Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 5 September 2010 at 21:16:24 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 29 August 2010, Aston_Villa vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          3    9  +13      89.11     8.08    77.85    66.77    89.08    96.89    99.00    99.88     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          3    7   +7      76.43     8.96    45.67     9.77    34.76    66.67    82.67    95.28     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          3    7   +4      81.55     8.36    50.43    21.10    61.57    85.05    93.83    98.89     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa      3    6   -2      57.48     9.03     2.82     0.10     0.89     3.69    10.64    34.18     0.58R    0.05  
Bolton           3    5   +2      40.55     8.60   -22.80     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.18     1.44    23.12R    5.10  
Birmingham       3    5   +1      46.95     8.68    -9.48     0.00     0.03     0.25     0.99     6.02     6.91R    0.90  
Wolverhampton    3    5   +1      39.25     8.20   -21.93     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.73    26.98R    5.85  
Newcastle        3    4   +3      58.34     9.93    12.81     0.24     1.53     6.00    15.26    40.46     0.78R    0.07  
Man_City         3    4   +2      66.70     9.19    26.96     1.30     7.16    21.37    43.37    75.16     0.03R    0.00  
Sunderland       3    4   +0      46.69     8.95   -10.77     0.00     0.04     0.23     1.03     6.12     8.03R    1.29  
Tottenham        3    4   +0      60.97     9.16    13.78     0.27     1.96     7.54    19.65    50.76     0.23R    0.02  
Blackpool        3    4   -2      35.79     9.11   -37.18     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.60    45.37R   14.69  
Liverpool        3    4   -2      63.25     8.96    15.42     0.42     2.76    10.74    27.08    60.59     0.09R    0.01  
Fulham           3    3   +0      46.45     8.75    -7.69     0.00     0.02     0.20     0.94     5.73     7.46R    1.11  
Blackburn        3    3   -1      42.80     8.65   -16.07     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.31     2.45    15.98R    2.97  
West_Brom        3    3   -6      43.22     9.67   -21.22     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.73     3.88    18.02R    4.09  
Wigan            3    3   -9      28.51     7.75   -55.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    78.33R   45.92  
Everton          3    1   -2      51.82     9.19     1.21     0.02     0.17     1.10     4.05    16.33     2.86R    0.37  
Stoke            3    0   -3      39.04     8.49   -16.22     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.84    27.58R    6.38  
West_Ham         3    0   -6      37.15     8.88   -27.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.66    37.67R   11.17  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 August 2010, Barnsley vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR               4   10   +9      69.07    10.89    11.37     4.76    10.98    38.94    17.00P    2.27R    0.37  
Cardiff           4   10   +7      81.62    10.98    29.17    29.52    47.24    80.66    56.90P    0.10R    0.01  
Millwall          4    9   +6      75.43    11.73    19.83    14.31    26.96    61.15    36.11P    0.80R    0.13  
Ipswich           4    8   +3      60.99    10.57    -3.31     0.89     2.49    14.80     4.86P    9.48R    2.34  
Burnley           4    7   +3      74.53    12.00    18.74    13.33    24.91    58.10    33.78P    1.29R    0.28  
Coventry          4    7   +2      56.03    10.32   -10.20     0.19     0.76     6.63     1.75P   19.86R    6.04  
Leeds_United      4    7   +2      71.01    11.62    12.03     7.26    15.59    46.30    23.39P    2.13R    0.40  
Norwich           4    7   +2      73.16    11.92    15.41    10.79    21.32    53.69    30.11P    1.59R    0.37  
Doncaster         4    7   -1      63.19    10.84    -2.81     1.51     4.00    20.18     7.32P    7.07R    1.53  
Barnsley          4    7   -2      54.05    10.52   -18.90     0.22     0.62     4.85     1.29P   26.55R    9.17  
Scunthorpe        4    6   +1      55.21    10.83   -13.84     0.31     0.92     6.44     1.84P   23.49R    7.89  
Swansea           4    6   +1      63.78     9.78     3.57     0.95     3.00    19.76     6.91P    4.23R    0.75  
Reading           4    5   +0      64.68    11.09     2.85     2.17     5.70    25.23    10.14P    5.88R    1.35  
Watford           4    5   +0      58.91    10.85    -5.96     0.55     1.78    11.64     3.74P   14.12R    4.12  
Derby             4    4   -1      55.37    10.50   -10.15     0.23     0.69     6.12     1.69P   21.92R    7.11  
