00  
Newcastle        4    4   +1      52.52     9.54     2.90     0.02     0.28     1.63     6.28    22.91     3.10R    0.39  
Blackburn        4    4   -1      43.94     8.64   -13.38     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.56     3.93    14.33R    2.51  
West_Brom        4    4   -6      43.16     9.39   -20.75     0.00     0.02     0.15     0.78     4.44    19.24R    4.17  
Wigan            4    4   -9      28.33     7.48   -54.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02    81.64R   50.90  
Stoke            4    3   -2      41.20     8.31   -14.62     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.17     1.81    21.16R    4.00  
Everton          4    2   -2      52.37     9.09     2.57     0.01     0.18     1.30     5.41    21.31     2.58R    0.30  
West_Ham         4    0   -8      36.26     8.73   -28.72     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.67    44.02R   13.95  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 September 2010, Burnley vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR               5   13  +12      72.10    10.74    16.38     6.62    15.13    49.06    22.54P    0.93R    0.14  
Cardiff           5   13   +9      83.05    10.82    30.93    31.53    49.88    83.71    59.85P    0.05R    0.00  
Millwall          5   10   +6      76.49    11.56    21.91    14.80    27.76    63.83    37.74P    0.50R    0.08  
Burnley           5   10   +4      75.02    11.92    17.81    12.72    24.45    58.58    33.20P    0.94R    0.19  
Leeds_United      5   10   +3      73.21    11.49    13.84     8.77    18.61    52.33    27.47P    1.18R    0.21  
Norwich           5   10   +3      73.70    11.55    14.61     9.65    20.12    54.22    29.17P    1.15R    0.18  
Ipswich           5    9   +3      61.16    10.20    -2.54     0.67     1.91    13.73     4.10P    7.71R    1.74  
Reading           5    8   +3      67.65    10.87     7.91     3.13     7.91    33.27    13.64P    2.79R    0.55  
Coventry          5    8   +2      55.71    10.23   -10.19     0.17     0.61     5.72     1.47P   19.22R    5.43  
Doncaster         5    8   -1      63.32    10.61    -2.11     1.09     3.41    19.26     6.64P    5.95R    1.29  
Sheff_Utd         5    7   -2      64.63    10.52     0.54     1.46     4.25    22.70     8.37P    4.49R    0.93  
Barnsley          5    7   -3      53.47    10.38   -18.55     0.13     0.40     3.88     0.98P   27.06R    9.06  
Watford           5    6   +0      58.13    10.60    -6.83     0.45     1.27     9.29     2.77P   14.23R    3.82  
Swansea           5    6   +0      62.61     9.77     2.58     0.65     2.09    16.10     5.36P    4.95R    0.99  
Bristol_City      5    6   -1      56.27    10.43   -10.31     0.27     0.80     6.69     1.88P   18.11R    5.31  
Scunthorpe        5    6   -1      51.45    10.38   -19.90     0.05     0.22     2.64     0.55P   33.75R   12.76  
Nott'm_Forest     5    4   -1      72.43    10.18    17.23     5.61    14.00    50.51    25.92P    0.64R    0.09  
Derby             5    4   -2      53.30    10.20   -12.17     0.08     0.27     3.64     0.87P   26.32R    8.89  
Hull              5    4   -5      58.46    11.31    -7.36     0.56     1.72    11.11     3.82P   15.15R    4.73  
Middlesbrough     5    4   -5      59.87    10.23    -4.76     0.39     1.35    11.33     3.60P   10.11R    2.45  
Crystal_Palace    5    3   -7      51.56    10.14   -17.59     0.05     0.20     2.40     0.66P   32.18R   11.48  
Preston           5    3   -7      47.89    10.46   -26.48     0.02     0.10     1.30     0.29P   47.48R   22.32  
Leicester         5    2   -5      62.41    10.40     1.83     0.83     2.57    16.93     6.43P    6.39R    1.45  
Portsmouth        5    2   -5      56.36    10.92    -6.79     0.31     0.97     7.78     2.68P   18.73R    5.90  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 September 2010, Bournemouth vs Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Bournemouth       6   13  +10      70.15    11.18    13.61     4.78    10.92    37.57    16.48P    2.33R    0.17  
Peterborough      6   12   +6      68.43    11.77     7.50     4.41     9.47    32.89    14.19P    4.43R    0.41  
