Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 4 September 2010 at 21:16:30 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 29 August 2010, Aston_Villa vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          3    9  +13      89.31     8.03    78.38    67.73    89.59    97.08    99.10    99.91     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          3    7   +7      76.63     8.84    46.29     9.52    34.91    67.66    83.55    95.71     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          3    7   +4      81.49     8.38    50.52    20.57    61.06    84.39    93.51    98.83     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa      3    6   -2      57.60     9.03     3.07     0.09     0.80     3.67    11.00    34.45     0.52R    0.04  
Bolton           3    5   +2      40.30     8.63   -23.58     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.17     1.40    24.38R    5.42  
Birmingham       3    5   +1      46.88     8.72    -9.58     0.00     0.04     0.25     1.01     5.99     7.02R    0.99  
Wolverhampton    3    5   +1      39.15     8.23   -22.13     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.78    27.36R    5.90  
Newcastle        3    4   +3      58.01     9.89    12.10     0.20     1.49     5.67    14.26    38.69     0.85R    0.08  
Man_City         3    4   +2      66.71     9.10    26.85     1.17     6.87    20.95    43.45    75.27     0.04R    0.00  
Sunderland       3    4   +0      46.80     8.90   -10.69     0.01     0.05     0.23     1.05     6.24     7.79R    1.10  
Tottenham        3    4   +0      61.10     9.16    13.97     0.28     2.04     7.83    20.11    51.38     0.20R    0.01  
Blackpool        3    4   -2      36.02     9.05   -36.76     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.12     0.70    44.15R   13.74  
Liverpool        3    4   -2      63.23     8.96    15.46     0.40     2.90    10.64    26.53    60.64     0.10R    0.00  
Fulham           3    3   +0      46.54     8.73    -7.57     0.00     0.02     0.19     0.90     5.78     7.24R    1.03  
Blackburn        3    3   -1      42.77     8.64   -16.23     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.32     2.36    16.07R    3.06  
West_Brom        3    3   -6      43.24     9.63   -21.24     0.00     0.02     0.17     0.68     3.86    17.67R    4.01  
Wigan            3    3   -9      28.39     7.71   -55.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    78.99R   46.97  
Everton          3    1   -2      51.85     9.23     1.29     0.01     0.20     1.13     3.99    16.49     2.73R    0.38  
Stoke            3    0   -3      39.18     8.41   -16.10     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.89    26.68R    5.99  
West_Ham         3    0   -6      36.99     8.80   -28.15     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.61    38.21R   11.28  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 August 2010, Barnsley vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR               4   10   +9      68.93    10.91    11.07     4.53    10.65    38.52    16.45P    2.26R    0.44  
Cardiff           4   10   +7      81.72    10.96    29.35    29.05    47.25    80.74    57.18P    0.12R    0.02  
Millwall          4    9   +6      75.88    11.69    20.46    14.83    27.52    62.65    36.95P    0.73R    0.10  
Ipswich           4    8   +3      60.58    10.55    -3.99     0.76     2.09    14.00     4.23P   10.03R    2.46  
Burnley           4    7   +3      75.00    12.08    19.48    14.03    26.25    59.37    35.31P    1.24R    0.23  
Coventry          4    7   +2      55.83    10.38   -10.55     0.22     0.69     6.42     1.66P   20.30R    6.05  
Leeds_United      4    7   +2      71.32    11.70    12.49     7.46    16.13    47.09    24.17P    2.06R    0.38  
Norwich           4    7   +2      73.19    11.82    15.53    10.61    20.84    53.35    29.49P    1.45R    0.29  
Doncaster         4    7   -1      62.87    10.81    -3.29     1.27     3.63    19.29     6.88P    7.31R    1.67  
Barnsley          4    7   -2      53.98    10.47   -19.04     0.16     0.51     4.61     1.17P   27.04R    9.01  
Scunthorpe        4    6   +1      54.93    10.92   -14.30     0.24     0.83     6.17     1.68P   24.43R    8.59  
Swansea           4    6   +1      63.91     9.84     3.68     0.99     3.06    19.96     7.12P    4.23R    0.74  
Reading           4    5   +0      64.49    11.11     2.53     2.06     5.48    24.55     9.83P    5.96R    1.34  
Watford           4    5   +0      58.81    10.81    -6.13     0.59     1.76    11.36     3.63P   13.98R    3.95  
Derby             4    4   -1      55.37    10.52   -10.10     0.23     0.70     6.03     1.63P   21.69R    7.13  
Middlesbrough     4    4   -2      62.99    10.56     0.89     1.23     3.46    19.40     7.31P    6.59R    1.51  