Middlesbrough     4    4   -2      62.67    10.62     0.41     1.20     3.56    18.98     7.42P    7.13R    1.59  
Hull              4    4   -3      60.19    11.54    -4.90     1.06     2.89    15.36     5.76P   13.30R    4.06  
Sheff_Utd         4    4   -3      62.05    10.65    -1.83     1.03     2.98    17.05     6.13P    8.17R    1.99  
Nott'm_Forest     4    3   -1      73.03    10.46    17.55     7.63    17.43    54.27    29.45P    0.75R    0.09  
Bristol_City      4    3   -3      52.62    10.60   -15.55     0.14     0.42     3.82     1.05P   30.95R   11.49  
Crystal_Palace    4    3   -4      54.07    10.33   -12.78     0.15     0.49     4.57     1.33P   25.48R    8.54  
Preston           4    3   -6      48.16    10.52   -26.80     0.04     0.13     1.52     0.35P   48.30R   22.92  
Leicester         4    1   -5      62.89    10.67     1.97     1.24     3.53    19.64     7.80P    7.03R    1.67  
Portsmouth        4    1   -5      57.46    11.32    -5.89     0.50     1.61    10.30     3.89P   18.09R    5.78  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 5 September 2010, Brentford vs Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Bournemouth       5   10   +7      66.38    11.36     7.67     2.90     6.91    28.25    11.12P    5.92R    0.68  
Sheff_Wed         5   10   +6      74.37    11.80    18.11    11.64    22.27    54.86    30.67P    1.68R    0.18  
Carlisle          5    9   +5      68.05    11.05     9.05     3.63     8.55    32.97    13.62P    4.12R    0.46  
Oldham            5    9   +4      57.49     9.97    -5.53     0.24     0.79     6.64     1.78P   18.79R    2.65  
Peterborough      5    9   +3      64.78    11.93     1.46     2.72     6.23    24.63     9.98P    9.15R    1.27  
Colchester        5    9   +2      73.66    10.88    14.56     9.04    18.08    52.29    26.94P    1.22R    0.07  
MK_Dons           4    9   +0      63.20    11.15    -5.88     1.53     3.86    18.62     6.50P   10.07R    1.40  
Huddersfield      5    8   +3      79.00    11.24    26.38    20.44    35.27    70.87    45.60P    0.47R    0.03  
Rochdale          5    8   +3      66.63    11.75     6.33     3.54     8.03    29.35    12.53P    6.45R    0.93  
Brighton          4    7   +1      64.35    11.06     0.66     1.90     4.64    21.47     8.02P    8.06R    1.01  
Charlton          5    7   +0      75.52    10.94    18.52    11.74    23.24    59.36    33.85P    0.82R    0.06  
Walsall           5    6   -1      59.99    10.91    -4.75     0.74     1.95    12.05     4.04P   15.32R    2.57  
Notts_County      5    6   -2      72.86    11.52    13.79     8.67    17.70    49.49    27.55P    1.99R    0.18  
Exeter            4    5   -2      54.31    10.61   -14.06     0.16     0.53     4.55     1.19P   30.79R    6.70  
Bristol_Rovers    5    5   -3      54.21    10.71   -14.69     0.18     0.55     4.71     1.23P   31.10R    7.03  
Hartlepool        5    5   -3      56.51    10.72   -10.52     0.29     0.82     6.71     1.94P   24.09R    4.69  
Tranmere          5    5   -3      45.55     9.89   -26.49     0.00     0.03     0.58     0.11P   63.84R   24.52  
Dag_&_Red         4    4   -1      47.24    11.43   -24.54     0.05     0.23     1.81     0.50P   56.62R   22.94  
Leyton_Orient     5    4   -2      54.14    10.65   -11.18     0.13     0.45     4.31     1.19P   30.85R    6.72  
Southampton       4    4   -2      77.45    11.09    22.20    16.57    30.00    65.91    42.24P    0.60R    0.06  
Plymouth          4    4   -3      57.63    11.50    -8.39     0.59     1.56     9.56     3.27P   22.31R    4.54  
Brentford         5    4   -4      59.52    10.62    -4.57     0.52     1.53    10.51     3.45P   15.45R    2.46  
Yeovil            5    4   -6      53.26    10.64   -16.33     0.13     0.40     3.69     0.99P   34.21R    8.08  
Swindon           5    3   -2      65.98    11.09     8.19     2.64     6.36    26.80    11.70P    6.07R    0.79  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 September 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Torquay               5   12   +7      78.69    10.58    23.06    22.45    49.35    77.75    57.01P    0.04R    0.01  
Chesterfield          5   11   +6      68.85    10.77     8.51     4.94    17.65    43.56    23.45P    0.77R    0.26  
Shrewsbury            5   11   +4      68.84    10.31     7.16     4.37    16.30    42.62    22.20P    0.58R    0.18  
Port_Vale             5   10   +4      75.80    10.46    18.51    14.31    37.85    69.00    46.43P    0.10R    0.03  
Rotherham             5   10   +3      68.71    10.54     7.16     4.64    16.52    42.59    22.66P    0.72R    0.23  
Burton_Albion         5    8   +3      64.70    10.89     3.24     2.58    10.08    29.89    14.52P    2.35R    0.79  
Bury                  5    8   +1      61.87    10.60    -2.64     1.28     5.69    20.55     8.76P    3.77R    1.52  
