Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 2 September 2010 at 21:16:27 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 29 August 2010, Aston_Villa vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          3    9  +14      89.52     7.97    81.68    66.03    89.34    97.14    99.15    99.92     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          3    7   +7      76.63     8.88    46.90     8.60    32.06    66.90    83.25    95.80     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          3    7   +6      82.77     8.33    56.44    23.59    66.09    87.79    95.19    99.24     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa      3    6   -2      57.51     9.00     2.80     0.09     0.70     3.33    10.34    33.83     0.55R    0.04  
Bolton           3    5   +2      40.62     8.59   -23.76     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.18     1.45    23.13R    4.88  
Birmingham       3    5   +1      47.04     8.64    -9.80     0.00     0.03     0.21     1.02     5.97     6.55R    0.90  
Wolverhampton    3    5   +1      39.15     8.16   -22.85     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.74    27.42R    5.75  
Newcastle        3    4   +3      58.28     9.84    12.64     0.15     1.19     5.48    14.96    39.95     0.72R    0.08  
Man_City         3    4   +2      66.78     9.12    27.42     1.01     6.24    20.52    43.57    75.26     0.03R    0.00  
Sunderland       3    4   +0      46.90     8.83   -10.94     0.00     0.01     0.21     0.98     6.02     7.63R    1.13  
Tottenham        3    4   +0      61.06     9.14    13.90     0.22     1.71     7.29    19.66    51.05     0.21R    0.01  
Blackpool        3    4   -2      36.41     9.14   -36.87     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.77    42.39R   13.60  
Liverpool        3    4   -2      63.06     8.86    15.21     0.30     2.41     9.63    25.51    60.08     0.11R    0.00  
Fulham           3    3   +0      46.63     8.70    -7.80     0.00     0.02     0.21     0.96     5.75     7.00R    1.06  
Blackburn        3    3   -1      42.99     8.59   -16.38     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.25     2.34    14.96R    2.63  
West_Brom        3    3   -6      43.45     9.52   -21.33     0.00     0.02     0.15     0.70     3.85    16.80R    3.64  
Wigan            3    3   -9      28.49     7.73   -57.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    78.55R   45.73  
Everton          3    1   -2      51.82     9.22     1.10     0.01     0.17     1.02     3.99    16.56     2.73R    0.33  
Stoke            3    0   -4      38.77     8.51   -18.27     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.09     0.84    28.51R    6.92  
West_Ham         3    0   -8      36.12     8.88   -33.02     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.55    42.69R   13.30  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 August 2010, Barnsley vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR               4   10   +9      69.11    11.11    10.87     4.38    10.39    37.72    16.24P    2.35R    0.41  
Cardiff           4   10   +7      81.86    11.02    30.20    27.95    45.65    79.68    55.63P    0.09R    0.01  
Ipswich           4   10   +5      64.17    10.72    -0.32     1.41     3.99    21.34     7.14P    5.45R    1.09  
Millwall          4    9   +7      77.04    11.88    23.62    16.68    30.11    64.52    39.67P    0.59R    0.09  
Burnley           4    7   +3      75.31    12.11    20.37    13.17    25.06    59.17    34.00P    1.22R    0.26  
Leeds_United      4    7   +2      71.50    11.77    12.78     7.32    15.30    45.84    23.21P    1.94R    0.40  
Norwich           4    7   +2      74.02    11.97    17.05    10.80    21.54    54.65    30.49P    1.32R    0.24  
Coventry          4    7   +1      55.46    10.47   -13.26     0.19     0.65     5.50     1.45P   21.77R    6.51  
Doncaster         4    7   +0      63.99    10.87    -1.01     1.45     3.92    21.08     7.39P    6.18R    1.33  
Barnsley          4    7   -1      54.74    10.62   -17.85     0.19     0.53     5.07     1.29P   24.46R    7.97  
Scunthorpe        4    6   +1      55.23    10.93   -14.77     0.24     0.72     5.99     1.55P   23.57R    7.92  
Swansea           4    6   +1      64.23     9.86     3.79     0.94     3.02    19.51     7.00P    3.99R    0.68  
Reading           4    5   +0      64.87    11.14     2.94     1.95     5.19    24.26     9.43P    5.54R    1.28  
Watford           4    5   +0      59.18    10.88    -6.21     0.52     1.62    10.98     3.48P   13.65R    3.69  
Derby             4    4   -1      55.54    10.73   -11.04     0.26     0.82     6.15     1.83P   21.98R    7.00  
Middlesbrough     4    4   -3      62.09    10.65    -1.77     0.94     2.52    16.15     5.76P    7.84R    1.79  