Carlisle          6   12   +6      71.40    10.89    12.68     5.56    12.32    41.55    18.53P    1.74R    0.13  
Huddersfield      6   11   +4      81.44    10.90    29.02    25.00    41.09    76.31    51.17P    0.20R    0.00  
Rochdale          6   11   +4      68.95    11.53     8.38     4.36     9.50    33.80    14.78P    3.84R    0.39  
Sheff_Wed         6   10   +5      71.03    11.14    14.20     5.88    12.49    40.76    19.74P    1.99R    0.17  
Brighton          5   10   +3      66.96    10.93     4.12     2.52     6.00    26.23    10.15P    4.53R    0.43  
Colchester        6   10   +2      72.67    10.59    13.76     6.39    13.93    46.19    21.91P    1.16R    0.06  
Charlton          6   10   +1      77.48    10.69    20.18    13.59    26.41    63.83    37.31P    0.37R    0.01  
Oldham            6    9   +1      54.35     9.92   -11.81     0.09     0.29     3.07     0.72P   26.84R    4.02  
MK_Dons           5    9   -2      61.19    10.95    -9.01     0.80     2.21    12.62     3.99P   12.37R    1.59  
Exeter            5    8   -1      56.81    10.47   -12.32     0.27     0.73     5.83     1.55P   21.25R    3.14  
Yeovil            6    7   -4      55.30    10.44   -14.11     0.16     0.47     4.52     1.24P   25.36R    4.20  
Swindon           6    6   -1      68.58    10.76    10.77     3.21     7.87    32.17    14.09P    3.14R    0.23  
Walsall           6    6   -2      58.62    10.77    -6.12     0.43     1.23     8.66     2.68P   17.01R    2.53  
Notts_County      6    6   -3      71.08    11.24    12.21     5.50    12.12    40.90    21.03P    2.28R    0.17  
Bristol_Rovers    6    6   -6      51.88    10.47   -21.15     0.06     0.23     2.33     0.59P   37.69R    8.41  
Plymouth          5    5   -3      58.50    11.31    -6.65     0.52     1.39     9.33     3.09P   18.46R    3.16  
Hartlepool        6    5   -4      54.02    10.58   -13.79     0.12     0.41     3.66     1.03P   29.59R    5.71  
Brentford         6    5   -4      58.91    10.37    -4.89     0.31     0.96     8.07     2.49P   15.26R    1.98  
Tranmere          6    5   -5      43.59     9.69   -30.20     0.00     0.01     0.25     0.05P   69.73R   27.06  
Southampton       5    4   +0      77.95    10.94    27.57    15.98    29.67    66.15    42.37P    0.42R    0.02  
Leyton_Orient     6    4   -3      52.87    10.34   -12.20     0.06     0.24     2.72     0.69P   32.71R    6.20  
Dag_&_Red         5    4   -4      43.78    10.91   -31.75     0.01     0.04     0.60     0.13P   67.32R   29.80  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 September 2010, Cheltenham vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Torquay               6   13   +7      76.76    10.34    20.56    19.64    44.87    73.62    52.53P    0.06R    0.02  
Port_Vale             6   13   +5      77.03    10.19    18.87    19.51    45.49    74.54    53.14P    0.06R    0.01  
Chesterfield          6   12   +6      69.03    10.39     9.47     5.79    19.17    45.68    25.05P    0.65R    0.17  
Rotherham             6   11   +3      67.78    10.29     6.18     4.60    15.83    40.42    21.52P    0.92R    0.26  
Shrewsbury            6   11   +2      66.96    10.10     4.38     3.50    13.32    36.77    18.74P    1.11R    0.35  
Crewe                 6   10   +9      67.81    10.78    13.13     5.63    17.75    41.84    23.36P    1.12R    0.36  
Cheltenham            6   10   -1      57.16    10.22   -14.26     0.48     2.41    10.35     3.68P    9.53R    4.02  
Oxford_Utd            6    9   +5      63.22    10.19     5.69     1.98     7.91    25.01    11.95P    2.52R    0.89  
Burton_Albion         6    9   +3      64.91    10.56     4.10     2.92    11.14    31.27    15.73P    2.15R    0.76  
Accrington_Stanley    6    8   +3      61.32    10.35     0.67     1.25     5.67    20.13     8.77P    4.14R    1.55  
Bury                  6    8   -2      59.77    10.15    -6.63     0.82     3.91    15.35     6.18P    5.68R    2.13  
Wycombe               6    7   +1      70.43    11.06    14.17     8.88    24.81    51.52    32.62P    0.79R    0.26  
Stockport             6    7   +0      52.57    10.36   -13.10     0.18     1.02     5.25     1.81P   18.96R    9.18  
