Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 12 September 2010 at 02:57:02 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 September 2010, Arsenal vs Bolton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          4   12  +16      90.78     7.74    82.10    70.84    91.70    98.26    99.57    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          4   10  +10      77.81     8.71    48.46     9.30    36.72    74.64    88.39    97.36     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          4    8   +6      82.18     8.09    56.21    18.89    62.78    88.29    95.80    99.38     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        4    7   +0      41.17     9.18   -27.37     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.45     2.68    23.98R    5.25  
Fulham           4    6   +1      47.93     8.55    -7.35     0.00     0.01     0.22     1.39     8.47     5.37R    0.66  
Aston_Villa      3    6   -2      57.46     9.14     2.47     0.06     0.71     3.74    12.24    37.27     0.70R    0.08  
Man_City         4    5   +2      64.66     8.94    23.72     0.46     3.62    14.34    37.28    71.04     0.08R    0.00  
Birmingham       3    5   +1      46.80     8.81   -10.18     0.00     0.02     0.22     1.24     6.97     7.75R    1.12  
Wolverhampton    4    5   +0      38.01     8.12   -23.64     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.66    33.01R    7.77  
Sunderland       4    5   +0      45.87     8.70   -11.90     0.00     0.02     0.20     0.89     5.70     9.27R    1.31  
Tottenham        4    5   +0      60.35     8.90    13.08     0.12     1.26     6.19    19.52    51.84     0.19R    0.01  
Bolton           4    5   -1      39.80     8.48   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.16     1.32    26.81R    6.03  
Newcastle        4    4   +1      52.73     9.51     3.08     0.01     0.23     1.55     6.13    22.43     2.61R    0.30  
Blackburn        4    4   -1      44.42     8.60   -12.94     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.58     4.01    12.23R    1.90  
Liverpool        3    4   -2      63.42     8.99    15.54     0.32     2.71    10.80    30.35    64.87     0.09R    0.00  
West_Brom        4    4   -6      43.27     9.29   -20.81     0.00     0.02     0.15     0.64     3.97    17.36R    3.62  
Wigan            4    4   -9      28.32     7.56   -56.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    80.31R   48.50  
Everton          4    2   -2      52.56     9.10     2.72     0.01     0.16     1.21     5.14    20.63     2.35R    0.27  
Stoke            3    0   -4      38.52     8.59   -18.70     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     1.00    30.85R    7.55  
West_Ham         4    0  -10      35.35     8.70   -33.40     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.43    47.04R   15.61  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 September 2010, Burnley vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR               5   13  +12      72.34    10.72    16.51     6.40    14.82    47.89    21.78P    0.83R    0.12  
Cardiff           5   13   +9      83.38    10.69    31.81    30.97    49.30    83.67    59.35P    0.04R    0.00  
Ipswich           5   11   +5      64.47    10.32     0.82     1.25     3.59    20.69     6.69P    4.27R    0.74  
Millwall          5   10   +7      77.47    11.43    24.79    15.69    29.56    65.96    39.79P    0.40R    0.07  
Burnley           5   10   +4      75.56    11.74    18.87    12.54    24.15    58.79    33.06P    0.82R    0.15  
Leeds_United      5   10   +3      73.48    11.60    14.36     8.63    18.30    52.07    27.10P    1.16R    0.21  
Norwich           5   10   +3      74.00    11.62    15.25     9.71    20.05    53.60    28.87P    1.01R    0.20  
Reading           5    8   +3      67.61    10.87     7.83     2.95     7.47    31.66    12.97P    2.79R    0.50  
Coventry          5    8   +1      54.96    10.26   -13.46     0.11     0.39     4.60     1.08P   21.64R    6.54  
Doncaster         5    8   +0      64.54    10.58     0.39     1.31     3.74    21.45     7.63P    4.76R    0.98  
Barnsley          5    7   -2      54.38    10.57   -16.95     0.13     0.52     4.62     1.17P   24.33R    7.88  
Sheff_Utd         5    7   -2      65.04    10.59     0.91     1.40     3.99    22.58     8.08P    4.36R    0.80  
Watford           5    6   +0      58.07    10.64    -7.48     0.33     1.08     8.75     2.52P   14.53R    4.17  
Swansea           5    6   +0      62.84     9.74     2.66     0.55     1.89    15.23     5.07P    4.67R    0.88  
Scunthorpe        5    6   -1      51.74    10.58   -20.22     0.07     0.28     2.86     0.77P   32.79R   12.38  
Bristol_City      5    5   -3      54.26    10.48   -14.80     0.11     0.43     4.43     1.18P   24.37R    7.77  
