Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 12 September 2010 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 12 September 2010, Birmingham vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          4   12  +15      90.48     7.72    78.67    72.42    92.11    98.50    99.64    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          4   10  +10      77.73     8.75    47.61    10.20    40.47    75.79    89.07    97.38     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          4    8   +4      80.86     8.19    50.06    16.34    57.88    85.84    94.68    99.15     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        4    7   +0      41.33     9.19   -26.02     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.45     2.82    23.93R    5.35  
Birmingham       4    6   +1      46.80     8.46    -8.93     0.00     0.02     0.20     1.14     6.75     7.00R    0.90  
Fulham           4    6   +1      47.76     8.53    -7.17     0.00     0.03     0.26     1.50     8.28     5.67R    0.74  
Aston_Villa      3    6   -2      57.34     9.01     2.41     0.07     0.74     3.85    12.66    37.78     0.63R    0.06  
Man_City         4    5   +2      64.32     9.05    22.77     0.54     4.16    15.01    37.64    70.65     0.12R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    4    5   +0      37.84     8.11   -23.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.71    34.36R    8.39  
Sunderland       4    5   +0      45.72     8.66   -11.67     0.00     0.04     0.21     0.99     5.83     9.54R    1.40  
Tottenham        4    5   +0      60.39     8.98    13.06     0.18     1.74     7.13    21.06    53.40     0.23R    0.02  
Bolton           4    5   -1      39.77     8.58   -24.15     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.20     1.55    27.78R    6.30  
Liverpool        4    5   -2      62.47     8.79    14.39     0.21     2.22     9.85    27.82    62.70     0.10R    0.01  
Newcastle        4    4   +1      52.61     9.51     3.06     0.04     0.32     1.72     6.33    22.47     2.91R    0.36  
Blackburn        4    4   -1      43.91     8.60   -13.32     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.55     3.71    13.67R    2.41  
West_Brom        4    4   -6      43.34     9.35   -20.21     0.00     0.03     0.17     0.75     4.30    17.80R    3.78  
Wigan            4    4   -9      28.39     7.57   -54.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    80.62R   49.34  
Everton          4    2   -2      52.15     9.16     2.14     0.00     0.20     1.23     5.19    20.69     2.83R    0.34  
Stoke            3    0   -3      38.93     8.55   -16.29     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.17     1.23    29.38R    7.08  
West_Ham         4    0   -8      36.21     8.66   -28.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.61    43.42R   13.54  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 September 2010, Burnley vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR               5   13  +12      72.19    10.74    16.51     6.81    15.27    49.39    22.88P    0.89R    0.15  
Cardiff           5   13   +9      83.35    10.68    31.38    32.31    50.95    84.56    60.70P    0.06R    0.01  
Millwall          5   10   +6      76.45    11.41    21.81    14.11    27.39    64.06    37.41P    0.47R    0.04  
Burnley           5   10   +4      75.21    12.00    18.10    13.06    24.85    59.16    33.69P    1.04R    0.19  
Leeds_United      5   10   +3      73.25    11.45    14.00     8.76    18.70    52.71    27.54P    1.17R    0.19  
Norwich           5   10   +3      73.37    11.57    14.06     9.39    19.79    52.78    28.34P    1.19R    0.22  
Ipswich           5    9   +3      60.93    10.28    -2.80     0.55     1.82    13.57     4.05P    8.40R    1.91  
Reading           5    8   +3      67.36    10.92     7.56     3.03     7.60    32.45    13.38P    2.98R    0.56  
Coventry          5    8   +2      55.70    10.16   -10.30     0.16     0.58     5.58     1.48P   19.00R    5.46  
Doncaster         5    8   -1      63.41    10.49    -1.95     1.10     3.21    19.51     6.64P    5.71R    1.19  
Sheff_Utd         5    7   -2      64.63    10.54     0.52     1.36     3.95    22.85     8.25P    4.65R    0.93  
Barnsley          5    7   -3      53.44    10.33   -18.64     0.11     0.40     3.91     0.95P   26.92R    8.94  
Watford           5    6   +0      57.72    10.57    -7.55     0.34     1.06     8.73     2.45P   15.07R    4.38  
Swansea           5    6   +0      62.62     9.67     2.60     0.64     2.03    15.54     5.24P    4.91R    0.91  
Bristol_City      5    6   -1      56.35    10.43   -10.23     0.18     0.70     6.59     1.72P   17.83R    5.20  
Scunthorpe        5    6   -1      51.76    10.50   -19.30     0.08     0.30     3.06     0.76P   32.93R   12.32  