Aldershot             6    7   +0      68.89    10.38    10.72     5.45    18.58    45.14    25.74P    0.72R    0.20  
Southend              6    7   -1      69.01    11.13    10.03     6.70    20.62    46.00    27.76P    1.18R    0.45  
Northampton           6    7   -2      65.56    10.23     3.91     2.65    11.12    32.17    16.32P    1.69R    0.56  
Gillingham            6    6   +0      67.34    10.81    10.03     4.93    16.53    40.34    23.76P    1.32R    0.44  
Stevenage             6    6   +0      66.83    10.47     9.37     4.03    14.40    38.02    21.54P    1.28R    0.43  
Lincoln_City          6    6   -3      47.88     9.37   -20.45     0.01     0.12     1.26     0.27P   32.72R   17.61  
Macclesfield          6    5   -5      51.94     9.83   -15.83     0.10     0.59     3.67     1.13P   19.67R    9.73  
Barnet                6    5   -7      46.45     9.48   -26.36     0.02     0.11     0.91     0.24P   39.80R   23.07  
Bradford              6    4   -7      53.73    10.18   -14.75     0.18     1.03     5.72     1.94P   16.06R    7.76  
Hereford              6    4   -9      49.09     9.84   -22.99     0.05     0.28     2.03     0.64P   29.74R   16.23  
Morecambe             6    3   -7      58.12    10.50    -6.90     0.70     3.32    12.99     5.58P    8.15R    3.54  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 September 2010, AFC_Wimbledon vs Bath_City; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon       8   19  +11      84.23     9.92    31.78    22.42    75.90    35.66P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        8   17   +7      69.00     9.79     7.24     1.39    19.45     4.35P    0.42R    0.03  
Mansfield           8   16   +6      76.69    10.10    20.05     7.09    47.64    15.13P    0.08R    0.01  
Tamworth            8   15   +3      66.48     9.70     2.64     0.58    12.76     2.40P    0.96R    0.11  
Fleetwood_Town      8   14   +5      67.62    11.25     7.31     1.75    19.25     4.75P    1.74R    0.26  
Luton               8   14   +4      87.89     9.65    39.49    36.58    86.43    53.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Darlington          8   13   +5      65.07    10.11     5.71     0.68    11.58     2.70P    1.54R    0.20  
Grimsby             8   13   +0      76.09    10.39    16.75     6.07    45.18    15.58P    0.15R    0.01  
Newport_County      8   11   +3      61.72    11.04     1.31     0.44     8.50     1.93P    4.86R    0.92  
Southport           8   11   +0      55.78    10.33   -10.30     0.06     2.27     0.42P   11.65R    2.60  
Kidderminster       8   11   -2      64.59    10.14    -0.07     0.56    10.68     2.17P    1.96R    0.25  
Gateshead           8   11   -4      50.76     9.47   -24.05     0.01     0.46     0.07P   23.03R    5.96  
York                8   10   +3      78.40     9.55    27.60     8.43    55.75    23.43P    0.02R    0.01  
Barrow              8   10   +2      55.96     9.85    -8.20     0.04     2.04     0.34P   10.00R    2.05  
Wrexham             8   10   -1      64.22     9.52     3.04     0.33     8.84     2.06P    1.37R    0.15  
Rushden_&_D'mnds    8   10   -1      80.40     9.75    28.14    11.82    63.50    28.37P    0.04R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       8    9   +3      69.01    10.16    15.56     1.52    21.42     5.84P    0.74R    0.09  
Forest_Green        8    9   -2      49.01     9.60   -22.67     0.01     0.35     0.04P   28.70R    8.14  
Eastbourne_Boro     8    8   -3      45.35     9.43   -29.47     0.00     0.11     0.01P   43.51R   15.67  
Histon              8    8   -5      46.95     9.41   -26.32     0.01     0.17     0.03P   36.41R   11.64  
Hayes_&_Yeading     8    7  -10      43.67     9.66   -39.93     0.00     0.10     0.01P   51.70R   21.55  
Kettering           8    6   -4      62.91     9.69     3.83     0.18     7.18     1.64P    2.30R    0.34  
Bath_City           8    6   -7      44.92    10.33   -28.53     0.01     0.20     0.04P   45.63R   19.12  
Altrincham          8    1  -13      47.77     9.76   -20.92     0.00     0.22     0.03P   33.17R   10.87