Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 7 September 2010 at 21:16:31 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 29 August 2010, Aston_Villa vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          3    9  +13      89.09     7.97    78.84    64.24    88.75    96.87    98.97    99.90     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          3    7   +7      76.54     8.86    46.53     9.15    32.47    66.71    82.91    95.53     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          3    7   +6      82.78     8.32    56.23    24.66    66.01    87.67    95.20    99.22     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa      3    6   -2      57.42     8.98     2.67     0.08     0.72     3.40    10.08    33.25     0.52R    0.04  
Bolton           3    5   +2      40.40     8.51   -23.70     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.16     1.25    23.24R    4.93  
Birmingham       3    5   +1      47.03     8.67    -9.57     0.00     0.03     0.21     0.95     5.90     6.55R    0.82  
Wolverhampton    3    5   +1      39.08     8.17   -22.67     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.67    27.21R    5.96  
Newcastle        3    4   +3      58.35     9.96    12.77     0.21     1.41     5.73    15.28    40.28     0.86R    0.08  
Man_City         3    4   +2      66.68     9.03    27.18     1.09     6.14    19.96    42.89    75.13     0.04R    0.00  
Sunderland       3    4   +0      46.76     8.83   -11.03     0.00     0.02     0.23     1.03     5.90     7.64R    1.20  
Tottenham        3    4   +0      61.18     9.15    14.17     0.22     1.73     7.49    20.08    51.54     0.19R    0.01  
Blackpool        3    4   -2      36.12     9.11   -37.21     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.68    43.22R   13.67  
Liverpool        3    4   -2      63.24     8.94    15.59     0.34     2.53    10.29    26.31    60.47     0.09R    0.00  
Fulham           3    3   +0      46.86     8.70    -7.32     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.94     6.02     6.60R    0.91  
Blackburn        3    3   -1      42.83     8.65   -16.39     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.34     2.46    15.58R    2.95  
West_Brom        3    3   -6      43.47     9.72   -21.26     0.00     0.02     0.15     0.69     4.00    17.11R    3.96  
Wigan            3    3   -9      28.56     7.77   -56.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    78.03R   44.97  
Everton          3    1   -2      51.96     9.18     1.44     0.01     0.13     0.98     3.84    16.44     2.68R    0.37  
Stoke            3    0   -3      39.20     8.48   -16.32     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.11     0.89    26.59R    6.13  
West_Ham         3    0   -8      35.84     8.78   -33.33     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.46    43.84R   13.99  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 August 2010, Barnsley vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR               4   10   +9      68.84    10.80    10.90     4.36    10.33    37.92    16.09P    2.22R    0.39  
Cardiff           4   10   +7      81.87    11.04    29.65    29.80    47.87    81.11    57.54P    0.10R    0.01  
Millwall          4    9   +6      75.53    11.64    19.92    14.02    26.62    61.39    35.91P    0.82R    0.11  
Ipswich           4    8   +3      60.74    10.55    -3.77     0.76     2.20    14.09     4.45P    9.92R    2.48  
Burnley           4    7   +3      74.65    12.10    18.97    13.41    25.27    58.62    34.23P    1.29R    0.29  
Coventry          4    7   +2      56.19    10.43   -10.13     0.25     0.84     6.86     1.86P   19.57R    5.85  
Leeds_United      4    7   +2      70.89    11.71    11.84     7.20    15.18    45.70    22.91P    2.22R    0.45  
Norwich           4    7   +2      73.33    11.83    15.73    10.80    21.34    53.89    30.15P    1.45R    0.29  
Doncaster         4    7   +0      63.91    10.82    -0.77     1.55     4.42    21.98     8.03P    6.21R    1.31  
Barnsley          4    7   -2      54.12    10.61   -18.95     0.19     0.57     4.97     1.20P   26.89R    9.23  
Scunthorpe        4    6   +1      55.14    10.90   -14.10     0.30     0.90     6.29     1.81P   24.14R    8.22  
Swansea           4    6   +1      63.84     9.82     3.58     1.00     3.14    19.71     7.03P    4.25R    0.75  
Reading           4    5   +0      64.80    11.02     2.99     2.07     5.58    25.30    10.08P    5.51R    1.23  
Watford           4    5   +0      59.09    10.87    -5.85     0.64     1.87    11.87     3.88P   13.86R    3.84  
Derby             4    4   -1      55.36    10.50   -10.25     0.20     0.71     6.05     1.73P   21.93R    7.02  
Middlesbrough     4    4   -2      62.85    10.63     0.63     1.25     3.37    19.05     7.22P    7.14R    1.59  