Hull              4    4   -3      60.16    11.62    -5.04     1.10     2.95    15.21     5.72P   13.28R    4.12  
Sheff_Utd         4    4   -3      62.11    10.75    -1.74     1.04     3.05    17.49     6.34P    8.23R    1.91  
Nott'm_Forest     4    3   -1      73.03    10.52    17.61     7.50    17.12    54.09    29.05P    0.81R    0.12  
Bristol_City      4    3   -3      52.60    10.64   -15.63     0.10     0.39     3.87     1.05P   31.05R   11.59  
Crystal_Palace    4    3   -4      54.07    10.29   -12.74     0.14     0.49     4.61     1.27P   25.10R    8.15  
Preston           4    3   -6      48.07    10.54   -27.06     0.06     0.16     1.55     0.40P   48.23R   23.33  
Leicester         4    1   -5      62.96    10.60     2.05     1.24     3.42    19.43     7.74P    6.76R    1.57  
Portsmouth        4    1   -5      57.70    11.20    -5.55     0.55     1.57    10.24     3.75P   17.13R    5.29  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 September 2010, Carlisle vs Swindon; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Sheff_Wed         4   10   +8      78.25    12.21    23.95    16.47    29.34    65.08    38.56P    0.80R    0.06  
Carlisle          5    9   +5      68.46    11.26     9.41     3.07     7.56    32.55    12.72P    3.74R    0.36  
Oldham            5    9   +4      57.30    10.33    -6.17     0.17     0.60     6.32     1.58P   18.56R    2.64  
Peterborough      5    9   +3      64.50    12.01     0.77     2.04     4.99    22.53     8.46P    8.78R    1.30  
Colchester        5    9   +2      73.94    11.08    14.97     7.15    15.73    51.23    24.78P    1.08R    0.06  
MK_Dons           4    9   +0      63.36    11.28    -5.98     1.21     3.22    17.71     5.54P    9.23R    1.23  
Bournemouth       5    8   +6      64.07    11.79     5.58     1.66     4.21    21.30     7.68P    8.53R    1.22  
Huddersfield      5    8   +3      79.84    11.42    27.84    18.66    33.81    71.07    44.60P    0.32R    0.02  
Rochdale          5    8   +3      66.71    12.14     6.29     3.03     7.17    28.60    11.71P    6.42R    0.85  
Brighton          4    7   +1      64.49    11.24     0.64     1.40     3.74    20.60     7.10P    7.38R    0.86  
Charlton          5    7   +0      75.65    11.06    18.72     9.30    19.98    57.48    30.82P    0.75R    0.07  
Notts_County      5    7   -1      75.77    11.97    17.98    11.24    22.09    57.15    32.57P    1.15R    0.10  
Walsall           5    6   -1      60.29    11.01    -4.65     0.52     1.62    11.74     3.60P   13.46R    2.12  
Exeter            4    5   -2      53.86    10.82   -15.17     0.12     0.37     3.95     0.97P   30.34R    6.82  
Tranmere          5    5   -3      45.18    10.06   -27.64     0.01     0.03     0.53     0.08P   62.95R   23.69  
Hartlepool        5    5   -4      55.47    10.87   -13.60     0.16     0.57     5.26     1.41P   25.53R    5.21  
Bristol_Rovers    5    5   -6      51.85    10.97   -22.40     0.08     0.26     2.94     0.67P   38.13R   10.17  
Southampton       4    4   +1      80.69    11.35    30.76    20.82    36.67    73.71    49.41P    0.28R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red         4    4   -1      47.29    11.65   -24.79     0.05     0.17     1.79     0.45P   53.96R   20.89  
Leyton_Orient     5    4   -2      54.05    10.78   -11.69     0.12     0.37     4.17     1.10P   28.91R    6.15  
Plymouth          4    4   -3      57.68    11.60    -8.57     0.45     1.28     9.02     2.86P   20.70R    4.24  
Yeovil            5    4   -6      53.25    10.77   -16.70     0.10     0.32     3.46     0.93P   32.26R    7.33  
Swindon           5    3   -2      65.76    11.31     7.71     1.95     5.08    24.94    10.31P    5.82R    0.64  
Brentford         4    1   -5      56.93    10.96    -7.24     0.22     0.80     6.89     2.09P   20.92R    3.98  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 September 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Shrewsbury            5   13   +8      74.06    10.54    15.62    10.03    29.65    61.13    37.26P    0.13R    0.03  
Torquay               5   12   +7      79.12    10.88    23.75    22.25    48.66    77.27    56.28P    0.06R    0.01  
Chesterfield          5   11   +6      69.39    10.86     9.31     5.15    17.64    43.80    23.29P    0.61R    0.20  
Port_Vale             5   10   +4      76.05    10.64    18.92    13.66    37.05    68.16    45.49P    0.10R    0.02  
Rotherham             5   10   +3      69.23    10.61     7.86     4.53    16.37    43.22    22.75P    0.61R    0.19  
Burton_Albion         5    8   +3      64.71    11.03     3.19     2.46     9.52    28.77    13.71P    2.11R    0.68  
Bury                  5    8   +1      62.31    10.78    -2.02     1.24     5.92    21.12     9.03P    3.37R    1.24  
