Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 6 September 2010 at 21:16:36 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 29 August 2010, Aston_Villa vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          3    9  +13      89.15     8.02    77.94    66.77    89.31    96.99    99.09    99.93     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          3    7   +7      76.57     8.95    46.09     9.56    34.71    67.47    83.16    95.57     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          3    7   +4      81.58     8.43    50.73    21.49    61.63    84.82    93.55    98.93     0.00R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      3    6   -2      57.60     9.02     3.03     0.09     0.82     3.73    10.87    34.31     0.55R    0.04  
Bolton           3    5   +2      40.49     8.55   -23.06     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.16     1.41    23.49R    5.06  
Birmingham       3    5   +1      46.88     8.67    -9.55     0.01     0.04     0.25     1.02     5.85     6.95R    0.98  
Wolverhampton    3    5   +1      39.16     8.20   -22.13     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.79    27.28R    6.02  
Newcastle        3    4   +3      58.09     9.83    12.26     0.19     1.32     5.59    14.51    39.11     0.80R    0.08  
Man_City         3    4   +2      66.63     9.14    26.79     1.22     6.92    20.83    43.20    75.19     0.04R    0.00  
Sunderland       3    4   +0      46.76     8.96   -10.66     0.00     0.04     0.27     1.13     6.11     8.02R    1.26  
Tottenham        3    4   +0      61.25     9.13    14.22     0.25     2.11     8.07    20.60    51.85     0.21R    0.01  
Blackpool        3    4   -2      35.95     9.12   -36.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.73    44.58R   14.40  
Liverpool        3    4   -2      63.29     8.98    15.47     0.39     2.84    10.47    26.71    61.18     0.11R    0.01  
Fulham           3    3   +0      46.53     8.64    -7.59     0.00     0.03     0.22     0.96     5.58     7.01R    0.92  
Blackburn        3    3   -1      42.70     8.65   -16.28     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.34     2.39    16.17R    3.08  
West_Brom        3    3   -6      43.23     9.55   -21.21     0.00     0.03     0.17     0.62     3.62    17.82R    3.92  
Wigan            3    3   -9      28.48     7.80   -55.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    78.42R   45.94  
Everton          3    1   -2      51.62     9.21     0.89     0.02     0.17     1.00     3.75    15.89     2.81R    0.40  
Stoke            3    0   -3      39.24     8.49   -15.98     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.89    26.92R    6.24  
West_Ham         3    0   -6      36.95     8.89   -28.28     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.65    38.80R   11.65  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 August 2010, Barnsley vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR               4   10   +9      68.89    10.96    11.06     4.45    10.71    38.55    16.42P    2.24R    0.39  
Cardiff           4   10   +7      81.77    10.99    29.47    29.73    47.50    81.02    57.54P    0.12R    0.02  
Millwall          4    9   +6      75.96    11.57    20.61    14.87    27.90    62.98    37.35P    0.65R    0.09  
Ipswich           4    8   +3      60.75    10.46    -3.68     0.74     2.18    14.02     4.38P    9.61R    2.30  
Burnley           4    7   +3      74.67    11.99    18.90    13.21    24.80    58.44    33.73P    1.23R    0.21  
Coventry          4    7   +2      55.91    10.27   -10.34     0.21     0.72     6.31     1.69P   20.04R    5.89  
Leeds_United      4    7   +2      70.68    11.62    11.49     6.63    14.63    44.96    22.35P    2.24R    0.48  
Norwich           4    7   +2      73.66    11.90    16.25    11.29    22.14    55.15    30.97P    1.41R    0.27  
Doncaster         4    7   -1      63.05    10.77    -2.98     1.32     3.85    19.82     7.20P    7.08R    1.60  
Barnsley          4    7   -2      53.99    10.43   -19.02     0.15     0.50     4.47     1.12P   26.63R    8.99  
Scunthorpe        4    6   +1      55.09    10.88   -14.02     0.30     0.83     6.33     1.69P   24.01R    8.38  
Swansea           4    6   +1      64.04     9.79     3.81     1.14     3.25    20.14     7.28P    3.95R    0.68  
Reading           4    5   +0      64.75    11.11     2.94     2.13     5.51    25.39     9.91P    5.72R    1.30  
Watford           4    5   +0      58.82    10.82    -6.08     0.55     1.64    11.45     3.50P   14.21R    4.25  
Derby             4    4   -1      55.36    10.55   -10.15     0.17     0.68     6.11     1.69P   21.83R    7.04  
Middlesbrough     4    4   -2      62.43    10.55     0.06     1.07     3.06    17.99     6.74P    7.34R    1.64  
