Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 3 September 2010 at 21:16:27 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 29 August 2010, Aston_Villa vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          3    9  +14      89.77     7.89    82.13    66.91    89.81    97.24    99.20    99.92     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          3    7   +7      76.67     8.87    47.08     8.73    32.50    67.16    83.46    95.63     0.00R    0.00  
Man_Utd          3    7   +6      82.67     8.31    56.28    22.67    65.21    87.56    95.14    99.26     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa      3    6   -2      57.32     9.01     2.38     0.08     0.70     3.21     9.97    32.78     0.56R    0.05  
Bolton           3    5   +2      40.48     8.60   -24.01     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.14     1.44    23.44R    5.15  
Birmingham       3    5   +1      47.09     8.69    -9.74     0.00     0.04     0.26     1.00     6.09     6.61R    0.98  
Wolverhampton    3    5   +1      39.23     8.19   -22.68     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.10     0.76    26.83R    5.78  
Newcastle        3    4   +3      58.33     9.94    12.77     0.16     1.38     5.80    15.14    40.15     0.84R    0.11  
Man_City         3    4   +2      66.59     8.99    27.04     0.89     5.84    19.63    42.45    75.20     0.04R    0.00  
Sunderland       3    4   +0      46.83     8.82   -11.06     0.00     0.02     0.22     1.06     5.97     7.57R    1.12  
Tottenham        3    4   +0      61.09     9.10    13.98     0.25     1.83     7.27    19.88    51.22     0.18R    0.01  
Blackpool        3    4   -2      36.42     9.05   -36.78     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.10     0.70    42.11R   12.99  
Liverpool        3    4   -2      63.31     8.87    15.70     0.30     2.42    10.05    26.33    61.41     0.08R    0.01  
Fulham           3    3   +0      46.72     8.74    -7.74     0.00     0.01     0.21     1.04     5.91     7.20R    1.05  
Blackburn        3    3   -1      42.78     8.65   -16.79     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.31     2.34    16.00R    2.99  
West_Brom        3    3   -6      43.57     9.59   -21.07     0.00     0.03     0.17     0.70     4.12    16.58R    3.75  
Wigan            3    3   -9      28.65     7.78   -56.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    77.90R   45.47  
Everton          3    1   -2      51.61     9.24     0.81     0.01     0.19     1.07     3.84    15.85     2.93R    0.40  
Stoke            3    0   -4      38.76     8.44   -18.28     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.77    28.42R    6.89  
West_Ham         3    0   -8      36.11     8.74   -33.17     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.44    42.71R   13.24  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 August 2010, Barnsley vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR               4   10   +9      69.25    11.06    11.13     4.42    10.43    37.93    16.12P    2.22R    0.39  
Cardiff           4   10   +7      82.09    11.00    30.53    28.65    46.33    80.33    56.23P    0.09R    0.01  
Ipswich           4   10   +5      64.30    10.68    -0.16     1.57     4.06    21.53     7.39P    5.32R    1.07  
Millwall          4    9   +7      77.09    11.72    23.72    16.46    30.07    64.89    39.53P    0.53R    0.08  
Burnley           4    7   +3      75.18    12.20    20.13    13.11    25.12    58.51    34.20P    1.24R    0.26  
Leeds_United      4    7   +2      71.36    11.70    12.56     6.80    14.98    45.61    23.04P    2.04R    0.40  
Norwich           4    7   +2      73.76    11.90    16.62    10.63    21.10    53.78    30.03P    1.33R    0.24  
Coventry          4    7   +1      55.42    10.44   -13.30     0.18     0.59     5.45     1.35P   21.51R    6.62  
Doncaster         4    7   +0      63.80    10.91    -1.31     1.44     3.82    20.81     7.46P    6.28R    1.25  
Barnsley          4    7   -1      54.67    10.67   -18.03     0.18     0.61     5.10     1.30P   24.60R    7.93  
Scunthorpe        4    6   +1      55.67    10.98   -13.84     0.27     0.84     6.54     1.74P   22.17R    7.19  
Swansea           4    6   +1      64.28     9.98     3.82     1.06     3.09    19.88     7.29P    4.01R    0.71  
Reading           4    5   +0      64.88    11.18     2.95     2.03     5.27    24.47     9.47P    5.66R    1.27  
Watford           4    5   +0      59.03    10.87    -6.40     0.53     1.62    10.69     3.22P   13.81R    3.82  
Derby             4    4   -1      55.46    10.72   -11.13     0.21     0.66     5.93     1.64P   22.18R    7.02  
Middlesbrough     4    4   -3      62.40    10.53    -1.35     0.85     2.67    16.64     5.89P    7.33R    1.60  