Sheff_Utd         4    4   -3      62.16    10.80    -1.93     0.94     2.77    16.69     5.87P    8.18R    1.86  
Hull              4    4   -4      59.56    11.63    -7.44     0.91     2.46    13.06     4.76P   14.50R    4.36  
Nott'm_Forest     4    3   -1      73.94    10.52    19.18     7.89    17.92    55.64    30.33P    0.64R    0.09  
Crystal_Palace    4    3   -4      54.51    10.36   -12.69     0.16     0.54     4.64     1.31P   23.75R    7.24  
Preston           4    3   -6      48.13    10.55   -28.13     0.03     0.13     1.43     0.33P   47.87R   22.44  
Bristol_City      4    2   -5      50.31    10.76   -20.83     0.05     0.22     2.34     0.64P   39.47R   16.49  
Leicester         4    1   -5      63.19    10.70     2.32     1.14     3.36    18.79     7.49P    6.43R    1.49  
Portsmouth        4    1   -5      57.75    11.33    -5.87     0.49     1.59     9.81     3.71P   17.21R    5.35  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 August 2010, Bournemouth vs Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Sheff_Wed         4   10   +8      77.99    12.32    23.63    12.43    25.04    62.30    34.56P    0.81R    0.05  
Peterborough      4    9   +4      67.75    12.79     4.56     3.15     7.55    30.24    12.03P    5.93R    0.66  
Carlisle          4    8   +5      69.40    11.75    10.17     3.01     7.70    34.19    13.17P    3.22R    0.25  
Oldham            4    8   +4      57.95    10.57    -6.23     0.15     0.63     6.70     1.62P   16.11R    1.88  
Bournemouth       4    7   +6      63.18    12.22     3.37     1.17     3.34    18.65     6.47P    9.82R    1.16  
Huddersfield      4    7   +3      81.67    11.57    30.56    18.37    34.91    74.80    46.68P    0.26R    0.01  
Brighton          4    7   +1      64.60    11.45     0.57     1.17     3.25    19.98     6.52P    6.99R    0.66  
Charlton          4    7   +1      79.54    11.48    23.95    13.14    27.23    67.66    39.17P    0.36R    0.01  
Colchester        4    6   +1      72.09    11.34    13.69     4.29    10.55    42.31    18.71P    1.76R    0.10  
Walsall           4    6   +0      62.37    11.58    -2.85     0.71     2.35    15.67     4.91P   10.22R    1.21  
MK_Dons           3    6   -1      61.43    11.91    -8.04     0.78     2.14    13.96     4.12P   12.81R    1.76  
Rochdale          4    5   +1      61.45    12.54    -1.87     1.03     2.74    15.74     5.50P   13.90R    2.06  
Hartlepool        4    5   -3      57.35    11.38   -12.45     0.24     0.77     7.34     1.93P   20.38R    3.16  
Southampton       3    4   +3      86.26    11.56    40.58    32.71    51.62    85.09    63.56P    0.10R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient     4    4   +0      58.08    11.33    -5.97     0.24     0.90     8.30     2.29P   17.70R    2.42  
Yeovil            4    4   -2      56.80    11.13    -9.58     0.19     0.65     6.57     1.79P   20.71R    2.83  
Plymouth          4    4   -3      58.74    11.95    -7.29     0.39     1.27    10.05     3.06P   17.94R    2.94  
Notts_County      4    4   -5      71.49    12.35     9.93     4.62    11.12    41.34    19.84P    2.93R    0.20  
Bristol_Rovers    4    4   -6      52.20    11.27   -22.94     0.07     0.25     3.05     0.75P   35.59R    7.51  
Swindon           4    2   -2      66.53    11.76     8.29     1.90     5.10    26.08    10.56P    5.39R    0.53  
Exeter            3    2   -3      51.02    11.11   -18.77     0.05     0.18     2.40     0.57P   38.36R    8.50  
Tranmere          4    2   -4      41.81    10.37   -32.88     0.00     0.01     0.22     0.03P   71.95R   29.46  
Dag_&_Red         3    1   -3      42.58    11.77   -33.32     0.01     0.05     0.69     0.14P   67.56R   29.93  
Brentford         4    1   -5      57.19    11.07    -7.11     0.18     0.66     6.69     2.03P   19.22R    2.72  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 August 2010, Aldershot vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Torquay               4   12   +8      80.43    11.06    24.53    26.16    53.86    80.63    60.87P    0.03R    0.00  
Shrewsbury            4   10   +7      72.15    10.80    14.17     7.86    24.93    54.86    32.27P    0.27R    0.07  
Rotherham             4   10   +4      70.97    10.84     9.47     6.53    21.28    50.02    27.87P    0.40R    0.11  
Chesterfield          4    8   +5      68.13    11.10     8.95     4.33    15.59    40.90    21.39P    0.94R    0.28  
Port_Vale             4    7   +2      72.76    10.81    14.35     8.41    26.58    57.10    34.66P    0.26R    0.07  
Cheltenham            4    7   +0      56.80    10.95   -13.09     0.52     2.38    10.33     3.67P    9.22R    3.81  
Accrington_Stanley    4    6   +3      60.85    10.96    -1.30     1.05     5.09    18.67     7.82P    4.19R    1.50  