Hull              4    4   -3      60.28    11.73    -4.76     1.20     3.10    15.79     5.98P   13.34R    4.21  
Sheff_Utd         4    4   -3      61.93    10.63    -1.99     0.98     2.91    16.81     6.12P    8.19R    1.93  
Nott'm_Forest     4    3   -1      73.36    10.48    18.01     7.95    18.23    55.25    30.46P    0.72R    0.10  
Bristol_City      4    3   -3      52.73    10.58   -15.41     0.13     0.45     3.95     1.11P   30.29R   11.09  
Crystal_Palace    4    3   -4      54.02    10.27   -12.85     0.12     0.46     4.42     1.26P   25.45R    8.22  
Preston           4    3   -6      47.95    10.54   -27.30     0.06     0.14     1.60     0.40P   49.19R   23.81  
Leicester         4    1   -5      62.90    10.63     2.01     1.12     3.36    19.33     7.60P    6.87R    1.69  
Portsmouth        4    1   -5      57.38    11.12    -6.01     0.47     1.47     9.72     3.52P   17.65R    5.42  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 5 September 2010, Brentford vs Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Bournemouth       5   10   +7      66.81    11.53     8.20     2.98     7.09    28.97    11.57P    5.46R    0.58  
Sheff_Wed         5   10   +6      73.78    11.68    17.19     9.61    19.22    51.82    27.39P    1.47R    0.10  
Carlisle          5    9   +5      68.15    11.07     9.14     3.33     7.91    32.20    13.15P    3.78R    0.40  
Oldham            5    9   +4      57.08    10.11    -6.25     0.23     0.70     6.08     1.57P   19.37R    2.84  
Peterborough      5    9   +3      64.47    11.97     0.85     2.36     5.47    23.00     8.98P    9.20R    1.33  
Colchester        5    9   +2      73.90    10.86    14.93     7.82    17.13    52.02    25.96P    1.12R    0.08  
MK_Dons           4    9   +0      63.49    11.28    -5.46     1.49     3.79    18.77     6.33P    9.63R    1.24  
Huddersfield      5    8   +3      79.60    11.23    27.36    19.98    35.35    72.16    45.92P    0.39R    0.03  
Rochdale          5    8   +3      66.94    11.90     6.82     3.35     7.76    29.52    12.39P    6.11R    0.83  
Brighton          4    7   +1      64.67    11.13     1.06     1.74     4.32    21.52     7.67P    7.23R    0.83  
Charlton          5    7   +0      75.85    10.98    19.01    11.01    22.73    59.52    33.55P    0.74R    0.05  
Walsall           5    6   -1      60.12    10.95    -4.66     0.61     1.77    11.81     3.73P   14.40R    2.17  
Notts_County      5    6   -2      73.10    11.62    14.16     8.38    17.27    49.34    27.24P    1.78R    0.13  
Exeter            4    5   -2      54.02    10.70   -14.54     0.15     0.46     4.17     1.14P   30.73R    6.67  
Hartlepool        5    5   -3      56.19    10.81   -11.07     0.29     0.76     6.17     1.77P   23.95R    4.73  
Tranmere          5    5   -3      45.26     9.99   -27.19     0.01     0.02     0.44     0.07P   63.52R   24.15  
Bristol_Rovers    5    5   -6      51.76    10.76   -22.22     0.07     0.24     2.84     0.67P   39.32R   10.26  
Southampton       4    4   +1      80.43    11.19    30.28    22.84    38.53    74.42    50.96P    0.27R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red         4    4   -1      46.69    11.32   -25.56     0.04     0.12     1.40     0.30P   57.54R   22.70  
Leyton_Orient     5    4   -2      54.32    10.68   -10.93     0.14     0.45     4.52     1.22P   29.01R    5.92  
Plymouth          4    4   -3      57.56    11.57    -8.46     0.51     1.39     9.12     2.94P   21.64R    4.50  
Brentford         5    4   -4      59.51    10.69    -4.64     0.50     1.37    10.11     3.26P   14.99R    2.33  
Yeovil            5    4   -6      53.34    10.63   -16.30     0.09     0.33     3.58     0.91P   32.75R    7.44  
Swindon           5    3   -2      66.06    11.17     8.26     2.46     5.82    26.51    11.30P    5.60R    0.70  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 September 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Torquay               5   12   +7      78.55    10.66    22.86    22.20    48.73    77.39    56.14P    0.05R    0.01  
Chesterfield          5   11   +6      68.98    10.81     8.63     5.25    17.97    43.96    23.72P    0.78R    0.23  
Shrewsbury            5   11   +4      68.87    10.27     7.18     4.41    16.21    42.89    22.18P    0.56R    0.16  
Port_Vale             5   10   +4      75.92    10.35    18.67    14.64    38.44    69.73    46.90P    0.10R    0.02  
Rotherham             5   10   +3      69.08    10.48     7.68     4.91    17.41    43.82    23.63P    0.68R    0.18  
Burton_Albion         5    8   +3      64.26    10.80     2.61     2.33     9.21    28.27    13.34P    2.47R    0.92  
Bury                  5    8   +1      62.06    10.66    -2.36     1.37     6.04    21.09     9.08P    3.47R    1.34  