Nott'm_Forest     5    4   -1      72.79    10.27    17.95     5.77    13.92    50.37    25.98P    0.70R    0.10  
Derby             5    4   -2      53.34    10.35   -13.22     0.07     0.28     3.51     0.88P   26.64R    9.03  
Hull              5    4   -6      57.84    11.29    -9.71     0.46     1.28     9.59     3.05P   16.46R    5.39  
Middlesbrough     5    4   -6      59.48    10.35    -6.72     0.32     1.15     9.97     3.18P   11.08R    2.84  
Crystal_Palace    5    3   -7      51.98    10.16   -17.58     0.09     0.25     2.45     0.66P   30.79R   10.91  
Preston           5    3   -7      48.25    10.42   -26.78     0.02     0.10     1.28     0.27P   46.07R   21.05  
Leicester         5    2   -5      62.87    10.46     2.38     0.90     2.70    17.26     6.59P    6.19R    1.33  
Portsmouth        5    2   -5      56.08    10.85    -7.61     0.22     0.77     6.72     2.26P   19.30R    5.95  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 September 2010, Bournemouth vs Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Peterborough      6   12   +6      68.36    11.85     7.32     4.16     9.25    32.46    14.08P    4.58R    0.49  
Carlisle          6   12   +6      71.56    11.00    12.85     5.61    12.29    41.80    18.36P    1.85R    0.15  
Bournemouth       6   11   +9      67.52    11.36    11.32     3.19     7.34    29.28    11.98P    4.18R    0.33  
Huddersfield      6   11   +4      81.23    10.95    28.69    23.51    39.42    75.40    49.65P    0.18R    0.01  
Rochdale          6   11   +4      68.77    11.80     7.97     4.41     9.68    33.46    14.69P    4.15R    0.46  
Sheff_Wed         6   10   +6      71.92    11.50    16.51     7.12    14.41    43.82    21.94P    2.01R    0.16  
Brighton          5   10   +3      66.94    10.83     3.92     2.31     5.74    25.76     9.63P    4.22R    0.38  
Colchester        6   10   +2      72.98    10.72    14.20     6.77    14.46    47.08    22.76P    1.18R    0.09  
Charlton          6   10   +1      77.41    10.70    20.04    12.91    25.58    63.11    36.57P    0.40R    0.02  
Oldham            6    9   +1      54.56    10.01   -11.71     0.08     0.30     3.28     0.76P   26.45R    4.25  
MK_Dons           5    9   -2      61.13    11.10    -9.28     0.85     2.13    12.53     3.84P   12.77R    1.83  
Exeter            5    8   -1      56.66    10.63   -12.68     0.22     0.71     5.83     1.58P   21.87R    3.42  
Notts_County      6    7   -2      73.12    11.40    14.98     7.62    16.20    47.75    25.52P    1.59R    0.10  
Yeovil            6    7   -4      55.63    10.40   -13.73     0.10     0.45     4.72     1.27P   24.17R    3.74  
Swindon           6    6   -1      68.46    10.91    10.50     3.19     7.70    31.54    14.01P    3.26R    0.27  
Walsall           6    6   -2      58.94    10.83    -5.70     0.39     1.25     9.02     2.79P   16.17R    2.45  
Bristol_Rovers    6    6   -6      52.03    10.61   -21.09     0.06     0.23     2.50     0.65P   37.00R    8.46  
Plymouth          5    5   -3      58.64    11.55    -6.54     0.58     1.60     9.78     3.32P   18.47R    3.20  
Brentford         6    5   -4      58.99    10.36    -4.81     0.29     0.93     7.85     2.33P   14.81R    1.88  
Hartlepool        6    5   -5      53.13    10.53   -16.46     0.10     0.29     2.98     0.74P   32.68R    6.75  
Tranmere          6    5   -5      43.45     9.77   -30.67     0.01     0.01     0.23     0.05P   69.65R   27.24  
Southampton       5    4   +0      78.19    10.90    27.95    16.44    29.74    66.46    42.69P    0.40R    0.02  
Leyton_Orient     6    4   -3      52.90    10.36   -12.38     0.07     0.22     2.69     0.67P   32.35R    6.32  
Dag_&_Red         5    4   -4      44.15    11.02   -31.20     0.02     0.06     0.66     0.11P   65.60R   27.97  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 September 2010, Cheltenham vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Torquay               6   13   +7      76.99    10.46    20.88    18.91    44.03    72.88    51.60P    0.09R    0.02  
Shrewsbury            6   13   +6      72.07    10.30    12.67     8.70    25.89    55.54    32.88P    0.27R    0.08  
Port_Vale             6   13   +5      77.38    10.25    19.33    18.91    44.58    74.47    52.37P    0.07R    0.02  
Chesterfield          6   12   +6      69.30    10.68     9.85     5.99    19.11    45.15    25.21P    0.69R    0.19  
Rotherham             6   11   +3      68.07    10.43     6.55     4.49    15.70    40.13    21.39P    0.77R    0.24  
Cheltenham            6   10   -1      57.22    10.43   -14.24     0.52     2.50    10.27     3.84P    8.90R    3.87  
Oxford_Utd            6    9   +5      63.56    10.32     6.13     1.76     7.75    25.63    12.05P    2.25R    0.73  