Sheff_Utd         4    4   -3      61.84    10.76    -2.19     0.92     2.89    16.90     6.10P    8.62R    2.09  
Hull              4    4   -4      59.37    11.59    -7.37     0.95     2.44    13.71     4.93P   14.94R    4.70  
Nott'm_Forest     4    3   -1      73.36    10.44    18.10     8.30    18.38    54.93    30.68P    0.71R    0.09  
Bristol_City      4    3   -3      52.86    10.65   -15.27     0.12     0.44     4.06     1.16P   30.09R   11.24  
Crystal_Palace    4    3   -4      54.19    10.36   -12.67     0.14     0.53     4.60     1.33P   24.83R    8.29  
Preston           4    3   -6      48.24    10.59   -26.85     0.05     0.15     1.69     0.35P   48.08R   23.07  
Leicester         4    1   -5      62.86    10.71     2.00     1.19     3.46    19.64     7.79P    7.19R    1.74  
Portsmouth        4    1   -5      57.31    11.18    -6.15     0.50     1.50     9.68     3.52P   18.01R    5.73  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 5 September 2010, Brentford vs Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Bournemouth       5   10   +7      66.53    11.51     7.74     2.88     6.76    28.06    11.01P    5.67R    0.66  
Sheff_Wed         5   10   +6      73.90    11.76    17.47     9.88    19.72    52.47    28.00P    1.68R    0.16  
Carlisle          5    9   +5      68.46    11.14     9.56     3.60     8.49    33.45    13.77P    3.68R    0.35  
Oldham            5    9   +4      57.10    10.08    -6.20     0.18     0.60     6.16     1.52P   19.29R    2.76  
Peterborough      5    9   +3      64.25    11.92     0.58     2.08     5.04    22.55     8.48P    9.51R    1.39  
Colchester        5    9   +2      73.60    10.91    14.52     7.75    16.65    51.27    25.36P    1.22R    0.10  
MK_Dons           4    9   +0      63.55    11.23    -5.40     1.33     3.60    19.12     6.32P    9.51R    1.30  
Huddersfield      5    8   +3      79.71    11.25    27.55    20.39    35.75    71.96    46.28P    0.30R    0.01  
Rochdale          5    8   +3      66.86    11.96     6.72     3.29     7.76    29.90    12.56P    6.43R    0.79  
Brighton          4    7   +1      64.25    11.11     0.46     1.58     4.15    20.70     7.52P    7.75R    0.98  
Charlton          5    7   +0      75.69    11.00    18.80    10.93    22.30    59.02    33.11P    0.73R    0.04  
Walsall           5    6   -1      59.97    11.00    -4.90     0.62     1.83    11.92     3.89P   14.94R    2.40  
Notts_County      5    6   -2      72.97    11.58    13.92     7.94    16.70    48.96    26.38P    1.85R    0.17  
Exeter            4    5   -2      53.81    10.60   -14.82     0.12     0.39     3.86     1.02P   31.24R    6.78  
Hartlepool        5    5   -3      56.47    10.80   -10.73     0.27     0.86     6.61     1.90P   23.46R    4.43  
Tranmere          5    5   -3      45.36    10.01   -27.04     0.00     0.02     0.51     0.09P   63.25R   24.26  
Bristol_Rovers    5    5   -6      52.23    10.91   -21.41     0.08     0.29     3.21     0.78P   38.00R    9.97  
Southampton       4    4   +1      80.71    11.24    30.63    23.64    39.78    75.03    52.21P    0.28R    0.02  
Dag_&_Red         4    4   -1      46.83    11.43   -25.32     0.05     0.17     1.62     0.41P   57.12R   22.63  
Leyton_Orient     5    4   -2      54.36    10.67   -10.85     0.12     0.45     4.54     1.20P   29.01R    5.88  
Plymouth          4    4   -3      57.74    11.58    -8.20     0.53     1.45     9.38     3.11P   21.27R    4.35  
Brentford         5    4   -4      59.40    10.59    -4.70     0.41     1.26     9.84     3.20P   15.10R    2.36  
Yeovil            5    4   -6      53.24    10.52   -16.48     0.11     0.34     3.35     0.84P   32.90R    7.49  
Swindon           5    3   -2      66.00    11.12     8.11     2.20     5.64    26.50    11.04P    5.80R    0.71  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 September 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Torquay               5   12   +7      78.63    10.67    22.99    22.46    49.07    77.54    56.67P    0.06R    0.00  
Chesterfield          5   11   +6      68.93    10.88     8.59     5.30    17.92    43.63    23.65P    0.82R    0.24  
Shrewsbury            5   11   +4      68.95    10.29     7.20     4.41    16.43    43.26    22.46P    0.54R    0.17  
Port_Vale             5   10   +4      75.74    10.49    18.38    14.18    38.05    68.79    46.40P    0.11R    0.02  
Rotherham             5   10   +3      68.84    10.52     7.22     4.71    16.82    43.13    22.88P    0.73R    0.23  
Burton_Albion         5    8   +3      64.55    10.76     3.00     2.47     9.44    29.06    13.78P    2.18R    0.77  
Bury                  5    8   +1      61.85    10.61    -2.71     1.26     5.72    20.50     8.68P    3.85R    1.47  