Crewe                 5    7   +6      64.76    11.05     7.72     2.90    10.94    30.61    15.42P    2.28R    0.79  
Accrington_Stanley    5    7   +3      60.45    10.69    -1.54     0.93     4.60    17.67     7.32P    5.00R    2.00  
Wycombe               5    7   +2      74.28    11.25    19.00    13.83    34.56    63.04    43.01P    0.30R    0.09  
Aldershot             5    7   +1      70.47    10.68    12.16     6.68    21.27    49.50    28.73P    0.50R    0.15  
Southend              5    7   +0      70.99    11.35    11.98     8.07    23.90    51.16    31.44P    0.69R    0.23  
Cheltenham            5    7   -2      54.41    10.56   -17.43     0.22     1.33     6.63     2.15P   14.21R    6.70  
Oxford_Utd            5    6   +3      60.23    10.57     1.91     0.84     4.50    17.11     7.46P    4.87R    1.83  
Stevenage             5    6   +1      69.60    10.85    12.29     5.81    19.65    46.69    27.99P    0.66R    0.21  
Stockport             5    6   +0      53.49    10.83   -12.58     0.23     1.29     6.46     2.24P   16.41R    7.84  
Barnet                5    5   -6      47.98     9.71   -25.32     0.03     0.19     1.36     0.36P   31.39R   16.91  
Northampton           5    4   -3      63.77    10.47     2.70     1.58     7.50    25.90    12.21P    2.41R    0.86  
Hereford              5    4   -7      51.42    10.14   -19.65     0.08     0.53     3.32     1.01P   20.77R   10.39  
Gillingham            5    3   -2      64.76    11.18     6.65     2.78    10.74    30.58    16.81P    2.35R    0.88  
Lincoln_City          5    3   -4      45.86     9.61   -22.46     0.00     0.09     0.79     0.22P   38.88R   22.38  
Bradford              5    3   -7      54.08    10.49   -14.79     0.17     1.18     6.04     2.13P   14.76R    6.97  
Macclesfield          5    2   -6      48.42    10.01   -19.76     0.02     0.17     1.64     0.48P   29.40R   15.79  
Morecambe             5    2   -7      58.99    10.81    -6.15     0.71     3.57    14.37     6.02P    7.01R    3.11  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 5 September 2010, Newport_County vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon       7   16   +7      81.55    10.19    25.46    15.03    67.57    27.21P    0.02R    0.00  
Mansfield           7   15   +6      77.15    10.56    19.90     8.26    50.89    16.33P    0.12R    0.00  
Crawley_Town        7   14   +3      65.17     9.94     0.29     0.65    11.64     2.28P    1.75R    0.21  
Grimsby             7   13   +1      78.74    10.76    19.47    10.22    56.49    21.69P    0.08R    0.01  
Tamworth            7   12   +2      63.61     9.90     0.12     0.39     8.96     1.59P    2.47R    0.36  
Luton               7   11   +2      86.19     9.90    36.70    29.95    82.95    47.61P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town      7   11   +2      62.11    11.29    -1.16     0.55     9.72     1.97P    5.81R    1.17  
Southport           6   11   +2      59.99    11.29    -5.90     0.39     7.19     1.49P    8.17R    1.99  
Darlington          7   10   +2      61.77    10.44     0.38     0.37     7.70     1.70P    4.38R    0.79  
Rushden_&_D'mnds    7   10   +0      83.95     9.92    32.18    21.46    76.74    38.96P    0.01R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       7    9   +5      70.49    10.35    17.48     2.50    27.31     8.13P    0.57R    0.08  
York                7    9   +3      78.64     9.73    26.93     8.86    58.08    23.86P    0.02R    0.00  
Forest_Green        7    9   +1      51.08     9.87   -17.73     0.02     0.75     0.10P   24.33R    6.98  
Barrow              7    9   -1      55.38    10.09   -12.25     0.06     2.01     0.29P   13.48R    3.09  
Newport_County      7    8   +2      56.71    11.35    -5.03     0.19     4.19     0.78P   13.51R    3.82  
Eastbourne_Boro     7    8   +1      48.33     9.79   -21.04     0.01     0.39     0.05P   34.46R   11.66  
Histon              7    8   -2      49.98     9.77   -19.81     0.01     0.52     0.07P   28.00R    8.50  
Wrexham             7    8   -2      62.47     9.73     0.60     0.25     7.28     1.65P    2.85R    0.41  
Kidderminster       7    8   -4      63.41    10.54    -1.26     0.54    10.02     2.15P    3.69R    0.74  
Hayes_&_Yeading     7    7   -6      46.49    10.03   -32.03     0.01     0.35     0.04P   43.05R   17.12  
Bath_City           7    6   -3      47.91    10.82   -21.00     0.02     0.68     0.11P   37.22R   14.97  
Kettering           7    5   -3      63.17     9.71     4.70     0.24     7.90     1.83P    2.61R    0.34  
Gateshead           6    5   -7      45.50     9.82   -30.14     0.00     0.16     0.02P   46.35R   19.20  
Altrincham          7    1  -11      50.23     9.95   -16.85     0.01     0.51     0.09P   27.05R    8.56