Nott'm_Forest     5    4   -1      72.36    10.21    17.10     5.64    13.88    50.20    25.83P    0.70R    0.09  
Derby             5    4   -2      53.32    10.26   -12.08     0.08     0.32     3.69     0.94P   26.38R    8.96  
Hull              5    4   -5      58.63    11.29    -7.04     0.57     1.75    11.31     3.90P   14.76R    4.46  
Middlesbrough     5    4   -5      59.83    10.36    -4.81     0.48     1.48    11.40     3.69P   10.43R    2.59  
Crystal_Palace    5    3   -7      51.67    10.08   -17.43     0.05     0.20     2.50     0.66P   31.80R   11.26  
Preston           5    3   -7      47.85    10.45   -26.58     0.01     0.07     1.27     0.23P   47.48R   22.74  
Leicester         5    2   -5      62.61    10.49     2.09     0.92     2.85    18.00     6.83P    6.32R    1.44  
Portsmouth        5    2   -5      56.22    10.83    -7.01     0.29     0.86     7.18     2.45P   18.94R    5.87  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 September 2010, Bournemouth vs Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Bournemouth       6   13  +10      70.11    11.10    13.58     4.60    10.48    37.52    16.16P    2.49R    0.14  
Peterborough      6   12   +6      68.81    11.81     8.12     4.65    10.25    33.83    14.96P    4.22R    0.42  
Carlisle          6   12   +6      71.45    10.75    12.74     5.27    11.83    41.95    18.08P    1.80R    0.12  
Huddersfield      6   11   +4      81.39    10.96    28.99    24.95    41.19    76.10    51.24P    0.24R    0.02  
Rochdale          6   11   +4      68.80    11.56     8.13     4.33     9.52    33.52    14.53P    3.84R    0.36  
Sheff_Wed         6   10   +5      70.93    11.22    14.04     5.60    12.38    40.69    19.67P    2.25R    0.14  
Brighton          5   10   +3      66.68    10.76     3.69     2.36     5.56    25.21     9.33P    4.57R    0.39  
Colchester        6   10   +2      72.74    10.67    13.87     6.62    14.32    46.42    22.47P    1.25R    0.08  
Charlton          6   10   +1      77.80    10.52    20.61    13.98    27.04    65.26    38.23P    0.32R    0.01  
Oldham            6    9   +1      54.33     9.91   -11.83     0.08     0.27     3.10     0.75P   27.14R    4.25  
MK_Dons           5    9   -2      61.19    10.89    -9.04     0.74     2.10    12.55     3.83P   12.32R    1.56  
Exeter            5    8   -1      56.80    10.44   -12.31     0.23     0.69     5.66     1.51P   21.18R    3.22  
Yeovil            6    7   -4      55.29    10.30   -14.08     0.14     0.51     4.23     1.15P   25.20R    4.06  
Swindon           6    6   -1      68.47    10.87    10.57     3.25     7.82    32.04    14.22P    3.34R    0.29  
Walsall           6    6   -2      58.49    10.74    -6.33     0.36     1.09     8.43     2.59P   17.45R    2.52  
Notts_County      6    6   -3      70.62    11.15    11.53     4.96    10.98    39.39    19.43P    2.45R    0.20  
Bristol_Rovers    6    6   -6      51.99    10.42   -20.94     0.05     0.20     2.35     0.60P   37.14R    8.42  
Plymouth          5    5   -3      58.57    11.31    -6.54     0.48     1.42     9.50     3.11P   18.32R    3.02  
Hartlepool        6    5   -4      53.90    10.52   -13.94     0.12     0.38     3.60     0.98P   30.09R    5.77  
Brentford         6    5   -4      58.83    10.30    -4.94     0.31     1.01     7.85     2.44P   15.03R    1.98  
Tranmere          6    5   -5      43.59     9.64   -30.25     0.00     0.01     0.22     0.04P   69.59R   26.83  
Southampton       5    4   +0      78.20    10.93    28.00    16.83    30.66    67.14    43.78P    0.45R    0.04  
Leyton_Orient     6    4   -3      53.09    10.37   -11.84     0.08     0.25     2.84     0.71P   32.16R    6.36  
Dag_&_Red         5    4   -4      43.81    11.01   -31.84     0.02     0.06     0.62     0.16P   67.15R   29.78  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 September 2010, Cheltenham vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Torquay               6   13   +7      77.00    10.43    20.98    20.35    45.56    74.10    53.13P    0.08R    0.01  
Port_Vale             6   13   +5      76.99    10.13    18.84    19.00    45.27    74.69    53.33P    0.05R    0.02  
Chesterfield          6   12   +6      69.20    10.50     9.67     6.08    19.90    46.08    25.70P    0.70R    0.18  
Rotherham             6   11   +3      67.49    10.30     5.76     4.25    15.15    39.34    20.64P    1.07R    0.33  
Shrewsbury            6   11   +2      67.00    10.11     4.41     3.57    13.18    37.04    18.65P    0.99R    0.31  
Crewe                 6   10   +9      67.85    10.79    13.20     5.66    18.00    42.16    23.56P    1.08R    0.37  
Cheltenham            6   10   -1      57.17    10.32   -14.28     0.51     2.51    10.43     3.77P    9.58R    4.17  