Accrington_Stanley    5    7   +3      60.64    10.86    -1.35     0.92     4.60    17.47     7.11P    4.69R    1.87  
Wycombe               5    7   +2      74.14    11.47    18.76    12.43    32.45    61.21    40.88P    0.32R    0.11  
Aldershot             5    7   +1      70.98    10.79    12.91     6.36    21.08    50.15    28.77P    0.49R    0.16  
Southend              5    7   +0      70.98    11.51    11.90     7.50    22.61    49.91    30.16P    0.62R    0.22  
Cheltenham            5    7   -2      54.41    10.66   -17.56     0.19     1.27     6.58     2.14P   13.64R    6.37  
Oxford_Utd            5    6   +3      60.29    10.74     1.83     0.82     4.09    16.60     7.22P    4.68R    1.84  
Stevenage             5    6   +1      69.42    11.09    11.94     5.38    18.26    44.86    26.27P    0.85R    0.30  
Crewe                 5    5   +5      62.28    11.19     5.81     1.72     6.94    22.82    10.70P    3.54R    1.37  
Stockport             5    5   -4      48.59    10.76   -23.72     0.07     0.38     2.50     0.78P   29.87R   16.70  
Barnet                5    5   -6      48.16     9.91   -25.37     0.02     0.16     1.45     0.39P   29.59R   15.90  
Lincoln_City          5    4   -3      47.38     9.72   -20.98     0.01     0.11     1.15     0.29P   31.19R   16.79  
Northampton           5    4   -3      63.99    10.59     3.08     1.56     7.24    25.60    11.70P    2.19R    0.84  
Hereford              5    4   -7      51.43    10.27   -19.85     0.06     0.53     3.34     0.99P   19.57R    9.60  
Gillingham            5    3   -2      65.00    11.39     6.98     2.68    10.65    30.58    16.31P    2.35R    0.91  
Bradford              5    3   -7      54.01    10.63   -15.07     0.13     1.04     5.98     2.00P   14.19R    6.68  
Macclesfield          5    2   -6      48.41    10.10   -20.00     0.02     0.18     1.61     0.42P   28.58R   15.06  
Morecambe             5    2   -7      59.24    11.06    -5.93     0.80     3.58    14.71     6.07P    6.64R    2.90  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 September 2010, Altrincham vs Kidderminster; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon       7   16   +7      82.08    10.31    26.65    16.05    68.51    28.12P    0.02R    0.00  
Crawley_Town        7   14   +5      66.47    10.02     3.96     0.79    14.11     2.83P    1.22R    0.13  
Mansfield           7   13   +5      74.73    10.49    18.27     5.35    40.95    12.23P    0.21R    0.03  
Grimsby             7   13   +1      78.60    10.82    19.30     9.84    54.81    20.83P    0.09R    0.00  
Tamworth            7   12   +2      63.78     9.98     0.27     0.38     9.12     1.62P    2.39R    0.31  
Luton               7   11   +2      86.51    10.02    37.47    30.67    82.66    47.78P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town      7   11   +2      62.17    11.36    -1.16     0.66     9.54     2.00P    5.25R    1.04  
Southport           6   11   +2      59.97    11.49    -6.00     0.46     7.26     1.60P    7.81R    1.72  
Darlington          7   10   +2      62.00    10.49     0.66     0.38     7.91     1.77P    3.85R    0.65  
Rushden_&_D'mnds    7   10   +0      84.15    10.09    32.71    21.71    76.18    39.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       7    9   +5      70.80    10.33    18.01     2.46    27.66     7.88P    0.54R    0.05  
York                7    9   +3      79.08     9.80    27.72     9.46    58.81    24.89P    0.02R    0.00  
Forest_Green        7    9   +1      51.00     9.90   -18.15     0.01     0.74     0.10P   23.52R    6.42  
Eastbourne_Boro     7    8   +1      48.16     9.86   -22.09     0.01     0.32     0.05P   33.46R   11.08  
Wrexham             6    8   -1      64.43    10.01     2.38     0.43    10.38     2.41P    1.92R    0.26  
Histon              7    8   -3      49.34     9.78   -22.29     0.01     0.41     0.05P   29.19R    8.88  
Kidderminster       7    8   -4      63.49    10.53    -1.13     0.48     9.77     1.97P    3.28R    0.62  
Newport_County      6    7   +2      57.44    11.74    -4.60     0.27     5.26     1.08P   12.27R    3.24  
Barrow              7    7   -2      52.49    10.11   -14.89     0.01     1.07     0.11P   19.34R    5.16  
Hayes_&_Yeading     7    7   -8      45.13    10.03   -37.29     0.01     0.19     0.03P   47.25R   19.57  
Kettering           7    6   -1      65.72    10.00     8.82     0.54    12.90     3.40P    1.37R    0.18  
Bath_City           7    6   -3      48.14    10.88   -20.78     0.02     0.72     0.11P   35.02R   13.27  
Gateshead           6    5   -7      45.13     9.87   -31.04     0.00     0.14     0.01P   46.00R   19.18  
Altrincham          7    1  -11      50.40    10.21   -16.79     0.01     0.57     0.10P   25.95R    8.20