Crewe                 5    7   +6      65.10    11.06     8.22     3.04    11.30    31.70    15.89P    2.11R    0.75  
Accrington_Stanley    5    7   +3      60.21    10.49    -1.79     0.89     4.19    16.60     6.73P    4.85R    1.87  
Wycombe               5    7   +2      74.38    11.37    19.05    14.11    35.20    63.69    43.66P    0.35R    0.12  
Aldershot             5    7   +1      70.49    10.72    12.18     6.61    21.42    49.87    28.99P    0.57R    0.21  
Southend              5    7   +0      71.20    11.44    12.31     8.36    24.85    52.24    32.44P    0.73R    0.24  
Cheltenham            5    7   -2      54.51    10.54   -17.29     0.24     1.38     6.94     2.24P   13.85R    6.28  
Oxford_Utd            5    6   +3      60.43    10.49     2.15     0.99     4.42    17.09     7.42P    4.49R    1.76  
Stevenage             5    6   +1      69.15    10.89    11.75     5.50    18.75    45.55    26.73P    0.81R    0.27  
Stockport             5    6   +0      53.51    10.83   -12.38     0.21     1.31     6.43     2.32P   16.30R    7.86  
Barnet                5    5   -6      47.81     9.77   -25.60     0.02     0.15     1.45     0.34P   32.44R   17.46  
Northampton           5    4   -3      63.76    10.45     2.70     1.55     7.54    25.69    11.99P    2.34R    0.87  
Hereford              5    4   -7      51.32    10.09   -19.73     0.07     0.49     3.23     0.97P   20.69R   10.26  
Gillingham            5    3   -2      64.74    11.17     6.59     2.95    10.66    30.31    16.44P    2.38R    0.96  
Lincoln_City          5    3   -4      45.82     9.66   -22.54     0.01     0.07     0.82     0.20P   38.93R   22.64  
Bradford              5    3   -7      53.98    10.47   -15.01     0.17     1.09     6.07     2.06P   15.01R    7.08  
Macclesfield          5    2   -6      48.61    10.02   -19.46     0.02     0.22     1.84     0.51P   28.86R   15.31  
Morecambe             5    2   -7      59.05    10.78    -6.13     0.71     3.53    14.50     6.05P    6.97R    3.05  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 5 September 2010, Newport_County vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon       7   17   +8      82.91    10.17    27.04    19.47    72.62    32.01P    0.02R    0.00  
Mansfield           7   15   +6      77.10    10.49    19.78     8.53    51.43    16.82P    0.08R    0.01  
Crawley_Town        7   14   +3      65.04     9.88     0.03     0.59    11.82     2.23P    1.79R    0.23  
Grimsby             7   13   +1      78.60    10.62    19.17    10.26    56.71    21.61P    0.09R    0.01  
Tamworth            7   12   +2      63.62     9.92     0.20     0.35     9.29     1.68P    2.58R    0.42  
Luton               7   11   +2      86.11    10.00    36.57    30.80    82.58    47.80P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town      7   11   +2      62.03    11.22    -1.30     0.62     9.77     2.07P    5.60R    1.15  
Southport           6   11   +2      60.12    11.14    -5.61     0.42     7.05     1.51P    7.73R    1.78  
Darlington          7   10   +2      62.01    10.38     0.79     0.38     8.37     1.91P    4.16R    0.72  
Cambridge_Utd       7    9   +5      70.62    10.37    17.60     2.64    28.63     8.29P    0.63R    0.09  
York                7    9   +3      78.70     9.79    26.98     9.54    59.19    24.81P    0.04R    0.00  
Barrow              7    9   -1      55.38     9.96   -12.16     0.04     2.03     0.28P   12.97R    3.07  
Newport_County      7    8   +2      56.49    11.31    -5.35     0.21     4.39     0.94P   13.68R    3.81  
Eastbourne_Boro     7    8   +1      48.41     9.76   -20.71     0.00     0.40     0.05P   33.89R   11.56  
Rushden_&_D'mnds    7    8   -1      81.24    10.02    29.75    15.16    68.52    32.18P    0.02R    0.00  
Histon              7    8   -2      50.14     9.74   -19.57     0.01     0.54     0.06P   27.31R    8.43  
Wrexham             7    8   -2      62.38     9.59     0.51     0.22     7.08     1.60P    2.76R    0.40  
Kidderminster       7    8   -4      63.02    10.46    -1.88     0.48     9.56     1.95P    3.80R    0.67  
Hayes_&_Yeading     7    8   -5      48.02    10.04   -29.61     0.01     0.40     0.06P   36.84R   13.49  
Forest_Green        7    7   +0      48.59     9.84   -19.32     0.01     0.43     0.05P   33.16R   10.96  
Bath_City           7    6   -3      48.35    10.73   -20.15     0.01     0.69     0.12P   35.65R   13.92  
Kettering           7    5   -3      62.83     9.73     4.28     0.25     7.74     1.83P    2.72R    0.48  
Gateshead           6    5   -7      45.36     9.82   -30.26     0.00     0.16     0.01P   47.32R   19.91  
Altrincham          7    1  -11      50.25    10.02   -16.79     0.00     0.61     0.14P   27.16R    8.87