Oxford_Utd            6    9   +5      63.58    10.29     6.19     2.10     8.42    26.54    12.76P    2.29R    0.81  
Burton_Albion         6    9   +3      64.93    10.71     4.15     3.18    11.50    31.49    16.04P    2.24R    0.80  
Accrington_Stanley    6    8   +3      61.24    10.25     0.56     1.07     5.34    19.60     8.37P    4.13R    1.61  
Bury                  6    8   -2      59.63    10.29    -6.82     0.80     3.99    15.27     6.24P    5.90R    2.39  
Wycombe               6    7   +1      70.15    10.99    13.75     8.43    23.98    50.36    31.71P    0.82R    0.28  
Stockport             6    7   +0      52.73    10.38   -12.92     0.14     1.05     5.30     1.78P   18.41R    9.22  
Aldershot             6    7   +0      68.86    10.28    10.67     5.25    18.28    45.15    25.48P    0.74R    0.24  
Southend              6    7   -1      69.36    11.17    10.58     7.25    21.50    47.34    28.72P    1.11R    0.39  
Northampton           6    7   -2      65.69    10.29     4.11     2.90    11.30    32.86    16.79P    1.64R    0.57  
Gillingham            6    6   +0      67.06    10.85     9.61     4.70    15.85    38.93    22.70P    1.51R    0.48  
Stevenage             6    6   +0      66.60    10.57     9.03     3.85    13.87    37.06    20.85P    1.33R    0.47  
Lincoln_City          6    6   -3      47.84     9.45   -20.56     0.02     0.17     1.29     0.35P   33.04R   18.01  
Macclesfield          6    5   -5      52.00     9.84   -15.75     0.11     0.64     3.70     1.22P   19.34R    9.34  
Barnet                6    5   -7      46.47     9.48   -26.30     0.01     0.12     0.93     0.29P   39.54R   22.82  
Bradford              6    4   -7      53.74    10.12   -14.70     0.14     1.05     5.75     1.95P   15.83R    7.36  
Hereford              6    4   -9      48.94     9.79   -23.15     0.02     0.27     1.93     0.61P   30.09R   16.20  
Morecambe             6    3   -7      58.01    10.49    -7.03     0.62     3.10    12.66     5.38P    8.48R    3.64  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 September 2010, AFC_Wimbledon vs Bath_City; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon       8   20  +12      85.35     9.76    32.52    25.73    80.57    39.67P    0.00R    0.00  
Mansfield           8   18   +7      79.00    10.08    21.49    10.42    57.84    19.68P    0.04R    0.00  
Crawley_Town        8   17   +5      67.63     9.57     3.40     0.93    16.14     3.25P    0.56R    0.05  
Tamworth            8   15   +3      66.56     9.67     2.87     0.61    13.72     2.52P    1.02R    0.13  
Fleetwood_Town      8   14   +5      66.99    11.07     6.34     1.50    18.13     4.41P    1.85R    0.28  
Luton               8   14   +4      87.70     9.56    38.97    35.87    86.87    53.22P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington          8   13   +5      64.91    10.10     5.50     0.67    12.20     2.86P    1.76R    0.26  
Grimsby             8   13   +0      76.04    10.44    16.63     6.29    45.97    15.82P    0.09R    0.00  
Barrow              8   12   +3      58.68     9.73    -5.87     0.11     3.52     0.55P    6.28R    1.07  
Newport_County      8   11   +3      61.63    10.97     1.21     0.50     8.58     1.86P    5.26R    1.03  
Southport           8   11   +0      55.86    10.39   -10.02     0.09     2.54     0.48P   12.54R    2.86  
Kidderminster       8   11   -2      64.83    10.06     0.35     0.61    11.44     2.43P    1.97R    0.25  
Gateshead           8   11   -4      50.99     9.32   -23.44     0.01     0.43     0.05P   23.01R    6.11  
York                8   10   +3      77.88     9.52    26.69     7.72    54.89    22.96P    0.03R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       8    9   +3      69.19    10.00    15.80     1.50    22.49     6.26P    0.61R    0.06  
Wrexham             8    9   -2      62.26     9.46     0.76     0.22     6.41     1.46P    2.49R    0.35  
Forest_Green        8    9   -2      48.74     9.52   -22.91     0.01     0.31     0.05P   30.94R    9.36  
Rushden_&_D'mnds    8    8   -2      77.34     9.68    25.15     7.10    52.71    21.39P    0.04R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro     8    8   -3      45.74     9.23   -27.82     0.00     0.13     0.00P   43.33R   15.36  
Histon              8    8   -4      47.75     9.36   -23.51     0.00     0.19     0.04P   34.82R   10.90  
Hayes_&_Yeading     8    7   -8      44.85     9.71   -34.83     0.00     0.13     0.01P   48.13R   19.30  
Bath_City           8    6   -7      44.79    10.28   -28.72     0.00     0.18     0.02P   47.66R   20.80  
Kettering           8    5   -6      60.44     9.53    -0.22     0.10     4.35     0.98P    4.24R    0.62  
Altrincham          8    1  -13      48.03     9.65   -20.32     0.00     0.24     0.04P   33.32R   11.19