Sheff_Utd         4    4   -3      62.16    10.92    -1.98     1.01     2.88    16.85     6.11P    8.26R    1.98  
Hull              4    4   -4      59.67    11.73    -7.20     0.92     2.45    13.71     4.94P   14.47R    4.51  
Nott'm_Forest     4    3   -1      73.78    10.57    18.99     7.81    17.69    54.69    29.79P    0.61R    0.08  
Crystal_Palace    4    3   -4      54.53    10.47   -12.70     0.17     0.55     4.65     1.35P   24.02R    7.53  
Preston           4    3   -6      48.10    10.66   -28.20     0.05     0.16     1.52     0.40P   48.31R   22.53  
Bristol_City      4    2   -5      50.12    10.65   -21.15     0.05     0.19     2.10     0.55P   40.01R   16.77  
Leicester         4    1   -5      63.14    10.68     2.30     1.12     3.31    18.81     7.48P    6.68R    1.52  
Portsmouth        4    1   -5      57.65    11.28    -6.00     0.47     1.49     9.59     3.49P   17.34R    5.20  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 August 2010, Bournemouth vs Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Sheff_Wed         4   10   +8      78.25    12.35    24.05    12.59    25.58    63.33    35.64P    0.81R    0.07  
Peterborough      4    9   +4      67.62    12.76     4.30     3.05     7.17    30.37    11.74P    6.09R    0.60  
Carlisle          4    8   +5      69.33    11.72    10.06     2.87     7.62    34.11    13.24P    3.22R    0.25  
Oldham            4    8   +4      57.78    10.57    -6.51     0.15     0.57     6.70     1.54P   16.84R    1.87  
Bournemouth       4    7   +6      63.14    12.22     3.28     1.19     3.29    18.56     6.42P   10.10R    1.29  
Huddersfield      4    7   +3      81.71    11.81    30.66    18.50    35.13    74.10    46.71P    0.26R    0.01  
Brighton          4    7   +1      64.47    11.28     0.37     0.95     3.01    19.25     6.20P    6.91R    0.66  
Charlton          4    7   +1      79.48    11.55    23.84    13.12    27.10    67.94    39.21P    0.40R    0.02  
Colchester        4    6   +1      71.95    11.58    13.51     4.33    10.69    42.15    18.89P    1.78R    0.13  
Walsall           4    6   +0      62.31    11.54    -3.02     0.75     2.26    15.55     4.71P   10.25R    1.24  
MK_Dons           3    6   -1      61.68    11.89    -7.51     0.69     2.13    14.58     4.30P   12.45R    1.62  
Rochdale          4    5   +1      61.34    12.55    -2.15     1.02     2.92    15.78     5.56P   13.74R    2.17  
Hartlepool        4    5   -3      57.57    11.46   -12.05     0.25     0.85     7.84     2.10P   20.05R    3.13  
Southampton       3    4   +3      86.50    11.55    40.96    33.28    52.31    85.83    64.31P    0.04R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient     4    4   +0      57.77    11.26    -6.41     0.18     0.79     7.99     2.10P   18.61R    2.56  
Yeovil            4    4   -2      56.99    11.14    -9.31     0.18     0.70     6.87     1.83P   20.09R    2.95  
Plymouth          4    4   -3      58.66    11.95    -7.37     0.45     1.32    10.15     3.15P   18.04R    2.87  
Notts_County      4    4   -5      70.83    12.34     8.85     4.23    10.19    38.90    18.27P    3.22R    0.26  
Bristol_Rovers    4    4   -6      52.39    11.35   -22.58     0.07     0.28     3.38     0.73P   35.23R    7.35  
Swindon           4    2   -2      66.68    11.80     8.59     1.94     5.30    26.71    10.80P    5.40R    0.51  
Exeter            3    2   -3      51.34    11.03   -18.22     0.04     0.15     2.50     0.52P   37.53R    8.03  
Tranmere          4    2   -4      41.97    10.39   -32.59     0.00     0.01     0.24     0.03P   71.77R   29.63  
Dag_&_Red         3    1   -3      42.80    11.91   -33.08     0.03     0.07     0.80     0.17P   66.99R   29.70  
Brentford         4    1   -5      56.84    11.08    -7.66     0.14     0.55     6.37     1.81P   20.22R    3.06  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 August 2010, Aldershot vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Torquay               4   12   +8      80.47    10.95    24.51    26.45    53.98    80.92    61.01P    0.02R    0.00  
Shrewsbury            4   10   +7      72.19    10.77    14.29     7.86    25.14    55.33    32.32P    0.28R    0.07  
Rotherham             4   10   +4      70.67    10.86     9.16     6.12    20.83    49.06    27.43P    0.42R    0.11  
Chesterfield          4    8   +5      68.10    11.13     8.84     4.58    15.76    40.51    21.32P    0.90R    0.29  
Port_Vale             4    7   +2      72.75    10.84    14.39     8.53    26.74    57.18    35.07P    0.33R    0.09  
Cheltenham            4    7   +0      56.79    10.87   -13.16     0.48     2.38    10.40     3.69P    9.18R    3.81  
Accrington_Stanley    4    6   +3      60.62    11.00    -1.60     0.99     4.89    18.30     7.62P    4.52R    1.70  