Burton_Albion         6    9   +3      65.34    10.75     4.75     3.22    11.23    31.57    15.73P    1.94R    0.75  
Crewe                 6    8   +8      65.25    10.93    11.12     3.34    12.10    32.57    16.91P    1.92R    0.70  
Accrington_Stanley    6    8   +3      61.44    10.51     0.84     1.25     5.64    19.83     8.51P    3.99R    1.55  
Bury                  6    8   -2      59.65    10.32    -6.85     0.71     3.70    14.69     5.89P    5.47R    2.12  
Wycombe               6    7   +1      70.45    11.07    14.25     8.16    23.33    50.07    31.16P    0.63R    0.19  
Aldershot             6    7   +0      69.45    10.50    11.55     5.57    19.04    46.08    26.31P    0.66R    0.18  
Southend              6    7   -1      68.80    11.30     9.65     6.04    19.20    44.13    26.07P    1.19R    0.39  
Lincoln_City          6    7   -2      49.32     9.56   -19.10     0.03     0.25     1.78     0.48P   25.89R   13.02  
Northampton           6    7   -2      65.80    10.26     4.25     2.49    10.48    31.85    15.84P    1.49R    0.47  
Gillingham            6    6   +0      67.71    10.99    10.58     5.04    16.54    40.48    23.69P    1.19R    0.39  
Stevenage             6    6   +0      66.73    10.69     9.15     3.84    13.56    36.59    20.58P    1.28R    0.48  
Stockport             6    6   -4      48.04    10.35   -23.60     0.05     0.30     2.03     0.54P   33.09R   18.77  
Macclesfield          6    5   -5      51.80     9.91   -16.13     0.09     0.53     3.47     1.05P   18.97R    8.89  
Barnet                6    5   -7      46.68     9.64   -26.22     0.01     0.13     1.01     0.24P   36.96R   20.96  
Bradford              6    4   -7      53.59    10.21   -15.07     0.15     0.93     5.22     1.79P   15.57R    7.28  
Hereford              6    4   -9      48.96     9.89   -23.35     0.04     0.26     1.82     0.53P   28.53R   15.05  
Morecambe             6    3   -7      58.13    10.78    -6.99     0.68     3.22    12.76     5.36P    8.18R    3.66  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 September 2010, AFC_Wimbledon vs Bath_City; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon       8   19  +11      84.36     9.92    32.06    22.43    76.38    35.65P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town        8   17   +7      68.98     9.76     7.25     1.28    19.39     4.04P    0.46R    0.04  
Mansfield           8   16   +6      76.54    10.15    19.84     7.00    47.09    14.74P    0.06R    0.00  
Tamworth            8   15   +3      66.75     9.71     3.09     0.69    13.53     2.67P    0.93R    0.09  
Fleetwood_Town      8   14   +5      67.28    11.15     6.83     1.61    18.16     4.46P    1.63R    0.28  
Luton               8   14   +4      88.04     9.61    39.83    37.18    86.79    53.94P    0.00R    0.00  
Darlington          8   13   +5      65.03    10.08     5.65     0.67    11.61     2.75P    1.57R    0.21  
Grimsby             8   13   +0      76.32    10.48    17.05     6.52    46.12    16.08P    0.13R    0.02  
Newport_County      8   11   +3      61.56    11.05     1.08     0.43     8.36     1.84P    5.04R    1.01  
Southport           8   11   +0      55.67    10.30   -10.48     0.05     2.25     0.42P   11.80R    2.68  
Kidderminster       8   11   -2      64.59    10.22    -0.11     0.52    10.85     2.28P    2.10R    0.29  
Gateshead           8   11   -4      50.91     9.41   -23.88     0.01     0.49     0.06P   22.24R    5.84  
York                8   10   +3      78.27     9.61    27.39     8.00    55.39    23.00P    0.02R    0.00  
Barrow              8   10   +2      56.23     9.90    -7.88     0.05     2.25     0.35P    9.68R    1.89  
Wrexham             8   10   -1      64.15     9.51     2.91     0.30     8.56     2.04P    1.53R    0.19  
Rushden_&_D'mnds    8   10   -1      80.39     9.77    28.11    11.64    63.54    28.21P    0.02R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       8    9   +3      69.05    10.04    15.62     1.41    21.26     5.79P    0.63R    0.06  
Forest_Green        8    9   -2      48.84     9.58   -23.07     0.00     0.28     0.02P   29.27R    8.41  
Eastbourne_Boro     8    8   -3      45.41     9.42   -29.40     0.00     0.13     0.02P   43.25R   15.66  
Histon              8    8   -5      46.97     9.36   -26.27     0.00     0.17     0.02P   36.26R   11.41  
Hayes_&_Yeading     8    7  -10      43.48     9.60   -40.20     0.00     0.08     0.01P   52.66R   22.06  
Kettering           8    6   -4      62.88     9.65     3.80     0.19     6.86     1.56P    2.37R    0.32  
Bath_City           8    6   -7      44.83    10.31   -28.65     0.00     0.21     0.02P   46.31R   19.26  
Altrincham          8    1  -13      47.97     9.70   -20.55     0.00     0.23     0.02P   32.04R   10.26