Wycombe               4    6   +2      74.41    11.79    18.59    13.19    33.70    62.41    42.01P    0.31R    0.08  
Aldershot             4    6   +1      71.61    10.97    13.22     7.42    23.88    53.15    31.47P    0.39R    0.10  
Stevenage             4    5   +1      71.15    11.22    13.85     7.18    23.04    51.80    31.68P    0.47R    0.14  
Burton_Albion         4    5   +0      62.12    11.31    -1.09     1.59     6.68    22.58    10.22P    3.88R    1.45  
Bury                  4    5   +0      59.37    10.69    -4.20     0.63     3.44    14.74     5.78P    5.16R    1.94  
Crewe                 4    4   +5      61.57    11.46     4.22     1.52     6.87    22.16    10.38P    4.21R    1.62  
Southend              4    4   -1      68.59    11.84     9.74     5.68    18.28    42.97    25.11P    1.29R    0.47  
Lincoln_City          4    4   -2      48.28     9.91   -20.05     0.02     0.21     1.60     0.41P   27.11R   13.39  
Hereford              4    4   -4      53.82    10.45   -14.73     0.15     1.00     5.56     1.90P   13.27R    5.62  
Gillingham            4    3   -1      67.01    11.39     8.96     3.91    14.06    37.19    20.84P    1.45R    0.50  
Oxford_Utd            4    3   -1      55.07    10.54    -6.46     0.30     1.57     7.50     2.97P   10.33R    4.31  
Northampton           4    3   -3      63.33    10.76     1.59     1.42     6.89    24.60    11.29P    2.43R    0.88  
Bradford              4    3   -5      56.56    10.87   -10.79     0.32     2.08     9.80     3.64P    9.25R    3.95  
Morecambe             4    2   -3      63.15    11.25     2.36     1.68     7.67    25.38    11.90P    3.24R    1.21  
Macclesfield          4    2   -4      52.20    10.43   -13.89     0.09     0.69     4.23     1.36P   16.65R    7.41  
Stockport             4    2   -6      43.95    10.78   -29.71     0.01     0.13     1.02     0.26P   45.42R   28.61  
Barnet                4    2   -8      45.12    10.00   -28.67     0.02     0.11     0.81     0.21P   39.83R   22.47  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 30 August 2010, AFC_Wimbledon vs Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Mansfield           6   13   +6      78.17    10.96    22.72     8.71    54.87    17.50P    0.15R    0.01  
AFC_Wimbledon       6   13   +6      79.54    10.59    24.21     9.41    59.80    21.12P    0.05R    0.00  
Crawley_Town        6   13   +5      67.47    10.48     4.83     0.99    18.04     3.69P    1.21R    0.13  
Luton               6   11   +4      89.40    10.28    42.44    38.32    88.46    55.31P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town      6   10   +2      62.51    11.74    -1.28     0.62    10.94     2.31P    5.84R    1.25  
Rushden_&_D'mnds    6   10   +2      86.81    10.29    37.11    27.15    83.44    46.15P    0.01R    0.00  
Southport           5   10   +2      59.84    11.93    -7.51     0.40     7.81     1.52P    9.60R    2.59  
Grimsby             6   10   -1      75.47    11.20    15.13     5.38    44.42    14.76P    0.32R    0.03  
Darlington          6    9   +2      62.70    10.84     1.08     0.37     9.76     2.02P    4.18R    0.79  
Tamworth            6    9   +1      60.54    10.25    -3.46     0.11     5.80     0.94P    5.32R    1.02  
Forest_Green        6    8   +1      51.86    10.29   -17.84     0.01     1.17     0.13P   22.71R    6.40  
Wrexham             6    8   -1      64.40    10.04     2.23     0.40    10.75     2.45P    2.07R    0.30  
Newport_County      6    7   +2      57.27    11.83    -4.87     0.20     5.49     1.10P   13.13R    3.69  
Eastbourne_Boro     6    7   +1      48.02    10.12   -23.33     0.01     0.45     0.06P   35.65R   12.34  
Hayes_&_Yeading     6    7   -7      47.47    10.46   -34.68     0.01     0.42     0.03P   39.32R   15.45  
York                6    6   +1      76.48    10.23    24.43     5.55    49.09    18.87P    0.09R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       6    6   +0      67.24    10.70    10.00     1.12    18.54     4.81P    1.60R    0.26  
Kettering           6    6   +0      68.13    10.17    11.32     0.93    19.29     5.13P    0.95R    0.11  
Barrow              6    6   -2      53.01    10.47   -14.91     0.03     1.45     0.21P   19.77R    5.47  
Gateshead           5    5   -2      48.48    10.26   -22.45     0.01     0.46     0.05P   33.86R   12.08  
Bath_City           6    5   -3      48.63    11.44   -20.87     0.02     1.12     0.17P   35.33R   13.92  
Histon              6    5   -4      46.28    10.05   -26.07     0.00     0.26     0.03P   42.28R   16.80  
Kidderminster       6    5   -5      60.77    10.76    -3.98     0.24     6.85     1.37P    6.22R    1.28  
Altrincham          6    1  -10      52.81    10.47   -14.26     0.02     1.31     0.25P   20.33R    6.07