Wycombe               4    6   +2      74.45    11.76    18.55    13.28    34.42    62.88    42.73P    0.37R    0.11  
Aldershot             4    6   +1      71.58    10.96    13.14     7.32    23.49    53.01    31.10P    0.47R    0.12  
Stevenage             4    5   +1      70.94    11.31    13.64     7.16    22.83    50.85    31.00P    0.55R    0.17  
Burton_Albion         4    5   +0      61.79    11.16    -1.60     1.47     6.35    21.48     9.63P    3.75R    1.46  
Bury                  4    5   +0      59.49    10.68    -4.01     0.67     3.58    15.08     5.94P    4.87R    1.79  
Crewe                 4    4   +5      61.82    11.44     4.61     1.57     6.99    22.90    10.50P    4.08R    1.52  
Southend              4    4   -1      68.45    11.71     9.53     5.38    17.52    42.33    24.58P    1.19R    0.42  
Lincoln_City          4    4   -2      48.26     9.99   -20.04     0.03     0.18     1.64     0.43P   27.69R   13.76  
Hereford              4    4   -4      53.92    10.36   -14.65     0.12     0.98     5.66     1.88P   13.07R    5.53  
Gillingham            4    3   -1      67.32    11.32     9.40     4.07    14.50    38.24    21.55P    1.30R    0.44  
Oxford_Utd            4    3   -1      55.04    10.70    -6.48     0.23     1.49     7.83     2.91P   10.76R    4.51  
Northampton           4    3   -3      63.55    10.81     1.93     1.60     7.46    25.45    12.00P    2.34R    0.81  
Bradford              4    3   -5      56.81    10.84   -10.45     0.36     2.14    10.03     3.75P    9.09R    3.79  
Morecambe             4    2   -3      63.08    11.18     2.24     1.62     7.53    25.11    11.77P    3.19R    1.20  
Macclesfield          4    2   -4      51.77    10.34   -14.44     0.09     0.58     3.85     1.24P   17.55R    8.10  
Stockport             4    2   -6      44.31    10.85   -29.24     0.02     0.18     1.16     0.35P   44.39R   27.71  
Barnet                4    2   -8      45.23    10.03   -28.57     0.00     0.07     0.79     0.17P   39.68R   22.47  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 30 August 2010, AFC_Wimbledon vs Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Mansfield           6   13   +6      78.00    10.93    22.48     8.37    54.24    17.11P    0.08R    0.01  
AFC_Wimbledon       6   13   +6      79.61    10.64    24.32     9.82    60.07    21.54P    0.06R    0.01  
Crawley_Town        6   13   +5      67.54    10.27     4.85     0.89    17.93     3.55P    1.11R    0.14  
Luton               6   11   +4      89.37    10.21    42.24    38.15    88.40    55.15P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town      6   10   +2      62.22    11.64    -1.72     0.55    10.53     2.19P    6.03R    1.24  
Rushden_&_D'mnds    6   10   +2      86.83    10.27    37.10    27.43    83.33    46.27P    0.00R    0.00  
Southport           5   10   +2      59.97    11.98    -7.28     0.49     8.15     1.72P    9.39R    2.45  
Grimsby             6   10   -1      75.38    11.12    14.97     5.40    44.19    14.43P    0.31R    0.02  
Darlington          6    9   +2      62.83    10.77     1.29     0.42     9.72     2.20P    3.92R    0.77  
Tamworth            6    9   +1      60.46    10.28    -3.52     0.15     5.85     1.07P    5.55R    1.03  
Forest_Green        6    8   +1      51.73    10.32   -17.90     0.03     1.09     0.16P   23.22R    6.77  
Wrexham             6    8   -1      64.55    10.18     2.42     0.41    11.40     2.55P    2.24R    0.30  
Newport_County      6    7   +2      57.07    11.78    -5.25     0.20     5.21     1.04P   13.32R    3.76  
Eastbourne_Boro     6    7   +1      48.12    10.17   -23.11     0.01     0.44     0.06P   35.28R   12.37  
Hayes_&_Yeading     6    7   -7      47.51    10.54   -34.62     0.01     0.49     0.06P   39.39R   15.60  
York                6    6   +1      76.47    10.22    24.42     5.51    49.27    18.92P    0.11R    0.01  
Cambridge_Utd       6    6   +0      67.26    10.64    10.06     1.01    18.39     4.76P    1.47R    0.24  
Kettering           6    6   +0      68.27    10.19    11.51     0.85    19.81     5.10P    0.99R    0.15  
Barrow              6    6   -2      52.62    10.30   -15.51     0.02     1.27     0.17P   20.58R    5.79  
Gateshead           5    5   -2      48.53    10.28   -22.42     0.01     0.54     0.07P   34.08R   12.05  
Bath_City           6    5   -3      48.91    11.35   -20.32     0.03     1.14     0.18P   34.42R   13.33  
Histon              6    5   -4      46.31    10.03   -25.95     0.00     0.25     0.03P   42.26R   16.67  
Kidderminster       6    5   -5      60.79    10.72    -3.98     0.24     7.00     1.46P    6.16R    1.33  
Altrincham          6    1  -10      52.90    10.43   -14.07     0.01     1.29     0.22P   20.04R    5.96