Crewe                 5    7   +6      65.03    11.06     8.14     2.89    11.18    31.76    15.85P    2.24R    0.84  
Accrington_Stanley    5    7   +3      60.28    10.53    -1.74     0.83     4.27    16.96     6.65P    4.85R    1.98  
Wycombe               5    7   +2      74.18    11.49    18.85    13.96    34.20    62.56    42.78P    0.38R    0.11  
Aldershot             5    7   +1      70.29    10.74    11.91     6.51    21.21    49.02    28.51P    0.60R    0.18  
Southend              5    7   +0      71.16    11.42    12.27     8.28    24.59    51.64    32.24P    0.74R    0.25  
Cheltenham            5    7   -2      54.26    10.56   -17.70     0.26     1.36     6.61     2.23P   14.50R    6.70  
Oxford_Utd            5    6   +3      60.39    10.56     2.04     0.93     4.61    17.38     7.66P    4.60R    1.85  
Stevenage             5    6   +1      69.48    10.97    12.13     5.85    19.60    46.26    27.77P    0.88R    0.27  
Stockport             5    6   +0      53.36    10.67   -12.63     0.24     1.17     6.05     2.06P   16.39R    7.73  
Barnet                5    5   -6      48.13     9.84   -25.08     0.03     0.21     1.58     0.43P   31.40R   17.05  
Northampton           5    4   -3      63.94    10.53     2.98     1.68     7.78    26.65    12.44P    2.47R    0.87  
Hereford              5    4   -7      51.52    10.03   -19.46     0.08     0.49     3.24     0.99P   20.19R    9.94  
Gillingham            5    3   -2      64.94    11.08     6.90     2.78    10.85    31.20    16.92P    2.21R    0.82  
Lincoln_City          5    3   -4      45.91     9.59   -22.37     0.01     0.09     0.82     0.21P   38.83R   22.46  
Bradford              5    3   -7      53.89    10.38   -15.12     0.14     1.00     5.79     1.94P   14.96R    7.17  
Macclesfield          5    2   -6      48.50    10.02   -19.66     0.02     0.24     1.83     0.52P   29.54R   15.89  
Morecambe             5    2   -7      59.09    10.82    -6.12     0.70     3.70    14.73     6.27P    6.93R    2.98  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 September 2010, Gateshead vs Southport; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon       7   16   +7      81.48    10.16    25.44    15.45    67.78    27.38P    0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield           7   15   +6      77.42    10.37    20.33     8.66    52.04    17.10P    0.07R    0.01  
Crawley_Town        7   14   +3      65.18     9.90     0.28     0.58    11.99     2.28P    1.84R    0.24  
Grimsby             7   13   +1      78.41    10.65    18.92     9.73    55.95    20.93P    0.11R    0.01  
Tamworth            7   12   +2      63.80     9.92     0.40     0.40     9.54     1.65P    2.60R    0.39  
Luton               7   11   +2      85.83     9.91    35.98    29.39    82.06    46.68P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town      7   11   +2      61.98    11.32    -1.44     0.60     9.63     2.17P    6.16R    1.35  
Southport           7   11   +1      57.29    10.63    -8.71     0.18     3.89     0.76P   11.18R    2.86  
Darlington          7   10   +2      62.29    10.49     1.19     0.44     8.80     2.03P    4.37R    0.79  
Rushden_&_D'mnds    7   10   +0      83.85     9.97    31.97    21.89    76.49    39.34P    0.01R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       7    9   +5      70.32    10.33    17.26     2.42    27.09     7.77P    0.69R    0.08  
York                7    9   +3      78.57     9.66    26.82     8.87    58.47    24.29P    0.02R    0.00  
Forest_Green        7    9   +1      51.23     9.90   -17.37     0.01     0.81     0.10P   24.79R    7.34  
Barrow              7    9   -1      55.35    10.08   -12.26     0.06     2.13     0.31P   13.71R    3.37  
Newport_County      7    8   +2      56.91    11.39    -4.75     0.22     4.71     0.99P   13.60R    3.90  
Eastbourne_Boro     7    8   +1      47.98     9.72   -21.50     0.01     0.30     0.04P   36.53R   13.07  
Histon              7    8   -2      50.23     9.70   -19.46     0.01     0.53     0.06P   28.00R    8.73  
Wrexham             7    8   -2      62.51     9.66     0.68     0.27     7.27     1.70P    2.89R    0.45  
Kidderminster       7    8   -4      63.34    10.50    -1.31     0.57    10.12     2.18P    3.91R    0.73  
Gateshead           7    8   -6      47.78     9.63   -27.79     0.00     0.28     0.03P   37.88R   13.91  
Hayes_&_Yeading     7    7   -6      46.53    10.01   -31.96     0.00     0.33     0.04P   43.64R   17.90  
Bath_City           7    6   -3      48.19    10.78   -20.58     0.01     0.62     0.10P   36.92R   14.87  
Kettering           7    5   -3      63.29     9.78     4.85     0.22     8.60     1.96P    2.77R    0.43  
Altrincham          7    1  -11      50.20    10.01   -16.99     0.01     0.57     0.10P   28.30R    9.57